Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Santa Barbara, CA
![]() | Sunrise 7:06 AM Sunset 6:21 PM Moonrise 1:42 PM Moonset 11:28 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones updated 4/16/2026. Some zones changed. Use Edit if needed.
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 205 Pm Pdt Sat Oct 17 2026
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm pdt this afternoon - .
Tonight - W wind 5 to 10 kt this evening, becoming light. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 5 seconds, W 2 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Sun - Light winds, becoming sw to W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 13 seconds and S 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Sun night - W wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 6 seconds, W 3 ft at 12 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Mon - Western portion, nw wind 10 to 20 kt. Eastern portion, light winds becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 7 seconds, W 3 ft at 10 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Mon night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 7 seconds, W 2 ft at 12 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue - NW wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 6 seconds, W 2 ft at 11 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night - W wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 14 seconds. A chance of showers.
Wed - E wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds, W 3 ft at 12 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds. Showers likely.
Wed night - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds, W 3 ft at 11 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds. Showers likely.
Thu - NE wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 10 seconds. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night - NW wind 15 to 25 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 6 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.
PZZ600 205 Pm Pdt Sat Oct 17 2026
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 18z or 11 am pdt, a 1030 mb high was 1200 nm W of san francisco, extending inland to 1030 mb high pressure over the great basin. An inverted trough was along the california coast. A moderate storm system is expected for the middle of next week.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA

NEW! Add second zone forecast
| Santa Barbara Click for Map Sat -- 07:06 AM PDT Sunrise Sat -- 01:41 PM PDT Moonrise Sat -- 02:10 PM PDT 4.38 feet High Tide Sat -- 06:21 PM PDT Sunset Sat -- 10:54 PM PDT 0.78 feet Low Tide Sat -- 11:27 PM PDT Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Santa Barbara, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.4 |
| 1 am |
| 1.8 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3.3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.5 |
| 7 am |
| 3.5 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.6 |
| 10 am |
| 3.8 |
| 11 am |
| 3.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
| Rincon Island Click for Map Sat -- 07:05 AM PDT Sunrise Sat -- 01:40 PM PDT Moonrise Sat -- 02:03 PM PDT 4.54 feet High Tide Sat -- 06:20 PM PDT Sunset Sat -- 10:44 PM PDT 0.89 feet Low Tide Sat -- 11:26 PM PDT Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, Santa Barbara Channel, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.6 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 3 |
| 4 am |
| 3.3 |
| 5 am |
| 3.5 |
| 6 am |
| 3.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.7 |
| 9 am |
| 3.7 |
| 10 am |
| 3.9 |
| 11 am |
| 4.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Area Discussion for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 172057 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 157 PM PDT Sat Oct 17 2026
SYNOPSIS
17/256 AM.
A weak to moderate Santa Ana event gusty winds and critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest California today. In addition, the very warm temperatures bring a high risk of heat- related illness to all coastal areas. A significant cool down is expected Sunday with a good chance of rain Tuesday or Wednesday.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 157 PM PDT Sat Oct 17 2026
SYNOPSIS
17/256 AM.
A weak to moderate Santa Ana event gusty winds and critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest California today. In addition, the very warm temperatures bring a high risk of heat- related illness to all coastal areas. A significant cool down is expected Sunday with a good chance of rain Tuesday or Wednesday.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...17/151 PM.
For the short term period, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement through the period. At upper levels, weak trough will develop over the area tonight/Sunday then a low will work its way south, off the CA coast, ending up about 400 miles west of Point Conception on Tuesday. At the surface, offshore flow will continue to weaken tonight/Sunday with onshore flow increasing through Monday and Tuesday.
Forecast-wise, no major changes to previous thinking. With the pressure gradients relaxing and upper support waning, the Santa Ana winds will continue to weaken through Sunday morning. So, have let all WIND ADVISORIES expire at 200 PM this afternoon with sub-advisory northeast winds expected tonight/Sunday morning. By Sunday afternoon, the winds will begin to shift to an onshore direction with the onshore flow increasing Monday and Tuesday. Do not anticipate any issues with the increasing onshore winds as speeds should remain below advisory levels.
As for temperatures, the combination of increasing onshore flow and lowering H5 heights/thicknesses will bring a cooling trend to all areas through Tuesday. The current HEAT ADVISORIES for the coastal plain should be good to expire at 800 PM this evening. For Sunday through Tuesday, no heat issues are expected.
As for clouds, there will be some partly cloudy skies across the area through tonight as high clouds drift up from the south. For Sunday and Monday, mostly clear skies can be expected although some marine layer stratus/fog could return to the Central Coast.
On Tuesday, mid and high level clouds should be on the increase ahead of the upper low, expected to impact the area on Wednesday and Thursday. Additionally, there should be more widespread marine layer stratus/fog Monday night/Tuesday morning across the entire coastal plain and coastal valleys.
