Emerald Isle, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Emerald Isle, NC


December 9, 2023 6:56 PM EST (23:56 UTC)
Sunrise 7:02AM   Sunset 4:57PM   Moonrise  3:35AM   Moonset 2:32PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 437 Pm Est Sat Dec 9 2023
.gale warning in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning...
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds, decreasing to 4 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy late. A slight chance of showers early this evening. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..S winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough in the afternoon. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Mon..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 5 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 437 Pm Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. High pressure is offshore today. A strong cold front will track across the region late Sunday bringing strong southerly winds and widespread showers. High pressure then builds back in behind the departing front on Monday bringing fair weather back to enc next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Emerald Isle, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 092130 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 430 PM EST Sat Dec 9 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure pushes offshore today out ahead of a strong cold front. This cold front will then track across the region late Sunday bringing strong southerly winds and widespread showers.
Brief strong westerly/northwesterly winds will follow behind the front. High pressure then builds back in behind the departing front on Monday bringing fair weather back to ENC into the end of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 0400 PM Sat...The proverbial calm before the storm today as above average temps and fair weather observed across the CWA. Upper level pattern is denoted by ridging aloft pushing offshore as an upper level trough sweeps across the Plains. At the surface, ridge of high pressure has pushed offshore while a cold front stretching from the Great Lakes SW'wards to Mississippi tracks east and gets into the Tennessee River Valley by tonight.

Winds are light and south/southeasterly as the high pressure offshore dominates the wind field. Weak coastal trough has moved further offshore, lowering sky cover along coastal regions going into the evening. Cloud cover will continue to decrease through the evening along the coast, with some clouds building in along the northwestern regions of our CWA with offshore later this afternoon and evening resulting in partly cloudy skies across ENC by tonight. Temperatures are at their high for the day, with current observations showing low 70s for the mainland and mid-upper 60s along the OBX.

Tonight's lows are expected to be fairly warm due to the WAA present, with mid-upper 50s inland and low 60s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/
As of 0400 PM Sat...As the upper level trough and associated cold front continues to approach from the west Sunday, sky cover and PoPs will build in from the west. We will be firmly in the warm sector on Sunday, with the high to our east and the low to our northwest funneling warm, moist air with south/southeasterly flow. Some showers and a few thunderstorms could advect onshore from the gulf stream in the afternoon and evening, but storm structure should weaken significantly before reaching the coast due to sufficiently cold nearshore waters. The marginal tornado threat from waterspouts approaching land will likely be during our time in the warm sector, as the heavy precipitation along the cold front later in the day will have more of a wind threat with it. Severe potential is highest along and east of hwy 17, and south of hwy 264 where thunderstorm from the gulf stream could move onshore with the southeasterly flow.

Winds from the pinched pressure gradient will be gusting to 15-25kts inland, 20-30kts along the coast and inland rivers, and 25-40kts along the sounds and coastal waters by Sunday evening, increasing into Sunday night.

Temperatures will be similar to today with the continued WAA, although a bit higher for coastal regions with low 70s forecasted throughout the CWA. It will be much more humid, with Tds rising to the mid-upper 60s during the afternoon and evening ahead of the cold front, coinciding with the timing of tornado potential in the warm sector.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 PM Sat...

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cold front to bring heavy rain, strong winds, and possibly an isolated, brief tornado or damaging wind gust Sunday evening

2) Turning cold and dry next week

FORECAST DETAILS

The main focus in the long term period continues to be the strong cold front that is forecast to move through the length of the US East Coast Sunday/Sunday night. This front will move through the region as a potent shortwave lifts northeast across the Southeast US/Mid-Atlantic States.

As we shift to Sunday night, the strongest core of the 50+ kt LLJ will move overhead, with continued gusty winds, especially near the coast with winds briefly reaching wind advisory criteria. Showers will be widespread by this point, though instability is expected to be very limited with the loss of the modest daytime heating and overturning of the atmosphere, keeping the severe threat low and highest along the immediate coast. The stronger convective elements will bring the potential for some localized flooding, locally damaging wind gusts or potentially a brief waterspout moving onshore as a tornado through the early morning hours.

The front will cross the area before dawn Monday, but ample 850 mb post frontal moisture will keep the potential for widely scattered showers in the forecast through Monday morning. By midday, strong upper subsidence develops, and drying conditions emerge with strong surface CAA ongoing.

