Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 7:44PM Monday August 26, 2019 2:56 AM EDT (06:56 UTC) Moonrise 1:08AMMoonset 3:55PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 103 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Rest of tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Isolated showers.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, diminishing to 3 to 5 ft late, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Fri..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260619
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
219 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will remain stalled offshore today, as low
pressure continues to lift northeast well offshore of the
southeast coast through mid week. Another cold front will move
through Wednesday night or Thursday.

Near term today
As of 220 am mon... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
anchored over the NE us extending southward into the SE us,
with low pressure now about 280 miles S SE of CAPE hatteras. Low
could become tropical or sub-tropical later today or tonight as
it moves ne. The low will stay far enough offshore to have
little to no impact to sensible weather, other than contributing
to increased swell energy across the coastal waters. Modest
moisture overrunning the wedge will keep mostly cloudy skies
this morning, but should start to see wedge weaken later today
and likely to see more breaks in the clouds late morning and
this afternoon. Latest radar imagery shows isolated showers
offshore this morning. Only a few isolated to widely scattered
showers expected today, with best chances towards the coast
aided by persistent onshore flow. Airmass remains pretty dry,
with forecast soundings showing pwats around 1 inch. Another
day of below normal temps and dewpoints as N NE flow continues
between the high to the nnw and low pressure well offshore.

Temps should be a couple degrees warmer than Sun as thicknesses
rise more and perhaps some more breaks in the clouds. Highs in
the low to mid 80s.

Short term tonight
As of 220 am mon... High pressure to the north continues to
weaken and shift eastward, as low continues to lift NE well off
the carolina coast. Moisture begins to increase from the west
tonight with increased shortwave energy ahead of frontal system.

Isolated showers possible overnight with best chances along the
coast. Patchy fog will be possible inland with light winds and
some lingering low level moisture. Lows dropping into the mid
60s inland and upper 60s to low 70s along the coast.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 335 pm sun... Eastern nc will remain in a weakly zonal
flow between subtropical upper ridges over the SW CONUS and
bermuda through tue, while at the surface a possible tropical
cyclone tracks northeast and offshore with minimal affects
expected over land. Mid week, amplification of the flow into an
upper trough will allow a cold front to push into our region
late Wed then stall just south Thu where it will dissipate
through fri. Upper ridging from the atlantic is forecast to
extend back over the area next weekend with a weakening cold
front possibly penetrating the ridge late in the weekend.

Minimal shower chances expected through early wed, then better
coverage of showers and thunderstorms are expected late Wed into
thu with the frontal passage. Will keep 20-30% pops fri-sun for
mainly diurnal showers and storms aided by weak frontal
boundaries near the area.

Tuesday... Only minimal (20%) chance for showers as low level ne
flow associated with high pressure prevails across the area
with the potential tropical cyclone expected to remain offshore.

Any cyclone related impacts will be water related in the form
of rough surf and strong rip currents. Highs will be in the low
to mid 80s.

Wednesday through Sunday... The aforementioned front begins to
affect the area late Wed into Thu with better coverage of
showers and thunderstorms expected. Temps should warm a bit
into the mid to upper 80s wed-thu as southerly flow briefly
develops ahead of the front. The front is forecast to stall and
dissipate near along the coast Fri into Sat with another weak
front possibly moving in Sunday. Therefore will need to keep low
end chance pops fri-sun for mainly afternoon evening activity.

Highs will mostly in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid upr
60s interior to low 70s coast.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 220 am mon...VFR conditions continue across the terminals
early this morning. Persistent northeast winds and falling dew
points will preclude any fog threat overnight. However,
lingering low level moisture will be trapped below increasing
subsidence aloft, and CAA in the low levels will likely prompt
low stratus to develop across much of the area early this
morning. MVFR ceilings are likely to develop and may continue
through late morning. Ceilings should lift becomingVFR by late
morning. Patchy fog and low stratus will be possible late
tonight and Tuesday morning.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... The best chance for showers and thunderstorms
will be late Wed into Thu as a cold front moves through the
area. Otherwise, the best chance for brief subVFR conditions
will early each morning in fog stratus and briefly in scattered
showers storms Tue and Fri afternoons and evenings.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 220 am mon... Latest buoy obs show N NE winds 15-25 kt,
strongest south of hatteras, with seas 5-7 ft. SCA continues for
the coastal waters and sounds. May be able to drop SCA for the
albemarle croatan roanoke sounds and alligator river towards
sunrise this morning as obs show winds slowly coming down.

Low pressure is now about 280 miles S SE of CAPE hatteras. Low
could become tropical or sub-tropical later today or tonight as
it moves ne. The low will stay far enough offshore to have
little to no impact to sensible weather, other than contributing
to increased swell energy across the coastal waters... Helping to
keep seas elevated across some waters through mid week. N ne
winds will diminish to 10-20 kt this afternoon, still strongest
across the southern waters, and 10-15 kt overnight. Elevated
seas 5-7 ft will continue today, subsiding to 4-6 ft this
evening. Wavewatch, nwps and ec show seas subsiding below 6 ft
across the southern waters by this evening, and remaining
elevated north of ocracoke through tonight.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... Ne flow around 15 kt is expected through tue
night. Residual 5-6 ft over the outer northern and central
waters are forecast to linger through Tue evening before
subsiding. Light SW flow around 10 kt is forecast to develop
late Wed and Wed night then shift to N NE Thu as a weak cold
front crosses the waters. NE E flow around 10 kt is forecast
fri. Seas 3-5 ft wed, then becoming 2-3 ft Thursday and fri.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 220 am mon... Dangerous surf conditions expected to
continue today, with strong rip currents and dangerous shore
break. A high risk of rip currents continues north of cape
hatteras, with a moderate risk from CAPE hatteras to cape
lookout.

Elevated water levels continue early this morning, with
inundation of around 1 ft or less for very low lying areas
adjacent to the southern pamlico sound and neuse rivers
(including areas from downeast carteret, west towards cherry
point and oriental). Waters should slowly recede later this
morning as northeast winds continue to gradually weaken.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz203-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt this morning for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt early this morning for
amz131-230-231.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for amz156-
158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme cqd
marine... Jme cqd
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi56 min NNE 9.9 G 14 74°F 80°F1017.1 hPa (-0.6)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi56 min NNE 21 G 25 76°F 1016.2 hPa (-0.6)67°F
41159 46 mi56 min 83°F6 ft
41064 47 mi48 min E 21 G 25 78°F 83°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi4 hrsNNE 1410.00 miFair75°F66°F74%1017.3 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi4 hrsNNE 710.00 miFair74°F64°F74%1017.7 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi4 hrsNNE 810.00 miFair71°F66°F84%1018.3 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi3 hrsNNE 11 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F64°F74%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N9N12N12N9NE10NE14N14N11NE11N16
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1 day agoW5N8N5N5N9N8N11NE12N8N9N9N10N8N6N11N12N12N10N11N11N10N9N9N9
2 days agoSW5SW7SW7SW7SW6SW7SW12SW11SW13S10SW11S10S11
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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:53 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:23 AM EDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:44 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:56 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.40.60.91.11.21.21.10.90.60.40.20.20.30.60.91.31.51.61.51.310.7

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:29 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:02 PM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.60.91.41.7221.81.410.70.40.40.511.522.42.52.42.11.71.20.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.