Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bogue, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 4:57PM Sunday December 8, 2019 1:04 AM EST (06:04 UTC) Moonrise 2:56PMMoonset 3:20AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 955 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Overnight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely.
Mon..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 5 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bogue, NC
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location: 34.68, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 080253 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 953 PM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in through Sunday. A warm front will move north through the area Sunday night into Monday. A strong cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High pressure will build north of the area through late next week, with another system likely impacting the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 950 PM Sat . High pressure to the north will continue to ridge down the East Coast tonight with continued strong north/northeast flow. Skies will remain clear, and winds may decouple far inland, which will lead to a chilly night. Expect lows to reach the upper 20s to low 30s over the coastal plain, and then low to mid 30s farther east, and 40s along the coast and Outer Banks.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 3 PM Saturday . Shortwave ridging will continue to migrate over the area with surface high pressure continuing to ridge into the area as it pushes off the New England coast. As the high moves eastward, a coastal trough will back toward the area through the day and will see increasing clouds through the afternoon with isolated showers possibly moving onshore late in the day, mainly south of highway 70. With CAA waning, temps will be a few degrees warmer than today with highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s, warmest near the coast.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 240 PM Sat . Unsettled weather is likely for Sunday night through Wednesday morning as deep moisture returns ahead of a deep upper trough and associated strong surface cold front. High pressure will build north of the area mid to late next week, with another system likely impacting ENC next weekend.

Sunday night through Wednesday . High pressure will continue to move east into the Atlantic Sunday night, as a weak coastal trough/warm front develops along the SE coast. This system will lift north across the area as a warm front Sunday night into Mon and produce widespread showers, especially east of Highway 17 due to a combination of a deepening mid-level trough, mid- level shortwave energy and precipitable water values that will increase to 1.25 inches or better. The rain is expected taper off inland Mon morning and coastal areas Late Mon with a period of mainly dry weather expected Mon night and Tue. More widespread shower activity is expected again Tuesday night into early Wed. With increasing southerly flow, high temperatures will be above normal Monday and Tuesday. Highs Monday will be around 70 with middle 70s possible Tuesday. Some guidance shows areas along Hwy 17 climbing into the low 80s Tue afternoon. The strong cold front will push through the area late Tue night into early Wednesday. Temps will come crashing down into the 50s behind the front Wed afternoon.

Wednesday night through Saturday . Strong high pressure will build in from the north with much cooler and drier air Wed night and Thursday with highs Thu only in the 40s. Widespread lows near or below freezing both Thursday and Friday mornings. Models continue to show a stronger frontal system impacting the area next weekend. Still a week out with quite a bit uncertainty but the GFS and ECMWF are in pretty good agreement showing a warm front pushing through ENC Friday night, with sfc low lifting through the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday. Widespread moderate to heavy showers will be possible. Depending on how this evolves there will also be the potential for strong to severe storms.

AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Sunday Evening/ . As of 950 PM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through most of the TAF period. Tonight skies will remain clear and winds will become light. Continued flow of dry air will keep any fog from forming. Then tomorrow, a coastal trough will develop, with chances for showers increasing along the coast during the day, and then pushing further north and west late tomorrow. Expect some MVFR ceilings to develop with these showers by late tomorrow afternoon.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 240 PM Sat . Unsettled weather is expected Sunday night through Wednesday morning with gusty winds, scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR conditions likely.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Sunday/ . As of 950 PM Saturday . High pressure will continue to ridge into the area through tonight, then a coastal trough will back into the waters Sunday. NE winds around 15-25 kt will gradually diminish overnight through Sunday morning, then winds become E to SE around 10-15 kt during the afternoon as the coastal trough pushes into the area. Seas around 4-7 ft through this early tonight diminish to 3-5 ft by Sunday afternoon.

Extended SCA for northern waters through 1 AM as seas have been slower than expected to subside. SCA's continue through tomorrow morning for the Pamlico Sound, and all other coastal waters.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 240 PM Sat . Still no changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the end of next week which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. Sunday night SE winds 15-20 kt will increase to 20-30 kt becoming S Mon with a potential for Gales over the central waters. Mon night through Tue evening SW winds are forecast 20-25 kt. Winds will shift N/NW 15-25 kt behind the front late Wed night and continue through Thu. Seas will remain AOA 6 ft, peaking at 8-12 ft Mon afternoon and evening.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SK LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . JME/SGK MARINE . JME/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 20 mi52 min NNE 11 G 15 43°F 53°F1029.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 28 mi64 min NNE 16 G 21 46°F 1029 hPa (+0.3)42°F
41064 33 mi56 min ENE 21 G 27 51°F 64°F1027.7 hPa
41159 33 mi34 min 64°F6 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC1 mi67 minN 610.00 miFair41°F34°F76%1030 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi70 minNNE 1010.00 miFair42°F33°F71%1029.7 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi66 minNNE 710.00 miFair43°F36°F76%1029.2 hPa
MCAS New River, NC22 mi68 minN 610.00 miFair38°F30°F76%1030 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N5N6N7NE10NE18
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S6W4W5SW5CalmCalm3N6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW4W5W4W6NW5NW6NW4NW9N8N8
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W12NW10W8W8NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:20 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:30 AM EST     2.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:49 AM EST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:42 PM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:45 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.11.622.22.221.61.10.70.40.30.50.81.31.71.921.81.410.50.20.1

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:31 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:19 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:37 AM EST     1.29 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:18 PM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:54 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:49 PM EST     1.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.30.50.81.11.31.31.210.70.50.30.20.20.40.60.91.11.11.10.90.60.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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