Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 8:02PM Monday August 10, 2020 3:11 PM EDT (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 11:00PMMoonset 11:44AM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 100 Pm Edt Mon Aug 10 2020
This afternoon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop late. Isolated showers and tstms.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Scattered showers with isolated tstms after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Scattered showers. Isolated tstms in the morning, then scattered tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Beach, NC
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location: 34.7, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 101700 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 100 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in from the Atlantic through the rest of the week. Broad and weak troughing will develop inland mid to late week.

NEAR TERM /This Afternoon/. As of 1 PM Mon . Convection has begun to develop on an active sea breeze boundary, so no changes to high chc scatterd pops for mainly inland zones this afternoon. Convection may develop in more widespread clusters later, but uncertainty in where so will not raise to likelies attm.

Prev discussion . As of 10 AM Mon . No big changes with AM update. Still expecting a fairly active sea breeze to develop this afternoon, am some places may need to be upgraded with likely pops, but coverage extent still remains uncertain and will remain capped at 40% for now.

Prev discussion . As of 715 AM Monday . A few isolated showers near the Outer Banks are the only noteworthy features on radar this morning, and mainly sunny skies have emerged for most with the sunrise. No significant changes made with the sunrise forecast.

Previous Discussion . Weak zonal flow aloft with Bermuda high pressure building in from the south and east and subtle surface troughing inland. Overall, expect a typically summer day, not unlike Sunday in terms of temps or storm coverage. Sunny skies through the morning for most will allow temps to climb to near 90 by early afternoon away from the beaches. Scattered storms will develop along the sea breeze initially by mid-afternoon, the push inland with the sea breeze and outflow boundary collisions by late afternoon, with coverage decreasing with the loss of daytime heating in the evening. Storm motion remains very slow, around 10 kt or less, so localized flooding issues are possible, but most storms will struggle to maintain updrafts long enough in the low shear environment to mount much of a prolonged heavy rain of severe weather threat.

SHORT TERM /Tonight/. As of 4 AM Monday . Mainly dry conditions prevail overnight with weak upper level subsidence continuing. Light S to SW flow along the coast will likely decouple inland. If skies remain clear for prolonged periods, some more sheltered areas could radiate enough for some patchy light fog to form. Temp continue to be around normal, with lows near normal, in the lower 70s away from the beaches.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 415 AM Monday . Seasonable weather on tap through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern and strength of low level WAA.

A weakness in the upper ridging across across the Southeast develops mid to late week with more pronounced shortwave energy pushing across the Ohio River Valley and mid-Atlantic states this weekend. In the lower levels, continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with storm trends following mainly diurnal patterns, with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Weak surface troughing gradually strengthens inland through the week allow for greater storm coverage each day, and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place. While ample moisture and instability will be present, shear will be meager with 0-6 km bulk shear generally around 10 kt or less limiting the severe threat. Still, cannot rule out stronger storms producing isolated wind damage and heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Tue/ . As of 1 PM Mon . VFR prevails for all terminals today, though scattered storms this afternoon bring the potential for temporary flight restrictions for any given location. Low level moisture advection will inch up stronger today, and light, patchy fog and low stratus is possible again tonight, especially for the further inland locations. Have opted to prevail MVFR only at PGV late tonight for the time being, but expansion of restrictions may be necessary in future updates.

Long Term /Tuesday through Friday/ . As of 4 AM Monday . Typical summertime pattern through the period with light winds and diurnally enhanced convection each day. Pred VFR conditions expected outside of showers and thunderstorms and patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 4 AM Monday . Very similar to the past several days with favorable boating conditions on tap today and tonight. Light WSW winds this morning becoming S to SW around 10-15 kt in the afternoon under the influence of differential heating. Winds remain SW tonight and gradually wane. Seas persist near 2 ft with only minor incoming medium period swell.

With similar environmental conditions as yesterday, isolated showers/storms along the coast could produce waterspouts.

Long Term /Tuesday through Friday/ . As of 430 AM Monday . Good boating conditions continue through much of the long term. Expect S to SW winds around 10 kt into mid week, with gusts to around 15 kt each afternoon as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. The Bermuda high begins to strengthen offshore mid to late week with southerly winds increasing to 10-15 kt with occasional gusts up to 20 kt late Wednesday through the end of the week. Seas persist around 2 ft through Tuesday, then build to 2-3 ft mid to late week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL/CB SHORT TERM . CB LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/TL MARINE . SK/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 11 mi53 min SW 2.9 G 7 84°F 85°F1018.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi71 min SSW 9.9 G 13 85°F 1018.2 hPa (-0.8)
41064 34 mi63 min SW 9.7 G 12 83°F 1018.4 hPa
41159 34 mi45 min 84°F1 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC11 mi17 minSE 310.00 miLight Rain79°F77°F94%1017.7 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC12 mi73 minSW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F77°F80%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW5S8S7S11SW4NE3S7S9S8SW9SW7W4CalmW4SW4N3CalmW3CalmW5CalmNW3--
1 day agoNW6W53SW8SW11SW10S11SW11SW10SW10SW10SW7SW8SW8SW9SW7W4NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmE3NW3
2 days ago------------SW7S9S9
G18
S10SW6SW7W8NW4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW5CalmN3W3

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:36 AM EDT     1.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:04 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:07 PM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:53 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.811.21.21.10.90.70.50.30.20.30.50.811.21.31.31.10.90.70.50.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:03 AM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:34 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:34 PM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:23 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.41.51.51.310.70.50.40.30.50.81.21.51.71.71.61.31.10.80.60.50.50.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.