Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:19PM Saturday July 4, 2020 6:56 PM PDT (01:56 UTC) Moonrise 7:15PMMoonset 4:16AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 201 Pm Pdt Sat Jul 4 2020
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the evening, mainly eastern portion.
Sun..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds, building to 4 to 6 ft at 9 seconds in the afternoon.
Sun night..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft at 9 seconds.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 10 seconds.
Mon night..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tue..Western portion, W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..Western portion, nw winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
Thu..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 201 Pm Pdt Sat Jul 4 2020
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 18z, or 11 am pdt, high pressure was over the eastern pacific and a 1008 mb low was south of las vegas. The high will build toward the west coast, causing an extended period of strong nw winds across the northern and outer coastal waters into next week, along with large steep seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 042337 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 437 PM PDT Sat Jul 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. 04/151 PM.

A warming trend will continue through the weekend as high pressure builds aloft. Significant warming is expected inland, with highs 4-10 degrees above normal Sunday before gradual cooling takes place through midweek. Marine layer clouds will be limited to a few coastal areas through Monday, with more widespread low clouds for the coast and some coastal valleys by mid week. Gusty Sundowner winds are expected Sunday night and Monday night.

SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE). 04/147 PM.

Patchy low clouds and fog were noted at a few of the beaches S of Point Conception early this afternoon. Any leftover low clouds should dissipate by mid to late afternoon. Otherwise, sunny skies will prevail across the region for the rest of the day. Onshore gradients (LAX-DAG) are forecast to increase to +6.7 mb late this afternoon which should help to bring breezy to locally gusty S to W winds to the region into early evening, especially for the coast, portions of inland VTU County, and the L.A. County foothills, mtns and deserts.

Temps are forecast to be about 3-8 deg degrees above seasonal norms for many areas this afternoon. Highs in the warmest vlys and lower mtns will be in the 90s to around 100, with the hottest temps in the SLO/SBA County interior vlys and in the Antelope Vly.

Upper level ridging over the region today will persist thru Sun before weakening slightly Mon. H5 heights are expected to be around 590-591 today through Sun, then lower to around 589 dm for Mon. A broad upper level trof over the E Pac will move into CA Mon night and Tue. This will result in H5 heights over the forecast area lowering to 586-589 dm from N to S.

The upper level ridging will help to keep the marine inversion quite shallow thru Mon thanks to heating in the lower levels down to the boundary layer. The inversion depth should be surface- based N of Point Conception and around 700 ft or less S of Point Conception tonight through Sun, with little change expected into Mon. A slight increase in the marine layer depth to about 800-1200 ft can be expected Mon night into Tue morning. Low clouds and locally dense fog should affect just the L.A. County coast tonight into Sun morning. Night and morning low clouds and fog should expand slightly thru early next week, and affect the SBA County Central Coast and the coast of VTU/L.A. Counties by Monday night. Otherwise, mostly clear skies can be expected across the region thru Tue.

Afternoon W-E onshore pressure gradients (LAX-DAG) will increase to around +7.3 mb Sun and +7.7 mb Mon according to the NAM. This will keep afternoon breezy to locally gusty SW-W winds over the coast and in the foothills and mtns mainly over L.A. County, and in the Antelope Vly. There should also continue to be offshore gradient trends for LAX-BFL, SBA-BFL and SBA-SMX during the evening to morning hours tonight thru Tue morning. Offshore flow will persist night and morning hours over SLO/SBA Counties and in northern VTU County during the period. Gusty N canyon winds near Advisory levels can be expected Sun evening and Mon evening for the SBA County S coast and mtns especially W of Goleta. Gusty NW winds at times can also be expected in the mtns along the I-5 corridor tonight into Mon.

Temps are forecast to be about 4-10 deg degrees above seasonal norms for many areas away from the coast Sun, and about 2-6 deg above normal on Mon before cooling to a few degrees below normal on Tue. Highs in the warmest vlys and lower mtns should be in the 90s to around 102 Sun, mostly in the 90s on Mon, and in the mid 80s to lower 90s Tue. The hottest temps Sun will continue to be in the SLO/SBA County interior vlys and Antelope vly.

LONG TERM (WED-SAT). 04/149 PM.

The EC and GFS are in generally good agreement for the extended period. The upper trof will weaken on Wed, then upper level ridging will build back into srn CA Thu thru Sat altho the EC forecasts an even stronger ridge building in compared to the GFS. A blend of the models will result in H5 heights over the forecast area of around 587-589 dm Wed increasing to 592-596 dm by Sat.

The marine inversion should increase to probably 1500-2000 ft deep Wed before lowering again to below 1000 ft deep by Fri. More extensive low clouds and fog are expected Tue night into Wed morning and should affect the coast and many of the vlys. The low clouds and fog should affect most coastal areas Wed night into Thu morning, then shrink in coverage to just the L.A. County coast by Fri night. Otherwise, mostly clear skies will continue across the forecast area Wed thru Sat.

Temps are expected to be several degrees below normal Wed and Thu, then warm to near normal to slightly above normal Fri, and to about 2-5 deg above normal for many areas away from the coast on Sat. Highs in the warmest vlys and lower mtns should reach the 80s to lower 90s Wed and Thu, and in the 90s Fri and Sat except mid 90s to 102 in the Antelope Vly.

