Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 052250 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 650 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak frontal boundary will linger near the area through late week and into the weekend. High pressure will then build over the area late in the weekend into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 650 PM Wed . The area will remain under the influence of broad cyclonic flow through Thursday with the mid level trough axis centered over the OH/TN Valley. Earlier widespread diurnal convection is on the wane with only isolated activity observed early this evening. With loss of heating and little support aloft, this activity will continue to diminish through the evening. Some patchy fog/low stratus should once again develop across interior zones overnight, esp in areas that received rain today. Nearer the coast after midnight, with higher PW values and flow off the very warm waters, a few sct showers with perhaps a tstm may develop and move onshore late. Lows near climo, in the low to mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. As of 355 AM Wednesday . Similar story with area under broad cyclonic flow with long wave mid level troughing across the interior. Precip will transisition to the inland areas by afternoon and with daytime heating, some storms could become strong once again, with gusty downburst winds the main threat. Highs generally in the upper 80s to near 90.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 300 AM Wednesday . A mid to upper level trough remains in place through the weekend, allowing for deep SW flow accompanied with Gulf moisture, leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day.

Thursday night through Saturday . Not much change to the extend forecast durIng this period as a trough aloft will remain across the eastern half of the CONUS allowing for a deep SW flow coupled with Gulf moisture feeding into the region. While at the surface, a stationary boundary remains in place across central NC (Thursday) and generally move eastward towards ENC Friday. Some of the models have the boundary either weakening/washing out over the area or pushing through ENC early Saturday morning as a weak low forms off the Jersey coast. In general, with this synoptic setup, expect showers and thunderstorms to occur each day with possible heavy downpours due to high PWATS. The greatest chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Friday as a shortwave energy will move across the area.

Sunday through Wednesday . The mid to upper level trough will start to transition to a weak ridge and allowing for the flow aloft to become more W/NW--bringing dry air to filter into the area. Though ridge at the sfc and aloft will dominate the region, expect typical afternoon showers and thunderstorms to occur, but coverage will be limited due to W/NW flow aloft.

In general during this period, expect high temperatures to be in the upper 80s to around 90 inland, while along the coast temps will range in the mid to upper 80s, and lows mainly in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Thursday/ . As of 650 PM Wednesday . Convection inland will continue to dissipatewith loss of heating early this evening. Guidance indicates some low ceilings developing again toward morning in a similar pattern to last night, esp for TAF sites that received rain today. Conditions become VFR again by mid morning with scattered thunderstorms expected in vicinity of the TAF sites Thu afternoon.

Long Term /Thursday through Monday/ . As of 300 AM Wednesday . VFR conditions continues through the TAF period, except during the early morning hours as fog/low stratus can develop. Also, afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected each day bringing conditions to brief sub-VFR.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Thu/ . As of 650 PM Wednesday . Very little change in marine conditions expected through Thu with 5-15 kt winds out of the SW. Seas tonight and Thu will be generally 2-4 feet.

Long Term /Thursday through Monday/ . As of 300 AM Wednesday . Good boating conditions during this period. Expect SW winds around 10 or less knots with seas 1-3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME/TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . BM AVIATION . JME/TL/BM MARINE . JME/TL/BM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	17 mi	53 min	SE 8 G 9.9	83°F	86°F		1017.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	27 mi	41 min	SE 9.9 G 11	83°F			1016.9 hPa (-0.5)
41159	46 mi	45 min			84°F	3 ft
41064	47 mi	33 min	S 7.8 G 12	83°F			1016.8 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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S12 G16

SW10 G14

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E16 G20

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SE25

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SE24 G30

SE27 G42

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SW23 G37

SW13 G28

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC	3 mi	47 min	SSE 4	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	82°F	77°F	85%	1016.8 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC	15 mi	44 min	SSE 6	10.00 mi	Fair	84°F	75°F	74%	1017.4 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC	16 mi	47 min	S 4	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	83°F	73°F	74%	1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)

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N13 G21

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E10 G17

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E18 G31

SE26 G37

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S27 G48

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SW21 G31

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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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