.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...17/151 PM.
For the extended period, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement. Main feature of note is a decent, early-season, upper low. Models move this system east across the area on Wednesday and Thursday, bringing the high likelihood of wet and unsettled weather for the area. Admittedly, models will likely be challenged with such a system in mid-October, so the forecast details could change noticeably over the coming days.
That being said, there is rather high confidence in wetting rainfall across the area in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame, especially on Wednesday and Thursday. Given the current track of the upper low, it should be able to tap into some moisture from the remnants of Trudy. Based on current WPC guidance and ensemble solutions, a widespread 0.25 to 1.00 inch event is very likely for the area. However, ensembles indicate, depending on model, about a 20-40% chance for totals greater than 1.00 inch. Southerly flow, associated with this low, will have the potential to generate some decent orographic enhancement which could help totals exceed 1.00 inch per those ensemble members. Additionally, there looks to be some decent instability with the upper low. 500 mb temperatures drop to around -20 degrees Celsius and CAPE/MUCAPE values are forecast to be in the 400-800 J/kg range. So, there will be a chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.
In terms of rainfall rates, at this time, rates are expected to be under 0.50 inches/hour. However, if any thunderstorms do develop, locally higher rainfall rates (0.50-1.00 inch/hour) would be possible. So, there may be some hydrologic concerns as we approach the event (mud/debris flows near burn scars, urban flooding, etc.). Stay tuned over the coming days for the latest details.
By Friday and Saturday, the upper low will have move eastward. In its wake, weak offshore flow is likely. So, expect dry and locally breezy conditions along with a warming trend.
AVIATION
17/1800Z.
At 18Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.
High confidence in VFR conditions and moderate confidence in winds.
KLAX...High confidence in VFR conditions. E wind near 7 kts should switch W between 17/19-21Z. Then, light E wind 18/10-17Z should remain below 8 kts.
KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF. Weak to moderate LLWS and Turbulence is possible through 17/21Z.
MARINE
17/156 PM.
Nearshore observations have indicated that Small Craft Advisory (SCA) offshore winds have persisted longer than expected.
Onshore wind reversal is expected to occur within a few hours along the Ventura coastline. These winds will remain near SCA levels during this transition. Because of this have extended the SCA for the Santa Barbara Channel through 4 PM Today.
Thereafter, conditions will remain relatively benign through Sunday morning across all coastal waters. Small Craft Advisory NW winds will increase Sunday Night and Monday, especially off the Central Coast. Have issued SCA products to reflect this.
A moderate- strength storm system is becoming more likely in the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe.
FIRE WEATHER
17/305 AM.
Today will likely be the last day of widespread high risk of large fires and rapid fire growth focused across Santa Ana prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties where a Red Flag Warning continues into this evening. Peak wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph (peaking in many areas mid morning to mid afternoon) will combine with minimum humidities in the 8-20 percent range and high temperatures 85-95, resulting in critical fire weather conditions.
Cooler and more humid conditions are likely next week. Gusty southwest to northwest winds are expected Sunday and Monday, with light to moderate rain likely sometime Tuesday through Thursday.
Residents in high fire risk areas should be prepared in case a fire starts
Review your evacuation plans
what would you bring, where would you go. Stay extra aware of your surroundings. Make sure your vehicle is fueled up. For everyone, avoid using anything that could spark a fire. Be prepared for power outages that are likely over a good portion of our areas.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Heat Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening for zones 340-341-346-347-349-350-354-355-362-366>368. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Sunday morning through Tuesday morning for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
Red Flag Warning in effect until 6 PM PDT this evening for zones 288-375-379. (See LAXRFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 4 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM Sunday to 9 PM PDT Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 9 PM Sunday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 673. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from midnight Sunday night to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
For the short term period, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement through the period. At upper levels, weak trough will develop over the area tonight/Sunday then a low will work its way south, off the CA coast, ending up about 400 miles west of Point Conception on Tuesday. At the surface, offshore flow will continue to weaken tonight/Sunday with onshore flow increasing through Monday and Tuesday.
Forecast-wise, no major changes to previous thinking. With the pressure gradients relaxing and upper support waning, the Santa Ana winds will continue to weaken through Sunday morning. So, have let all WIND ADVISORIES expire at 200 PM this afternoon with sub-advisory northeast winds expected tonight/Sunday morning. By Sunday afternoon, the winds will begin to shift to an onshore direction with the onshore flow increasing Monday and Tuesday. Do not anticipate any issues with the increasing onshore winds as speeds should remain below advisory levels.
As for temperatures, the combination of increasing onshore flow and lowering H5 heights/thicknesses will bring a cooling trend to all areas through Tuesday. The current HEAT ADVISORIES for the coastal plain should be good to expire at 800 PM this evening. For Sunday through Tuesday, no heat issues are expected.
