Wednesday, August12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Harkers Island, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:00PM Wednesday August 12, 2020 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:36PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 659 Pm Edt Wed Aug 12 2020
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Showers likely. Tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. Showers and tstms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harkers Island, NC
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location: 34.4, -76.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 121900 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge in from the Atlantic through the rest of the week, while a trough of low pressure remains across the Southeastern U.S. A weak backdoor cold front will move into the area over the weekend and stall. A series of lows will move along the front Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /Through Tonight/. As of 3 PM Wed . Weak seabreeze boundary moving through the Coastal Plain continues to set off some sct showers and ocnl thunder, though covg less than impressive. A mainly dry first half of the evening expected as this convection is generally diurnally driven. Weak low/inverted trough off the Carolina Coast will begin to creep northward through the overnight. Showers will spread north towards the coastal counties prior to sunrise, with fairly decent covg of showers expected along the coast in the early morning. PW's will be quite high generally 2-2.25" late, supporting the threat for some heavier rain rates developing.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/. As of 3 PM Wed . Aforementioned coastal trough/weak low will overspread E NC through the day, with sct to numerous showers and embedded thunder expected. While the threat for some gusty winds will exist with convection, the main threat is going to be heavy rain and minor flooding, as PW's aoa 2.25" will envelope the region. High temps will struggle into the mid/upr 80s due to the widespread clouds and showers.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 330 AM Wednesday . Wet weather along with seasonable temperatures are expected through the long term period, as a closed low currently over MO moves east and evolves into an open wave over the southeast this weekend. Ample mid level troughing is then expected to develop over the Eastern US for much of next week as a strong northern stream upper trough moves across southern Canada and the US northern tier. At the surface, the typical Atlantic high/inland lee trough pattern will persist through late week, then a wavy cold front will move into NC and stall while a series of weak lows move along it and enhance rainfall across the region. Several inches of rain will possible over this period with the potential for local flooding.

The air mass across Eastern NC will be supportive of locally heavy rains with cyclonic flow, dewpoints in the 70s, PW values AOA 2" and sufficient instability through the long term period. While timing individual rainfall events are still uncertain, there is enough confidence to forecast likely PoPs through the weekend with best chances during peak heating inland, then along the immediate coast overnights. Will cap PoPs at chance for early next week, but these may need to be raised with subsequent forecasts if current model trends continue.

AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Thursday/ . As of 145 PM Wed . VFR conditions presently with winds out of the SE, 7kts or less at inland terminals and around 10kts at coastal terminals. Inland terminals have the greatest chance for afternoon tstorms lasting until 00Z tonight. Those inland terminals that see rain tonight will experience patchy fog tomorrow morning, however low level stratus is likely for all regional terminals bringing flight cats down to MVFR levels. Sub MVFR is possible due to the stratus but confidence was too low to include in this TAF cycle. Scattered showers impacting EWN are expected tomorrow morning. Even though the SHRA was omitted from OAJ, it cannot be completely ruled out. MVFR cats are expected to last through the morning until heating allows the low level clouds to lift out in the early afternoon.

Long Term /Thursday night through Mon/ . As of 145 PM Wednesday . As we enter a wetter pattern, sub VFR conditions are more frequent in scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which are forecast through the period, especially during peak heating. The greater rainfall chances increases the likelihood of patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Thursday/ . As of 3 PM Wed . Winds will continue out of serly direction 5-15 kts across the marine zones. Nearshore waves will be 1-2 ft with offshore waves 2-3 feet. Winds veer more to the S later Thu afternoon, and some inc in speeds possible esp for the ctrl/srn waters, though conditions remain below SCA levels. Some 4 ft sets develop by afternoon across the outer waters.

Long Term /Thursday through Sunday/ . As of 330 AM Wednesday . Good boating conditions will continue through most of the long term. Expect S to SW winds 10-15 kt, with occasional gusts to around 20 kt each afternoon/evening through Fri evening as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. A wavy cold front will move into the waters and stall over the weekend. Winds will become W around 10 kt Fri night, then N/NE 10-15 kt Sat and E 10-15 kt Sunday. Seas are forecast to be 2-4 ft through SAt then building to 3-5 ft Sunday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/CEB MARINE . JME/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 16 mi81 min S 18 G 20 81°F 1015.5 hPa (-0.9)
41159 22 mi55 min 82°F3 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi51 min S 15 G 16 82°F 86°F1015.9 hPa
41064 23 mi73 min SSW 12 G 18 81°F 1014.7 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi73 min SSW 14 G 19 82°F 83°F1014.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi23 minS 1110.00 miA Few Clouds83°F75°F77%1015.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S8S6S8S9S9SW10SW7SW4CalmNE4CalmSE5SE7SE6SE6S11S13S10S14S8S11S14S11
1 day agoSW10S7SW9S9SW9SW10SW6SW6SW3SW3S5S5S7S8S9S9S9S10S10SW11SW8SW9S10S5
2 days agoSW7SW4SW6W5SW6SW4SW3W4SW5W5SW3W6NW5NW5CalmS6SW8S9SW9SW6SW8S7S9S8

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout, North Carolina
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Cape Lookout
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:36 AM EDT     3.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:31 AM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:11 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:42 PM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.23.332.51.91.3111.31.82.63.23.73.93.83.42.82.21.61.31.21.41.9

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Harkers Island, North Carolina
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:45 AM EDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:26 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:20 PM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:37 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.91.21.41.41.41.210.70.50.40.40.60.91.31.61.71.71.61.41.10.90.70.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.