Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Minnesott Beach, NC
March 29, 2024 4:19 AM EDT (08:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 7:28 PM Moonrise 10:57 PM Moonset 8:02 AM |
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 404 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning - .
Today - NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt early this afternoon, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop early this afternoon, then increasing to choppy late.
Tonight - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat night - SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sun - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Tue - SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough. A chance of showers after midnight.
AMZ100 404 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A coastal low north of us with a tightening pressure gradient will impact the area through Friday bringing the potental for small craft force winds and high seas. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely in middle of next week.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 290629 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 229 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
A coastal low will move along the Crystal Coast today, followed quickly by a cold front passage. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 200 AM Friday...No major changes to the forecast with this update. Patchy dense fog amidst light to calm winds and clear skies has built into the coastal plain, and a SPS is in place until 4AM. We are now rain- free as dry air advection kicks in behind the cold front.
As of 7 PM Thursday...Things are starting to quiet down as the surface low moves further offshore. After a very soggy day, the only remaining showers reside over the eastern portion of the CWA Satellite imagery shows much drier air moving in behind these showers as high pressure builds north from the Gulf states. The pressure gradient between the building high and departing low should generate enough wind overnight to keep us mixed and avoid fog.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/
As of 145 PM Thursday...
The flow on Friday will become westerly in the wake of today's coastal low. A downsloping flow, plenty of sunshine, and improved mixing will support warm and breezy conditions. BUFKIT momentum transfer guidance suggests wind gusts could top out in the 25-30+ mph range. This is a bit higher than the previous forecast. Given the additional warming and mixing associated with the downsloping flow, the increase in winds seems reasonable, so I bumped winds and temps up a bit.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 330 AM Thurs...High pressure remains in place through the weekend resulting in benign weather across ENC. Next potential frontal boundary then impacts the area early to mid week next week.
Friday night through Sunday... Upper level trough will be to the north and east of the Carolinas to start the period and continue to push further away while zonal flow sets up aloft through Sat before broad upper ridging extends over ENC on Sun.
At the surface, a ridge of high pressure builds in from the south and west and extends over the Carolinas to start our weekend.
Zonal flow remains overhead on Sat with a weak mid level shortwave riding along this flow to our north. At the surface associated frontal boundary will be located to the north with a weak low riding E'wards along the front while surface ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas. While we expect to remain precip free on Sat some additional cloud cover may begin to sneak into our northern zones Sat afternoon and evening, though with breezy SW'rly surface winds and increasing low level thicknesses expecting a rather pleasant day overall with high temps getting into the mid 70s inland and upper 60s along the OBX, while lows remain rather warm Sat night only getting down into the mid 50s. As we step into Sunday upper ridging briefly builds overhead as a positively tilted upper trough begins to dig into the western CONUS. At the surface, ridging begins to slide off to the east while pesky surface front to our north dips slightly S'wards nearing the CWA Sun evening with yet another weak surface low riding E'wards along the boundary, this will allow additional cloud cover to build further south across the area, though we expect to generally remain precip free Sun as well. Highs get into the low 80s inland and near 70 across the OBX.
Monday through midweek next week...Upper level trough quickly pushes E'wards nearing the Eastern Seaboard by midweek.
Associated low and cold front also quickly march E'wards on Mon bringing our next best threat for precip on Tue. Front quickly pushes offshore by Wed with fair weather forecast to return from Wed onwards. Temps generally remain above avg on Mon and Tue with near avg temps forecast behind the frontal passage on Wed.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 200 AM Friday...Clear skies and winds calmer than expected have resulted in patchy IFR to LIFR dense fog for the coastal plain early this morning. Fog chances drop quickly as we approach daybreak, leaving for VFR conditions through Friday.
Downsloping winds could get gusty at times with ample mixing of higher momentum air aloft during the daytime Friday. Current forecast calls for westerly gusts near 25kts in the coastal plain.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 330 AM Thurs...Expecting predominantly VFR conditions through much of the period as high pressure ridging builds in from the south. We will see some gusty W to SW'rly winds in the afternoon on Sat with gusts above 20 kts possible, as the pressure gradient takes a few days to relax behind a departing low pressure system. Next potential threat for some sub-VFR ceilings or vis look to be Mon night into Tues with the approach of our next frontal boundary.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 200 AM Friday...Coastal low has lifted east of the delmarva peninsula, strengthening later than anticipated. This has resulted in winds under performing, near 25kts for coastal waters and sounds. Have dropped all gale warnings with this update, and replaced them with SCA's. Dropped the SCA's for Neuse and Pamlico rivers. SCA's for Alligator river and the sounds will drop this morning, with coastal waters SCA continuing with 6+ ft seas going into the weekend. Winds are currently NW'rly 10-20G25kts for waters, and seas are 4-7 ft.
