Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Richlands, NC
January 14, 2025 9:19 PM EST (02:19 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:15 AM Sunset 5:22 PM Moonrise 6:11 PM Moonset 8:06 AM |
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 710 Pm Est Tue Jan 14 2025
.gale warning in effect until 7 am est Wednesday - .
Tonight - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough.
Wed - N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Wed night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, except 1 ft near shore. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 3 seconds and ne 2 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. NEar shore, seas 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon.
Thu night - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: sw 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri - N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Rain likely.
Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of rain.
Sun night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of rain.
AMZ100 710 Pm Est Tue Jan 14 2025
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A dry cold front will track across the region tonight. High pressure builds back in mid-week, then shifts offshore by this weekend. Another cold front will eventually move through the area over the weekend or early next week.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
| Bannermans Branch Click for Map Tue -- 03:21 AM EST 1.21 feet High Tide Tue -- 07:17 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 08:06 AM EST Moonset Tue -- 10:09 AM EST -0.10 feet Low Tide Tue -- 03:50 PM EST 1.42 feet High Tide Tue -- 05:23 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 06:12 PM EST Moonrise Tue -- 10:59 PM EST 0.00 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.2 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0 |
| New River Inlet Click for Map Tue -- 01:19 AM EST -0.43 feet Low Tide Tue -- 07:15 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 07:53 AM EST 3.30 feet High Tide Tue -- 08:04 AM EST Moonset Tue -- 02:13 PM EST -0.31 feet Low Tide Tue -- 05:21 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 06:11 PM EST Moonrise Tue -- 08:10 PM EST 2.59 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0.1 |
| 1 am |
| -0.4 |
| 2 am |
| -0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1.8 |
| 6 am |
| 2.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.1 |
| 8 am |
| 3.3 |
| 9 am |
| 3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.4 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 2 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.2 |
Area Discussion for Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 150026 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 726 PM EST Tue Jan 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
A dry cold front tracks across the the region tonight. High pressure builds back in mid-week, then shifts offshore by this weekend. Another series of cold fronts will move through the area over the weekend and early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 720 PM Tue...Winds have already decoupled ahead of the approaching front, and with clear skies many spots have radiated effectively - none more so than the Outer Banks where multiple spots are already down to the freezing mark. Expect temps here to rise in the near term as winds gradually increase ahead of the front, before crashing with strong CAA behind the frontal boundary. Rest of the forecast is on track.
Prev disc...A positively tilted upper trough will pivot across the northeastern U.S. tonight while a mid-level shortwave trough and jet streak approach ENC. At the surface, a dry cold front will pass from west to east late tonight/early Wednesday morning. Lows tonight will be in the low- to mid-20s across the coastal plain while the OBX hovers around freezing. With the addition of breezy NWerly winds at 5-10 mph, coastal plain apparent temperatures will drop to 15-20F near sunrise tomorrow.
The forecast has trended slightly warmer, so the Cold Weather Advisory that was previously in effect has be cancelled.
The Cold Weather Advisory previously issued for early Wednesday morning has been cancelled as the forecast has trended slightly warmer. While isolated apparent temperatures near 15 can be expected across the coastal plain for a few hours, confidence has decreased in widespread observations dropping below 15.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
As of 3:30 PM Tuesday...Broad upper-level troughing will continue Wednesday with the aforementioned shortwave trough and jet streak passing over ENC Wednesday morning. This will send a reinforcing shot of cold air into the region and drop highs about 10 degrees from what they are today. Widespread highs in the upper-30s with gusty NWerly winds will make for a fairly cold day with apparent temps topping out in the upper-20s to low-30s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Well below normal temperatures mid-week
- Another round of well below normal temperatures expected next week. Wintry precipitation potential less certain
Wed. Night - Thursday: High pressure building in Wednesday night will set the stage for ideal radiational cooling conditions, with widespread lows in the teens expected inland.
Closer to the coast, lows are expected to fall into the 20s.
We've continued to go below blended guidance for this timeframe given all of the above. While winds are expected to be light, actual air temperatures may fall low enough to flirt with Cold Weather Advisory criteria (15F) in the typically colder/sheltered locations. However, it doesn't appear that we'll reach criteria for as large of an area. Temperatures begin to moderate some on Thursday thanks to a light southwesterly flow and warmer low- level thicknesses. It is still expected to be below normal, though.
Friday - Saturday: For the most part, this part of the forecast appears to be fairly uncomplicated. A deep, southwesterly flow pattern will develop across the Southeast U.S. as a notable upper trough develops across the middle of the Country. This should help to draw a deeper layer of moisture north off the Gulf and the Atlantic, and will be favorably timed with the passage of a cold front on Saturday. This sets the stage for an increased risk of rain showers, especially on Saturday, and we'll continue to highlight this timeframe with the highest chance of precip. Temperatures will be noticeably milder as well, thanks to the extended period of southerly flow. Believe it or not, highs may actually get above normal for a change, especially on Saturday.
