Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Minnesott Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:30PM Saturday January 25, 2020 3:10 AM EST (08:10 UTC) Moonrise 7:52AMMoonset 6:17PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 258 Am Est Sat Jan 25 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Today..SE winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of rain.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minnesott Beach, NC
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location: 34.98, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 250611 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 111 AM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area late tonight into early Saturday morning. High pressure then builds in behind the front for the second half of the weekend. Fast moving low pressure may bring rain for Monday before high pressure builds back in through mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 110 AM Saturday . Broken line of convection moving into our western CWA early this morning as cold front quickly moves across the area. Prefrontal showers continue near the coast. Some weak instability and decent shear continues ahead of the front and there continues to be a small window for brief strong to severe cells or an isolated tornado through daybreak, but overall threat is marginal. No major changes to overall forecast with forecast lows in the low/mid 50s with SE/S wind flow and cloud cover/precipitation.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/. As of 230 PM Friday . Band of shra and isold tsra will grad move off the coast thru the morning as cold front crosses. Cont high pops imd cst early with all precip gone by noon. Mdls show rapid drying behind rain shield with skies becoming msunny quickly as rain ends. With limited CAA will be another mild day with highs in the 60s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 310 PM Friday . A return to seasonably cool weather Sunday through the mid week period. Fast moving low pressure may bring some rain to the area on Monday and again late Wednesday, with dry high pressure Tuesday.

Saturday night through Sunday . Cold front will be well offshore by Saturday evening with broad ridge building in from the southwest, with quasi-zonal flow aloft. Near normal temps expected with highs in the 50s, lows in the 30s inland to low 40s coast.

Monday . Guidance continues to indicate a fast moving low pressure area embedded in a progressive shortwave trough that will bring some rain to the region Monday. Precipitation amounts will remain low, generally around a tenth of an inch or less. Clouds and precip will inhibit strong insolation, holding temps in the low 50s area-wide.

Tuesday through Friday . A tricky forecast this period as flow will continue to be progressive with quasi-zonal flow in place. Guidance indicate another southern stream shortwave trough moves through the Deep South states Tuesday night, with modest mid/upper level support to initiate cyclogenesis over the SE CONUS Wednesday. Will maintain slight to chance PoPs this period. Temps will continue near climo, with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through 06Z Sunday/ . As of 110 AM Saturday . MVFR/IFR conditions expected through the next few hours as line of showers and isolated storms moves across the region through daybreak. Precipitation quickly exits the area after 12z, with a quick return to VFR conditions and gusty W/WSW winds behind the front as skies clear.

Long Term /Saturday night through Wed/ . As of 305 PM Friday . VFR conditions expected through the period. A brief period of MVFR ceilings will be possible Monday as a weak area of low pressure crosses through the area. A return to VFR expected Tuesday and Wednesday with high pressure in control.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sat/ . As of 110 AM Saturday . No major changes to the marine forecast as winds continue SE at 10-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots early this morning with seas 5-8 feet. As front crosses Sat the gusty SSW winds early will become W 10 to 15 kt. Seas will build to 7 to 11 ft late tonight in combo of E swell and developing wind wave. The rough seas will slowly subside to 5 to 8 ft late Sat. Cont SCA all cstl wtrs and briefly for Pamlico Sound late tonight and Sat morn when prefrontal S winds peak.

Long Term /Saturday night through Wed/ . As of 310 PM Friday . Winds veer westerly Saturday night and diminish to 10-15 kt through Monday. Seas peak at 6-8 ft Sat night then subside to 3-5 ft by Sunday afternoon. No change to ongoing SCA headlines at this time. A weak area of low pressure will move through the waters Monday with high pressure building in from the southwest on Tuesday, helping to shift winds more NNW at 10-15 kt. Another area of low pressure will approach the waters from the west on Wednesday, shifting the winds more NE but remaining 10-15 kt. Seas Tues-Wed will subside from 2-4 ft to 1-3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . CTC/TL/MS MARINE . RF/CTC/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi76 min SSE 11 G 14 60°F 50°F1013.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 31 mi70 min SSE 17 G 18 62°F 1014.2 hPa (-2.4)62°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC8 mi76 minS 910.00 miOvercast66°F57°F75%1013.6 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC12 mi76 minS 1110.00 miLight Rain61°F57°F87%1013.6 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi72 minSSE 1410.00 miLight Rain63°F57°F84%1013.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC22 mi73 minSW 9 miRain61°F59°F93%1014.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N4NE3CalmNE4NE6NE4NE6E5NE9NE6NE6SE14NE7E3E4SE5SE5SE8SE8SE7S10S9S9
1 day agoN7N9N8N8N9N9N9NE9NE10NE10NE10NE8NE10NE9NE9NE7NE7NE8NE3NE4N5N4N5N3
2 days agoN17N18N15N17
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N17N16NE15N11N11N14NE14N15N12N13N12NE13NE7N8N8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:59 AM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:48 PM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:17 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:26 PM EST     1.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.2-0.1-0.3-0.10.30.91.522.22.11.81.30.70.2-0.1-0.200.511.51.71.71.5

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:42 AM EST     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:54 AM EST     3.26 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:31 PM EST     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:17 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:10 PM EST     2.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.1-0.3-0.4-00.71.62.53.13.332.51.70.90.2-0.2-0.20.20.91.72.42.62.52.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.