Winds will build again on Friday as a second surge of west/northwest winds develops associated with a renewed tightening of the pressure gradient.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 330AM Thursday...Marine headlines quickly drop from W to E Sat into Sun as winds ease further with winds becoming SW'rly and decreasing down to 5-15 kts by Sun and generally remain around these speeds through early next week. Seas start out around 6-9 ft on Fri but then quickly lower with the lighter winds on Sat down to 4-7 ft with seas forecast to fall to 2-5 ft by Sun.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 245 PM Wednesday...
Winds have finally begun to respond to low pressure deepening offshore this afternoon. With the increase in winds, soundside water levels are beginning to rise across Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands. Water levels are rising earlier than anticipated, therefore with this update, we'll start the Coastal Flood Advisory now (instead of the original 8pm start time). The overall spirit of the forecast hasn't changed, though, and for now we still anticipate minor coastal flooding impacts for soundside locations of Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands.
As the low pulls away, another round of large, breaking waves and ocean overwash will impact oceanside areas from Ocracoke north through the Northern Outer Banks. Though seas are quite a bit lower this morning, generally around 5-6 ft across the Northern Outer Banks and down towards Ocracoke., seas will rapidly increase this afternoon with long period 5-9 ft seas forecast. As a result have kept the high surf advisory in effect through Friday morning. After Friday morning aforementioned low pressure will quickly pull away from the area resulting in seas lowering down to 4-6 ft and thus ending the high surf threat.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NCZ203-205.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for AMZ131- 230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 229 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
A coastal low will move along the Crystal Coast today, followed quickly by a cold front passage. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 200 AM Friday...No major changes to the forecast with this update. Patchy dense fog amidst light to calm winds and clear skies has built into the coastal plain, and a SPS is in place until 4AM. We are now rain- free as dry air advection kicks in behind the cold front.
As of 7 PM Thursday...Things are starting to quiet down as the surface low moves further offshore. After a very soggy day, the only remaining showers reside over the eastern portion of the CWA Satellite imagery shows much drier air moving in behind these showers as high pressure builds north from the Gulf states. The pressure gradient between the building high and departing low should generate enough wind overnight to keep us mixed and avoid fog.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/
As of 145 PM Thursday...
The flow on Friday will become westerly in the wake of today's coastal low. A downsloping flow, plenty of sunshine, and improved mixing will support warm and breezy conditions. BUFKIT momentum transfer guidance suggests wind gusts could top out in the 25-30+ mph range. This is a bit higher than the previous forecast. Given the additional warming and mixing associated with the downsloping flow, the increase in winds seems reasonable, so I bumped winds and temps up a bit.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 330 AM Thurs...High pressure remains in place through the weekend resulting in benign weather across ENC. Next potential frontal boundary then impacts the area early to mid week next week.
Friday night through Sunday... Upper level trough will be to the north and east of the Carolinas to start the period and continue to push further away while zonal flow sets up aloft through Sat before broad upper ridging extends over ENC on Sun.
At the surface, a ridge of high pressure builds in from the south and west and extends over the Carolinas to start our weekend.
Zonal flow remains overhead on Sat with a weak mid level shortwave riding along this flow to our north. At the surface associated frontal boundary will be located to the north with a weak low riding E'wards along the front while surface ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas. While we expect to remain precip free on Sat some additional cloud cover may begin to sneak into our northern zones Sat afternoon and evening, though with breezy SW'rly surface winds and increasing low level thicknesses expecting a rather pleasant day overall with high temps getting into the mid 70s inland and upper 60s along the OBX, while lows remain rather warm Sat night only getting down into the mid 50s. As we step into Sunday upper ridging briefly builds overhead as a positively tilted upper trough begins to dig into the western CONUS. At the surface, ridging begins to slide off to the east while pesky surface front to our north dips slightly S'wards nearing the CWA Sun evening with yet another weak surface low riding E'wards along the boundary, this will allow additional cloud cover to build further south across the area, though we expect to generally remain precip free Sun as well. Highs get into the low 80s inland and near 70 across the OBX.
Monday through midweek next week...Upper level trough quickly pushes E'wards nearing the Eastern Seaboard by midweek.
Associated low and cold front also quickly march E'wards on Mon bringing our next best threat for precip on Tue. Front quickly pushes offshore by Wed with fair weather forecast to return from Wed onwards. Temps generally remain above avg on Mon and Tue with near avg temps forecast behind the frontal passage on Wed.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 200 AM Friday...Clear skies and winds calmer than expected have resulted in patchy IFR to LIFR dense fog for the coastal plain early this morning. Fog chances drop quickly as we approach daybreak, leaving for VFR conditions through Friday.
