Monday, December16, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 4:59PM Monday December 16, 2019 8:45 AM EST (13:45 UTC) Moonrise 9:44PMMoonset 10:57AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 635 Am Est Mon Dec 16 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Thursday afternoon...
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late this morning and early afternoon, then becoming S late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat late this morning and early afternoon, then increasing to light chop late.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. Showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.
Fri..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Beach, NC
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location: 34.7, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 161143 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 643 AM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge in from offshore today through tomorrow morning. A strong cold front will cross the area tomorrow night, with cold high pressure building in through Friday. A coastal storm is possible by next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 640 AM Mon . Areas of fog that developed overnight, especially near the southern NC coast, will persist for the next hour or so, and then will quickly burn off before mid morning. With warm SW flow and high pressure ridging in off the coast, temps will swiftly rise into the the 50s and 60s later this morning after a cold start. Above average low level thicknesses and abundant sunshine will support afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s across the area.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/. As of 640 AM Mon . High pressure will continue to ridge in from offshore tonight, as a storm system develops over the Ohio Valley. Winds will increase overnight due to the strengthening pressure gradient between the systems, which will keep inland areas mixed, and thus limit cooling overnight. Increasing clouds towards morning will also aid in keeping temps warm, and low temps should remain in the upper 50s to low 60s. Given the warm and moist atmosphere and slight convergence overnight, some widely scattered showers are possible after midnight, first over the coastal plain, and then moving further east towards daybreak.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 240 AM Sun . Warm weather is expected through Tuesday, before a cold front crosses the region and brings another round of showers Tuesday into Tuesday night. Much colder conditions expected behind the front Wednesday through Friday, with a possible coastal storm developing next weekend.

Tuesday and Tuesday night . High pressure will ridge in from offshore through Tuesday morning, as a strong cold front and upper level trough approach from the west. Warm SW flow continues Tuesday, guidance has continued to delay the passage of the cold front slightly, which will lead to a warmer solution and a later onset of the more widespread shower activity until the afternoon thus highs likely will be reaching the low 70s in many locations despite mostly cloudy skies.

Expect widespread showers from early afternoon through Tuesday night with likely to categorical PoPs through the evening hours. Given the warm and moist atmosphere, some isolated thunderstorms will also be possible, but should be relegated to the immediate coast and offshore. Severe threat looks marginal, as uncertainty remains with how much instability will develop onshore, but the dynamic profile is impressive with 50-70 kts of bulk shear present.

Wednesday and Thursday . Much colder conditions are expected behind the cold front Wednesday and Thursday, as strong CAA will limit temps from rising very much each day despite sunny skies. Expect below average highs, in the mid to upper 40s Wed, and low to mid 40s Thu. Temps will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s Wed night.

Friday through Sunday . Despite continued modest CAA Friday, heights will build as a weak upper level ridge approaches from the west. This will lead to moderating temperatures with highs reaching the upper 40s to low 50s across the area Fri after a cold start as lows recover from the mid to upper 20s inland. Still alot of uncertainty for Saturday and Sunday with the potential for a strong coastal storm somewhere off of the southeast coast. Significant differences continue in the global models with very little run to run consistency, so very low confidence forecast for the weekend. Trend in the 00Z models is for a low suppressed further southeast with the northern portion of the storm affecting NC as early as Fri night.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 640 AM Mon . A mix of VFR and IFR conditions are present across the airspace this morning as areas of fog have developed and spread overnight. Expect fog to persist for the next hour or so, especially along the southern NC coast, where fog has been the thickest, with VFR conditions then returning for the remainder of the day. VFR conditions will persist into tonight, until clouds increase ahead of cold front towards tomorrow morning with MVFR ceilings possible.

Long Term /Tuesday through Friday/ . As of 240 AM Mon . VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday morning then a cold front moves through the area and brings periods of MVFR/IFR conditions Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning in widespread showers. VFR conditions return later Wednesday through the end of the period as high pressure builds over the area.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 215 AM Mon . Decent boating conditions are expected today, as winds remain out of the W at 5-15 kts and seas 2-4 ft. However, winds are expected to strengthen tonight ahead of an approaching cold front, becoming S 15-25 kts with gusts close to 30 kts on the coastal waters by Tuesday morning. In response seas will build to 5-9 ft by daybreak Tuesday morning.

As a result of these expected conditions, have issued SCA's for the coastal waters and Pamlico Sound beginning early Tuesday morning.

Long Term /Tuesday through Friday/ . As of 240 AM Mon . Another active week with hazardous marine conditions with strong winds and elevated seas expected for much of the period. S/SW winds 15-25 kt with higher gusts are expected Tue into Tue evening ahead of the cold front. Winds shift to N 20-25 kt late Tue evening into Wed behind the front. Late Wed/Wed night winds will back to the NW 20-25 kt with higher gusts as high pressure builds over the waters from the northwest. Thu NW winds 15-25 kt will become N then diminish 10-15 kt. Seas will build 6-9 ft Tuesday. Seas then subside slightly to 5-8 ft on Wednesday through most of Thursday. Much better boating conditions expected Friday with winds less than 15 kt and seas 2-4 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 1 PM EST Thursday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 PM EST Thursday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Thursday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/SGK MARINE . JME/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 11 mi52 min ESE 1 G 1 52°F 55°F1024.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi106 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 55°F 1024.5 hPa (+1.0)55°F
41064 34 mi38 min NW 3.9 G 5.8 62°F 67°F1024.5 hPa
41159 34 mi16 min 67°F3 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC9 mi1.8 hrsN 06.00 miFog/Mist42°F41°F96%1024.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC11 mi52 minN 010.00 miFair41°F37°F89%1024.2 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC12 mi1.8 hrsN 09.00 miFair43°F42°F97%1024.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W7W7SW7SW9SW9SW11SW9SW4SW3SW5W5W6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW5W5SW9--W11
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2 days agoNE9N6N7N8NE8N6N9N9E4NE7N5CalmCalmE7E7E6E4S7SW7SW10SW10W10W5W7

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:09 AM EST     1.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:29 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:56 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 12:31 PM EST     1.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:24 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.10.90.70.40.1-0-00.20.50.91.21.41.41.310.70.30.1-0-00.20.50.8

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:59 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:55 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:58 AM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:54 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.310.70.30-0.10.10.40.91.41.71.81.71.51.10.60.3-0-0.10.10.40.81.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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