Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:33PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 6:30 AM EST (11:30 UTC) Moonrise 9:33AMMoonset 9:08PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 627 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, except 1 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, except 1 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. NEar shore, seas 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..NE winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 280841 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 341 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge in from the northwest today, and eventually slide to the north of the area by Thursday. A storm system will develop well to the south Friday, and then another area of low pressure will form over the area on Saturday. High pressure looks to build in behind this system through Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 320 AM Tues . Showers have mostly exited off the NC coast this morning, and skies have cleared with light NW winds present. Temperatures have cooled into the low 40s, and should drop off a bit quicker now that skies have cleared (though some clouds over central NC could make their way SE over the next couple hours). Lows expected in the mid to upper 30s inland, and the low to mid 40s along the coast.

Behind this weak disturbance, high pressure will build in from the NW today, with CAA strengthening. Expect mostly sunny skies, but some cooler temps, with highs only reaching the upper 40s to low 50s across the area.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 330 AM Tues . With high pressure still ridging into the area from the NW, a quiet night is expected. Winds will remain light and could decouple in some areas. This will support low temps reaching the upper 20s to low 30s across most of Eastern NC, with the exception of the beaches and coastal areas, which will remain in the upper 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 315 AM Tue . Quiet weather will continue into Wednesday. A fast moving area of low pressure will move south of the region Wednesday night and Thursday producing some coastal showers. A more substantial area of low pressure is expected to impact the region this weekend. High pressure will build over the area late this weekend into early next week.

Wednesday through Thursday Night . Weak mid-level ridging and a large surface ridge extending south from the Great Lakes will lead to another quiet and seasonable Wednesday. A strong mid- level shortwave will dive south across the Carolinas Wednesday night and Thursday with a strong surface low forming and moving well south of our coast. Guidance indicates light precipitation possible near the coast. With the fast-moving nature of this system, will continue to keep sc/low chance pops. Low level thickness values keep temps near to a few degrees below normal both Wed and Thu with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Overnight lows dropping into the 30s inland and upper 30s to low 40s for the beaches. Friday through Sunday . Strong mid-level shortwave trough will dive across the Southeast and Southern Atlantic Coast Friday night into Saturday, as strengthening sfc low pressure is forecast to lift near the NC coast. Still some uncertainty with exact track and timing, the GFS continues to move it right along the NC coast while the ECMWF is a bit weaker and keeps it just offshore. Specifics will depend on exact low track, but there is the potential for locally heavy rain, strong winds along the coast and minor soundside water level rises. All guidance continues to show moderate to locally heavy rain developing Friday night across the area, with widespread QPF amts 0.5-1" with some higher amounts possible. Increased pops to likely. Will keep chance pops in for Saturday given the uncertainty but may end up being mostly dry to widely scattered showers depending on track and timing of the low. A period of strong WNW winds possible on the backside of the low along the coast late Saturday night into the first part of Sunday. This could lead to minor water level rises on the sound side of the Outer Banks. The low should race away from the area Saturday night Sunday, with high pressure and upper ridge building in. Mild temps expected this weekend with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the upper 30s inland to mid 40s along the beaches.

Monday and Tuesday . High pressure will build over the area from the SW Sunday night and Monday. The high will shift off the coast Monday night ahead of next approaching frontal system. Mon looks like a pleasant day with mostly sunny skies and above normal temps. Highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through Wednesday Morning/ . As of 330 AM Tues . Rain has ended across the area, and skies have cleared slowly, with VFR conditions expected through the day and tonight, with skies remaining mostly clear. Breezy conditions expected through this afternoon.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 315 AM Tue . Pred VFR conditions expected Wednesday. A few light showers may impact the eastern TAF sites Thursday with potential for brief sub-VFR conditions. Better chances for widespread sub- VFR conditions late Friday into Saturday morning as an area of low pressure is forecast to lift along or near the NC coast.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 330 AM Tues . NW winds will continue to strengthen this morning, soon becoming 15-20 kts with gusts around 25 kts later this morning. Conditions remain marginal for a Small Craft Advisory, and will not issue one at this time as the period of strongest winds appears to only be a few hours . also don't have good confidence in the wave forecast, as NWPS continues to overproduce wave heights. Seas are currently 2-4 ft, and should build to 3-5 ft later this morning, with some 6 footers possible over the outer portions of the coastal waters later today.

Winds and seas subside late this afternoon and through tonight, becoming NW 10-15 kts, and seas 2-4 ft.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 315 AM Tue . Strong winds and elevated seas possible this weekend.

NNW winds 5-15 kt continue Wed with seas 2-4 ft north of Ocracoke and 1-3 ft south. Weak low will strengthen well south of the area Wednesday night and Thursday with NNE winds increasing to 10-20 kt, strongest south of Hatteras where gradient is pinched. Seas 2-4 ft Thu. N/NE winds diminish a bit Friday 5-15 kt as weak coastal trough may develop off the coast. Will continue seas 2-4 ft, leaned more towards the EC keeping some 4 ft seas across the outer waters with persistent N/NE fetch.

Strong mid-level shortwave trough will dive across the Southeast and Southern Atlantic Coast Friday night into Saturday, as strengthening sfc low pressure is forecast to lift near the NC coast. Still some uncertainty with exact track and timing, the GFS continues to move it right along the NC coast while the ECMWF is a bit weaker and keeps it just offshore. So still a bit of uncertainty with exact wind speeds and seas, very dependent on exact track of sfc low. Increased winds and seas Saturday from previous forecast, with 6 ft+ seas developing early Sat morning. There will be potential for Gale force winds, with best chances on the backside of the low Saturday night into early Sunday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . EH/CQD AVIATION . CQD/SGK MARINE . CQD/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi49 min N 9.9 G 15 44°F 53°F1012 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi31 min NNW 16 G 19 44°F 1012.2 hPa (+1.5)44°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi37 minN 910.00 miFair40°F34°F79%1012.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi37 minN 1310.00 miFair42°F35°F76%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3SW3CalmW44NW7NW6NW7NW4NW5W3W3--W7NW6NW3NW4W3W5NW4NW8N11N9
1 day agoW4W3NW6N65W10W12
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2 days agoNW9CalmCalmSW5W12W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:03 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:00 AM EST     1.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:07 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EST     1.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.30.80.40.1-0.10.10.411.51.821.91.61.10.60.2-0-00.20.61.11.51.8

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:01 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:54 AM EST     1.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:33 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:07 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.110.80.50.20-000.30.60.91.11.21.10.90.70.40.1-0-00.10.40.71

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.