Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fillmore, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday May 31, 2020 11:30 AM PDT (18:30 UTC) Moonrise 2:32PMMoonset 2:31AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 905 Am Pdt Sun May 31 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm pdt this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 2 to 3 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 6 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 6 seconds.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
PZZ600 905 Am Pdt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z, or 8 am pdt, a 1022 mb high pressure center was located around 700 nm northwest of san francisco and a 1004 mb low pressure center was located over southern nevada.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fillmore, CA
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location: 34.4, -119     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 311604 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 904 AM PDT Sun May 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. 31/903 AM.

Partly to mostly cloud skies will prevail over the region today. Varying amounts of night and morning low clouds should affect mainly the coast tonight into the middle of the week. Otherwise partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail through the period. Temperatures will turn warmer to near normal today and to several degrees above normal Monday into mid week.

SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE). 31/856 AM.

The marine inversion was well-defined and near 2400 ft deep at VBG early this morning. However, at LAX there was a very weak inversion if you can call it that somewhere around 2500-3000 ft deep. Low clouds were much more organized N of Point Conception this morning and covered much of the Central coast, Santa Ynez Vly and into the northern SLO County interior vlys. S of Point Conception, low clouds were primarily over the eastern SBA County S coast into the VTU County coast and some vlys, as well over Santa Catalina Island. Patchy low clouds were noted in the San Gabriel Vly as well. Otherwise, sunny to partly cloudy skies were noted across the region. The low clouds are forecast to clear back to or off the coast by late this morning. However, plenty of mid and hi level clouds to the W and SW of the forecast area this morning will move into the region thru this afternoon to leave mostly cloudy skies overall.

There will be decent onshore gradients this afternoon (e.g. NAM fcst LAX-DAG +7.9 mb at 00Z) to help bring breezy to gusty NW to SW winds to many areas. Despite the cloud cover, temps are still forecast to turn warmer today back to near normal for the most part. Highs in the warmest vlys and lower mtns should reach the upper 70s to lower 80s.

A broad upper level trof will develop over the E Pac just off of the CA coast through tonight, with S to SW flow aloft over the forecast area. On Mon, a 572 dm H5 low will develop at the base of the upper trof about 300 NM SW of Point Conception. The upper level low should then remain nearly stationary Mon night thru Tue. This will allow H5 heights to increase over swrn CA from about 577-580 dm Mon afternoon to around 581-584 dm Tue afternoon.

An inversion around 1000 ft deep will develop tonight into Mon morning, and a weak eddy is forecast over the SoCal Bight. It looks like more low clouds will develop along the coast and perhaps into some adjacent vlys altho there should be northerly canyon winds along the SBA County S coast which should keep low clouds away from there. It looks like the marine inversion will lower to near surface-based S of Point Conception Mon night into Tue morning, while remains about 1000 ft deep along the Central Coast. Marine layer clouds should affect the immediate Central Coast Mon night into Tue morning, but should be patchy at best S of Point Conception. If any low clouds sneak into the L.A. County coast Tue morning they could be accompanied with some dense fog. Otherwise, there will be plenty of mid and hi level clouds moving into swrn CA tonight thru Tue to keep mostly cloudy skies for the most part over the region, except some clearing should develop over SLO/SBA Counties Tue afternoon.

Onshore gradients will decrease thru Tue, but there will still be breezy SW-NW onshore winds each afternoon and evening for many areas. The NAM was also forecasting gradients from SBA-SMX to peak at -2.9 mb at 06Z this evening. This will contribute to gusty sub- advisory NW to N sundowner winds for the SBA County S coast and Santa Ynez Mtns mainly W of Goleta this evening.

Temps are forecast to turn even warmer Mon thru Tue despite the presence of mid and hi level clouds over the region. This is due to a combination of weaker onshore gradients and increased boundary layer/950 mb temps. It looks like highs in the warmest vlys and lower mtns will reach the Mid 80s to near 90 on Mon, and upper 80s to low 90s on Tue. High temps by Tue will be about 3-8 deg above normal away from the coast.

LONG TERM (WED-SAT). 31/347 AM.

Both the GFS and the EC agree the upper low will not move much on Wednesday. But the mid and high level clouds should move away and it should be a sunny day. The sunshine will add another 3 to 6 degrees of warming to the area and Wednesday will be warmest day of the next 7 with all of the vlys in the 90s and coastal areas mostly in the 80s away from the beaches.

