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PZZ673 Waters From Pt. Sal To Santa Cruz Island Ca And Westward 60 Nm Including San Miguel And Santa Rosa Islands- 232 Am Pst Sun Dec 3 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late Monday night...
Today..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Strongest around point conception. Combined seas 7 to 10 ft dominant period 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Strongest around point conception. Combined seas 8 to 10 ft dominant period 12 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 8 to 10 ft dominant period 14 seconds.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 8 to 10 ft dominant period 14 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 8 to 10 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 7 to 9 ft at 17 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 8 to 11 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Combined seas 9 to 11 ft.

PZZ600 232 Am Pst Sun Dec 3 2023
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park...at 10z or 2 am pst, a 1028 mb high was centered 500 nm southwest of point conception and a 1022 mb low was over the channel islands. Gusty nw winds will affect the outer waters near and south of the channel islands through Monday.

FXUS66 KLOX 031116 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 316 AM PST Sun Dec 3 2023

SYNOPSIS
03/207 AM.

Breezy north to northeast winds will continue through Tuesday or Wednesday with a gradual warm up. A trough pushing into the area late in the week and into next weekend will cool temperatures back to near normal, with a slight chance of showers in the north late Thursday or Friday.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...03/241 AM.

Very little to talk about except for how nice the next three days will be. Ridging will cover Srn CA for all three days with hgts rising from 580 dam to 584 dam by Tuesday. There will be 2 to 4 mb of offshore flow from both the N and E through the period as a sfc high over the Great Basin will not move much at all. This offshore flow will keep the low clouds at bay (there is a slight chc of some low clouds in the morning in the Paso Robles area) and will contribute to a warming trend. Since the ridge axis will be nearly overhead there will be no upper level or thermal support for the winds generated by the offshore flow. There will be 15 to 25 mph winds with isolated gusts to 35 mph each morning but nothing near advisory levels.

A few waves of cirrus clouds will roll over the area today creating partly to mostly cloudy skies but these clouds will move out overnight and Mon and Tue will be mostly clear.

Max temps will be what everyone is talking about the the ridge, rising hgts and offshore flow all contribute to a three day warming trend. Look for 1 to 3 degrees of warming today (might be a little less if high clouds are thicker than fcst and also a little warmer if the clouds turn out to be thinner) and then 3 to 6 degrees of warming each day Mon and Tue. By Tuesday max temps across csts/vlys will mostly be in the mid 70s to lower 80s or 8 to 12 degrees above normal.

.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...03/312 AM.

GFS and EC as well as their ensembles are in a little better agreement for the extended than they have been of late. At the same time there is a lack of run to run consistency so forecast confidence is still not that high from Thursday on.

Good confidence in the Wednesday forecast. Look for the ridge to flatten out and the offshore flow to nearly weaken to neutral. The lower hgts and much weaker offshore flow will send the temps quickly downward - look for 2 to 5 degrees of cooling everywhere save for the Antelope Valley which will not be too affected by the hgt falls.

The EC has greatly backed off on its rain thinking for Thu/Fri and the GFS never really had any in its forecast. Also there is agreement that the previous fairly large inside slider is not going to happen but rather a gentler progressive weak trof. While there is still a slight chc of some super light showers across the SLO and most of SBA counties as well as the north slopes near the Kern county line. Skies will be partly cloudy for the most part with the occasional bout of mostly cloudy skies. Look for 3 to 6 degrees of cooling each day exp that on Friday the interior will cool 5 to 10 degrees. Friday's max temps across the csts vlys will mostly be in the 60s. There should be a moderate 6 to 7 mb offshore push from the north and this will likely generate some gusty winds through the I-5 corridor and SBA south coast.

Next Saturday looks like it will have another ridge along with a weak or moderate Santa Ana event.

AVIATION
03/0558Z.

At 0445Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer or inversion.

High confidence in all TAFs except for KPRB and KLGB.

Moderate confidence in KPRB TAF with a 30 percent chc of no low clouds.

Fair confidence in KLGB TAF with a 20 percent of MVFR cigs 13Z-17Z.

KLAX...High confidence in TAF. A 6kt east wind component is possible after 10Z.

KBUR...High confidence in TAF.

MARINE
03/152 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through Monday, there is a 60-80% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds continuing across PZZ673/676 with a 40-50% chance of SCA level winds across PZZ670 this afternoon and evening. There is a 60-80% chance of seas increasing to SCA levels on Tuesday morning and lasting into the weekend, with a slight dip below advisory levels possible Tuesday afternoon. On Wednesday afternoon, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds returning to SCA levels increasing to 50-60% on Thursday, with the highest chances near/South of Point Conception.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate confidence in current forecast. There is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds in this afternoon and evening. On Monday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For Tuesday through Thursday, there is a 30-50% chance of SCA level seas, highest on Wednesday, but winds will remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through Tuesday, there is a 20-30% chance of SCA level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica each night and morning, with high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels elsewhere. For Wednesday and Thursday, moderate to high confidence in wind and seas remaining below SCA levels, except for a 40% chance of SCA level winds in the western Santa Barbara Channel Thursday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PST Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Tuesday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

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Avila
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Sun -- 04:03 AM PST     1.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:54 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:57 AM PST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:02 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 12:15 PM PST     1.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:41 PM PST     -2.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:49 PM PST     Moonrise
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Avila, California, Tide feet

Port San Luis Wharf
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Sun -- 04:18 AM PST     3.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:54 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:43 AM PST     3.38 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:02 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:10 PM PST     4.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:17 PM PST     0.59 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:49 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port San Luis Wharf, California, Tide feet

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