Sunday - Tuesday: This part of the forecast remains the most uncertain. Guidance is in fairly good agreement showing a broad, and anomalous, upper level trough in place across the central U.S. This puts the Southeast U.S. in a continued SW flow pattern aloft. Oftentimes this is a warmer pattern. However, beneath the SW flow, an Arctic airmass is forecast to spill south out of Canada and blanket much of the U.S. east of the Rockies, including us here in the eastern Carolinas. Medium range outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center are now highlighting much of the Southeast U.S. in a "High Risk" of hazardously cold temperatures next week. This much is certain.
What is less certain is whether or not precipitation will overlap with the Arctic airmass. Medium range deterministic guidance shows some wintry weather potential, but has shown some drastic run-to-run differences (ie. widespread accumulating snow on one run, then nothing on the next, and so on). Looking at it from a probabilistic standpoint, ensemble guidance shows a more tempered perspective, only giving about a 10-20% chance of wintry weather next week. At this point, the key message to focus on is the cold. The wintry weather potential is something to keep an eye on, but is far from a certainty at this point.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 00z Thursday/...
As of 725 PM Tuesday...High confidence in VFR flight conditions through the period. Winds have decoupled in many spots, but will pick up again as a dry cold front moves across ENC. NW winds increase to 10-15 kt across the coastal plain and 15-20G25 along the OBX. Ahead of the front, strong LLJ will pass overhead and introduce a brief window of LLWS from roughly 04-08z. This wind regime will continue through the remainder of the period. Some hi-res guidance suggest some spotty MVFR with the passing frontal boundary and introduced SCT MVFR for EWN, although the probability of this occurring is less than 20%.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Increased risk of sub VFR conditions Saturday
Generally low-impact aviation conditions are expected through Friday thanks to high pressure building in with a very dry airmass. Conditions begin to change this weekend as a moistening southerly flow leads to an increased risk of low CIGs and SHRA.
This will especially be the case on Saturday, and is when the greatest risk of sub-VFR conditions is expected.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/...
As of 3:30 PM Wednesday...WNW winds at 15-20 kt will become 25-30 kt with gusts to 35+ kt overnight. After sunrise, NW winds will start to relax and fall to 10-20 kt by the end of the day.
3-5 ft seas will be on the rise during the overnight hours and peak early tomorrow morning at 5-7 ft, except for closer to the Gulf Stream where seas could reach up to 8 ft. Seas will relax with the wind through tomorrow and fall to 3-6 ft north of Ocracoke and 2-4 ft to the south.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Multiple opportunities for elevated winds and seas through the week and into this weekend
Multiple cold fronts are forecast to move through the ENC waters this week, each with an accompanying risk of elevated winds and seas. The days that carry the highest potential for marine impacts are Wednesday and Thursday, and again this weekend.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-230- 231.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ136-137.
Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ150-158.
Gale Warning until 9 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154-156.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 726 PM EST Tue Jan 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
A dry cold front tracks across the the region tonight. High pressure builds back in mid-week, then shifts offshore by this weekend. Another series of cold fronts will move through the area over the weekend and early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 720 PM Tue...Winds have already decoupled ahead of the approaching front, and with clear skies many spots have radiated effectively - none more so than the Outer Banks where multiple spots are already down to the freezing mark. Expect temps here to rise in the near term as winds gradually increase ahead of the front, before crashing with strong CAA behind the frontal boundary. Rest of the forecast is on track.
Prev disc...A positively tilted upper trough will pivot across the northeastern U.S. tonight while a mid-level shortwave trough and jet streak approach ENC. At the surface, a dry cold front will pass from west to east late tonight/early Wednesday morning. Lows tonight will be in the low- to mid-20s across the coastal plain while the OBX hovers around freezing. With the addition of breezy NWerly winds at 5-10 mph, coastal plain apparent temperatures will drop to 15-20F near sunrise tomorrow.
The forecast has trended slightly warmer, so the Cold Weather Advisory that was previously in effect has be cancelled.
The Cold Weather Advisory previously issued for early Wednesday morning has been cancelled as the forecast has trended slightly warmer. While isolated apparent temperatures near 15 can be expected across the coastal plain for a few hours, confidence has decreased in widespread observations dropping below 15.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
As of 3:30 PM Tuesday...Broad upper-level troughing will continue Wednesday with the aforementioned shortwave trough and jet streak passing over ENC Wednesday morning. This will send a reinforcing shot of cold air into the region and drop highs about 10 degrees from what they are today. Widespread highs in the upper-30s with gusty NWerly winds will make for a fairly cold day with apparent temps topping out in the upper-20s to low-30s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Well below normal temperatures mid-week
- Another round of well below normal temperatures expected next week. Wintry precipitation potential less certain
Wed. Night - Thursday: High pressure building in Wednesday night will set the stage for ideal radiational cooling conditions, with widespread lows in the teens expected inland.