On Thursday both models promise to move the upper low to the east towards Baja. There are still differences however. The GFS places the center of the low about 100 miles further east than the EC does. Whichever mdl is correct or if it a compromise between the two it probably will not make too much of a difference in the forecast for Srn CA. Look for partly cloudy skies everywhere and morning low clouds across the coasts. The hgts will lower through the day and this will kick off a cooling trend.

Both mdls now suggest that the upper low be pulled up to the north and east as it becomes entwined in the flow around a large PacNW low. This will move the upper low over the area Thursday night (GFS) or Friday morning (EC). This passage will generate a slight chc of mtn showers again earlier GFS and later EC. Friday will start out a little cloudy but will then clear in the afternoon the lower hgts will accelerate the cooling trend and max temps should drop 5 to 10 degrees. Max temps will end up only 1 to 3 degrees above normal across the coasts and 2 to 5 degrees blo normal over the vlys and interior.

Dry WSW flow on tap for next Saturday. Look for mostly sunny skies as the low's passage will likely disrupt the marine layer. max temps will warm a few degrees with rising hgts.

AVIATION. 31/1200Z.

At 1100Z at KLAX, There was no marine layer nor any inversion.

Low to moderate confidence in TAFs. Stratus is not well organized especially south of Point Conception so clouds may clear occasionally. For KPRB/KSMX/KSBP, good confidence in IFR/LIFR cigs with a 50% chance of VLIFR conditions. South of Point Conception, good confidence in IFR/low MVFR cigs for coastal/valley sites where cigs are forecast. For LA County coastal sites, there is a 40% chance of no cigs.

KLAX . Low to moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 40% chance of no cigs. Good confidence that any east wind component will be under 4 kt.

KBUR . Low to moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 50% chance of IFR cigs. Clearing of cigs may occur as early as 14Z.

MARINE. 31/800 AM.

Across the outer waters . Winds will be elevated and gusty to Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level beginning this morning near Point Conception and across all of the outer waters by this afternoon. The winds will diminish after midnight to below SCA level then will increase to SCA level again tomorrow with similar timing. Conditions across all of the outer waters will be below SCA levels Tuesday through at least Wednesday then there is a sixty percent chance of the wind increasing to SCA level again on Thursday.

Across the nearshore waters of the Central Coast . Winds will increase to SCA level this afternoon and evening, otherwise conditions will be below SCA levels through at least Thursday.

Across the inner waters south of Point Conception . Winds will increase to SCA level from Point Conception to Point Mugu this afternoon and evening and will be elevated but below SCA level south of Point Mugu during the same period. Otherwise, conditions will be below SCA levels through at least Thursday.

A long period south swell will gradually subside but will increase again later in the week.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . Beach Hazards Statement in effect until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for zones 40-41-87. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ . Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 650-670-676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zone 673. (See LAXMWWLOX).

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (TUE-SAT).

No significant hazards expected.



PUBLIC . Sirard/Rorke AVIATION . Stewart MARINE . Kj SYNOPSIS . Sirard

weather.gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 37 mi54 min SW 8 G 8.9 61°F 1014.3 hPa
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 38 mi42 min S 8 G 8.9 61°F 61°F1014.9 hPa
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 42 mi64 min 62°F4 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 45 mi20 min WNW 9.7 G 14 61°F 65°F1014.7 hPa57°F
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 46 mi20 min W 7.8 G 12 60°F 62°F1015.3 hPa57°F

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA14 mi35 minSW 510.00 miFair69°F55°F63%1014.5 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA17 mi39 minWSW 910.00 miFair63°F55°F76%1013.9 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA20 mi38 minWSW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F55°F75%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCMA

Wind History from CMA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW7SW8S8SW8SW9SW8SW7SW9W5SW4CalmS3W6CalmSW4W3CalmCalmNE3CalmW4W44SW7
2 days ago--3SW11SW9SW9SW9SW9S8SW7CalmSW3S3SW5SW5SW43W3S5SW6W3CalmSW4W3SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
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Ventura
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:32 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:19 AM PDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:54 AM PDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:33 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:32 PM PDT     5.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.12.63.13.743.93.52.71.91.10.50.30.61.42.43.54.4554.53.72.81.9

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:32 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:20 AM PDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:51 AM PDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:33 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:33 PM PDT     5.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.12.63.13.743.93.52.71.910.50.30.61.42.43.54.44.954.53.72.81.9

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.