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AMZ170 Expires:202308102300;;413380 Fzus72 Kmhx 102248 Mwsmhx
marine weather statement national weather service newport/morehead city nc 648 pm edt Thu aug 10 2023
amz150-170-102300- /o.con.kmhx.ma.w.0238.000000t0000z-230810t2300z/ 648 pm edt Thu aug 10 2023
.a special marine warning remains in effect until 700 pm edt...
for the following areas... S of currituck beach light nc to oregon inlet nc out to 20 nm... Waters from currituck beach light to oregon inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm...
at 647 pm edt, a strong Thunderstorm was located near south tower, moving east at 30 knots.
hazard...wind gusts to 40 knots.
source...radar indicated.
impact...small craft could be damaged in briefly higher winds and suddenly higher waves.
the strong Thunderstorm will remain over mainly open waters.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes.
&&
lat...lon 3618 7498 3617 7534 3616 7556 3622 7562 3623 7501 time...mot...loc 2247z 260deg 32kt 3623 7532
hail...0.00in wind...40kts

AMZ100 1005 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. A warm front will lift through the area tonight with southerly winds quickly increasing overnight, but conditions improving on Saturday. Unsettled pattern then continues through much of the weekend and into early next week as a series of low pressure systems impact the area. High pressure will build in mid to late next week.

FXUS62 KMHX 020558 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1258 AM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

SYNOPSIS
A warm front near the coast this afternoon will lift through the area tonight. Unsettled pattern then continues through much of the weekend and into early next week as a series of low pressure systems impact the area. High pressure will build in mid to late next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 10 PM Fri...A warm front continues to lift through the Mid-Atlantic this evening which is associated with a low pressure system moving through the Tennessee Valley.

Though it has been mostly dry so far tonight, the atmospheric column continues to quickly saturate as evidenced by the latest MHX sounding showing a PWAT increase of 3/4" from this morning.
Additionally, an approaching southerly LLJ will result in strong low level theta-e advection later tonight which will prompt the development of increased shower activity. The greatest coverage and intensity will remain along and east of the US 17 corridor sufficient instability could produce a few thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall. Further inland, lack of forcing will limit precip coverage through the early morning hours, but saturated boundary layer and modest diurnal cooling will result in lowering stratus, potentially building to the surface at times as fog, which could be locally dense.

Temperatures remain steady this evening as WAA increases. Some limited cooling is possible overnight, but if this trend continues it will be a very mild December night with readings remaining in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
As of 2 PM Fri...LLJ will shift over the OBX in the morning, then offshore by midday as we become firmly entrenched within the warm sector of complex low pressure developing across the Southeast. While ample deep moisture will remain in place (PWATs near 1.5 in), a lack of dominate forcing mechanism will likely limit the precip coverage, and little more than low end chance POPs are justified through the day with only modest instability in place. Overcast skies continue with temps climbing near 10 deg above normal given the strong low level WAA.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 2 PM Friday...Several lows will move across NC during the long term and bring multiple chances for showers and some thunder.

Sunday...Heights fall on Sunday as the trough over the Plains draws closer and develops a double barrel low. Several surface lows will move across North Carolina and sustain Chance to Likely PoPs across the FA with a continued chance for thunder mainly east of HWY 17. Highs once again near 70.

Monday - Thursday...Two more mid-level troughs and surface cold fronts will traverse the area late Monday and Wednesday afternoon.
The highest PoPs associated with these FROPAs will be along the immediate coast with the majority of the coastal plain remaining dry. Winds will be gustier Wednesday (10-15 mph, gusts 20 mph)
as the strongest front of the period crosses ENC. High temps will progressively drop through the week (60s on Monday and low 50s by Thursday). The next chance for near or below freezing lows will be Wednesday and Thursday night.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through This Evening/...
As of 1245 AM Sat...An extended period of sub-VFR conditions are expected through at least midday today. After a brief period of VFR this afternoon and early evening, a return to sub-VFR conditions is likely again tonight into Sunday morning.

Varying conditions across the terminals now with low end MVFR cigs, with some IFR mixed in, far inland terminals, to mainly VFR along the coast. Expect deteriorating conditions through 12Z, with widespread MVFR lowering to IFR conditions by 12Z all terminals, mainly due to low CIGS. Some fog possible, especially KISO and KPGV. A slow improvement is expected toward late morning, but MVFR cigs may hold tough especially at KPGV through afternoon.

With a moist conditions lingering through tonight, sub VFR conditions return all terminals after 06Z.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 1 PM Fri...Sub-VFR conditions are possible at several times during the long term due to continuous low pressure systems moving through the area. Chance to Likely rainfall will bring additional impacts Saturday night. After the ground becomes saturated, early morning fog will be more likely.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 730 PM Fri...There is potential for some marine fog to develop across coastal waters north of Cape Hatteras as well as the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds early tomorrow morning due to a highly saturated boundary layer and very similar water and air temps. There is potential for this fog to become locally dense, as well as a chance that not much fog materializes at all.

This evening, an approaching southerly LLJ will accelerate the warm front onshore, and breezy southerly winds will ensue. Winds will mainly be 15 to 20 kt through much of the night, with gusts to 25 kt mainly focused near the western wall of the Gulf Stream beyond 10-15 nm offshore near and south of Cape Hatteras.
LLJ pushes further offshore Saturday with SW winds trending more moderate in the morning through afternoon.

Southerly wind swell raises seas rapidly this evening, to 4 to 6 ft through the early morning hours. Then, conversely, seas fall quickly through the day Saturday as southerly windswell fades, back to 2-4 ft by late afternoon.

LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 2 PM Friday...Generally 10-20 kt winds out of the SSW with gusts nearing SCA by early Sunday morning. SCA conditions seem more likely later Monday and into Tuesday with NW winds 10-20 kt and 25+ kt gusts across zones south of Cape Hatteras.
Conditions improve Tuesday as winds back to the southwest (10-15 kt) and seas drop to 2-3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ152- 154-156-158.

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Hatteras (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:08 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:39 AM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:51 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:09 PM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:01 PM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hatteras (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet

Hatteras Inlet
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Fri -- 03:47 AM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:10 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:51 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:39 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:41 PM EST     1.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hatteras Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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