Thursday, January23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Beaufort, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:28PM Thursday January 23, 2020 8:31 AM EST (13:31 UTC) Moonrise 6:18AMMoonset 4:21PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 632 Am Est Thu Jan 23 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Areas of fog after midnight.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds, decreasing to 6 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beaufort, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 231112 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 612 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will prevail across the region through tonight. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area late Friday into early Saturday morning. High pressure then builds in behind the front late Saturday through mid next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 610 AM Thursday . High pressure surface and aloft will continue over the area through tonight. With the upper level ridge axis shifting east, considerable amounts of Cirrus clouds will move over the area today. A weak coastal trough is forecast to drift towards the Outer Banks today and along the coast tonight producing isolated showers vicinity of the coast. A slight moderation in temps is expected with highs in the low to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. As of 215 AM Thursday . Weakening surface high pressure continues over the area tonight with the aforementioned coastal trough and isolated shower threat remaining along the coast. Increasing warm advection combined with increasing low level moisture as the flow becomes onshore should lead to the development of low clouds and areas of fog after midnight, especially west of Highway 17. Lows will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s inland and mid 40s beaches.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 303 AM Thu . Warm temps to start the period before a strong cold front moves through, bringing a return to seasonably cool and dry weather second half of the weekend through mid week next week.

Friday through Saturday . A cold front associated with stacked low pressure lifting from the Ohio Valley towards the Northeast will approach the area Friday, crossing Saturday morning. Models have trended a bit stronger with the prefrontal southerly LLJ and WAA as there is now good agreement for a wave of low pressure developing within the front to lift across central NC toward the Mid-Atlantic coast. This will allow Pwat values to climb to near 1.25 in overnight, around 2 standard deviations above normal for this time of year, and, given the dynamic enhancement from the wave passing just to our west, 0.25-0.5 in QPF is likely across the area centered late Friday night as the cold front is quick moving. Could be some sct showers on Friday as winds will veer serly with inc low lvl shallow moisture through the day.

Low mid- level lapse rates will limit widespread instability, though may be enough of a SSE component to advect some instability off the Gulf Stream and bring a low end severe threat to Downeast Carteret through the southern OBX late night through early Sat morning. Main threat would be gusty winds, though an iso tornado cannot be ruled out given slightly backed low lvl flow leading to higher helicity vals here. Any remaining precip early Sat morning quickly exit the OBX zones by mid morning, with a return to sunshine for the entire area. It will continue to be warm as hts/thicknesses remain above climo, and most places rise into the 60s once again.

Sunday through Wednesday . Deep layer subsidence will keep a dry forecast in place late in the weekend into early next week. High pressure building in from the southwest will generally be mild with quasi zonal flow in place, and near normal temps are expected with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

Next wave of low pres may arrive by Wed evening but esp Thu or beyond though timing issues abound amongst 23/00Z global model suite, as well as their respective ensemble members, so pops are low this period.

AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 610 AM Thursday . Thinking that VFR conditions should prevail through this evening as high pressure builds over the area. Weak warm air advection and low level moisture advection due to developing onshore flow will increase chances for sub VFR conditions especially after midnight tonight. Some of the guidance is indicating a potential for occasional MVFR ceilings through this afternoon but think subsidence and depth of dry air will limit this potential.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 303 AM Thu . Mainly VFR on Friday before sub- VFR, and likely IFR, ceilings arrive Friday night as a wave of low pressure passes just inland and its associated cold front race through. Return to VFR and mo sunny skies on Saturday behind the cold front, with VFR likely lasting through early next week with high pres dominating.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 610 AM Thursday . Although winds will be gradually diminishing through tonight as high pressure builds over the waters, seas will remain elevated AOA 6 ft so will continue the SCA's for the coastal waters. N/NE winds currently 15-20 kt with a few gusts to 25 kt are forecast to diminish and veer to to NE/E at 10-20 kt this afternoon and E/SE 10-15 kt tonight. 5-8 ft seas this morning will slightly subside to 4-7 ft late today and tonight.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 303 AM Thu . E to NE flow continues first part of Fri, but then coastal troughing washes out as winds veer around to SE Fri evening, then increase and become strong srly 20-30 kt Fri night through early Sat morning ahead of strong cold front.

Hazardous seas (4-7 ft) continue through Friday, before seas increase further with the arrival a southerly windswell Friday night, peaking at 6-11 ft around sunrise Saturday. Seas then gradually subside through early Monday morning.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 303 AM Thursday . Low pressure moving from off the Southeast coast toward the central Atlantic could result in elevated tide levels on the ocean and near the inlets into the weekend.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EST Monday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . RTE/TL AVIATION . JME/TL MARINE . JME/TL TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 0 mi49 min N 12 G 15 42°F 45°F1026 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 10 mi31 min N 14 G 17 43°F 1025.7 hPa (+0.7)43°F
41064 38 mi23 min NE 19 G 27 52°F 62°F1024.7 hPa
41159 38 mi31 min 63°F7 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC1 mi93 minN 710.00 miFair41°F39°F93%1025.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi37 minN 910.00 miFair40°F35°F83%1026.5 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi34 minN 10 miFair38°F34°F86%1026.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW12NW11N7N10N9N11N11
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Tide / Current Tables for Duke Marine Lab, Beaufort, North Carolina (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:49 AM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:44 AM EST     1.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:47 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:59 PM EST     1.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.1-0.2-0.2-00.411.51.81.91.71.410.60.2-0.1-0.10.10.511.31.51.41.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.