Tuesday, September17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Emerald Isle, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 7:13PM Tuesday September 17, 2019 4:39 PM EDT (20:39 UTC) Moonrise 8:22PMMoonset 8:48AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 321 Pm Edt Tue Sep 17 2019
.gale warning in effect from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft. Seas near shore 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 30 kt, with frequent gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Wed night..NE winds 20 to 30 kt with frequent gusts to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Thu night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Sat..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Emerald Isle, NC
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location: 34.51, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 171915
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
315 pm edt Tue sep 17 2019

Synopsis
Hurricane humberto is forecast to move east-northeast well
southeast of the area the next several days. Although no direct
impacts are expected with humberto, rough marine conditions and
strong rip currents are expected to continue this week. A cold
front will continue to cross the area this evening followed by
strong high pressure building in from the north and northeast
though the end of the week bringing the first touch of fall
weather to the area.

Near term through tonight
As of 245 pm tue... Latest sfc analysis shows ill defined cold
front across the area this afternoon, which will continue to
sink southward this evening as strong high pressure centered
over northern quebec builds southward. High pressure will
continue to build in from the north tonight, as humberto moves
eastward away from the us coast. Latest radar imagery shows
isolated shower slowly drifting southward through the western
albemarle sound, towards martin and wash counties this
afternoon. Expect any showers to be very isolated the next few
hours. Very pleasant night expected as much drier and cooler air
filters in, with dewpts dropping into the upr 50 and lower 60s
most spots. Under pc to mclr skies expect comfortable lows
around 60 NW to upr 60s lower 70s central SRN beaches.

Short term Wednesday
As of 245 pm tue... Strong high pressure will continue to build
in from the north, while TC humberto continues to move E NE well
offshore of the us coast. Gradient will tighten between the
high and humberto, bring gusty NE winds ESP along the coast.

Much drier airmass will continue to filter into the area with
pwats dropping below one inch. Much cooler and fall-like temps
expected as low level NE flow continues. Highs in the low mid
70s along the beaches and mid to upper 70s inland, with
dewpoints mainly in the 50s. An isolated shower will be possible
along the coast during the afternoon and evening, but not
enough coverage to warrant pops at this time. Wind gusts 35-40
mph possible along the outer banks during the afternoon and
evening.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 315 pm tue... TC humberto will bring indirect coastal
impacts to E nc through the end of the week, though high
pressure will build in bringing pleasant sensible weather to the
region with below climo temps for a change. By the weekend the
upper ridge will shift directly over the eastern seaboard with
longwave troughing setting up over the central plains, and temps
moderating back to near normal, then above normal by early next
week with building upr ridge.

Wednesday night through Thursday... Strong high pressure builds
in from the north through the end of the week while humberto
continues to track ene across the western atlantic. Tight
pressure gradient between these systems will continue to bring
breezy northeast winds and a cooler and drier airmass that will
give us a first hint of fall. Winds still quite gusty on the obx
where gradient is maximized Wed night and should see winds
gusting to 35-45 mph first half of the night. Continued favoring
highs on the cooler side of guidance for thu, resulting in a
forecast of 70s area wide. This in line with low lvl thicknesses
around 1360-1370m to support the coolest day being Thursday.

Trended with lowest MOS guide and even slightly below, as clr
skies, calm to light winds, and dry air mass allow for ideal
radiational cooling regime with lows in the low mid 50s interior
zones to the 60s on the beaches where proximity to the still
warm waters and decent breezes keep temps quite a bit warmer.

Friday through Saturday... Highs moderate a bit on Fri with a
rise in low lvl thicknesses supporting readings in the mid upr
70s interior to low mid 70s obx. Another chilly night Fri night
with sfc high directly overhead providing clr skies and calm
winds, with lows in the low mid 50s away from the beaches, to
low 60s along the coast. High temps moderate back to near climo
in the low mid 80s inland to upr 70s obx, though with the
continued very dry airmass (tds in the 50s) it will still feel
very pleasant.

