Tuesday, September17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fillmore, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:02PM Monday September 16, 2019 9:47 PM PDT (04:47 UTC) Moonrise 8:44PMMoonset 8:47AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 822 Pm Pdt Mon Sep 16 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Tuesday...
Tonight..W winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming nw 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt after midnight. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 6 seconds.
Tue..N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 8 seconds.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Thu..Western portion, winds variable 10 kt or less becoming 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, winds variable 10 kt or less becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 7 seconds, building to 4 to 6 ft dominant period 7 seconds in the afternoon.
Thu night..Western portion, nw winds 20 to 25 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Eastern portion, nw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming se 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ600 822 Pm Pdt Mon Sep 16 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 03z, or 8 pm pdt, a 1023 mb surface high was centered about 1000 nm west of point conception, and a 1005 mb thermal low was centered near las vegas. Moderate northwest winds will impact the outer coastal waters, and portions of the inner waters, through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fillmore, CA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.4, -119     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 klox 170259
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
759 pm pdt Mon sep 16 2019

Synopsis 16 724 pm.

Temperatures will remain relatively cool across the region
through Friday, then warming is expected again next weekend. Most
coastal and adjacent valleys will have night to morning low
clouds and fog at times this week. There will be gusty north
winds west of santa barbara during the evening and overnight hours
tonight through Thursday.

Short term (mon-thu) 16 752 pm.

***update***
an upper trough moving inland over the west coast will lift to the
northeast overnight as another upper low shifts southward from
the gulf of alaska to the queen charlotte islands. Behind the
departing trough, a northerly surface pressure gradient is
developing, with a -3.6 mb gradient between sba and smx as of 7
pm. Gusty northwest to north winds are affecting the south coast
this evening, with gusts to 35 mph at san marcos pass and 40 to 45
between gaviota and refugio. A wind advisory has been issued for
the south coast and santa ynez range this evening through 3 am
Tuesday. Gusty northwest winds will also affect the l.A. And
ventura mountains overnight, primarily through highway 33 and the
i-5 corridor, with peak gusts to around 35 mph.

For coastal areas, low clouds and fog are expected along the
central coast, mainly south of san luis, and along the coast of
l.A. And ventura counties. Low clouds are likely to cover most of
the l.A. Basin, extending into the san gabriel valley, but should
stay closer to the coast in ventura county.

***from previous discussion***
the trough has already brought cooler temps to the area today with
inland areas down as much as 10-15 degrees and coastal areas about
5 degrees cooler. Low clouds and fog expected to develop at most
coastal locations at some point overnight tonight, if not sooner
along the central coast. Southern sb county likely to remain clear
due to the northerly flow. Could also see some low clouds and fog
near our border with kern county from SE slo county through the i5
corridor. Offshore trends tomorrow behind the trough along with
slowly warming temps aloft will lead to a warmer day most areas
Tuesday by a few degrees.

Another trough will hit the pac NW Wednesday and northern
california Wed night into Thursday. Impacts here again mostly
limited to a slight cooling trend, stronger onshore flow, and
deeper marine layer.

Long term (fri-mon) 16 149 pm.

A warming trend will commence Friday as the trough moves east into
the northern plains and surface high pressure develops over the
great basin that will weaken our onshore flow. Models maintain
some weak cyclonic flow across ca at least through the weekend but
temps should bounce back up to normal levels by Saturday with
little change into Sunday. Both the GFS and ECMWF show high
pressure over the eastern pacific expanding into the west coast
pushing the next trough farther east into the great basin. It's a
little too far out on the horizon to have much confidence but such
a track could lead to increasing offshore flow early to mid next
week and even warmer temperatures.

Aviation 17 0002z.

At 00z, the marine layer depth was around 1200 feet deep at klax.

The top of the marine inversion was near 2200 feet with a
temperature of 22 degrees celsius.

Low to moderate confidence in the forecast for coastal terminals
and high confidence for inland terminals.

Ifr conditions expected for ksmx and the ventura and l.A. Coastal
sites overnight, but lower confidence in timing and duration of
cigs. Along central coast sites after 02z and south coast after
06z. Brief lifr CIGS and fog possible for the central coast
08-14z.VFR conditions near ksba overnight due to sundowner
winds.

