Friday, September25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:00PM Friday September 25, 2020 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC) Moonrise 2:46PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 306 Pm Edt Fri Sep 25 2020
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 251959 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. The remnants of Beta will reach the Carolinas today leading to periods of rain lasting into Saturday. A cold front will slowly approach the area early next week, moving through mid week. Cooler high pressure will build in late week and next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 330 PM Friday . Patchy light to moderate rain continues to moves from southwest to northeast across our southern and western CWA at late afternoon. Latest infrared satellite showing some colder cloud tops in eastern SC and there is a small window for some locally strong storms with heavy downpours after about 6 pm into late evening. There will be decent shear, but instability will be rather limiting to any sustained severe weather threat. With precipitable water values approaching 2 inches, heavy downpours that could produce localized flooding is possible. The convective threat should wane by midnight with more of a good coverage of stratiform rain through the overnight hours. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. As of 345 PM Friday . A decent coverage of mostly light to moderate rain will continue Saturday morning in all areas and during the afternoon along the Outer Banks, before ending in the evening as the surface low associated with the remnants of Beta moves along the NC coast and to our north late in the day. PoPs will be likely near the coast for much of the day. High temperatures will be quite warm given SE/S winds, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 350 PM Fri . Unsettled with temps near or slightly above climo for the first several days of the period, then cooler and drier late next week.

Saturday Night through Sunday . Upper ridge will briefly build over the area Sat night and Sun, with models hinting at weak coastal trough development just off the coast. Expecting only isolated to widely scattered showers/tstms Sun. Temps near to slightly above normal this weekend, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s Sat and low to mid 80s Sun.

Monday through Thursday . The upper flow is forecast to become more amplified next week with an Eastern upper trough developing. The leading edge of the trough will be associated with a strong surface cold front which will move slowly across the Mid Atlantic, producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. Good amt of model spread and uncertainty this morning. Models now much slower with the frontal passage. The EC is much more robust developing a strong sfc and upper low, while the GFS is about 24 hr faster and weaker with the system. Right now best precip chances look like Tuesday, so increased pops a bit. Drier and cooler air will filter in behind the front late week with troughing aloft and sfc high building in. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s through Wed and cooling a few deg back into the 70s Thu and Fri.

AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Saturday/ . As of 110 PM Friday . A mixed bag of aviation conditions across the area at early afternoon with IFR conditions inland at KPGV and KISO and VFR conditions at KEWN/KOAJ. Will forecast a continuation of lower ceilings inland and will show lower ceilings after 00z for the eastern TAF sites and moisture increases and cloud heights lower. Will forecast a period of widespread IFR ceilings in the morning in showers. Will show some improvement by mid-morning at KPGV, but ceilings remain MVFR/IFR at the other three sites through early afternoon Saturday.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 350 PM Fri . Widespread sub-VFR conditions likely through Sunday morning, mainly in the form of low ceilings though patchy fog will be possible inland Sunday morning. Showers and isolated tstms becoming more isolated Sunday and Monday. Conditions will be improving Sunday with pred VFR returning and should continue into Mon. Sub-VFR chances increase Tue as front approaches the area.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Saturday/ . As of 350 PM Friday . Winds are more ENE/E over the northern tier and SE/S over the southern tier at late afternoon with winds speeds of 5-15 knots. Seas continue 2-3 feet with some 10-13 second swell periods. Winds Saturday will be SE/S 5-15 knots with seas 2-4 feet.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 4 PM Friday . Sunday still looks like the best boating day with winds generally 10 kt or less and seas 2-4 ft. A cold front will slowly approach the waters early next week, likely not pushing through until mid week. S/SW winds 5-15 kt Mon and 10-15 kt Tue. Periods of gusty S/SW winds 15-20 kt expected ahead of the front Tue night through Wed night. There is potential for a period of SCA conditions mid week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . CQD AVIATION . CTC/CQD MARINE . CTC/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi61 min E 7 G 8.9 73°F 73°F1017.6 hPa (-0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi61 min E 8 G 8.9 74°F 1017.2 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi2.1 hrsESE 810.00 miOvercast73°F70°F90%1017.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi67 minENE 48.00 miLight Rain73°F71°F94%1016.9 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi67 minE 510.00 miLight Rain71°F70°F96%1016.9 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi63 minE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F73°F97%1017 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE6NE5NE6NE5NE5NE6E5NE5NE8NE7NE7NE7NE8E10NE10E11E10E10E11E7E6SE8E9
1 day agoSW5SW3SW4W4SW4SW3S3SW4S4SW3--SW4CalmW4W4NW6NW5W5NW5SW3N6E7E6--
2 days ago----------------------------W8W8W6W8W6W7W6SW5W5SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:29 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:51 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:40 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.51.821.91.71.410.60.50.50.71.11.622.32.42.321.61.10.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:12 AM EDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:51 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:50 PM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.81.21.51.71.71.51.20.90.60.40.40.50.91.31.722.121.71.410.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.