Monday, November11, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Barbara, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 4:58PM Monday November 11, 2019 2:54 PM PST (22:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:52PMMoonset 6:29AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 238 Pm Pst Mon Nov 11 2019
Tonight..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 238 Pm Pst Mon Nov 11 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z, or 1 pm pst, a 1023 mb surface high was located 600 nm W of point conception, and a 1010 low was over eastern arizona. Patchy dense fog with visibility of 1 nm or less will likely impact the coastal waters north of point conception through this morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 112153
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
153 pm pst Mon nov 11 2019

Synopsis 11 1139 am.

Coastal clouds will continue to clear into the afternoon, and
temperatures will be a few degrees above normal. Expect low
clouds and fog to push inland from the coast tonight. Temperatures
tomorrow will be warmer as some offshore flow develops, but
additional clouds will bring cooler near normal temperatures for
the end of the week.

Short term (tdy-thu) 11 118 pm.

Main impacts the next few days will be localized northeast winds
in the foothills and mountains on Tuesday along with warmer
temperatures district-wide. Then return to onshore flow and more
cloud cover by midweek.

Stratus was stubborn to leave the central coast today, but it
did retreat from the south coast. Locally gusty northeast winds of
20-30 mph have been persistent across the foothills and mountains
of the san gabriel mountains (la co.) and the santa lucia
mountains (slo co.) today. Offshore pressure gradient between
lax-dag is progged to range from -2 to -3.4 mb by Tuesday morning,
a slight increase over today. This will lead to a 5 mph boost in
wind gusts at 25-35 mph for similar areas and push warmer air
into all areas below the mountains for Tuesday afternoon. Still
expect a marine layer up to 1500 feet deep to bring a return of low
clouds and fog to coastal and nearby valley areas later tonight
and early Tuesday. The offshore flow will push the clouds off the
coast earlier than today, but we don't anticipate northeast winds
all the way down to the ocean. There will continue to be brief
critical fire weather conditions where northeast winds occur in
combination with humidities only 8-15 percent across the mountains
and interior valleys.

High pressure ridge overhead on Tuesday will begin to shift
eastward and weaken on Wednesday. Temperatures will begin to
trend downward due to weakening offshore flow and reversal to
onshore flow across most areas by the afternoon. Really do not see
much reason to eliminate morning low clouds and fog along the
coastal areas for Wednesday. Also, model data continues to suggest
more cloud cover for interior sections as flow aloft becomes more
southwesterly late Wednesday and Thursday.

Thursday will be one of the coolest days of the week as a weak
upper level trough passes through southwest california then. High
temperatures will run a solid 5-15 degrees cooler than Tuesday.

There should be plenty of clouds, especially nearer to the coasts
along with breezy southwest winds at times due to a 4 mb onshore
pressure gradient.

Long term (fri-mon) 11 138 pm.

A weak trough will be shifting through southwest california on
Friday with a trend toward more sunshine and higher pressure. A
ridge will continue to build across the west coast Saturday and
Sunday. Temperatures will remain on the cool side with onshore
flow for Friday, then a warming trend kicks in by next weekend
with offshore pressure gradients getting stronger. The ecm
ensembles have been consistent for several days now showing the
potential for a moderate santa ana wind event next Sunday. At this
point it doesn't look to be a long-lived event and there may be
slight humidity recovery during the middle of the week to delay
fuel dryness when this wind event arrives. However, elevated to
critical fire weather conditions will be possible. For now, Sunday
looks to be the warmest day of the extended forecast with some
cooling by Monday if when the offshore flow subsides.

Beyond the regular forecast period is a glimmer of hope for
precipitation by the middle of the following week (11 20). The 12z
ecm deterministic is likely overdone on a cut-off low pressure
system, but the ensembles are supporting a potential of moisture.

At this range though, confidence remains very low and there
remains even chances this system would shift to an inside-slider
and another santa ana event.

Aviation 11 1904z.

At 1701z at klax, the marine layer was around 1800 feet deep. The
top of the inversion was at 3000 feet with a temperature of 21 c.

High confidence in desert and valley tafs. Low to moderate
confidence in remaining tafs. Trended slightly earlier on timing
of the return of CIGS tonight. Some coastal TAF sites may clear
early Tuesday morning.

Klax... Low confidence in taf. The onset of ceilings this evening
is expected to occur a bit earlier. The marine clouds may clear a
few hours earlier Tuesday morning. Good confidence that an east
wind component remains 5 kt or less.

Kbur... High confidence in taf.VFR conditions are expected through
the period.

Marine 11 110 pm.

For all of the coastal waters, high confidence that winds and
seas will remain below small craft advisory (sca) level through
Thursday. Confidence lowers on Friday as SCA level winds may make
a return to the offshore waters along the central coast southward
towards san nicolas island.

Patchy dense fog with visibility of one nautical mile or less is
likely to impact the coastal waters north of point conception
through this morning.

Fire weather 11 919 am.

The marine layer has deepened up this morning, with low clouds
and humidity recovery across coastal and some coastal valley
locations. Meanwhile, offshore winds gusting between 20 and 30 mph
will continue to maintain warm and dry conditions across interior
portions of los angeles and ventura counties today. The offshore
winds are expected to be slightly stronger late tonight into
Tuesday morning, generally gusting between 25 and 35 mph
across interior portions of los angeles and ventura counties.

On Tuesday morning, the lax-daggett gradient is expected to peak
around -3.5 mb. Minimum humidities are expected to range between
8 and 15 percent across most interior areas today and Tuesday,
with poor humidity recoveries tonight in the foothills and
mountains. The combination of breezy offshore wind conditions,
warm temperatures, and low humidities will bring elevated to brief
critical fire weather conditions to the interior valleys,
mountains, and foothills of los angeles and ventura counties today
through Tuesday. Onshore flow is expected to bring some cooling
with humidity recovery Wednesday through Friday. There is the
potential for a weak to moderate santa ana wind event by Sunday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
There is the potential for moderate santa ana winds next Sunday
with elevated to critical fire weather conditions possible.

Public... Boldt
aviation... Sweet stewart
marine... Sweet
fire... Gomberg
synopsis... Phillips
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 2 mi79 min SSW 8.9 G 9.9 62°F 1016.5 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 12 mi35 min W 7.8 G 9.7 61°F 65°F1016.9 hPa60°F
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 41 mi45 min W 3.9 G 7.8 60°F 61°F1016.8 hPa54°F
46251 45 mi55 min 66°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA6 mi62 minWSW 78.00 miFair66°F55°F68%1016 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA24 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair79°F39°F24%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSBA

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5NE4NE5NE6N5NE5NE4E5NE5NE5N5S4SE6S55W7
1 day agoCalmSW4CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4NE3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE3CalmN3SE4SE6SE64S6S5
2 days agoW7SW5CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4S4SW4SW6SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California
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Santa Barbara
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Mon -- 02:01 AM PST     1.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:29 AM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:27 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:16 AM PST     5.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:03 PM PST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:51 PM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:14 PM PST     4.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.61.41.62.33.34.45.25.65.54.83.72.41.30.40.10.41.1233.74.13.93.4

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California (2)
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:04 AM PST     1.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:28 AM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:26 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:17 AM PST     5.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:01 PM PST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:50 PM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:09 PM PST     4.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.71.41.62.33.34.45.35.85.64.93.82.51.30.40.10.41.12.13.23.94.24.13.5

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.