Closer to the coast, lows are expected to fall into the 20s.
We've continued to go below blended guidance for this timeframe given all of the above. While winds are expected to be light, actual air temperatures may fall low enough to flirt with Cold Weather Advisory criteria (15F) in the typically colder/sheltered locations. However, it doesn't appear that we'll reach criteria for as large of an area. Temperatures begin to moderate some on Thursday thanks to a light southwesterly flow and warmer low- level thicknesses. It is still expected to be below normal, though.
Friday - Saturday: For the most part, this part of the forecast appears to be fairly uncomplicated. A deep, southwesterly flow pattern will develop across the Southeast U.S. as a notable upper trough develops across the middle of the Country. This should help to draw a deeper layer of moisture north off the Gulf and the Atlantic, and will be favorably timed with the passage of a cold front on Saturday. This sets the stage for an increased risk of rain showers, especially on Saturday, and we'll continue to highlight this timeframe with the highest chance of precip. Temperatures will be noticeably milder as well, thanks to the extended period of southerly flow. Believe it or not, highs may actually get above normal for a change, especially on Saturday.
Sunday - Tuesday: This part of the forecast remains the most uncertain. Guidance is in fairly good agreement showing a broad, and anomalous, upper level trough in place across the central U.S. This puts the Southeast U.S. in a continued SW flow pattern aloft. Oftentimes this is a warmer pattern. However, beneath the SW flow, an Arctic airmass is forecast to spill south out of Canada and blanket much of the U.S. east of the Rockies, including us here in the eastern Carolinas. Medium range outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center are now highlighting much of the Southeast U.S. in a "High Risk" of hazardously cold temperatures next week. This much is certain.
What is less certain is whether or not precipitation will overlap with the Arctic airmass. Medium range deterministic guidance shows some wintry weather potential, but has shown some drastic run-to-run differences (ie. widespread accumulating snow on one run, then nothing on the next, and so on). Looking at it from a probabilistic standpoint, ensemble guidance shows a more tempered perspective, only giving about a 10-20% chance of wintry weather next week. At this point, the key message to focus on is the cold. The wintry weather potential is something to keep an eye on, but is far from a certainty at this point.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 00z Thursday/...
As of 725 PM Tuesday...High confidence in VFR flight conditions through the period. Winds have decoupled in many spots, but will pick up again as a dry cold front moves across ENC. NW winds increase to 10-15 kt across the coastal plain and 15-20G25 along the OBX. Ahead of the front, strong LLJ will pass overhead and introduce a brief window of LLWS from roughly 04-08z. This wind regime will continue through the remainder of the period. Some hi-res guidance suggest some spotty MVFR with the passing frontal boundary and introduced SCT MVFR for EWN, although the probability of this occurring is less than 20%.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Increased risk of sub VFR conditions Saturday
Generally low-impact aviation conditions are expected through Friday thanks to high pressure building in with a very dry airmass. Conditions begin to change this weekend as a moistening southerly flow leads to an increased risk of low CIGs and SHRA.
This will especially be the case on Saturday, and is when the greatest risk of sub-VFR conditions is expected.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/...
As of 3:30 PM Wednesday...WNW winds at 15-20 kt will become 25-30 kt with gusts to 35+ kt overnight. After sunrise, NW winds will start to relax and fall to 10-20 kt by the end of the day.
3-5 ft seas will be on the rise during the overnight hours and peak early tomorrow morning at 5-7 ft, except for closer to the Gulf Stream where seas could reach up to 8 ft. Seas will relax with the wind through tomorrow and fall to 3-6 ft north of Ocracoke and 2-4 ft to the south.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...
As of 300 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Multiple opportunities for elevated winds and seas through the week and into this weekend
Multiple cold fronts are forecast to move through the ENC waters this week, each with an accompanying risk of elevated winds and seas. The days that carry the highest potential for marine impacts are Wednesday and Thursday, and again this weekend.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-230- 231.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ136-137.
Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ150-158.
Gale Warning until 9 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154-156.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC | 46 mi | 49 min | W 2.9G | 42°F | 47°F | 30.19 | ||
| JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC | 48 mi | 49 min | WSW 5.1G | 44°F | 50°F | 30.23 |
Wind History for Beaufort, NC
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KOAJ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KOAJ
Wind History Graph: OAJ
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of east us
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Morehead City, NC,
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