Tuesday, August4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Broad Creek, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 8:08PM Tuesday August 4, 2020 10:51 AM EDT (14:51 UTC) Moonrise 8:10PMMoonset 6:03AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 633 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Today..Tropical storm conditions possible. SW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas around 16 ft, subsiding to 8 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to a moderate chop this afternoon. A chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Broad Creek, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 041128 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 728 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Cyclone Isaias is moving quickly through southern Virginia and will move into the mid-Atlantic and New England region later today. A frontal boundary will linger near or west of the area through late week. High pressure will then build over the area late in the weekend into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 720 AM Tuesday . Conditions are slowly improving across eastern NC at daybreak. Radar showing all the precipitation has moved north and east of the CWA and have dropped the Flash Flood Watch for the western half of the area. Some strong gusts to around 40 knots continue over the northern tier of counties, with gusts close to 30 knots elsewhere. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the entire CWA, but with the diminishing trend, this should lowered soon. Decent subsidence develops on the backside of the storm and will lead to a decent amounts of sunshine by afternoon. Highs temperatures will rebound into the upper 80s with very minimal rain chances this afternoon as most all of the high-resolution models show dry weather from mid- morning on today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/. As of 335 AM Tuesday . A weak trough will set up near or just offshore later tonight and both the HRRR and 3km NAM show some patchy coastal showers, especially near the Outer Banks and will continue with a slight chance PoP in these areas. Otherwise, another warm muggy night upcoming with SW breezes holding low temperatures near 80 on the coast, with low to mid 70s inland.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 300 AM Tuesday . Not much change to the extended forecast as models remain in good agreement with the mid to upper level trough remaining in place through the weekend, allowing for deep SW flow accompanied with Gulf moisture, leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day.

A trough aloft will remain in across the eastern half of the CONUS allowing for a deep SW flow coupled with Gulf moisture (precip waters AOA 2.0 inches) feed into the region. While at the surface, a cold front will move into the region and stall between central and eastern NC through the end of the work week. With this synoptic setup, this will allow for showers and thunderstorms to occur each day with possible heavy downpours due to high PWATS. The stationary boundary is expected to move offshore during the weekend though it will be weak, while the trough axis will move offshore early next week.

In general, temperatures during the long term forecast period will be near climatology with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 and lows mainly in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through 12Z Wednesday/ . As of 725 AM Tuesday . Some low-end MVFR and IFR ceilings currently at the TAF sites, but the precipitation associated with Isaias has moved north of our CWA, and the gusty winds should subside over the next few hours. Already, gusts at the TAF sites have dropped to 30 knots or less. By mid-morning, clearing skies with lead to VFR conditions through the remainder of the day and into tonight. Some patchy low clouds may occur early in the morning with light winds and leftover ground moisture, especially around KISO.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 300 AM Tuesday . VFR conditions continues through the TAF period. Showers and thunderstorms are forecasted for each day with sub-VFR to be possible with the heavier showers.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 725 AM Tuesday . As Isaias moves quickly through southern Virginia, the strongest wind gusts are now continue to the northern waters. At daybreak, gusts to 47 knots were being observed at Oregon Inlet, 44 knots at Duck and 39 knots on the Albemarle Sound. Winds should quickly drop this afternoon as Isaias moves quickly through the mid-Atlantic. Seas are currently 8-13 feet and will remain elevated through tonight, necessitating continued Small Craft Advisories into Tuesday morning.

Long Term /Wednesday through Sunday/ . As of 300 AM Tuesday . SW winds will around 10 or less knots for the rest of the period. Seas will be around 3-4 ft Wednesday, becoming more 3 ft afterward through the weekend.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 645 AM Tue . Storm Surge Warning in effect for the potential for 2 to 4 feet of inundation for areas adjacent to the Bay, Pamlico, and Pungo Rivers, Pamlico, Croatan, and Roanoke Sounds, Kitty Hawk Bay, and beaches north of Ocracoke Inlet. The greatest surge will occur around the time of low tide, limiting impacts to the most vulnerable coastal locations.

Long period swell from Isaias will continue to impact the beaches through the middle of the week. These swells will also lead to a high threat of dangerous rip currents. Very dangerous surf conditions will continue into Tuesday with breaking waves 8 ft or higher along the coast as Isaias is forecast to pass just to the W of the region bringing gusty winds and large seas.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094- 193>196-198-199-203>205. Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ195-196- 199-203>205. Storm Surge Watch for NCZ195-196-199. High Surf Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ195- 196-199-203>205. Flash Flood Watch until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ029-044- 045-079-080-090>092-193-198. Storm Surge Warning for NCZ047-080-081-094-194-203>205. MARINE . Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158- 230-231.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . BM AVIATION . CTC/BM MARINE . CTC/BM TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 13 mi57 min WSW 8 G 15 79°F 1015 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 21 mi51 min WSW 12 G 16 80°F 1014.8 hPa (+2.1)
41159 35 mi55 min 82°F8 ft
41064 36 mi43 min W 14 G 19 79°F 1015.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC7 mi54 minSW 1110.00 miFair81°F70°F69%1015.1 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi57 minWSW 810.00 miFair80°F72°F76%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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--------------SW11
1 day agoSW12SW11S16S15SW14S14S14SW12SW10S9S10S11S10S10S10S13S11S9S8S6S6S9S7SE8
2 days agoSW10SW11SW13S16SW15SW10N8CalmS4S7S8SW12SW14SW12SW10SW6SW6SW8SW10SW13SW14SW14SW12SW12

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:05 AM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:25 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     1.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.10.80.50.2000.20.60.91.21.31.31.10.80.50.200.10.30.611.31.5

Tide / Current Tables for Coral Bay, Atlantic Beach, North Carolina
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Coral Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:55 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:32 AM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:55 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:51 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.20.80.40.100.20.511.41.61.71.51.20.80.40.100.20.611.51.81.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.