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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Carpinteria, CA

July 26, 2024 4:58 PM PDT (23:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM
Moonrise 11:34 PM   Moonset 11:58 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 131 Pm Pdt Fri Jul 26 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through through late tonight - .

Tonight - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Sat - Western portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Sat night - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the evening, becoming 5 to 10 kt. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Sun - Western portion, W wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Sun night - Western portion, nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming light. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Mon - Light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Mon night - W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 5 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Tue - Light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Tue night - W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Wed - Light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Wed night - W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

PZZ600 131 Pm Pdt Fri Jul 26 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 18z, or 11 am pdt, a 1036 mb surface high was located about 1000 nm west of portland. A 1007 mb thermal low was centered just south of las vegas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 262353 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 453 PM PDT Fri Jul 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
26/132 PM.

Cooler temperatures are expected this weekend as high pressure aloft weakens. High temperatures will drop to 4 to 8 degrees below normal across the region with an increase in morning low clouds and fog for coasts and some valleys. Locally gusty winds are expected during the afternoon and evening for the Santa Barbara southwestern coast and the Antelope Valley. Starting Monday, temperatures will gradually trend warmer each day.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)...26/142 PM.

A relatively quiet and much cooler period of weather is expected across the southland through the weekend. Highs actually expected to be BELOW normal for the first time in several weeks, by as much as 10 degrees in some areas but on average 3-7 degrees cooler than normal. This is all due to a low pressure system that will move into northern California Saturday, followed by lingering troughiness into Sunday. This will deepen the marine layer over the weekend, possibly reaching the coastal valleys. Skies will clear in the afternoon in most areas except some beaches may stay cloudy well into the afternoon. Southwest flow aloft will keep the area free of any convection, though a few cumulus clouds are possible near the higher peaks in the afternoon.

High pressure will build up from the south starting Monday, which will be the beginning of the next warming trend that will last through next week.

.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...26/212 PM.

High pressure will continue to build up from the desert southwest through California next week with the center of the high around the 4 corners region. Ensembles show very strong consistency in this feature so there is high confidence in the warming trend.
However, it will a slow climb and most areas won't even be back to normal high temperatures until at least Wednesday. After mid week temperatures will continue to climb, rising 2-3 degrees each day through next Saturday. Highs across the Antelope Valley will be approaching 110 degrees as early as next Friday, while the warmer coastal valleys will be approaching 105. The probabilities for those sites to reach 110 by Saturday are about 30% and 10% respectively.

With the high pressure system settling in near the 4 corners that definitely raises the potential for monsoon moisture moving into the area from the southeast. The deterministic 12z GFS actually shows quite a favorable upper air pattern by next Fri with an inverted trough across southern California and quite a bit of PVA and instability. And to go along with that, ensembles are indicating a rapid increase in PW's late next week and next weekend to over 1 inch across the area. Expect there will be at least isolated thunderstorms across the eastern part of LA County (mountains and Antelope Valley) during this period, possibly expanding west into the Ventura mountains. And if that GFS upper air solution comes to fruition that certainly increases the chances for showers and storms closer to the coast as well.

AVIATION
26/2352Z.

At 2215Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 800 feet deep. The top of the inversion was around 2400 ft with a temp of 28 C.

High confidence in valley/desert TAFs, but low to moderate confidence in coastal TAFs. There is a 25 percent chc of no cigs for coastal TAFs KSBA and south. If cigs do arrive timing could be off by as much as 2 hours. VFR transition may occur 1 hour earlier than fcst.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 25 percent chc of no cigs. If cigs do form they could arrive as early as 06Z or as late as 10Z. There is a 30 percent chc of VFRAVDAFDLOX conds arriving at 17Z.
No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...High confidence in CAVU TAF.

MARINE
26/1218 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For PZZ673/676, high confidence in Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds developing today and continuing through Sunday night. For Monday through Wednesday, there is a 60-80% chance of the SCA level winds continuing. For PZZ670, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA level winds developing this afternoon and continuing through Saturday night. For Sunday through Tuesday, there is a 40% chance of SCA level windsAVDAFDLOX...then a 60% chance of SCA level winds on Wednesday.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Today through Saturday, there is a 60-70% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours. For Sunday through Wednesday, there is a 50-60% chance of SCA level winds, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel, there is a 60-70% chance of SCA level winds today and Saturday, mainly in the late afternoon and evening hours.
Otherwise for the southern Inner Waters, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels today through Wednesday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 6 AM PDT Saturday for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Saturday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Sunday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi82 minSW 14G16 60°F 29.89
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi48 minWSW 16G19 58°F 62°F29.8558°F
46251 44 mi62 min 65°F 68°F4 ft


Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA 17 sm5 minS 057 smClear66°F57°F73%29.86
KOXR OXNARD,CA 22 sm7 minW 1610 smPartly Cloudy66°F59°F78%29.86


Tide / Current for Rincon Island, California (2)
   
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Rincon Island
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Fri -- 01:30 AM PDT     4.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:04 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:58 AM PDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:41 PM PDT     5.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:08 PM PDT     1.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:33 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rincon Island, California (2), Tide feet
12
am
4.2
1
am
4.6
2
am
4.6
3
am
4.2
4
am
3.4
5
am
2.4
6
am
1.5
7
am
0.9
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.9
10
am
1.6
11
am
2.6
12
pm
3.6
1
pm
4.5
2
pm
5
3
pm
5.1
4
pm
4.8
5
pm
4.1
6
pm
3.3
7
pm
2.5
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
1.7
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.2


Tide / Current for Rincon Island, California
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Rincon Island
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Fri -- 01:31 AM PDT     4.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:04 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:01 AM PDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:47 PM PDT     5.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:14 PM PDT     1.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:33 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rincon Island, California, Tide feet
12
am
4.1
1
am
4.5
2
am
4.5
3
am
4.1
4
am
3.3
5
am
2.3
6
am
1.4
7
am
0.7
8
am
0.5
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.4
11
am
2.4
12
pm
3.4
1
pm
4.3
2
pm
4.9
3
pm
5.1
4
pm
4.8
5
pm
4.1
6
pm
3.2
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest   
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Los Angeles, CA,




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