Tuesday, August20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beaufort, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:51PM Tuesday August 20, 2019 11:59 AM EDT (15:59 UTC) Moonrise 9:48PMMoonset 9:56AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1119 Am Edt Tue Aug 20 2019
Rest of today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Isolated showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Isolated showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beaufort, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 201536
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1136 am edt Tue aug 20 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north carolina
through mid week as a weak trough of low pressure lingers well inland.

A cold front will slowly approach the area late this week and into
next weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 11 am Tuesday... No significant changes with the late
morning update. Hi-res guidance continues to show a wide range
of possible convection coverage today, with recent hrrr runs
showing only isolated convection, with the nssl WRF shows more
scattered convection persisting well into the evening. Have
continued a middle of the road approaching, with highest chances
across northeast nc, where mostly sunny skies will persist the
longest and instability will be maximized this afternoon. Upper
level moistening over the past 24 hrs is apparent in the 12z
kmhx sounding, with pwat values now up to 2 inches, and locally
heavy downpours possible this afternoon.

High temperatures should range from the upper 80s coast to
lower 90s inland, perhaps 2 or 3 degrees cooler than yesterday
due to a bit more cloud cover. Heat index values will reach 100,
or a few degrees over, away from the beaches given dew points
still in the mid 70s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 330 am Tuesday... Any convection should end by late evening
with loss of heating. Debris cloudiness is likely to be leftover
for most of the night leading to a partly cloudy night. Lows
should mainly be in the low mid 70s.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 240 am tues... High pressure will extend over the area
through Thursday with only scattered thunderstorms expected.

A cold front will approach the area Friday, and then slowly
cross through the forecast area over the weekend, leading to
another period of unsettled weather.

Wednesday and Thursday... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are
expected Wednesday and Thursday with a weak lee trough forming
over central nc, and continued possible convective initiation
along the sea breeze each day. Also expecting some nocturnal
offshore convection to blossom and move over coastal areas in
the overnight hours both nights. High temps will be slightly
above average through this period, with readings in the low 90s
inland and the mid to upper 80s along the coast. Warm and humid
nights will continue.

Friday through Monday... Major model differences remain from
Friday through early next week as a cold front moves south into
the area. The latest GFS still shows a quick moving front
dropping into nc on Friday and then sinking south of the area
by Friday night... And into the deep south by the end of the
weekend. In this solution Friday and the first half of Saturday
would be very wet, with drier and much cooler air moving into
the region. Meanwhile the latest ECMWF shows a slower moving
front still in southern va Friday night, which finally crosses
into the area by Sunday... And then stalls just south of the
forecast area, which would lead to an extended period of
unsettled weather Saturday through at least Monday.

Will continue to hedge towards a middle solution, but with much
of the upper level trough remaining north of the area and with
the current time of year in mind, would tend to favor a solution
closer to the ECMWF with a slow moving front eventually stalling
around or just south of the area. So, will keep high chance pops
in the forecast from Friday into early next week. Temperatures
will likely be slightly below normal through this period with
highs mostly in the low to mid 80s, and low temps seasonably
cool in the 60s and low 70s.

Aviation 15z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Wednesday ...

as of 715 am Tuesday...VFR conditions prevail at all TAF sites
this morning as fog failed to materialize despite calm to near
calm winds and high dewpoints.VFR conditions expected through
most of the TAF cycle with widespread mid and high level clouds
across the region. A few scattered showers or storms are
possible this afternoon and evening, but any reductions to
ceiling and vsbys are expected to be short-lived. With little in
the way of fog forecast by the latest round of numerical
guidance, will keep conditionsVFR for tonight as well.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues... MostlyVFR conditions expected through
Friday morning, with scattered convection expected during the
afternoons and evenings. Then Friday afternoon through much of
the weekend, low visibilities and ceilings are possible as a
cold front moves into the area and rain chances increase. Patchy
fog also possible in the early mornings with high dewpoints and
rather light winds.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 1115 am Tuesday... With high pressure continuing offshore
and weak surface troughing inland, winds should remain SW at
10-15 knots with seas 2-4 today and tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues... Decent boating conditions expected
Wednesday, but then conditions deteriorate for much of the rest
of the week, with marginal small craft conditions possible.

Winds will be mostly SW 10-15 kts Wednesday, before increasing
to SW 15-20 kts Wednesday night through Friday morning, with
gusts up to around 25 kts along the coastal waters and pamlico
sound. Winds will weaken and turn to the west, and eventually
north, as a cold front crosses the region on Saturday.

Seas will be 2-4 ft through Wednesday night, and then increase
to 3-5 ft early Thursday morning through Friday afternoon, with
some 6 foot seas possible along the outer coastal waters. Seas
then continue to subside to 2-4 on Saturday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc cb
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 0 mi66 min SSW 6 G 9.9 85°F 84°F1021.6 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 10 mi60 min WSW 8 G 8.9 83°F 1020.8 hPa (+0.4)76°F
41064 38 mi52 min WNW 5.8 G 9.7 83°F 85°F1021.2 hPa
41159 38 mi60 min 84°F3 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC1 mi3 hrsW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F77%1020.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi66 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F75°F66%1020.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi2 hrsW 910.00 miFair85°F75°F72%1021.3 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC24 mi64 minW 810.00 miA Few Clouds86°F75°F72%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW10S11SW11SW13SW14SW14SW13SW10W11S4SW7SW8SW11W7SW11W8W9W8W9W10W6SW7W6
1 day agoW7W7SW9SW10SW12SW13S10SW9SW12SW13SW11SW11SW8SW7SW6W10W8W8W8W8W4W6SW7SW7
2 days agoSW6SW6S10SW9NW3N3E3SE7SE6S6S10S12S13SW16SW12S15
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Tide / Current Tables for Duke Marine Lab, Beaufort, North Carolina (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:10 AM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:36 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:32 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.91.81.61.30.90.60.40.30.40.71.21.61.91.91.81.51.20.90.60.40.40.71

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.