Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Minnesott Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:58PM Thursday December 12, 2019 3:24 AM EST (08:24 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 7:22AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 300 Am Est Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday evening...
Today..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minnesott Beach, NC
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location: 34.98, -76.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 120617 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 117 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build south from the Great Lakes through Friday. Another cold front will cross the area Friday night and move offshore early Saturday. High pressure will then build over the region Sunday into Monday of next week. Another front will impact the area early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 115 AM Thurs . High pressure will continue to ridge down from the north overnight, as the area remains under a subtle upper level trough. CAA will continue and now that skies have cleared temps have dropped a few degrees fairly quickly. Inland areas remain decoupled, so expect low temps into the upper 20s inland, the low to mid 30s a bit further east, and upper 30s to low 40s right along the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. As of 310 PM Wednesday . Strong high pressure will pass by our region to the north during the day Thursday. Despite plenty of sunshine, low-level thickness values only support high temperatures that are similar to just a few degrees warmer than today, with mid/upper 40s inland and low/mid 50s along the immediate coast. Moderate winds continue inland during the day Thursday with gusty winds near the coast. Per latest high- resolution guidance, a stray shower or two may skirt the Outer Banks later in the day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 310 PM Wed . Periods of unsettled weather expected through the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected to continue.

Thursday night . Thursday night will exhibit a non-diurnal temp curve, with lows likely being realized before midnight, thereafter clouds and increasing TD's ahead of next system will bring temps up towards daybreak, esp near the coast. There may even be a stray shower that brushes the OBX zones late overnight Thursday.

Friday through Saturday . Rain chances inc Fri as deep srly flow increases with digging long wave trough across the lower MS River Valley, which will spur low pressure development over the deep south. This low will ride up the coast rapidly, with rain becoming likely through the day Fri, peaking Fri evening when best UVV/Fgen/PWATS will converge. Maintained the categorical pops this period, as good model to model consistency as well as spaghetti ensembles converging on this solution. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible. Depending on exact track of the low, there could be potential for strong to even severe storms if storm track is further inland. Latest 11/00Z ECM continues to indicate aoa 500 J/KG of sfc based capes advecting into the area with plentiful shear overnight Friday. Upr trough will still be west of the region though deepest moisture will be offshore Sat morning. Could be quite a bit of showers around first half of Sat due to good forcing with upr trough, and have a likely pop for most of the area early, with rapid drying later in the day. It will be mild both days with highs in the 60s.

Sunday through Monday . Drier conditions with near to above normal temps expected late weekend to early next week as quasi zonal flow develops.

Tuesday . Next potent cold front and possible low pressure system quickly advance towards the region by Mon night or Tue, and introduced high chc pops to account for this. Continued warm as swrly flow ahead of the system will be present.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Friday Morning/ . As of 115 AM Thurs . VFR conditions are expected for most of the TAF period. Skies will remain mostly clear this morning, and through this evening, with some occasionally strong northerly winds. As a storm system approaches the area late tonight, clouds will increase, and will likely drop to MVFR levels at some point early Friday morning.

Long Term /Thursday Night through Monday/ . As of 310 PM Wed . Some increase in clouds on Thurs night ahead of next system. The low pressure area will quickly advance in on Friday, with sub VFR expected possibly into Sat morning with widespread rain showers and low clouds. Return to VFR later Sat into Sun.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Thursday/ . As of 915 PM Wednesday . Gusty N/NNE winds continue on the coastal waters early this evening with a few gusts around 25 kt. Seas continue in the 4-7 foot range. Winds on the Sounds are currently 10-20 knots, but should ramp up after midnight as latest 3km NAM and HRRR show another CAA surge developing and persisting through early afternoon Thursday. Issued a SCA earlier for the Pamlico, Albemarle, Roanoke and Croatan Sounds and the Alligator River for the late tonight through Thursday afternoon period. There may be somewhat of a lull in the winds over the northern coastal waters this evening as well, before ramping up again after midnight in the aforementioned surge.

Long Term /Thu Night through Monday/ . As of 315 PM Wed . No changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the end of the week and into the weekend which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. Winds will continue N 15-25 kt with large dangerous seas continuing above 6 ft will persist through at least Sat as yet another storm system moves through the waters Fri night and Sat with winds switching to srly and swrly 15-25 kt with higher gusts.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ131- 135-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . TL/SGK MARINE . JME/CTC/TL/MS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi55 min N 9.9 G 13
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 31 mi85 min N 13 G 15 43°F 1034.2 hPa (+0.6)37°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC8 mi31 minN 810.00 miFair40°F27°F60%1034.4 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC12 mi31 minNNE 710.00 miFair35°F26°F70%1035.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi87 minN 610.00 miFair38°F32°F79%1033.8 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC22 mi89 minN 1210.00 miFair44°F27°F51%1033.9 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC22 mi88 minN 510.00 miFair38°F30°F76%1034.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW10
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S14SW13NW9W5N11N13NW16
2 days agoSW8NW5N4CalmNE3CalmS5S6SW9SW9S5SW7S7S7S7S8S8S10S10SW12SW10SW9SW11SW12
G22

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 02:22 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:31 AM EST     2.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:18 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:52 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.2-0.1-00.30.91.62.12.42.52.21.71.20.60.2-000.40.91.51.821.81.4

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 02:05 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:20 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:15 AM EST     3.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:01 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:36 PM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.1-0.10.10.71.62.63.33.73.63.12.41.50.70.2-00.20.81.62.42.82.92.61.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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