AVIATION. 04/2336Z.

At 2335Z, the marine inversion at KLAX was based at 900 feet. The top of the inversion was 2000 feet with a temperature of 26 degrees Celsius.

Overall, moderate to high confidence in 00Z TAF package. High confidence in valley/desert TAFs where CAVU conditions are anticipated through TAF period. For coastal sites, moderate confidence in TAFs as marine layer stratus/fog development tonight will be rather low confidence. There is a 30% chance of LIFR/VLIFR conditions 08Z-16Z across the Central Coast. South of Point Conception, IFR/LIFR conditions likely at KLAX and KLGB between 11Z-17Z, with a 30 percent chance for KSMO/KOXR/KCMA/KSBA.

KLAX . Overall, moderate confidence in 00Z TAF. High confidence in CAVU conditions through this evening. For tonight, moderate confidence in return of CIG/VSBY restrictions, but low confidence in timing (could be +/- 3 hours of current 11Z forecast) and flight category (equal chance of IFR or LIFR). No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR . High confidence in 00Z TAF as CAVU conditions are anticipated through the period.

MARINE. 04/112 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For PZZ670/673, high confidence in Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds and seas through this evening. Also, high confidence in Gale force winds tonight through Monday with a 50% chance of Gale force winds continuing through Tuesday night. For Wednesday and Thursday, high confidence in SCA level winds continuing. For PZZ676, high confidence in SCA level winds developing tonight and continuing through Thursday (with the strongest winds northwest of San Nicolas Island). Additionally, there is a 50% chance of Gale force winds on Tuesday for this zone.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. High confidence in SCA level winds developing this afternoon and continuing through Thursday with the strongest winds during the afternoon and evening hours. There is a 30% chance of Gale force winds on Tuesday.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For a majority of the southern Inner Waters, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels through Thursday. The only exception will be the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel where there is a 50% chance of SCA level winds during the late afternoon through overnight hours Sunday through Thursday.

Patchy dense fog, with visibility one nautical mile or less, will impact the waters south of Point Conception, especially PZZ655 and PZZ676.

There will be dangerous seas across much of the waters thru Tuesday. There will be a combination of a long period south swell thru early next week creating large waves nearshore and hazards to drifting boaters, and a steep large short period swell.

BEACHES. 04/112 PM.

High surf and strong rip currents are expected through early Monday on Southern California beaches. A long-period south swell will peak this afternoon into Sunday at 3 to 4 feet with periods of 16 to 18 seconds. This will bring high surf of 5 to 8 feet to exposed south and southwest facing beaches of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and 8 to 11 feet to exposed Central Coast beaches. The Santa Barbara south coast should have minimal affects from this swell due to blockage from the Channel Islands, but local sets to 5 feet and hazardous rip currents are possible near Rincon Point.

The evening high tides will be quite high today and Sun, generally between 6.5 and 7 feet. High tides will be between 815 and 9 pm PDT this evening and between 9 and 945 pm PDT Sun evening. Within a couple of hours on either side of high tide, there could be minor coastal flooding of beaches and harbor walkways.

Pay attention to beach closures this weekend. In addition to the large surf and dangerous rip currents, dangerous breaking waves from long period waves, similar to this event, have a history of ocean rescues and drownings. Stay off the rocks and jetties near the water's edge.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . High Surf Advisory in effect until noon PDT Monday for zones 34-35-40-41-87. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ . Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 645-676. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Gale Warning in effect from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX).

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (TUE-SAT).

Gusty Sundowner winds are likely Monday night over the Santa Barbara County south coast and mountain which may lead to hazardous driving conditions.



PUBLIC . Sirard AVIATION . GOMBERG MARINE . RAT BEACHES . DB/RAT SYNOPSIS . Sirard

weather.gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi37 min W 18 G 21 60°F 61°F1013.6 hPa56°F
HRVC1 24 mi57 min 60°F 1014.8 hPa (-1.3)
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi57 min N 18 G 19 59°F 1013.8 hPa (-1.5)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 26 mi37 min W 9.7 G 14 63°F 65°F1014.1 hPa61°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi81 min SW 11 G 12 62°F 1013.7 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi61 min 59°F7 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi62 minWSW 1010.00 miFair86°F44°F24%1013.5 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi61 minW 1210.00 mi70°F57°F64%1014.3 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi64 minWSW 610.00 miFair71°F55°F59%1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIZA

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9SW5SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5W5SW11W12W12W13
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1 day agoW9W6W4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W4W3W3SW8
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2 days agoW9W7SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW6SW5SW7SW8SW8SW11W9W10W9

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Sat -- 04:29 AM PDT     -1.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:16 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:04 AM PDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:35 PM PDT     2.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:16 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:44 PM PDT     Full Moon
Sat -- 09:54 PM PDT     6.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.12.40.8-0.4-1.1-1.1-0.50.51.72.83.53.83.63.12.62.12.12.53.44.45.56.26.56.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cuyler Harbor, San Miguel Island, California
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Cuyler Harbor
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:26 AM PDT     -1.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:18 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:55 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:58 AM PDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:32 PM PDT     2.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:16 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:44 PM PDT     Full Moon
Sat -- 09:48 PM PDT     6.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.92.30.7-0.5-1.1-1.1-0.40.61.82.83.53.73.532.52.12.12.53.44.45.46.26.35.9

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.