Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:58PM Saturday December 14, 2019 2:08 AM EST (07:08 UTC) Moonrise 7:30PMMoonset 9:19AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 1221 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Rest of tonight..S winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves light chop.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. Showers likely.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 140517 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1217 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure to the south will lift north just inland from the coast tonight. The low will continue to lift north of the region Saturday pushing a cold front through eastern North Carolina. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1215 AM Sat . Bulk of heavier rain exiting OBX now with lull in precip expected rest of night with mainly patchy light rain/drizzle. Have greatly reduced pops next 6 hrs or so then additional shra will spread in from the WSW toward daybreak.

Prev disc . Widespread precipitation continues across the region with the heaviest rainfall now occurring over the Sound Region. Rain coverage may thin out a bit after midnight, but latest HRRR and 3km NAM shows precipitation filling back in toward morning, so will continue with high likely to categorical PoPs overnight. Warm frontal boundary continues to hug the coast with temperatures hovering around 60 degrees on the Crystal Coast, mid 60s Outer Banks, but mainly upper 40s to lower 50s inland. Still enough low CAPE values for isolated thunder near the coast for the next several hours. Patches of dense fog will also remain likely for the next few hours given the very moist airmass with a nearly saturated sounding and precipitable water values of almost 1.7 inches.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY/. As of 230 PM Fri . Sfc low will continue to lift north of the area early Sat with front pushing through in the afternoon. Active weather will continue for the first part of Sat, with widespread rain and isolated storms (along the coast). Some convective banding is possible, however most of the instability should remain just offshore limiting the severe potential, but still couldn't rule out some strong wind gusts or isolated rotating cells. Precip chances will be quickly decreasing late morning and early afternoon as westerly flow develops and drier air moves in behind the front. As the upper level trough moves across the area in the afternoon, some isolated showers are possible across the coastal plain and a bit further east, though coverage looks minimal at this time. Mild temps with highs in the lower 60s.

LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 240 AM Fri . Dry and mild conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, as well as cooler temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday.

Sunday and Monday . Upper level trough will move out of the region Sunday morning, with heights quickly rebounding. High pressure will move in from the west, and settle in offshore late Sunday through Monday. Expect high temps on Sunday to reach the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, and be even milder on Monday, reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Tuesday . A stronger cold front will move through the region on Tuesday afternoon ahead of a potent upper level trough. Dry conditions are expected through early morning when showers move into the area from the west. Widespread rain is expected from mid morning through at least late evening, with perhaps a few rumbles of thunder as well. Temperatures will remain mild ahead of the front, reaching the mid to upper 60s for high temps. Then behind the front, temps will quickly drop into the 50s and eventually all the way into the upper 30s to low 40s by Wednesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday . An expansive longwave trough will remain over the region for this period, leading to below average temperatures. Strong CAA will persist through at least Thursday morning, leading to high temps only reaching the mid to upper 40s Wednesday and then maybe a couple of degrees warmer Thursday.

AVIATION /05Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1215 AM Sat . High confidence in mainly LIFR thru early to mid morning in low clouds and fog. Not much precip thru 11 to 12Z then another band will cross early to mid morning as cold front trailing low pres crosses. Precip shld taper off and end late morn with mainly dry aftn. Low clouds will slowly lift into MVFR range later in morn then shld finally see VFR develop this aftn with skies clearing tonight. WSW winds will gust to around 20 kts or so mid to late morn thru aftn.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . VFR conditions through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves into the area and may bring another period of MVFR/IFR conditions through late Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 1215 AM Sat . Stronger winds will be mainly over cstl waters in warm sector E of coastal/warm front overnight. These winds will keep seas elevated and expected to build to around 10 feet near Diamond Buoy.

Prev disc . Warm frontal boundary near the coast playing havoc with wind direction at late evening, with mostly NE over Sounds and inland waters, but more SE/S along the coast. Winds speeds are also quite variable with less than 10 knots at Duck, but gusts to 33 knots at Diamond Buoy. Most guidance shows SE/S winds increasing overnight as area of low pressure forms and moves inland of the NC coast tonight and early Saturday. As winds increase tonight seas will build to 6 to 11 feet . highest outer central wtrs. Could see areas of fog develop across the coastal waters overnight into Saturday morning, becoming locally dense at times. Could see some gale force gusts develop across the waters south of Oregon Inlet Saturday morning and early afternoon. Front will move through the waters by Saturday afternoon with winds becoming westerly 20-25 kt gusting to 30 kt. Seas will remain 6-11 ft. Added Albemarle, Croatan/Roanoke Sounds, and Alligator Rvr to SCA beginning early Sat evening with increasing westerly winds.

Long Term /Saturday night Through Wednesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . Then winds subside briefly Sunday through Monday morning, before increasing out of the S at 15-25 kts early Monday night. Winds 20-25 kts continue Tuesday as another cold front moves through the coastal waters.

Seas subsiding to 5-8 ft on Sunday. Seas then briefly become 3-5 ft Sunday night and Monday, before increasing to 6-9 ft Monday night through Tuesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/CTC SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/CTC/CQD/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi57 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 62°F 55°F1004.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi69 min S 5.1 G 6 62°F 1004.6 hPa (-4.5)
41064 45 mi61 min SW 16 G 19 72°F 68°F1004.3 hPa
41159 45 mi39 min 68°F7 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi71 minSSE 57.00 miOvercast62°F62°F100%1004.4 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi2.2 hrsNNE 30.75 miLight Rain Fog/Mist58°F55°F90%1005.8 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC18 mi73 minENE 40.50 miFog57°F55°F93%1004.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi72 minESE 40.50 miLight Rain0°F0°F%1004.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE7NE6NE6NE9NE7NE7NE9NE7N6N7NE9NE5NE7N8N5NE4E4E6CalmE3E5S5S9
1 day agoN8N7N3N5NE4N12
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2 days agoN9N14N10N12N12N18N12N11N17
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:50 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:59 AM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:48 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:25 PM EST     1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.80.3-0-0.10.10.61.21.92.32.52.421.40.80.3-0-0.10.10.61.11.61.91.9

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:12 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:58 AM EST     2.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:10 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:24 PM EST     1.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.20.80.40-0.1-00.411.622.121.71.30.80.40.1-0.100.40.91.41.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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