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Marine Weather and Tides Surf City, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:08AM

Sunset 5:01PM

Sunday December 15, 2019 8:46 AM EST (13:46 UTC)

Moonrise 8:40PM

Moonset 10:13AM

Illumination 85%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Surf City, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 151111 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 613 AM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. Dry high pressure will build in from the northwest today. Southerly winds will bring warmer temperatures Monday and Tuesday, followed by increasing rain chances as another cold front crosses the area late Tuesday. Cold and dry weather will follow through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Latest sfc analysis shows 1018 mb high pressure centered over FL with a cold front pushing well offshore. The local area will remain under the influence of the high to the south today, leading to a dry and sunny day with little moisture throughout then entire column. Temps will be close to climatological norms for mid December . highs in the lwr 60s most areas.

Little change in the overall pattern into tonight, with light southerly flow and low temps mainly in the lwr 40s inland under a mostly clear sky. Included mention of patchy fog as well due to very high RH at the sfc and very light/calm winds. Any fog will dissipate into the day Mon as SW flow increases well ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Continued dry into Mon with decent WAA allowing temps to climb into the low (mid?) 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Expect an active short term period as a cold front will be crossing the region from west to east. The boundary should move across the area swiftly late in the afternoon. Likely to in some cases categorical pops are in place. Some instability warrants isolated thunder in the afternoon as well. Temperatures surge once again ahead of the front and depending on cloud cover readings eclipsing 70 are certainly in play buoyed by a warm start with lows Tuesday morning in the 50s. A bit of a different story Wednesday morning as 850mb temperature drop below freezing leading to surface lows in the middle 30s or so.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Quiet weather for the first couple of days of the extended period as surface high pressure settles over the area. Temperatures will be quite cold during this time but not necessarily an epic arctic outbreak. HIghs will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s Wednesday and Thursday with lows mostly below freezing. Some moderation in temperatures is expected Friday. The forecast challenge is at the end of the work week into the weekend. The GFS has been back and forth with a coastal system while other guidance has kept a more southern track. The latest ECMWF however has trended wetter albeit much weaker as opposed to the GFS. Trended pops slightly upward citing this trend but confidence is low.


AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR conditions through this evening with zonal flow. Light west winds with pleasent temperatures by midday. Tonight, good radiational cooling will aid in fog formation at the end of the forecast period.

Extended Outlook . Small chance of fog Monday morning. Otherwise, VFR on Monday. Sub-VFR conditions could return Tuesday with a cold front passage. VFR mid-to-late week.

MARINE. A Small Craft Advisory continues until 5am due to seas still running around 6 ft over the outer portions of the marine area, and all guidance continues to run too low with wave heights. Improving marine conditions then for the remainder of the day as sfc high pressure builds in from the S. Expect 10-15 kt SW winds this aftn with 3-4 ft seas. This includes a 1-2 ft SE 9-10 second swell component. Similar sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions continue into the day Mon well ahead of an approaching low pressure system.

Expect a somewhat brisk south to southwest flow overnight Monday through much of the day Tuesday as a cold front moves across the area. Wind speeds will be 15-20 knots for the most part possibly a little higher for brief periods. Seas are highlighting small craft conditions mainly for the outer waters. An offshore flow develops late Tuesday night and continues through late Thursday. Speeds during this time will once again be 15-20 knots initially but steadily decreasing as well. Finally a lot of uncertainty for the end of week elements as low pressure may develop offshore.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for AMZ250-252-254-256.

SYNOPSIS . SHK NEAR TERM . MAS SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . 43 MARINE . MAS/SHK

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	22 mi	47 min	W 8 G 8.9	46°F	55°F		1018 hPa (+2.9)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	24 mi	39 min	W 9.7 G 14	49°F	56°F		1018.6 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	24 mi	37 min			56°F	3 ft
WLON7	29 mi	47 min		46°F	53°F		1018.6 hPa (+2.8)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	33 mi	39 min	WNW 7.8 G 14	53°F	66°F		1018.5 hPa
41064	34 mi	39 min	WNW 7.8 G 14	55°F	66°F		1018 hPa
41159	34 mi	47 min			66°F	5 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	48 mi	47 min	WNW 5.1 G 8	48°F	55°F		1017.9 hPa (+2.4)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

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SW9

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W12 G17

W15 G24

W10 G16

W12 G18

W13 G20

W11 G14

W13 G19

W9 G14

SW10 G13

SW12 G16

W12 G17

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W7 G10

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N9

NE12

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NW2 G5

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SW7 G12

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N19 G24

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NE19 G23

NE14 G19

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N10 G17

N14 G17

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NE17 G22

N15 G21

N12 G15

N10

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N11 G15

N10 G13

N7 G11

N11

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
MCAS New River, NC	18 mi	51 min	WSW 3	10.00 mi	Fair	41°F	39°F	93%	1018 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)

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S4

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SW7 G15

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W15 G23

W13 G20

W17 G24

W8 G16

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W12 G17

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1 day ago

N4

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NW6

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Calm

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SW12 G19

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2 days ago

NE9

NE15 G21

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Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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