Tuesday, August20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:51PM Tuesday August 20, 2019 11:27 PM EDT (03:27 UTC) Moonrise 9:49PMMoonset 9:57AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1028 Pm Edt Tue Aug 20 2019
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds, decreasing to 5 seconds in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Isolated showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Beach, NC
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location: 34.7, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 210237
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1037 pm edt Tue aug 20 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north
carolina through mid week as a trough lingers well inland. A
cold front will slowly approach the area late this week and into
the weekend.

Near term overnight
As of 1030 pm Tuesday... Only small changes to the ongoing
forecast with the late evening update, mainly to capture trends
in hourly elements. Will maintain dry forecast through much of
tonight due to lack of convective initiation lift across eastern
nc. The bermuda high pressure ridging just south of the area
will remains in control overnight. Most inland areas will
decouple, but radiational cooling will be inhibited by
persistent cirrus coverage through the night. The warm and humid
airmass in place will keep lows several degrees above normal.

As we approach sunrise, a shortwave trough aloft will approach
from the west and may produce showers and thunderstorms along
our western counties from duplin north to pitt martin.

Short term Wednesday
As of 3 pm tue... A weak upper low over the sc upstate this
afternoon will slide across the nc piedmont Wednesday as it is
absorbed into a shortwave trough passing across the great lakes
and northeast. The attendant surface low will remain very weak
as it passes inland through the day before deepening as it moves
into the mid-atlantic late in the afternoon. Thunderstorm
coverage is expected to be greatest for inland areas in closer
proximity to the enhanced lift inland, though increased cloud
cover with the low will limit thermodynamic instability to some
extent. Closer to the coast, isolated to scattered convection is
to tap with the sea breeze and outflow boundary collisions.

Highs will be a couple of degrees above normal, with low level
thickness values favoring highs near 90 away from the beaches
under partly to mostly cloudy skies.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 240 am tues... High pressure will extend over the area
through Thursday with only scattered thunderstorms expected.

A cold front will approach the area Friday, and then slowly
cross through the forecast area over the weekend, leading to
another period of unsettled weather.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Scattered afternoon
thunderstorms are expected again Thursday with a weak lee
trough forming over central nc, and continued possible
convective initiation along the sea breeze each day. Also
expecting some nocturnal offshore convection to blossom and move
over coastal areas in the overnight hours both Wednesday and
Thursday nights. High temps will be slightly above average
through this period, with readings in the low 90s inland and the
mid to upper 80s along the coast. Warm and humid nights will
continue.

Friday through Monday... Major model differences remain from
Friday through early next week as a cold front moves south into
the area. The latest GFS still shows a quick moving front
dropping into nc on Friday and then sinking south of the area
by Friday night... And into the deep south by the end of the
weekend. In this solution Friday and the first half of Saturday
would be very wet, with drier and much cooler air moving into
the region. Meanwhile the latest ECMWF shows a slower moving
front still in southern va Friday night, which finally crosses
into the area by Sunday... And then stalls just south of the
forecast area, which would lead to an extended period of
unsettled weather Saturday through at least Monday.

Will continue to hedge towards a middle solution, but with much
of the upper level trough remaining north of the area and with
the current time of year in mind, would tend to favor a solution
closer to the ECMWF with a slow moving front eventually stalling
around or just south of the area. So, will keep high chance pops
in the forecast from Friday into early next week. Temperatures
will likely be slightly below normal through this period with
highs mostly in the low to mid 80s, and low temps seasonably
cool in the 60s and low 70s.

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 720 pm Tuesday... PredominantlyVFR conditions expected
through the TAF period. Southerly flow and cirrus aloft should
prevent strong decoupled of surface winds, and thus inhibit
fog low stratus development overnight. An upper trough will
slowly move through the piedmont section of central nc late
tonight through Wednesday, and may aid in producing showers and
thunderstorms for western TAF sites of pgv and iso after
sunrise. Afternoon diurnally-driven showers and thunderstorms
will again be possible on Wednesday afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 300 am tue... MostlyVFR conditions expected through
Friday morning, with scattered convection expected during the
afternoons and evenings. Then Friday afternoon through much of
the weekend, low visibilities and ceilings are possible as a
cold front moves into the area and rain chances increase. Patchy
fog also possible in the early mornings with high dewpoints and
rather light winds.

Marine
Short term tonight and Wednesday ...

as of 1035 pm Tuesday... Latest surface and buoy data indicate
sw winds 5-15 kt with some gusts near 20 kt for the outer
fringes of the coastal waters. Seas remain 1-3 ft.

Bermuda high pressure will continue to be the dominant feature
through Wednesday, keeping southwest winds in place. Wednesday,
low pressure developing over the mid-atlantic later in the day
will tighten the gradient locally in the afternoon, with
moderate winds becoming breezy through the day. The gradient
will be tight enough that occasional to frequent gusts to 25 kt
are possible mainly for the sounds and coastal waters north of
cape lookout by late afternoon, and a small craft advisory may
be needed. Seas will be mainly be around 3 ft through tonight,
increasing to 3 to 5 ft as increasing winds develop more locally
generated wind swell by late Wednesday afternoon.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tue... Winds will be SW 15-20 kts Wednesday night
through Friday morning, with gusts up to around 25 kts along the
coastal waters and pamlico sound. Winds will weaken and turn to
the west, and eventually north, as a cold front crosses the
region on Saturday.

Seas will be 2-4 ft through Wednesday night, and then increase
to 3-5 ft early Thursday morning through Friday afternoon, with
some 6 foot seas possible along the outer coastal waters. Seas
then continue to subside to 2-4 on Saturday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Dag cb
short term... Cb
long term... Sgk
aviation... Dag sgk
marine... Dag sgk cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 11 mi57 min SW 5.1 G 8.9 83°F 86°F1020.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi87 min SW 8 G 12 82°F 1020.1 hPa (+1.6)78°F
41064 34 mi79 min WSW 14 G 18 84°F 85°F1020.2 hPa
41159 34 mi57 min 84°F3 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC9 mi90 minSW 1110.00 miFair84°F77°F80%1020.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC11 mi33 minSSW 510.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1019.6 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC12 mi89 minSW 1310.00 miFair83°F77°F82%1020 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4W5W6W7W9W6W6W4W6W6W9W7SW9SW10SW13SW13SW13SW15
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1 day agoSW9W6W7W6W6W7W6W3W4W4SW7S8S8SW10SW10SW11SW13SW12SW14SW12NW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:05 AM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:37 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.31.10.90.60.40.20.20.40.60.91.21.41.41.31.10.80.60.40.30.40.60.8

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:32 AM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:07 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:58 PM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:38 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.71.61.30.90.60.40.30.40.611.41.71.81.71.51.20.90.60.40.40.60.91.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.