Sunday through Tuesday... Return swrly flow continue to moderate
temps back to climo and above, with highs in the mid 80s, and
lows moderating back into the 60s. It will continue to be dry
however with upr ridge holding strong over the SE conus,
although guidance suggests that ridge will eventually break down
with longwave troughing ejecting out of the central u.S.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 245 pm tue... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period. Drier air will continue to filter into the area tonight
and Wednesday. This combined with light to moderate NE flow
should limit and fog or stratus threat overnight. NE wind gusts
15-25 kt expected Wed afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm tue... Strong high pressure builds in mid to late
week with humberto passing well offshore bringing continued
gusty winds Wed night and thur, ESP during the afternoon when
mixing is maximized. Otherwise, good flying conditions with
mainly sunny skies and lower humidities preventing widespread
fog formation through late week. With calm winds expected this
weekend there may be patchy light fg br each morning.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 245 pm tue... Latest obs show NE winds 15-25 kt with seas
4-6 ft north of oregon inlet and 5-8 ft south. Strong NE winds
and dangerous seas will continue through the period. High
pressure will continue to build in from the north through
Wednesday, as gradient tightens between the high and tc
humberto. Wind wave combined with long period swells from
distant humberto will allow dangerous seas to build. NE winds
15-25 kt will increase to 20-30 kt Wed afternoon and evening.

Seas 4-8 ft this afternoon continue to build and peak at 6-13 ft
wed evening, highest across the outer central waters. Main
change this afternoon was to upgrade SCA to gale warning for the
pamlico sound, and coastal waters south of oregon inlet with
winds peaking Wed afternoon into the first part of Wed night.

Expect winds 25-30 kt with frequent gusts to 35 kt. The northern
waters may see some gale force gusts as well, but will keep
strong SCA there at this time. Also added pamlico pungo rvrs to
sca for gusty winds Wed afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm tue... SCA conditions expected through much of the
long term with gusty nerly winds, dangerously large seas as
combined swells from TC humberto and pressure gradient between
building high pressure and humberto well offshore impact the
waters.

Continued gales first half of Wed night as gradient will be
maximized, then winds slowly diminish through Thursday,
decreasing to less than 25 kt by thur morning for sounds and
rivers. Seas will remain quite high through the end of the week
into the weekend as long period swell continues to only slowly
subside. Seas should subside below 6 ft all waters by sat
evening.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 245 pm tue... Longer period swells from TC humberto will
lead to a high threat of rip currents this week. In addition to
the swells, strong NE winds will develop this evening into thu
as strong high pres builds in from the ne. These winds combined
with the swells will produce large seas likely AOA 10 feet over
portions of the coastal wtrs. With waves heights in surf zone
expected to build to 8 ft later tonight will continue high surf
advisory from CAPE lookout n. The high surf will cont thru the
end of the week and may see some overwash in vulnerable
locations during high tides. Minor water level rises are likely
for soundside locations adjacent to the southern pamlico sound
and neuse rvrs in craven and carteret Wed afternoon into wed
night. Mainly impacting downeast carteret and areas along the
neuse river with persistent strong NE winds. Will hold off on
advisory at this time.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz195-
196-199-203>205.

High surf advisory from 11 pm this evening to 8 pm edt Friday
for ncz196-203>205.

Marine... Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to midnight edt
Wednesday night for amz136.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Thursday for amz131-137-
230-231.

Gale warning from 2 pm Wednesday to 1 am edt Thursday for
amz135-152-154-156-158.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Tl ms
aviation... Cqd ms
marine... Cqd ms
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 21 mi31 min ENE 21 G 29 81°F 82°F1012.6 hPa
41159 21 mi39 min 82°F9 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 23 mi57 min NNE 15 G 19 82°F 83°F1014.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 26 mi39 min NNE 22 G 27 80°F 1013.3 hPa (-0.4)71°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi31 min NE 19 G 25 80°F 82°F1011.7 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi31 min ENE 14 G 18 82°F 82°F1012.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 46 mi29 min 82°F5 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi57 min ENE 15 G 18 83°F 84°F1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC13 mi42 minNE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F68°F55%1013.9 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC24 mi1.7 hrsNE 12 G 2210.00 miA Few Clouds84°F69°F61%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8NE8NE6NE7NE5NE5N6N10N9NE6NE7NE5N7NE5NE5NE7NE9NE11
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1 day agoE8SE7E4E4E4E3NE4NE4N5NE3NE4CalmNE3N7N6N7N10NE9NE10NE10NE10NE11E10NE9
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E6NE3NE4NE4CalmNE3E4CalmCalmNE3NE4NE5NE4NE3NE4NE4E5SE7SE9E9SE9E10

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
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Tue -- 03:58 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:14 AM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:31 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:28 PM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.40.90.50.40.611.52.12.52.72.62.31.81.30.80.60.60.81.21.72.22.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:00 AM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:21 PM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.20.90.60.40.20.30.40.71.11.41.51.51.41.10.80.60.40.30.40.60.91.2

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.