Wednesday, November20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:01PM Wednesday November 20, 2019 10:32 AM EST (15:32 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:36PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1014 Am Est Wed Nov 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm est this evening through late tonight...
Rest of today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy this afternoon.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building 4 to 6 ft. NEar shore 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds, increasing to 11 seconds in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fx/fxus62.kmhx.afd.mhx.txt <- there really should be an address herer AEFXUS62 KMHX 201456 AFDMHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport Morehead City NC 956 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

SYNOPSIS High pressure will build in from the west today, and move overhead tomorrow. A cold front will move close to the area Friday, and then push through late Saturday. High pressure will build over the area late this weekend into early next week, with another front approaching the area mid week.

NEAR TERM UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING As of 950 AM Wed... The latest sfc analysis is showing the region between two systems, high pressure building into the area from the west and a low pressure system off the New England coast.

Aloft... the persisted upper-level trough that effected the east coast shifted offshore and now we are on the backside of it.

This will allow for deep NW flow to filter in and promote the atmosphere to finally dry out. Finally, ENC will see the sun today! Currently, there some low clouds over the southern counties this morning, but expect this to move offshore within the next one or so and those areas will see the Sun come out.

Based off of low level thicknesses, expect highs to range from the mid to upper 50s north and east of US 70, and the low 60s to the south and west.

SHORT TERM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY As of 230 AM Wed... High pressure will build in from the west tonight, and will be almost overhead by early Thursday morning.

Though heights will be increasing, winds should decouple inland late tonight, which will allow temps to drop into the mid to upper 30s inland, and low to mid 40s along the coast.

LONG TERM THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY As of 245 AM Wed... Unsettled weather expected Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure will build back over the area late this weekend into early next week. Another cold front will approach the area mid next week.

Thursday... Strong high pressure will build over the region through Thursday, with dry weather expected. Temperatures will be slightly below climatology, with highs 55-60 deg.Increasing clouds late Thu and Thu night ahead of approaching frontal system.

Friday through Saturday... Unsettled weather expected Friday night into Saturday night. High pressure will slide off the SE coast Fri, as frontal system approaches the area. Backdoor front will likely push south into the area Fri night and early Sat, stalling as associated low pressure lifts into the KY TN region. Portions of ENC will likely be in the warm sector by late Sat, as front lifts back north as low lifts up through the Appalachians and cold front pushes through ENC early Sun morning. Models in much better agreement and have shown pretty good run to run consistency. Will continue chance pops Sat, increasing to likely late Sat and Sat night. Fri looks like the warmest day with WSW winds, could see highs 65-70 deg for much of the area. Temps Sat will be trickier with cloud cover and placement of frontal boundary. Temps across the southern areas will likely be able to climb in the mid to upper 60s, while temps across the northern forecast area may struggle to see 60 deg.

Sunday through Wednesday... Dry weather looks to return late weekend into early next week as a cold front pushes offshore early Sun with high pres building in from the west. Slightly below normal temps expected behind the front with highs 55-60 deg through Mon and lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Highs should warm into the 60s on Tue. A cold front will approach from the west mid week, with increasing rain chances Wednesday.

AVIATION 15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY Short Term Through Thursday Morning ...

As of 950 AM Wed... Most of the TAF sites are inVFR, except for OAJ where MVFR conditions remains. KOAJ will becomeVFR within the next hour or so.VFR conditions will dominate the rest of the TAF period under mostly clear skies and NW winds 5-10 knots through this evening, then become light and calm.

Long Term Thursday through Sunday ...

As of 245 AM Wed... Expect predVFR into Fri with high pressure in control. Periods of sub-VFR possible Friday night into early Sat, with better chances late Sat and Sat night as a frontal system moves into the area. Good coverage of showers expected late Sat and Sat night. PredVFR is expected to return Sun as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE Short Term Through Tonight ...

As of 950 AM Wed... SCAs continue for the central and northern waters, with the southern waters and Pamlico Sound set to go into effect this afternoon.

The latest buoy observations are showing NW winds 16 knots or less and seas 3-5 ft. Winds will increase to NW 15-20 kts later this morning, and then strengthen a bit further this evening to 20-25 kts. Winds will then weaken slightly overnight. Seas will build to 5-7 ft later today and through most of tonight.

Long Term Thursday through Sunday ...

As of 245 AM Wed... Northerly winds 15-20 kt early Thu morning, diminishing 5-15 kt by afternoon. SCA conditions will continue north of Ocracoke into early Thu afternoon. Seas will temporarily subside to 2-4 ft late Thu, then build back to 4-7 ft late Fri and Fri night as W SW winds are forecast to increase to 15-25 kt ahead of an approaching front. On Sat expect mainly WSW SW winds 10 to 20 kts as front initially to the S begins to lift back N. The front could stall across the waters, with N NE winds behind it. A period of strong SW winds 20-30 kt will be possible again Sat night ahead of the cold front. Winds will shift to NW 15-25 kt behind the front Sun. Seas will be mainly 3 to 5 ft Sat, building to 5-8 ft Sat night into Sun.

MHX WATCHES WARNINGS ADVISORIES NC... None.

MARINE... Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 2 AM EST Thursday for AMZ135.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for AMZ150-152- 154.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for AMZ156.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Thursday for AMZ158.

SYNOPSIS... MHX NEAR TERM... BM SGK SHORT TERM... SGK LONG TERM... JME CQD AVIATION... CQD BM SGK MARINE... CQD BM SGK
Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi63 min NNW 5.1 G 8 51°F 55°F1018.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi33 min NNW 11 G 13 53°F 1018.1 hPa (+1.9)53°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi39 minNW 810.00 miFair54°F41°F62%1018.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi39 minNW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F42°F64%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN4CalmCalmNE3NW3CalmN3NW3NW3CalmCalmNW4NW3CalmW4CalmW3W4CalmNW33NW8
1 day agoNE9N3W3NW4NW7NW5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW4W4SW3W4NW4W4NW4CalmW3W5NW5NW3Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:30 AM EST     2.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:34 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:54 PM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:40 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.7221.81.410.60.40.30.40.81.31.82.12.22.11.81.30.90.40.20.10.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:24 AM EST     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:51 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:34 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:48 PM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:38 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.81.11.21.21.10.90.60.40.20.20.30.50.81.11.31.41.31.10.80.50.30.10.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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