Saturday, March28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bogue, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:27PM Saturday March 28, 2020 11:26 PM EDT (03:26 UTC) Moonrise 8:27AMMoonset 10:28PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 949 Pm Edt Sat Mar 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Sunday night...
Overnight..SW winds around 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Patchy fog late.
Sun..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sun night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Showers likely.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bogue, NC
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location: 34.68, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 290150 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 950 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will approach the area tomorrow with limited moisture and push through tomorrow night. High pressure returns early next week. An area of low pressure will lift along the NC coast Tuesday night and strengthen off the Mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday. High pressure will build over the area late next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 950 PM Sat . After a record shattering afternoon, temperatures remain very warm across the area, ranging from the upper 70s inland to the upper 60s along the coast. Quiet weather expected overnight as deep southwesterly flow continues between a large low pressure system over the lower Missouri Valley, and high pressure off the SE coast. Breezy conditions and periods of high clouds moving across the area will keep conditions mild overnight, with lows only expected in the mid to upper 60s.

Still a chance for some sea fog again tonight, but think stronger winds should limit widespread formation . though confidence is low.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 330 PM Sat . The cold front is expected to be over the TN Valley by morning, while the area is in a deep warm southern flow. The main story for tomorrow will be how warm it will be; with possible record-breaking temps. Temperatures are forecasted to reach the low 90s inland with upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.

Also, models continue to show the moisture associated with the cold front to diminish as the cold front moves over the Appalachian Mtns. resulting in no precip across ENC. Though the area will be unstable as CAPE values will reach btw 1500-2000 J/kg and shear increasing to AOA 45kt, the area can get an isolated shower, but not enough to add a POP into the forecast at this time. Overall, expect very warm weather with partly cloudy conditions.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As 3 AM Sat . A cold front with limited moisture will move through the region Sunday evening. Low pressure will lift along/near the NC coast Tuesday night, pushing offshore Wednesday. High pressure will build over the area late week. Above normal temps will continue Sunday, then near climo Tue through late week.

Sunday night through Monday . Slightly cooler conditions expected Monday behind the front. As a result of little to no CAA behind the front temperatures should once again climb into the 80s for some spots, and mid to upper 70s everywhere.

Tuesday through Friday . Miller type B cyclogenesis is expected on Tue over South Carolina with the parent low tracking across the Ohio Valley. This is response to a potent mid level trough moving across the Midwest US. The developing low is forecast to track northeast along the NC coast Tue night into Wed then continue to deepen Wed afternoon off of the Mid-Atlantic coast. Widespread rainfall is expected late Tue afternoon into Wednesday morning. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible Tuesday night with PWATs approaching 1.5". Will continue likely pops. Bulk of precip should be ending by Wed afternoon with lighter wrap around moisture from the offshore low possible across the area through Wed night. Highs Tue and Wed will be in the low to upper 60s and upper 50s to low 60s along the Outer Banks. Drier wx with temps near climo expected Thu and Fri as high pressure builds in from the west.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Sunday Evening/ . As of 700 PM Sat . VFR conditions expected through the TAF period, as skies remain mostly clear aside from periods of high cirrus clouds. Winds will remain elevated and gusty at times, especially tomorrow when 20-25 kt winds are possible.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . Pred VFR conditions expected through Tuesday morning. A cold front with limited moisture will move through the region Sunday evening. Developing low pressure will approach the area from the southwest late Tue producing widespread rain and occasional sub-VFR conditions. Best chance for widespread sub-VFR conditions will be Tue night into Wed.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 700 PM . Winds will increase this evening as the gradient tightens between the high pressure over the coastal waters and the low pressure system over the Central Plains. Expect SW winds to increase to 20-25 kts overnight. Seas will build 4-6 ft south of Oregon Inlet with possible 7 ft over the central waters late tonight. As the cold front approaches the area from the west Sunday, SW winds will remain 15-25 knots tomorrow and peaking 20-25 kt tomorrow afternoon and early evening. Seas will remain elevated during this period. SCAs are in effect for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet, and the Pamlico Sound, and will go into effect tomorrow for the northern coastal waters.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . The cold front will cross the waters Sunday night with winds becoming NW 15-20 kt. Seas Sunday will build from 4-6 ft early to 5-8 ft in the afternoon and evening, then subside to 3-5 ft early Mon. SCA conditions expected to continue into Sunday night and early Monday morning. Will likely need to reissue for the Pamlico Sound and maybe the northern waters. As high pressure builds over the waters Mon, NW winds 10-20 kt will become W 10-15 kt. Seas 3-5 ft Mon subsiding to 2-4 ft. Confidence is low but could see a brief period of SCA conditions develop Monday night into Tue, as sfc low strengthens to the north and gradient tightens between low and approaching system. N/NE winds will increase to 15-20 kt with seas building to 3-5 ft. Tue ahead of developing low pressure to the southwest, NE winds 10-20 will veer to the E 10-15 kt. An area of low pressure will lift along the NC coast Tuesday night and strengthen off the Mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday. Strong northerly winds 20-30 kt will develop Wed and continue into Wed night. A brief period of gale force winds will be possible Wed and/or Wed night depending on exact track and strength of low. 6 ft+ seas could develop across the waters Tue night peaking late Wed and Wed night.

CLIMATE. Record High temperatures possible Saturday 3/28

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 84/2007 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 77/1994 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 88/1929 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 85/2012 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 98/1907 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 86/2007 (KNCA ASOS)

Record High temperatures possible Sunday 3/29

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 88/1985 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 79/2012 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 90/1985 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 84/2012 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 91/1910 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 89/1985 (KNCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM to 11 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . CQD/SGK MARINE . CQD/BM CLIMATE . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 20 mi57 min SW 5.1 G 11 66°F 65°F1015.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 28 mi87 min SW 11 G 17 68°F 1015.5 hPa (+1.3)68°F
41064 33 mi79 min SW 16 G 21 69°F 63°F1015.2 hPa
41159 33 mi57 min 63°F6 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC1 mi90 minWSW 11 G 177.00 miFair67°F64°F91%1015.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi33 minSW 17 G 2210.00 miFair72°F64°F79%1015.2 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi89 minSW 97.00 miFair67°F66°F97%1015.3 hPa
MCAS New River, NC22 mi31 minSSW 510.00 miFair70°F60°F71%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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2 days agoN7N6
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Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:56 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:55 AM EDT     2.10 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:54 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:11 PM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.71.20.70.40.30.40.71.21.722.121.61.10.70.40.30.40.81.31.82.22.3

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:41 AM EDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:25 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:02 PM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.41.210.80.50.30.10.20.30.60.91.11.21.110.70.50.30.20.20.30.61

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.