As for clouds, there will be some partly cloudy skies across the area through tonight as high clouds drift up from the south. For Sunday and Monday, mostly clear skies can be expected although some marine layer stratus/fog could return to the Central Coast.
On Tuesday, mid and high level clouds should be on the increase ahead of the upper low, expected to impact the area on Wednesday and Thursday. Additionally, there should be more widespread marine layer stratus/fog Monday night/Tuesday morning across the entire coastal plain and coastal valleys.
.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...17/151 PM.
For the extended period, 12Z models are in good synoptic agreement. Main feature of note is a decent, early-season, upper low. Models move this system east across the area on Wednesday and Thursday, bringing the high likelihood of wet and unsettled weather for the area. Admittedly, models will likely be challenged with such a system in mid-October, so the forecast details could change noticeably over the coming days.
That being said, there is rather high confidence in wetting rainfall across the area in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame, especially on Wednesday and Thursday. Given the current track of the upper low, it should be able to tap into some moisture from the remnants of Trudy. Based on current WPC guidance and ensemble solutions, a widespread 0.25 to 1.00 inch event is very likely for the area. However, ensembles indicate, depending on model, about a 20-40% chance for totals greater than 1.00 inch. Southerly flow, associated with this low, will have the potential to generate some decent orographic enhancement which could help totals exceed 1.00 inch per those ensemble members. Additionally, there looks to be some decent instability with the upper low. 500 mb temperatures drop to around -20 degrees Celsius and CAPE/MUCAPE values are forecast to be in the 400-800 J/kg range. So, there will be a chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.
In terms of rainfall rates, at this time, rates are expected to be under 0.50 inches/hour. However, if any thunderstorms do develop, locally higher rainfall rates (0.50-1.00 inch/hour) would be possible. So, there may be some hydrologic concerns as we approach the event (mud/debris flows near burn scars, urban flooding, etc.). Stay tuned over the coming days for the latest details.
By Friday and Saturday, the upper low will have move eastward. In its wake, weak offshore flow is likely. So, expect dry and locally breezy conditions along with a warming trend.
AVIATION
17/1800Z.
At 18Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.
High confidence in VFR conditions and moderate confidence in winds.
KLAX...High confidence in VFR conditions. E wind near 7 kts should switch W between 17/19-21Z. Then, light E wind 18/10-17Z should remain below 8 kts.
KBUR...High confidence in VFR TAF. Weak to moderate LLWS and Turbulence is possible through 17/21Z.
MARINE
17/156 PM.
Nearshore observations have indicated that Small Craft Advisory (SCA) offshore winds have persisted longer than expected.
Onshore wind reversal is expected to occur within a few hours along the Ventura coastline. These winds will remain near SCA levels during this transition. Because of this have extended the SCA for the Santa Barbara Channel through 4 PM Today.
Thereafter, conditions will remain relatively benign through Sunday morning across all coastal waters. Small Craft Advisory NW winds will increase Sunday Night and Monday, especially off the Central Coast. Have issued SCA products to reflect this.
A moderate- strength storm system is becoming more likely in the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe.
FIRE WEATHER
17/305 AM.
Today will likely be the last day of widespread high risk of large fires and rapid fire growth focused across Santa Ana prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties where a Red Flag Warning continues into this evening. Peak wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph (peaking in many areas mid morning to mid afternoon) will combine with minimum humidities in the 8-20 percent range and high temperatures 85-95, resulting in critical fire weather conditions.
Cooler and more humid conditions are likely next week. Gusty southwest to northwest winds are expected Sunday and Monday, with light to moderate rain likely sometime Tuesday through Thursday.
Residents in high fire risk areas should be prepared in case a fire starts
Review your evacuation plans
what would you bring, where would you go. Stay extra aware of your surroundings. Make sure your vehicle is fueled up. For everyone, avoid using anything that could spark a fire. Be prepared for power outages that are likely over a good portion of our areas.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Heat Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening for zones 340-341-346-347-349-350-354-355-362-366>368. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Sunday morning through Tuesday morning for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
Red Flag Warning in effect until 6 PM PDT this evening for zones 288-375-379. (See LAXRFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 4 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM Sunday to 9 PM PDT Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 9 PM Sunday to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 673. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from midnight Sunday night to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 | 2 mi | 96 min | SW 8G | 86°F | 29.96 | |||
| 46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA | 12 mi | 32 min | W 3.9G | 75°F | 70°F | 29.95 | 62°F | |
| 46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA | 41 mi | 32 min | W 1.9G | 71°F | 29.90 | |||
| 46251 | 44 mi | 46 min | 75°F | 73°F | 3 ft |
Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Link to 5 hour of 5 minute data for KSBA
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSBA
Wind History Graph: SBA
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southwest
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