Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:18PM Saturday January 18, 2020 7:49 AM PST (15:49 UTC) Moonrise 1:11AMMoonset 12:30PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 257 Am Pst Sat Jan 18 2020
Today..Eastern portion, ne winds around 10 kt this morning. Otherwise, W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, except ne winds around 10 kt eastern portion late. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Sun..Eastern portion, ne winds 10 to 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Western portion, winds variable 10 kt or less becoming W around 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 14 seconds.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 14 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less early, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 5 to 7 ft. Slight chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 20 kt. Winds waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 7 to 9 ft.
PZZ600 257 Am Pst Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 10z or 2 am pst, a 1026 mb high was centered about 200 nm nw of point conception, with a ridge extending to a 1026 mb high in utah. High pressure will strengthen over the great basin this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 181133 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 333 AM PST Sat Jan 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. 18/244 AM.

High pressure will build over the area while weak northeasterly flow develops near the surface. This will result in dry and warmer conditions through Sunday. Some gusty winds will develop over the weekend for eastern Ventura County and northern LA County. For early next week, cloudy and cooler conditions are expected with a chance of light showers on Tuesday.

SHORT TERM (TDY-MON). 18/258 AM.

A weak ridge is overhead with 579 DM hgts. There is about 3 mb of offshore flow from both the east and the north. Skies will be partly cloudy as cirrus clouds drift overhead. The offshore flow will bring some morning sub advisory level canyon breezes. Max temps will warm nicely across the VTA/LA csts/vlys and will come in right at seasonal normals. SBA and SLO counties will see warming but not enough to bring max temps to normal.

The ridge is a little sharper on Sunday although hgts do not change very much. There will be more offshore flow as the Great Basin sfc high increases - look for about 5 mb of offshore flow from both the east and north. There will not be any upper level or thermal support so while the morning canyon winds will flirt with advisory levels they will come in just under. A grip of high level clouds currently to the west of the state will move over the state and it will be a mostly cloudy day. The offshore flow will bring warming to all of the coasts and vlys including the Central Coast. Cst/vly max temps will mostly all be above normal and generally in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

The ridge will move to the east and will be replaced by a trof on Monday. More importantly the gradients will turn onshore. There will still be enough high clouds to call the day mostly cloudy. The switch to onshore flow and the lowering hgts will bring several degrees of cooling to all areas esp the Central Coast.

LONG TERM (TUE-FRI). 18/315 AM.

Not the greatest amount of confidence in Tuesday's forecast. Both the GFS and EC agree that there will be a trof in the area with some dynamics and a little bit of moisture. Mdl solutions are trending dryer with the forecast and both the EC and GFS deterministic solns are pretty dry. Both mdls ensemble spread is pretty large indicating a lack of confidence in the rainfall forecast. Right now it looks like a slight chc/chc of rain but mostly over SLO and SBA counties as well as the north slopes. Rainfall if any will be very light and will not affect much. The clouds and low hgts will make Tuesday the coolest of the next 7.

The rain will taper off Tuesday night and will mostly be confined to the north slopes.

Ridging and offshore follow Tuesday's Trof for Wed and Thu. Looks for some warming and locally breezy conditions. Skies will turn partly cloudy.

The flow flattens out and turns to the NW on Friday. Offshore flow will continue from the north. Max temps will be within a degree of Thursday's readings and will come in very close to seasonal normals.

The EC continues to advertise a little system for next Sunday or Monday while the GFS is now trending drier.

AVIATION. 18/1122Z.

At 11Z at KLAX, there was no inversion or marine layer at KLAX.

Except for some patchy low clouds with IFR conds across interior sections of SLO and SBA Counties through mid morning, VFR conds are expected through the period, with plenty of high clouds.

LAX . High confidence in the 12Z TAF with VFR conds thru the pd. Northeast to east winds are likely thru 17Z or 18Z this morning, and again between 10Z and 18Z Sun, but there is just a 20% chance that these winds will exceed 8 KT.

KBUR . High confidence in the 12Z TAF with VFR conds thru the pd.

MARINE. 18/332 AM.

There is a 20-30% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level NE winds from Ventura to Santa Monica Sunday morning. Otherwise, SCA winds are not expected through at least Tuesday.

SCA level NW winds are likely across the outer waters and northern inner waters Wed, and there is a 40% chance of SCA level winds across at least western portions of the SBA Channel.

There is a 30% chance that seas will reach the SCA 10 foot threshold Sunday thru Monday across the outer waters.

There is high confidence that seas will reach or exceed 10 ft late Mon thru Wed across the outer waters and northern inner waters as a large, long period west to northwest swell overspreads the waters. This will likely result in large breaking waves at the Morro Bay Harbor entrance. Seas could approach 10 ft across the SBA Channel, with large breaking waves affecting Ventura Harbor.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . NONE. PZ . NONE.

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (MON-FRI).

No significant hazards expected.



PUBLIC . Rorke AVIATION . DB MARINE . DB SYNOPSIS . 30

weather.gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi29 min NW 12 G 16 55°F 58°F1023.6 hPa46°F
HRVC1 24 mi49 min 55°F 1023.6 hPa (+0.4)
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi49 min N 15 G 16 50°F 1023.2 hPa (+0.5)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi29 min S 1.9 G 1.9 55°F 56°F1023.8 hPa53°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi73 min 49°F 1023.7 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi19 min 59°F6 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi74 minNNE 410.00 miFair32°F32°F100%1024 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi53 minE 310.00 miFair0°F0°F%0 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi56 minN 010.00 miFair36°F34°F93%1023.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIZA

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W6SW3CalmW5SW3W3SW3CalmE4NE4NE3NE3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmN4Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmSW5S5S10
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CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4SW5W5W7W3CalmCalmE3CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmNE4CalmCalmNE3N4

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:11 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:32 AM PST     5.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:06 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:38 AM PST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:30 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:16 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:37 PM PST     3.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:37 PM PST     1.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.233.94.6554.63.932.11.30.90.91.11.62.22.73.13.12.92.521.71.7

Tide / Current Tables for Cuyler Harbor, San Miguel Island, California
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Cuyler Harbor
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:11 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:26 AM PST     4.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:06 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:35 AM PST     0.82 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:31 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:17 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:31 PM PST     3.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:34 PM PST     1.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.233.94.54.94.94.53.72.821.30.90.81.11.62.22.7332.82.421.71.7

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.