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Marine Weather and Tides Surf City, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:23AM

Sunset 8:07PM

Friday August 7, 2020 2:47 PM EDT (18:47 UTC)

Moonrise 9:41PM

Moonset 9:01AM

Illumination 85%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Surf City, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 071727 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 125 PM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure offshore and a weak trough of low pressure stalled across the inland Carolinas will maintain warm and humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms through the middle of next week.

UPDATE/. No changes to the forecast at this time.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. Much like yesterday, deep southwesterly flow continues across the Carolinas out ahead of a mid level trough extending from Tennessee through Alabama. The airmass remains warm, humid, and very unstable with CAPE values expected to reach 3000 J/kg later today. A 250 mb jet streak moving off the Delmarva coast and a subtle 500 mb disturbance moving northward across South Carolina is already developing showers and thunderstorms at 3 AM. This activity should continue to lift northeastward through 7-8 AM. There should be a lull in convection later in the morning with sunshine quickly boosting temperatures through the 80s. This will burn off any remaining shreds of early morning fog or low stratus. By early to mid afternoon, new convection should begin developing inland of the seabreeze boundary. Models suggest coverage could grow to 70 percent or better along and west of I-95 by evening, and I've placed the highest PoPs there. Today's highs should range from the mid 80s along the beaches to 88-90 inland.

Saturday looks fairly similar to today except the low and mid level flow should veer a little more westerly as the mid level trough begins to lift out to the northeast. There should be a little less convection compared to today as the atmosphere dries out in the mid levels and 700 mb temperatures rise by a degree or two. I've nudged forecast highs up just a bit, with around 90 inland and mid-upper 80s near the coast.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As upper level trough moves further to the northeast, a mostly zonal pattern develops Saturday night through Wednesday. At the surface, a lingering boundary inland will make its towards the coast early Sunday. Combined with sea breeze and possibly weak upper impulses, scattered afternoon thunderstorms expected. Highs Sunday in the low 90s, with lows Saturday and Sunday night in the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Typical summertime weather continues for the long term, with hot and humid conditions and scattered afternoon thunderstorm chances each day. Zonal pattern aloft persists early in the week, with an inland trough at the surface Monday through Thursday. Although some dry air aloft is forecasted to briefly move across Monday, enough moisture exists to keep thunderstorm chances in the forecast for the afternoon. An upper ridge looks to develop over the southeast mid- week, with additional moisture riding over the top of it into our area. Highs each day near normal around 90, with above normal lows in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Generally VFR expected for the next few hours. Late afternoon thunderstorms will pop up and tend to be most likely to affect KFLO and KLBT. Storm coverage should be good enough near the latter that we've introduced a TEMPO line. Some MVFR fog is possible tonight inland, though the potential will also hinge upon where the most rain falls.

Extended Outlook . Weak troughing inland will result in isolated thunderstorms over the weekend into early next week, although coverage will be isolated to scattered. Any storms could bring brief IFR conditions in low visibility.

MARINE. Through Saturday..

Light south to southwest winds will continue today through tomorrow between a weakening trough of low pressure inland and high pressure well offshore. Outside of thunderstorms wind speeds should average less than 10 knots. The dominant contributor to the wave spectrum today should be a southeast swell every 8 seconds with smaller contributions from a local 3 to 4 second wind chop. Combined seas should average 2 feet. Thunderstorms already developing early this morning should clear out of the coastal waters by 9-10 AM. New thunderstorms developing inland this afternoon will tend to stay inland, but a few could be close enough to the coast for nearshore marine impacts between 1-4 PM. Scattered thunderstorms may redevelop late tonight into Saturday morning.

Saturday Night through Tuesday..

With high pressure offshore and a weak pressure gradient over the area, benign marine conditions expected for Saturday night through Tuesday, with the exception of scattered thunderstorms possible each day. South-southwest winds throughout forecast period between 5-10 kts. Seas around 2 ft Saturday night through Sunday night relax to 1- 2 ft for Monday and Tuesday, combination of weak south wind wave and 9 sec SE swell.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . TRA SHORT TERM . VAO LONG TERM . VAO AVIATION . mbB

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	22 mi	53 min		82°F	82°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	24 mi	39 min	SW 7.8 G 9.7	70°F	82°F		1018.7 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	24 mi	40 min			83°F	2 ft
WLON7	29 mi	53 min		87°F	84°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	33 mi	39 min	SSW 3.9 G 5.8	81°F	82°F		1019.2 hPa
41064	34 mi	39 min	W 5.8 G 7.8	82°F			1018.7 hPa
41159	34 mi	21 min			82°F	2 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	48 mi	53 min		84°F	85°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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W10 G20

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
MCAS New River, NC	18 mi	51 min	Var 6	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	88°F	73°F	63%	1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (14,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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