High pressure building in from the west keeps cool and dry conditions in place through the first half of the work week, with reinforcing high pressure arriving Wednesday, keeping cool and dry conditions in place into the weekend. The next system could arrive next weekend, but there is far to much variability in guidance to provide much in terms of details at this range.

AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Sunday/
As of 0200 PM Saturday
Pred VFR conditions remain forecast through much of the period, with sub-VFR conditions moving in early Sunday morning with the approach of a strong cold front. The mix of mid and high level clouds that has been moving across the area should begin to decrease as the influence from the coastal trough lessens over the next few hours. As we get into tonight, ceilings begin to lower and clouds begin to thicken from west to east as a cold front approaches from the west. MVFR ceilings begin to overspread the western terminals (ISO/PGV) by early Sunday morning with the eastern terminals and points east following shortly thereafter. Rain showers with scattered thunderstorms are possible Sunday, with IFR visibilities and wind gusts above 40kts possible in any thunderstorms that develop. Large scale winds outside of any thunderstorm influence will be predominantly southerly around 5kts inland through tonight, increasing to 10-15G20-25kts by 18Z Sunday as the pressure gradient tightens between the high to our east and the low to our northwest.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 3 PM Sat...Gusty S to SW winds through Sunday evening, with widespread moderate to heavy rainfall and some stronger storms possible. A strong cold front will cross early Monday morning, bringing an abrupt wind shift to NW, with continued rainfall bringing the potential for sub- VFR through sunrise Monday. High pressure builds in from the west later Monday through much of the coming week, spelling the return of prevailing VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 0430 PM Saturday... Obs continue to show fair conditions across our waters this afternoon with widespread 5-10 kt S-SE'rly winds and 2-3 ft seas across the area. As we get into tonight, conditions begin to deteriorate as a cold front approaches from the west. This will tighten the pressure gradient allowing S'rly winds to increase to 10-20 kts with gusts in excess of 25 kts across our coastal waters. In response to this, seas will also begin to build closer to 3-5 ft as well tonight. Further increases in winds and seas are forecast for Sunday as well.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 3 PM Sat...A strong cold front will bring very dangerous marine conditions Sunday night. 50+ kt LLJ will mix most efficiently to the surface over the warmer waters near the gulf stream, with gales beginning Sunday afternoon for the coastal waters mainly beyond 10 nm offshore near and south of Cape Hatteras. Then, Sunday evening, widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will assist with mixing across the cooler waters, and frequent strong S to SW wind gusts (30-40 kt) are possible across all waters. A strong cold front will cross the waters early Monday morning, with winds abruptly shifting NW and remaining gusty. Seas steadily build through the day Sunday, peaking at a very dangerous 8-14+ ft Sunday night in mainly very rough southerly windswell early Monday morning.

The gradient will gradually diminish through the day Monday, with much improved conditions through much of the coming week as high pressure persistently builds in from the west. Seas drop steadily through the day Monday as the southerly windswell dissipates, with 4-6 ft seas by Monday night.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Wind Advisory from 7 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for NCZ047- 081-196-203>205.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 7 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ131- 135>137-150-230-231.
Gale Warning from 4 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ152- 154-156-158.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
41064 21 mi109 min SSE 12G16 68°F 70°F30.2265°F
41159 21 mi61 min 70°F3 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 23 mi57 min SSE 8G9.9 62°F 57°F30.20
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 26 mi57 min SSE 8.9G9.9 62°F 30.24
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi109 min SE 7.8G12 69°F 69°F30.2166°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi169 min ESE 5.8G7.8 63°F 60°F30.1959°F
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 46 mi61 min 60°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi57 min SE 8G8 63°F 60°F30.19

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Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KNJM BOGUE FIELD MCALF,NC 13 sm59 minENE 039 sm--66°F57°F73%30.23
KMRH MICHAEL J SMITH FIELD,NC 24 sm58 minSSE 0710 smPartly Cloudy64°F57°F77%30.22

Wind History from NJM
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
   
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Bogue Inlet
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Sat -- 03:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:26 AM EST     2.30 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:51 AM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:32 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:40 PM EST     1.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:40 PM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bogue Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
1.2
2
am
1.7
3
am
2.1
4
am
2.3
5
am
2.3
6
am
2
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.9
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.7
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.1



Tide / Current for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
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Sat -- 03:34 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:00 AM EST     1.68 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:50 PM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:31 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:14 PM EST     1.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.1
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.9
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.7
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.8
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
0.9
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.3




Weather Map
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Morehead City, NC,



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