Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Jacksonville, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:34PM Friday April 3, 2020 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC) Moonrise 1:32PMMoonset 3:07AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 359 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 5 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy late this evening and overnight.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 6 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 7 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jacksonville, NC
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location: 34.7, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 032054 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 454 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the area into the weekend, as low pressure lingers over the Atlantic. High pressure then strengthens offshore early next week, as a weak front moves into the region, and eventually pushes through the area by mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 330 PM Friday . Low pressure over the western Atlantic will slowly retrograde overnight with high pressure building in from the northwest. Mainly clear skies expected most areas, though some clouds assoc with the retrograding low will spread into NE sections after midnight. Winds will diminish quickly this evening with lows in the low to mid 40s. Winds will remain breezy along the coast with lows in the mid 40s to around 50.

With the expansive low retrograding offshore, expect seas to build overnight, which could bring coastal flooding concerns across the OBX north of Cape Hatteras, especially around high tide and have issued a Coastal Flood and High Surf Advisories north of Cape Hatteras (see Tides/Coastal Flooding section below).

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/. As of 330 PM Friday . Low pressure continues to retrograde offshore Saturday with high pressure building in from the NW. Wrap-around low level moisture will continue to spread clouds into the area from the north with greatest coverage north of highway 17. The clouds will be fairly shallow, so will not see any rain, but it will keep temps several degrees cooler across NE sections where high expected around 55-60. With more sun SW sections, temps expected to reach 65-70 degrees.

Large swells continue to impact the coast through the day and could see coastal flooding impacts continue, especially around the afternoon high tide.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As 330 AM Fri . Moderating conditions are expected into the weekend, as large low pressure system meanders off the Mid- Atlantic coast. High pressure then builds over the area Sunday, before moving offshore early next week. A weak boundary then moves into the area, leading to unsettled conditions through mid week.

Saturday night and Sunday . As the low moves further offshore Saturday night and Sunday, winds will eventually subside, though remain out of the north as high pressure moves closer. Expect a significant temperature gradient across the area both days, as ocean influence keeps temperatures in the 50s to low 60s across the Outer Banks and Pamlico-Albemarle peninsula, while temperatures climb into the upper 60s to low 70s to the south and west.

Monday through Thursday . High pressure will strengthen off the NC coast Monday, and then a weak boundary will move into Virginia pushing high pressure further offshore Tuesday. After some scattered sea breeze showers on Monday, more unsettled weather (a possibly a few thunderstorms) looks likely Tuesday through Thursday as this boundary remains to the north of the area, and then pushes south through Eastern NC as a cold front sometime mid week. Low level heights will increase substantially during this period, which will lead to warmer temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.

AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 3 PM Friday . Pred VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Expect mainly clear skies expected at the terminals tonight, though will see STCU push into NE sections late tonight as an upper low over the western Atlantic retrogrades to the SW some. The STCU will push farther into the area Saturday and could bring bkn-ovc to some of the terminals during the afternoon with PGV and EWN having the best chance of seeing cigs. Guidance suggesting cigs will remain above 3k ft. Gusty NW winds up to 25 kt this afternoon will diminish by sunset.

Long Term /Saturday night through Wednesday/ . As of 340 AM Fri . VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some scattered showers possible after Monday morning, and again Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 4 PM Friday . Low pressure over the western Atlantic will slowly retrograde through the period bringing periods of gusty winds and large swells, highest across the northern coastal waters. NW winds have diminished some this afternoon and have dropped the SCA for the Albemarle, Croatan, and Roanoke Sounds, but continue for the Pamlico Sound as guidance shows winds increasing again late tonight and Saturday. The low will bring building seas late tonight, peaking as high as 8-12 ft north of Ocracoke Inlet and 4-7 ft south late Saturday.

Long Term /Saturday night through Tuesday/ . As of 340 AM Fri . Strong N winds will continue this weekend, as a large low pressure system retrogrades south off the Mid- Atlantic coast. Winds will be N 15-25 kts Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts close to Gale Force. Then, winds subside through the day Sunday, becoming SW on Monday and strengthening to 10-20 kts. Winds then become W 15-25 kts Monday night into Tuesday.

Seas will be elevated and dangerous this weekend peaking at 8-12 ft east and north of Cape Lookout, while remaining 3-6 ft across the southern waters. Seas begin to subside Sunday night, but will remain 5-7 ft through Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 415 PM Friday . Increased fire danger continues this afternoon with RH values around 15-25 percent and wind gusts up to 25 mph. Conditions expected to improve after sunset. Saturday is not expected to be as critical with wind gusts around 15 mph and min RH values around 35-45 percent.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 430 PM Friday . Coastal flooding concerns will continue along the Outer Banks this weekend as low pressure over the Atlantic retrogrades back towards the East Coast. Beaches will begin to see long period swell from the distant low arrive late tonight, peaking late Saturday and Saturday night. The large, powerful wave action will result in a prolonged period of wave run up (double digit seas with periods 14-15 seconds), with the threats for very rough surf, coastal flooding, beach erosion, and ocean overwash. Moderate to potentially significant impacts will be possible for ocean side locations of the Outer Banks. This could impact portions of Highway 12, especially at times of high tide. Have issued a Coastal Flood Advisory north of Cape Hatteras through both high tide cycles Saturday. P-ETSS guidance showing peak water levels slightly lower with each tide cycle after Saturday, but will have to monitor for continued coastal flooding concerns as large swells will still be impacting the beaches. Rough surf conditions are expected to continue into next week, and have also issued a High Surf Advisory north of Cape Hatteras through Monday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 6 PM EDT Monday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday for NCZ203-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Tuesday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SK SHORT TERM . SK LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . SK/SGK MARINE . SK/SGK FIRE WEATHER . MHX TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 39 mi52 min N 9.9 G 14 67°F 60°F1008.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi52 min WNW 13 G 18 71°F 61°F1008.6 hPa
41159 41 mi52 min 68°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 42 mi74 min NW 14 G 19 67°F 62°F1008.8 hPa
41064 42 mi134 min W 14 G 21 64°F 68°F1008.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 42 mi42 min 62°F2 ft
WLON7 44 mi52 min 74°F 64°F1009.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 47 mi22 min NNW 14 G 16 67°F 1008.6 hPa (-0.5)44°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi74 min WNW 12 G 16 65°F1007 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC2 mi26 minWNW 15 G 2410.00 miFair72°F24°F17%1009.1 hPa
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC15 mi26 minNW 8 G 1610.00 miFair70°F25°F18%1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW12--SW5W7W6W6W7W5W7W7W9NW10NW10NW9NW11NW12NW11NW8
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1 day agoN9N6N3CalmCalmSW3W4W4SW5NW3W5W7W6NW8N10N12N14
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Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:58 AM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:28 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:29 PM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:36 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.92.633.232.51.91.20.70.40.40.71.31.92.52.82.82.51.91.20.60.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:55 AM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:26 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:26 PM EDT     2.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:34 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.51.92.22.32.21.91.40.90.50.30.30.611.51.92.12.11.81.40.90.40.20.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.