Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 7:58PM Friday August 14, 2020 1:42 PM EDT (17:42 UTC) Moonrise 12:48AMMoonset 3:37PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 1241 Pm Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
This afternoon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Tstms likely. Showers likely.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se. Waves flat. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 141658 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1258 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure off the Delmarva will continue to move slowly away from our area this afternoon. A second low will move across the area Sunday and push a cold front through the area Sunday night into Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1255 PM Friday . Some breaks have finally developed in the low deck of stratus at early afternoon and as a result, a thin line of showers has formed over the far southern CWA from Duplin County into Jones County. Additional showers and tstms are diving south into the Albemarle Sound region. With precipitable water values of over 2 inches and surface based CAPES of 1500-2000 J/kg, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon, and will keep PoPs in the low-end likely category. Heavy downpours will be likely from the stronger storms along with frequent lightning. Highs this afternoon mid/upper 80s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 320 AM Friday . The weak boundary will stall and dissipate across the area tonight. Ongoing strong convection will weaken with loss of heating in the evening and coverage will diminish. However, will still need to hang on to chance PoPs overnight as the very moist airmass remains over Eastern NC. Lows will be mainly in the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 245 AM Fri . Unsettled wet weather along with seasonable temperatures will continue through the weekend as ample mid level troughing continues and a strong northern stream upper trough moves across southern Canada and the US northern tier. At the surface a wavy cold front will move into NC Sat and stall through the weekend while a series of weak lows move along it, enhancing rainfall chances across the region. Several inches of rain will possible over this period with the potential for localized flooding, with best chances Sat and Sat night. The air mass across Eastern NC will be supportive of locally heavy rains with cyclonic flow, dewpoints in the 70s, PW values AOA 2" and sufficient instability. Will continue likely PoPs through the weekend with best chances during peak heating inland, then along the immediate coast overnights. Isolated strong storms with gusty winds will be possible Sat, but modest instability and shear should limit widespread svr threat.

The front will push through the area Sunday night and Monday morning as low pressure strengthens off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Lowered pops a bit Monday with models trending drier showing the front through the area. Weak boundary may still linger over or near the area through the week along with troughing aloft keeping it unsettled. Will keep chance pops through most of the week, with best chances mid to late week during peak heating.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /Tonight/ . As of 645 AM Friday . Widespread LIFR/IFR conditions are currently occurring early this morning mainly in low clouds as very moist air continues over the area. The clouds/fog will lift into MVFR ceilings this morning then become VFR this afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into early evening. Late tonight, guidance is again indicating that widespread low clouds and fog will develop after midnight with LIFR/IFR conditions.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 245 AM Fri . Sub-VFR conditions will be more frequent through the weekend with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially during peak heating. The greater rainfall chances increases the likelihood of patchy early morning fog and/or stratus each morning.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 1 PM Friday . Low pressure continues to move slowly northeast off the Chesapeake Region at early afternoon. Winds are generally W/WNW at 5-15 knots with seas 2-4 feet. Winds will be shifting to northerly 10-15 kt over the northern waters and portions of the central waters this afternoon. Winds are forecast to become W/NW 10-15 kt all waters overnight. Seas will continue 2-4 ft through tonight.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 245 AM Fri . A cold front is forecast to drop south into the waters Saturday, though still some uncertainty with how far south it gets, making forecasts specifics challenging. Front is likely to stall near the northern Pamlico Sound and Oregon Inlet, keeping winds north of the boundary more NE/E 10 kt or less and SW 10-20 kt south of the front. Flow becomes pred S/SW 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt Sun. Front looks like it will now push through all waters Sun night and early Mon as low strengthens off the Mid-Atlantic coast, with northerly surge around 15 kt behind it. Winds becoming NE-SE 5-10 kt Tue. Seas 2-4 ft Sat then building to 3-5 ft Sunday and Sunday night. Could see a brief period of 6 ft seas across the outer central waters. Mon and Tue seas 2-4 ft. Will likely begin to see some increasing swell energy from distant Josephine or remnants late weekend into early next week.

EQUIPMENT. As of 645 AM Friday . The ASOS temperature sensor at Frisco, NC (HSE) reports erroneously warm temperatures at times so please use the temperature data with caution. Maintenance to repair the senor is scheduled for early next week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . JME/CQD MARINE . JME/CTC/CQD EQUIPMENT . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi42 min SW 9.9 G 13 82°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi48 minW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1014.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi48 minSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F77°F80%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6SW44S4N3CalmW4CalmW4W5W4SW3SW3SW5SW3SW5SW4NW3W3NW3SW3W5W4W5
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S11S11S9S6S4SE4SE3SE3CalmCalmSE3SE3CalmNE3CalmNE4E5SE653CalmW6
2 days agoSW9
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W3CalmSE3SE5E4SE3S4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----E7SE8SE10

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:17 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:31 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:48 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.711.41.71.81.81.61.310.70.50.50.71.11.622.22.32.21.91.51.10.8

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:47 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:11 AM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:29 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:42 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.40.50.60.911.11.110.80.60.40.30.30.40.711.21.41.41.31.20.90.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.