Downsloping winds could get gusty at times with ample mixing of higher momentum air aloft during the daytime Friday. Current forecast calls for westerly gusts near 25kts in the coastal plain.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 330 AM Thurs...Expecting predominantly VFR conditions through much of the period as high pressure ridging builds in from the south. We will see some gusty W to SW'rly winds in the afternoon on Sat with gusts above 20 kts possible, as the pressure gradient takes a few days to relax behind a departing low pressure system. Next potential threat for some sub-VFR ceilings or vis look to be Mon night into Tues with the approach of our next frontal boundary.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 200 AM Friday...Coastal low has lifted east of the delmarva peninsula, strengthening later than anticipated. This has resulted in winds under performing, near 25kts for coastal waters and sounds. Have dropped all gale warnings with this update, and replaced them with SCA's. Dropped the SCA's for Neuse and Pamlico rivers. SCA's for Alligator river and the sounds will drop this morning, with coastal waters SCA continuing with 6+ ft seas going into the weekend. Winds are currently NW'rly 10-20G25kts for waters, and seas are 4-7 ft.
Winds will build again on Friday as a second surge of west/northwest winds develops associated with a renewed tightening of the pressure gradient.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 330AM Thursday...Marine headlines quickly drop from W to E Sat into Sun as winds ease further with winds becoming SW'rly and decreasing down to 5-15 kts by Sun and generally remain around these speeds through early next week. Seas start out around 6-9 ft on Fri but then quickly lower with the lighter winds on Sat down to 4-7 ft with seas forecast to fall to 2-5 ft by Sun.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 245 PM Wednesday...
Winds have finally begun to respond to low pressure deepening offshore this afternoon. With the increase in winds, soundside water levels are beginning to rise across Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands. Water levels are rising earlier than anticipated, therefore with this update, we'll start the Coastal Flood Advisory now (instead of the original 8pm start time). The overall spirit of the forecast hasn't changed, though, and for now we still anticipate minor coastal flooding impacts for soundside locations of Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands.
As the low pulls away, another round of large, breaking waves and ocean overwash will impact oceanside areas from Ocracoke north through the Northern Outer Banks. Though seas are quite a bit lower this morning, generally around 5-6 ft across the Northern Outer Banks and down towards Ocracoke., seas will rapidly increase this afternoon with long period 5-9 ft seas forecast. As a result have kept the high surf advisory in effect through Friday morning. After Friday morning aforementioned low pressure will quickly pull away from the area resulting in seas lowering down to 4-6 ft and thus ending the high surf threat.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NCZ203-205.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for AMZ131- 230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC | 21 mi | 50 min | NNW 8G | 46°F | 56°F | 29.97 | ||
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC | 31 mi | 80 min | NW 13G | 49°F | 30.00 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KNKT CHERRY POINT MCAS /CUNNINGHAM FIELD/,NC | 6 sm | 23 min | W 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 43°F | 39°F | 87% | 30.01 | |
KEWN COASTAL CAROLINA REGIONAL,NC | 11 sm | 25 min | W 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 43°F | 93% | 30.01 | |
KMRH MICHAEL J SMITH FIELD,NC | 21 sm | 21 min | NW 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 43°F | 87% | 30.00 | |
KNJM BOGUE FIELD MCALF,NC | 22 sm | 22 min | WNW 04 | 6 sm | Clear | Mist | 45°F | 43°F | 93% | 30.02 |
Tide / Current for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 12:08 PM EDT 1.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 PM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 12:08 PM EDT 1.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 PM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
2.2 |
1 am |
2.1 |
2 am |
1.7 |
3 am |
1.3 |
4 am |
0.8 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.3 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
1.4 |
11 am |
1.7 |
12 pm |
1.9 |
1 pm |
1.8 |
2 pm |
1.6 |
3 pm |
1.2 |
4 pm |
0.8 |
5 pm |
0.4 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
0.3 |
8 pm |
0.6 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
1.5 |
11 pm |
2 |
Newport River
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:12 AM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:52 AM EDT 2.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:04 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:12 AM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:52 AM EDT 2.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:04 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
3.3 |
1 am |
3 |
2 am |
2.4 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.1 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
0.4 |
7 am |
0.5 |
8 am |
0.9 |
9 am |
1.6 |
10 am |
2.2 |
11 am |
2.7 |
12 pm |
2.8 |
1 pm |
2.6 |
2 pm |
2.2 |
3 pm |
1.6 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
0.5 |
6 pm |
0.3 |
7 pm |
0.5 |
8 pm |
1 |
9 pm |
1.7 |
10 pm |
2.5 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Morehead City, NC,
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