Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 5:58PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 4:12 PM PST (00:12 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:18AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 222 Pm Pst Wed Mar 3 2021
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 16 seconds.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 16 seconds.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 15 seconds.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
PZZ600 222 Pm Pst Wed Mar 3 2021
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 22z, or 2 pm pst, a 1009 mb surface low was located 80 nm ssw of los angeles. A 1018 mb high was over idaho and western wyoming. The low pressure system will move west through the area tonight bringing gusty south to east winds, and a few lingering showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 032230 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 230 PM PST Wed Mar 3 2021

SYNOPSIS. 03/201 PM.

A warming and drying trend is expected for Thursday and Friday as high pressure builds in aloft. Gusty west to northwest winds will be likely at times from Saturday through Wednesday, especially in the mountains and Antelope Valley. Light rain is possible along the Central Coast Saturday. A couple of stronger and colder storms are possible between late next Monday and Wednesday.

SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT). 03/147 PM.

An upper low moved through the area today with rain reported as far north as Santa Barbara. Highest totals were in LA County, specifically the southern part where there also was some very brief convective activity. Showers appear to be winding down this afternoon and moving east. Satellite still shows some bubbly clouds over the coastal waters southwest of Catalina so a few more scattered showers or even an isolated storm can't be ruled out there through the afternoon.

Quiet weather with a warming trend the next couple days as high pressure aloft develops and gradients start trending offshore. Expecting the warmest day to be Friday with light offshore flow and temps in the 70s most lower elevation areas south of Pt Conception.

Saturday the next system arrives along the West Coast but it's moving inland across the Bay Area. At best we're looking at some light rain across the Central Coast though again models are divided on whether it will even make it into SLO County. Either way it's a light event and not expected to bring rain to LA or Ventura Counties. Some gusty onshore winds possible in the afternoon, especially Antelope Valley, and several degrees of cooling expected. Possibly some low end advisory level Sundowner winds possible in the SB area Saturday evening.

LONG TERM (SUN-WED). 03/155 PM.

Dry weather expected Sunday with light onshore flow. Looks like a decent chance for a couple storms to come through the area next week, though timing and strength still uncertain. Best chances based on the ensembles are Tuesday and Wednesday. Not major storms at this point but likely more precip than the current system.

AVIATION. 03/1847Z.

At 1551Z at KLAX, The marine layer was around 700 feet deep. The top of the inversion was around 1000 feet deep with a temperature of 10 C.

Moderate confidence in TAFs south of Point Conception through 03Z where cigs will fluctuate btw MVFR and VFR, with MVFR conditions more likely during showers. Rain timing may be off by +/- 2 hours. There is a 15 percent chc of TSTM forming in the KSMO- KLGB area through 01Z. Higher confidence in TAFs north of Pt Conception, with a 20% chance of coastal cigs overnight.

KLAX . Moderate confidence in TAF with intermittent rain showers and cigs fluctuating between MVFR and VFR. There is a 30 percent chc of BKN025 conds with any time it is raining. There is a 15 percent chc of TSTM within 7 miles of the airport complex through 01Z. There is a 30% chance of 7 kt east wind component is possible through 00Z.

KBUR . Moderate confidence in TAF with cigs fluctuating btw MVFR and VFR with MVFR conditions more likely during showers.

MARINE. 03/228 PM.

Outer Waters . Moderate confidence in winds and seas forecast this evening, with local Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level seas and gusty winds near Pt Conception. Seas and winds will trend downward into Thursday. Otherwise, SCA conditions are not expected through the week. By Friday, a larger swell will bring the potential of 10 to 12 foot seas throughout the outer waters. NW winds will likely reach SCA levels Saturday.

Inner Waters N of Point Sal . Good confidence in winds and seas forecast. Small Craft Advisories (SCA) are not expected through the week. The chance for SCA hazardous seas and winds starts Friday night into Saturday.

Inner Waters S of Point Conception . Moderate confidence in today's forecast as a storm moves through the area this afternoon into this evening. There is a 40% chance of local S-SE 25 kt gusts in the Santa Barbara Channel and across the San Pedro Channel early this evening. The next chance for SCA winds is Saturday, and seas will begin to near 7 feet over the weekend.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 10 PM PST this evening for zone 54. (See LAXWSWLOX). PZ . NONE.

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (SAT-WED).

High surf and dangerous rip currents are likely through the middle of next week. Gusty west to northwest winds will create driving and boating hazards at times Saturday through Wednesday. A couple of storms could bring winter hazards to the mountains Tuesday and Wednesday.



PUBLIC . MW AVIATION . Rorke/Phillips MARINE . Phillips SYNOPSIS . MW

weather.gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi20 minSE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F43°F56%1011.6 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi22 minSE 310.00 miA Few Clouds57°F40°F53%1011.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSBA

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9W7W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5E13E15
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1 day agoS5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW8SW5SW7SW10SW7W5W11
2 days agoW5W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7SE7SE6SE6SE5SE8SE5SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California (2)
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:23 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM PST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:17 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:32 PM PST     3.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:12 PM PST     1.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:10 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.14.94.13.121.10.60.611.82.63.33.73.83.42.82.11.51.31.41.92.73.64.5

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:02 AM PST     5.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:23 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:37 AM PST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:17 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:38 PM PST     3.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:14 PM PST     1.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:10 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.14.84.13.121.10.60.50.91.62.53.23.63.73.42.82.11.51.21.31.82.63.64.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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