Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday July 2, 2020 4:12 PM EDT (20:12 UTC) Moonrise 5:08PMMoonset 2:37AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 303 Pm Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms early this evening.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 021943 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 343 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the area through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 310 PM Thurs . A few showers and thunderstorms may still pop up later this afternoon as a tardy sea breeze develops late today. Coverage is not expected to be very high at this point, however, and dry weather will likely prevail through tomorrow morning. With subsidence building from the west, we can expect mostly clear tonight with a few clouds possible. Nudged temps down a degree in some places in anticipation for somewhat decent radiational cooling tonight. Some patchy light fog is possible overnight at locations that see rain today, though confidence remains low. Overnight lows around the upper- 60s to low-70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. As of 320 PM Thurs . Strong ridge of high pressure continues to build in the central US and into NC. We'll start with a light NNW flow that will attempt to fend off sea breeze development in the early afternoon. Some weak high pressure will develop along the SE coast during the day and turn winds more southerly later in the afternoon and could encourage a late-day seabreeze to develop. While an isolated shower cannot be ruled out along the sea breeze, forecast soundings show a dry profile tomorrow, thus any precip mention has been left out for the time being. Mostly sunny tomorrow with highs into the low-90s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 315 AM Thursday . Upper ridging will extend east into the Saturday. Bermuda high pressure to the east re- establishes itself on Sunday, before low pressure forms over the Deep South late in the weekend then moves along or off the NC coast early next week.

Friday through Saturday . Upper level heights rise and weak upper ridging will extend into the region Sat. Chance of late day showers and storms along the sea breeze Saturday but still not a bad fourth of July. With less precipitation coverage, highs should warm into the lower 90s for many areas Saturday.

Sunday and Sunday night . Bermuda high pressure will temporarily build into the region Sunday as the front dissipates over the region. This will lead to warm humid conditions with scattered sea breeze activity in the late day hours. Highs mainly upper 80s.

Monday through Wednesday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South Sunday which is then forecast to move near or off the NC coast early next week. The low will draw deeper moisture north into the area and thus will have high chance PoPs for Monday through Wednesday. Daytime highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s each day.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Friday/ . As of 120 PM Thurs . Pred VFR for period with a few moments of sub-VFR possible in a sct shower or thunderstorm this afternoon, but coverage is expected to remain low. Mostly clear overnight with only a slight chance for fog in areas that receive rainfall today, so have precluded any fog mention for now. Light NNE winds today will turn NNW tomorrow and stay around 10 knots and lower.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Little to no precipitation expected Friday and Saturday with mostly VFR conditions prevailing. Better rain chances return Sunday into early next week with the Bermuda high setting up to the east resulting in a good influx of Gulf Moisture. Expect mostly VFR conditions, but scattered showers and storms could lower conditions briefly Sunday and Monday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Friday/ . As of 340 PM Thurs . Nearly impeccable boating conditions continue tonight and tomorrow with light winds out of the north at 10 kts or less, turning south Friday afternoon, and seas 2-3 ft.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Benign marine conditions will continue through early next week with a generally light gradient over the region resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be mainly S/SW with the northern and portions of the central waters becoming easterly Sat and Sunday. Seas will 2-3 ft through Sunday building to 3-4 ft Mon afternoon.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . ML SHORT TERM . ML LONG TERM . JME/CTC AVIATION . JME/ML MARINE . JME/ML


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi54 min N 6 G 8.9 84°F 84°F1011.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi72 min ENE 8.9 G 11 80°F 1011.5 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi18 minNE 710.00 miFair86°F70°F59%1011.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi18 minNNE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F69°F52%1011.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE3SE4S5S4S3CalmE8E8S4S5CalmCalmS3CalmN6NE5N5N7CalmNE5NE8N10NE7
1 day agoSW4S5S4--CalmCalmNW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S5CalmS4S11NW4SW5
2 days agoN4CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmNE4N5E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E5CalmE6CalmSW7SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:28 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:19 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:35 PM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0-00.30.81.31.81.91.81.510.50.1-0.1-00.30.91.62.22.52.52.31.81.2

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:25 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:17 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.1-0-00.20.50.81.11.21.10.90.60.30.1-0.1-00.20.611.31.51.51.41.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.