Thursday, September19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wrightsville Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:14PM Thursday September 19, 2019 2:56 PM EDT (18:56 UTC) Moonrise 9:34PMMoonset 10:46AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 248 Pm Edt Thu Sep 19 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A slight chance of showers late.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri night..E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Sat..E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..E winds 5 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
AMZ200 248 Pm Edt Thu Sep 19 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will build south through the remainder of this week. Winds and seas will decrease into the weekend, with slowly abating swell from humberto. This will allow advisory flags to be lowered by the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wrightsville Beach, NC
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location: 34.21, -77.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 191622
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
1222 pm edt Thu sep 19 2019

Synopsis
Autumn-like air will prevail through Friday as canadian high
pressure builds south. A warmup will begin Saturday but
conditions are to remain dry.

Update
Very few changes with the most recent update. Stratocumulus to
the NE continue to erode as they approach the area, and isolated
cumulus will continue to pop up throughout the remainder of the
afternoon.

Near term through Friday
An uncommon air mass of late, in that both min-t max-t to hold below
climatology, the bulk of locals not to crack the 80 degree mark
today, after a coolish early morning. Fresh NE breezes to fan milder
air at the coast this morning, ssts holding the heat capacity of a
hot summer, with warm ocean waters inshore radiating between 80-83.

Shallow marine showers will remain palegic, but will encroach 0-20
nm waters tonight and Friday, a few perhaps fringing georgetown
beaches, but probabilities of measurable rainfall over land
insufficient and too sparse to advertise wet pavements this period.

52-56 inland daybreak Friday, 57-64 near the coast is cool, but well
removed from min-t records. Good amounts of sunshine minutes in
the offering today, complimenting a canadian air mass in decent
pairing.

Short term Friday night through Saturday night
High pressure from the surface through the mid to upper levels
will maintain dry weather into the weekend. Plenty of subsidence
and dry air through the column will insure a rain free period.

With cool overnight lows in the 50s inland to around 60 closer
to the beaches. Large diurnal swings will take place due to more
ideal radiational cooling and bright sunshine in the afternoon
with Sat highs between 80 and 85 most places.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
High pressure slips slowly off the coast as it extends back over
the southeast into early next week. This will produce an on
shore flow helping to bring dewpoint temps up a bit. This
slight increase in moisture will lead to overnight lows reaching
back up to normal. Mid to upper trough will push a dry front
through on tues with high pressure building down behind it
through mid week. Although there may be some passing clouds,
continues to look like a rain free period into the middle of
next week. GFS shows potential for low pressure system to move
in from the west, but not agreement with all models. Overall,
expect plenty of sunshine most days with warming air mass and
temps reaching above normal with highs in the 80s and lows in
the 60s.

Aviation 16z Thursday through Monday
High pressure centered over new england will continue to wedge down
through our cwa. Northeast winds will become gusty after 14z. Winds
diminish toward sunset with no overnight fog expected. The hrrr
shows some showers hugging the coast after midnight, but will leave
them out of the tafs at this time. Friday, continued northeast flow
withVFR conditions.

Extended outlook...VFR.

Marine
Choppy and swelly, rough and undulating, dangerous for small craft
rigs period as unpredictable and unwelcoming waves course through
our 0-20 nm waters, as such, small craft advisory flags remain
flying. Improving seas will become noticeable Friday, settling into
the weekend, although longer wave-period back-swell apt to linger
from humberto, but steepness not problematic. The wind-sea element
to remain minimal by and through the weekend, smoothing the sea
surface, reducing hull-smacking.

High pressure overhead Fri night into the weekend will maintain
light and variable winds with an onshore return flow developing
into the latter half of the weekend. Winds will come around
further to a more southerly flow Mon into tues as a cold front
approaches from the nw. Overall, expect light and variable winds
with seas dropping off through sat, remaining between 2 and 4 ft
through mon.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for scz054-
056.

High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for scz054-
056.

Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz106-
108.

High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz106-
108-110.

Coastal flood advisory until 3 pm edt this afternoon for
ncz107.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Friday for amz250-252-254-
256.

Synopsis... Ilm
update... 21
near term... Mjc
short term... Rgz
long term... Rgz
aviation... 43
marine... Mjc rgz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 0 mi57 min NE 13 G 16 73°F 80°F1022.6 hPa (+0.0)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 6 mi49 min NE 14 G 18 73°F 80°F1022.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 6 mi47 min 80°F5 ft
WLON7 9 mi57 min 77°F 80°F1023.1 hPa (+0.0)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi49 min NE 19 G 25 73°F 81°F1021 hPa
41108 36 mi57 min 80°F5 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 45 mi49 min ENE 9.7 G 16 73°F 80°F1023.2 hPa
41064 45 mi49 min ENE 19 G 29 73°F 81°F1022.1 hPa
41119 45 mi67 min 80°F2 ft
41159 45 mi57 min 81°F7 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC8 mi2.1 hrsNNE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F55°F44%1023.1 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC24 mi2 hrsENE 9 G 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F56°F51%1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE16
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N13NE8NE7NE6NE11NE8N7NE4NE5N7N6N8NE7N6N10
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1 day agoN11N14
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NE12--NE10NE8NE11NE11N10N10NE8NE10NE8N9N10N7N7N7NE12
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2 days agoN10N12NE10E6--------NE5NE6N5----------N5N4NE6NE7NE9--N9NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:50 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:20 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:30 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:43 PM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.92.41.60.80.200.411.92.73.43.73.63.22.41.50.70.20.20.61.322.62.9

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:54 AM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:03 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:07 PM EDT     4.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:50 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.34.13.72.921.20.70.50.71.73.24.34.74.64.23.52.71.91.410.91.32.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.