Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:10PM Sunday September 19, 2021 10:30 AM EDT (14:30 UTC) Moonrise 5:54PMMoonset 4:17AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 625 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Today..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Waves light chop.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers, then showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Waves light chop. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 191032 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 632 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in from the north through early this week. A cold front slowly moves through on Thursday with dry high pressure building in late in the week through the weekend.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 630 AM Sun . Latest analysis shows 1026mb high pressure centered over the Great Lakes region and southern Quebec. Sfc high pressure will continue to build into the Mid-Atlantic and SE today as mid level ridging builds in from the west. Areas of fog and stratus ongoing this morning, with locally dense fog possible at times, mainly west of Hwy 17. Fog and stratus should dissipate shortly after sunrise this morning. Still looking at a mostly dry day, however could see isolated showers develop over the Albemarle Sound and adjacent areas late afternoon and early evening as a weak/dissipating front sags south into SE VA. Added a sc pop mention, per agreement in most high res guidance, generally north of Hwy 264. Low level thickness values support temps near or slightly above climo today, with highs in the low/mid 80s along the coast and mid to upper 80s inland.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 3 AM Sun . High pressure will continue to build in from the north, making for another quiet night. Isolated showers still possible through early evening across the NW coastal plain with dissipating boundary over SE VA. Lows generally 65-70 deg. Patchy fog will be possible again Monday morning.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 315 AM Sun . Dry weather to start the extended period with increasing rain chances by mid week with a strong but slow moving cold front. Above normal temps in the middle 80s through Wednesday, will cool back to near or even below seasonal norms by Thu through the weekend.

Monday through Tuesday . Mainly dry weather still expected during this time with weak ridging over our area. Slightly better chances for some sct rain showers will occur Tuesday as a veering onshore flow moistens the atmosphere, and a coastal trof provides some lift. Summer will be holding on through the period with highs in the middle 80s by day and into the upper 60s to lower 70s by night with warm and humid pattern.

Wednesday through Thursday . Some model disagreements in the speed of the next cold front, but overall thinking has not changed with regard to the Wednesday and/or Thursday time period being our best chance for rain over the next 7 days. Have inc pops through this period, with highest chances centered now on Wed night, then tapering off through the day Thu. Latest trends with 19/00Z ECM/CMC indicate a slower soln, which may have heaviest rain centered early Thursday, and have inc pops a bit into first part of Thu to account for the slower trend. The reason being is the trough deepens over the OH/MS Valleys, which slows progression of the upper low and attendant cold front, finally passing through ENC by late Thu. Periods of heavy rain possible as PW's surge to 2+ inches with deep srly flow.

Friday through Saturday . Cooler and drier air mass builds in with high pres oozing into the ern CONUS. Hts near climo or slightly below will lead to slightly lower than avg temps with highs generally around 80 and lows in the mid 50s interior to mid 60s beaches.

AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. SHORT TERM /through tonight/ . As of 630 AM Sun . High confidence in areas of fog and stratus this morning. Currently a mix of VFR and LIFR. Locally dense fog will be possible at times, esp at PGV, ISO and OAJ. Fog and stratus will begin dissipating shortly after sunrise this morning returning to VFR by 14z. Patchy fog and low stratus possible again late tonight and Monday morning.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 315 AM Sun . Mainly VFR conditions expected through Tue. Sub VFR conditions develop Wed through first part of Thu as strong and slow moving cold front approaches and moves through the region bringing periods of showers.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through Tonight/ . As of 630 AM Sun . Latest obs NW-NE winds 5-10 kt, with seas 3-5 ft north of Ocracoke and 2-4 ft south. High pressure will continue to build in from the north today and tonight. Flow becomes more NW/NE this morning, then continues to veer through the day becoming NE-E 10-15 kt. ENE-NE winds 10-15 kt continue overnight. Seas subsiding to 2-4 ft late this morning and afternoon.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 315 AM Sun . Fairly quiet and consistent conditions expected on the waters through the period, with mainly easterly component to the wind through the Tue.

Winds veer serly Wednesday ahead of a strong and slowly approaching cold front, then srly on early Thu just ahead of the front, becoming nwrly behind the front later Thu. Marginal SCA conditions may develop later Wed into Thu as winds veer to the south and inc to 15-20 kt with some higher gusts.

While beyond our marine forecast period, it should be noted that we may begin to see distant swells and higher seas after Thu with the possibility of a distant tropical system.

EQUIPMENT. As of 3 AM Sun . KMHX radar is down until further notice. Repair is scheduled for today, and hope to have it back online by late this afternoon or early evening.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ203-205. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . TL/CB AVIATION . CQD/TL MARINE . CQD/TL EQUIPMENT . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi43 min N 5.1 G 7 78°F 80°F1021.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi31 min NE 7 G 7 78°F 1020.7 hPa (+1.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi37 minN 310.00 miFair81°F72°F74%1020.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi35 minN 410.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F71°F72%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8N8N74NE6N6NE4SE5SE3SE4CalmS3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3
1 day agoN9
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N10N10NE8N9N5W6NE7E6CalmCalmCalmN3N4N4N5NW4N4N5NW4N5N3N4N8
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:36 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:26 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:47 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:48 PM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.50.20.20.511.62.12.42.42.11.61.10.60.20.20.40.91.52.12.52.62.42

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:20 AM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:45 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:42 PM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.60.30.10.10.30.611.31.51.41.310.60.30.10.10.30.611.31.51.61.4

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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