Monday, April19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Jacksonville, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:46PM Monday April 19, 2021 5:00 PM EDT (21:00 UTC) Moonrise 10:43AMMoonset 12:52AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 303 Pm Edt Mon Apr 19 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt early, then becoming nw with gusts up to 25 kt this evening, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy this evening, then diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight, diminishing to light chop late. A slight chance of showers early this afternoon, then a chance of showers early. A slight chance of showers early this evening.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough. Showers likely.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jacksonville, NC
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location: 34.7, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 191852 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 252 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will lift northeast of the region tonight with high pressure crossing Tuesday. A strong cold front moves through the area late Wednesday. High pressure will build in from the west Thursday and Friday. Next storm system will arrive in the region by next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 245 PM Mon . Cold front and assoc low pres will quickly depart this evening with lingering shra and a few tsra ending by 00Z or so. Window for any stronger storms will end shortly as winds shift to the NW/N behind front eliminating the instab. NNW winds will be gusty thru early to mid evening, espcly coast. Skies shld clr this evening with poss some patchy fog late . with best chcs NW. Lows mostly 45 to 50 mainland with 50 to 55 beaches.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/. As of 245 PM Mon . Dry weather expected as transitory high pres slides through ahead of next deep shortwave trough digging through the central plains states. Skies will be PC to mclr with highs near climo in the 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 330 AM Mon . A strong cold front will push through the area Wednesday afternoon, with much cooler air behind it and potential for frost. A potentially strong low pressure area and cold front will push through next weekend.

Tuesday night through Wednesday . Area will be under influence of strengthening return flow Tue night and esp Wed, as stronger front is progged to push through by late in the day. 19/00z guidance still in good agreement wrt timing, pushing the front offshore by early Wed evening. Global model suite still in disagreement on how much moisture return is available for thunderstorm development. ECM continues more robust with moisture, esp nrn half, and have cont to advertise chc pops here, with only slgt chc south where more iso covg expected. Some sfc based instability forms along with strong shear (50+ kt bulk shear) in place, so if any storms can organize, a strong to marginally severe storm would be possible.

Wednesday night through Friday . Much cooler and drier airmass expected behind the front with high pressure building in from the W. We could have some frost concerns, mainly inland zones. Coldest night still looks to be Thu night/Fri morning as center of high pres will be closer to ENC. EC/GFS mos guidance show lows falling into the low to mid 30s. Have edged temps down a few degrees, advertising widespread mid 30s inland from the coast Fri morning. Highs Thu and Fri generally in the 60s with dewpoints only in the 20s each afternoon.

Saturday through Sunday . Temps rebound quickly back to near climo Sat as progressive shortwave advances eastward through the ern CONUS. 19/00Z global models all have a potential strong storm system and cold front impacting the area by Sat, and have inc pops to low end likelies. The ECM is esp ominous with this system, indicating a deepening low pres system tracking through the cntrl Carolinas. This scenario would certainly produce a severe weather threat, as GOM moisture would be plentiful with deep layer srly flow in place. Second half of the weekend should be dry with subsident flow behind departing system.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through Tue/ . As of 1255 PM Mon . Pred VFR conditions expected. Best potential for shra/isold tsra will be N and E of taf sites next few hrs as front/sfc low cont to push E. May see a brief lowering of cig/vsbys next cpl hrs. NW to N winds will gust up to 20 kts thru late this aftn. Skies shld clear thru evening with decreasing winds as high pres builds in. Late tonight as winds go light/calm could see some fog with mdls showing best threat N and added a tempo to PGV for MVFR vsbys. Whatever fog develops will quickly lift Tue morn with PC to mclr skies the rest of the day.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 330 AM Mon . Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Mainly dry Tue night, then another chc of showers or storms Wed as a strong cold front approaches.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 245 PM Mon . Brief surge of NNW winds expected behind cold front/sfc low starting next cpl hrs and lasting thru early/mid evening. Cont SCA for all but inland rivers. As high pres quickly builds in later tonight winds diminish to 10 kts or less by daybreak. Seas will reach 4 to 6 ft thru early evening then subside to 2 to 4 ft late. High pres will slide offshore Tue with light winds in morn becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Seas mainly 2 to 3 ft Tue.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 330 AM Mon . Have used a heavier blend of the NBM, as NWPS generally too low on seas through the period. A strong cold front will approach the waters Wednesday, pushing through Wednesday afternoon and early evening. SCA conditions likely to develop Wed afternoon with gusty SW flow ahead of the front, then stronger NW winds 20-30 kt and seas 4-7 ft developing behind it. Conditions improve with diminishing winds and seas by Thu.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . RF/TL MARINE . RF/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi42 min NW 19 G 24 70°F 66°F1008.3 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 39 mi42 min N 9.9 G 13 62°F 69°F1008.8 hPa
41159 41 mi34 min 67°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 42 mi52 min N 19 G 29 69°F 65°F1007.6 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 42 mi53 min 65°F2 ft
MBNN7 43 mi30 min NNW 9.9 G 19 72°F 1008.1 hPa
WLON7 44 mi42 min 74°F 69°F1009.3 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 45 mi75 min N 4.1 76°F 57°F
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 47 mi60 min W 12 G 14 69°F 1007.4 hPa (-0.4)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi52 min SW 12 G 18 68°F 67°F1007 hPa
MBIN7 49 mi30 min N 18 G 28 71°F 1007.7 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC2 mi64 minNW 19 G 2810.00 miFair and Breezy68°F53°F59%1009.4 hPa
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC15 mi64 minNW 9 G 1810.00 miOvercast63°F50°F63%1010.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi63 minN 610.00 mi66°F62°F87%1008.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

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Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:33 AM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:29 PM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.932.82.51.91.40.90.70.70.91.31.82.22.52.52.21.81.30.90.60.60.91.41.9

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:54 AM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:26 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.22.11.81.51.10.80.60.60.81.11.41.71.91.81.71.410.70.50.60.81.11.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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