Monday, June21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Burgaw, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:27PM Monday June 21, 2021 2:44 AM EDT (06:44 UTC) Moonrise 4:09PMMoonset 2:15AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1250 Am Edt Mon Jun 21 2021
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Rest of tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Mon..Tropical storm conditions possible. W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..Tropical storm conditions possible. SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..Tropical storm conditions possible. SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely. Tstms likely.
Tue night..Tropical storm conditions possible. SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Tstms and showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Tstms and showers in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1250 Am Edt Mon Jun 21 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Elevated winds and seas will continue tonight into Mon as tropical cyclone claudette impacts the area. It is expected to move off the outer banks and offshore by midday today. A cold front will affect the area Tuesday into Wednesday followed by an overall improving weather, ocean and wind conditions during the mid to late week period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burgaw, NC
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location: 34.58, -77.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 210635 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 235 AM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. Claudette will bring heavy rain and isolated tornados overnight into Monday morning. After a one day break Monday another round of heavy rain returns Tuesday. Cooler air will move in on Wednesday with just a slow recovery Tuesday. The latter part of the week and weekend look seasonable with the normal June scattering of thunderstorms.

UPDATE. What could be the final organized line of convection (although in reality there have been only a couple) according to some high resolution guidance is currently moving southwest to northeast across the area. Will wait until a bit later to make wholesale changes to pops, FFA (may remove early) and perhaps other fields.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. The first 12 to 18 hours of the forecast will be dominated by the effects of Claudette with showers and wind through about daybreak Monday. In the wake of the TC, expect isolated showers and storms Monday and Monday night due to minimal forcing and slightly drier air over the area. Moisture will return Monday night on SW flow ahead of an advancing cold with the possibility of a shower or storm toward daybreak Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT/. PW values surge as high as 2.2" Tuesday ahead of a surface cold front and upper trough. Not surprising then to see some strong convective signals in model guidance indicating the chance for some heavy rainfall. SPC is also highlighting the area for a Marginal Risk in their Day 3 Convective Outlook. There are some timing differences that will affect the available instability. Even with meager instability some wet microbursts should be possible given the copious deep layer moisture.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A wedge of high pressure builds in from the north Wednesday; some places struggling to hit 80 as they sky remains overcast. Partial sunshine returns Thursday as the ridge weakens. Both days represent a challenging rainfall forecast as moisture appears to be shunted off the coast but many models are still showing POPs both days . as a result have lowered forecast values. Friday also not quite as depicted by model guidance as a weak warm front moves through but with little support for ascent aloft. Thunderstorms will likely have fairly normal coverage for the season over the weekend as a few shortwaves traverse the area while Atlantic high pressure continues to supply moisture.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. MVFR/IFR conditions to start this 24 hr period. As tropical cyclone Claudette exits NE of the area by sunrise and to off the Outer Banbs by midday. Look for improving conditions to dominant VFR by mid to late this morning. Low and mid level clouds should clear out by mid-morning leaving just high level moisture and subsidence across the FA thru 06Z Tue. Winds generally will run WSW-SW 10-15 kt this morning and 10-20 kt with gusts to 25+ kt this aftn.

Extended Outlook . Convection with periodic MVFR/IFR, late Tue Night will slide just off the Carolina Coasts come early Wed. MVFR/IFR ceilings are possible Wed after the CFP but should improve and clear out inland. Mainly VFR Thu thru Fri.

MARINE. Through Monday night . expect frisky conditions through the period with tropical storm conditions expected tonight into Monday before and approaching cold front ramps SW flow back up to about SCA levels by Monday evening. Seas are expected to build tonight to about 5 to 8 FT by midnight then fall slightly during Monday, though 4 to 6 footers could continue into Monday night.

Tuesday through Friday . Southwesterly prefrontal winds Tuesday and Tuesday night may be sufficient to keep advisory-worthy 6 ft seas in the area. An abrupt veer with FROPA is slated for Wednesday morning so even as predominant wave heights fall below criteria there will be a transition to a shorter period, steeper sea state. Uncommon NE winds Wednesday night as high pressure wedges in from the north, followed by a gradual weakening trend on Thursday. Southerly component returns by Friday and with speeds that will allow predominant wave heights to continue to abate. Spectral plots are showing a very long period 1 ft swell as early as Wednesday but given its small stature will likely be more of a beach hazard than a boating hazard.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for SCZ054-056. Tropical Storm Watch for SCZ054-056. NC . Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ106-108. Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ106-108-110. High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ110. MARINE . Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ250-252-254-256.

SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . SHK/31 NEAR TERM . 31 SHORT TERM . mbB LONG TERM . mbB AVIATION . DCH MARINE .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi57 min SSW 17 G 21 75°F 78°F1008.3 hPa
WLON7 26 mi57 min 74°F 81°F1008.7 hPa
MBNN7 28 mi45 min SW 6 G 8.9 74°F 1008.2 hPa (-2.7)
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 30 mi97 min WSW 21 G 31 76°F 78°F1009.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 30 mi38 min 78°F5 ft
MBIN7 34 mi45 min WSW 6 G 9.9 74°F 1007.6 hPa (-2.9)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 46 mi37 min SSW 25 G 35 75°F 79°F1009.4 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC19 mi49 minSSW 910.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity Rain73°F72°F96%1009.1 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi49 minSW 7 G 167.00 miLight Rain73°F72°F96%1008.8 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi52 minSSW 710.00 miLight Rain75°F73°F94%1008.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOAJ

Wind History from OAJ (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE54S7S433E646SE8S6S6S5S5S5S6S5S3

Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:43 AM EDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:56 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:53 PM EDT     1.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:07 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.41.10.80.60.30.100.20.611.31.31.210.70.40.20-0.100.40.9

Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
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Mon -- 03:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:06 AM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:44 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.41.11.92.62.82.72.31.710.4-0-0.10.31.12.133.63.73.42.821.20.5

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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