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Marine Weather and Tides Wilmington, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:04AM

Sunset 5:03PM

Monday December 9, 2019 5:50 AM EST (10:50 UTC)

Moonrise 3:33PM

Moonset 4:21AM

Illumination 94%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilmington, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 090853 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 353 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. Warm front will lift farther north through today leaving above normal temperatures later today through Tuesday with limited, if any rainfall. A cold front will cross the coast late Tuesday into early Wednesday, bringing additional rain and much cooler weather for mid week. Brief clearing and drying Thursday will be followed by a wet Gulf system bringing rain on Friday through Saturday morning. Drier and warmer weather will arrive for the latter half of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. A subtle mid-level shortwave making its way across the eastern Carolinas early this morning has pushed the surface trough and associated rainfall off to the northeast. Low clouds and fog will persist across the area through about 9 am. As of 07Z, visibilities have only dropped below 1/2 mile in a few locations, but if these become more widespread, a Dense Fog Advisory may be issued. Temperatures will hover in the mid 40s inland to around 50 across the coastal counties through daybreak, and may rise a few degrees near the coast as flow just of the surface becomes increasingly southerly.

Monday through Tuesday morning will remain dry, but with a good amount of mid/high clouds. Moisture will spread east ahead of a trough making its way across the southern plains on Tuesday, and this will bring just a slight chance of showers west of I-95 by late Tuesday afternoon. Deep south-southwesterly flow will propel temperatures well above climatology Monday and Tuesday. Highs will reach around 70 Monday, with widespread mid 70s away from coast on Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cold front will be moving through Tues evening with warm southerly flow abruptly turning to the north. Shallow cool air will advect in overnight Tues, but deep SW flow will continue aloft as deep mid to upper trough remains west of area. This will maintain low clouds and rain/drizzle into Wednesday with cool air mass settling in. Expect high temps reached in the morning, with cooling through the aftn leaving temps in the mid 30s by early Thurs morning. Steep inversion will be tough to break, but should see some clearing as mid to upper trough axis shifts off shore Wed night into early Thurs. This will bring deep layer drying with continued CAA and temps not even making it to 50 on Thurs with increasing sunshine.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Wedge in place Fri as coastal trough becomes more defined. Overall expect increasing isentropic lift as shallow dense cool air is overrun by increasing warm southerly flow. GFS is little quicker bringing back clouds and pcp on Fri, but overall expect rain to spread across the area from the south and should see periods of heavier rain late Fri into early Sat as warm front lifts north and potent shortwave and low pressure track up through the Southeast. The shortwave and low lifts off to the north late Sat into Sun with drying and warming on the back end. Pcp water values up to 1.65 inches Fri night will drop out in deep westerly flow Sat into Sun. Temps will reach into the 60s Fri and near 70 on Sat with 60s on Sunday with increasing sunshine through Sun. GFS is much warmer with overnight lows Thur night due to faster increase in clouds and pcp, while ECMWF has cooler temps, possibly below freezing in places, but drier. Therefore do not expect any fzn pcp issues early Fri.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The area of -RA affecting southeast NC and primarily KILM early this evening will shift NE and away from the area during the evening. MVFR/IFR conditions will linger along with the potential for some -DZ. LIFR conditions are likely overnight from low VSBYs/CIGs as a warm front moves toward the coast and onshore. Not expecting conditions to improve until generally after 13Z as winds increase some helping to improve VSBYs, and a gradual improvements in CIGs. Expecting VFR conditions to develop mid/late morning all terminals.

Extended Outlook . MVFR conditions possible Tuesday as the next cold front approaches and toward the end of the week as low pressure may impact the area.

MARINE. Winds light and variable across the waters early this morning will become southerly around 10 knots by late morning as high pressure slides east off the New England coast. Will maintain the Small Craft Advisory for NC waters for now, as seas up to 6 ft persist beyond 10 nm. Flow will increase to around 15 kt out of the southwest on Tuesday between offshore high pressure and a surface cold front that will be crossing the Appalachians. Increasing warm advection over the nearshore waters will introduce the potential for sea fog to develop, and this will have to be monitored for the next couple of days.

Southerly flow ahead of cold front will keep seas between 3 and 5 ft Tues night. An abrupt shift to the north will accompany the cold front as it drops through the waters followed by a sharp increase in winds and seas through Wed aftn, possibly peaking near 6 to 9 ft in N-NE winds up around 25 kts or so as high pressure builds down from the north. Coastal front will become more defined on Fri as low pressure develops and moves up through the Southeast into the weekend. NE winds will veer around becoming on shore Fri night as coastal front pushes inland and north. Should see winds and seas drop a bit on Fri, but rise again in SW to W flow on the back end as it lifts north Fri night into Sat. Overall expect elevated winds and seas through much of this week.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for SCZ017-023- 024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059. NC . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for NCZ087-096- 099-105>110. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for AMZ250-252.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . CRM SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . CRM MARINE . RGZ/CRM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	5 mi	56 min	N 2.9 G 4.1	49°F	56°F		1020.6 hPa
WLON7	5 mi	56 min		48°F	53°F		1021.2 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	9 mi	42 min	NNE 3.9 G 9.7	51°F	57°F		1021 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	9 mi	40 min			57°F	6 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	31 mi	42 min	NNE 5.8 G 9.7	58°F	65°F		1021.1 hPa
41108	34 mi	50 min			56°F	4 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	41 mi	42 min	N 5.8 G 9.7	48°F	55°F		1022.3 hPa
41119	41 mi	120 min			55°F	3 ft
41064	49 mi	42 min	S 7.8 G 18	66°F	64°F		1020.9 hPa
41159	49 mi	50 min			64°F	10 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

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N14 G17

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N4 G7

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC	6 mi	57 min	NNW 3	0.50 mi	Fog	49°F	48°F	97%	1021.6 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC	21 mi	55 min	N 0	3.00 mi	Fog/Mist	48°F	47°F	100%	1021.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)

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NE9

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1 day ago

Calm

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W19 G27

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N5

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Tide / Current Tables for Masonboro Inlet, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (5,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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