Klax... Low to moderate confidence in 00z taf, with ifr CIGS 08z-
17z, but timing could differ by 2 hours or more from TAF times.

Kbur... Moderate to high confidence inVFR conditions. A 30 percent
of MVFR haze from 11-17z.

Marine 16 735 pm.

Moderate confidence in the current forecast.

For the outer waters, small craft advisory (sca) level winds are
becoming more widespread this evening and likely to persist
through Thursday, and continuing over the two southern zones
(pzz673-676) through Friday. Lighter winds are expected over the
weekend.

Across the inner waters north of pt sal, there is a 40 percent
chance of SCA level winds during the afternoon and evening hours
through Wednesday. SCA conditions are likely Thursday.

Across the santa barbara channel, moderate confidence in SCA gusts
through late tonight. There is a 40 percent chance of SCA level
winds across western portions during the late afternoon and
evening hours Tuesday through Wednesday. SCA conditions are
likely Thursday in the west channel.

Across the remainder of the southern inner waters, conditions
will remain below SCA levels through Wednesday night. 30% chance
of SCA conditions developing Thursday afternoon and evening.

A southerly swell developing with hurricane kiko will move over
the coastal waters from late tonight through Wednesday. There is
a 40 percent chance that elevated surf of 3 to 5 feet could break
near shore and in the vicinity of jetties at times during this
period mainly for the south-facing beaches in los angeles county.

Beaches 16 140 pm.

A southerly swell originating from hurricane kiko will likely
bring strong rip currents at times at area beaches between Tuesday
and Wednesday. A high rip current risk is likely for this period.

There is a 50 percent chance that elevated surf between 3 and 5
feet will occur on Tuesday and Tuesday night mainly along the los
angeles county coast. If possible, swim near a staffed lifeguard
tower or avoid the water when in doubt.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Wind advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Tuesday for zones
39-52. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Tuesday for
zone 650. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Thursday for
zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw smith
aviation... Smith
marine... Smith
beaches... Boldt
synopsis... Kj smith
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 37 mi72 min N 1 G 2.9 67°F 1011.3 hPa
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 38 mi48 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 69°F 67°F1012.3 hPa (+0.7)
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 42 mi22 min 71°F3 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 44 mi28 min W 5.8 G 7.8 66°F 1011.7 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 46 mi28 min WNW 18 G 21 67°F 65°F1011.5 hPa64°F

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last
24hr
E2
E2
NE1
NE2
NE4
N2
NE6
NE4
E3
G6
NW2
E1
SW3
E2
SE4
SE3
SE4
S3
S3
SW6
E2
E4
G7
SE3
N1
NE4
1 day
ago
SW4
SW4
SW5
S1
E2
E3
SW5
S2
NE3
SE1
E2
SW3
S2
S1
S3
SW8
SW9
G12
S4
SW7
SW8
SW8
SW8
SW5
SW2
2 days
ago
NW3
NE1
NE6
G9
NE5
NE4
E2
NE2
E4
NE5
G8
NE4
NE3
NE1
S2
E2
SE3
E3
SE3
S2
SW8
SW10
SW7
SW7
G10
SW4
SW5

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA20 mi1.8 hrsW 610.00 miA Few Clouds66°F63°F90%1011.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCMA

Wind History from CMA (wind in knots)
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
Last 24hrCalm--SW4SW8SW10SW8W8W8SW5SW3--------NW3--Calm--NE3--NW3----E4
1 day agoCalmCalmSW5SW8SW7SW8SW8S8SW7SW5----------Calm----Calm--N3----SE3
2 days ago--SW3SW6SW6SW7SW8SW7SW7SW8SW6----------NW3------NE3E3--Calm--

Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Ventura
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:31 AM PDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:41 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:39 AM PDT     4.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:08 PM PDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:01 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:14 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.54.13.42.51.81.41.41.82.63.54.34.84.94.63.932.21.61.31.522.73.43.9

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:28 AM PDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:41 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:40 AM PDT     4.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:05 PM PDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:00 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:14 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.54.13.32.51.81.41.41.82.63.54.34.84.94.63.932.11.51.31.522.73.43.9

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (0,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.