Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Bern, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 4:58PM Friday December 13, 2019 7:51 AM EST (12:51 UTC) Moonrise 6:29PMMoonset 8:24AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 652 Am Est Fri Dec 13 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Today..NE winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming se late. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers early this morning, then a chance of showers late this morning. Showers likely this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 5 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. NEar shore, seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy. Showers likely. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Bern city, NC
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location: 35.09, -77.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 131123 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 623 AM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure will develop to the south today and lift north just inland from the coast tonight. The low will continue to lift north of the region Saturday pushing a cold front through eastern North Carolina. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 620 AM Fri . Increased pops a bit quicker with higher values late today as most mdls develop good cvrg of shra this aftn.

Prev disc . Impressive upr trf will approach from the W today. A coastal trof/warm front will slowly move onshore today as low pres begins to develop to the S. There will be limited moisture over the region thru the morning with chc of shra coast and a few beginning to spread in from the W. Shra will increase in cvrg and intensity this aftn as better forcing begins to reach area with surge in moisture as warm front moves onshore. Best cvrg of rain will be over SW tier. As winds become SE along the coast later today temps will surge into the 60s while deep inland area stay in the low/mid 50s with cont NE winds. Best instab will mainly stay off the coast thru the day so will keep tsra mention out.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 230 AM Fri . Upr trf will take on slight neg tilt as cont to approach region tonight. Sfc low will lift N along coastal/warm front and expect numerous shra thru the night with bouts of moderate to ocnly heavy rain. Some high res guidance show cpl main bands of convection overnight but not confident to show this in pop trends yet. Increasing SSE flow to E of sfc low will likely result in some weak sfc based instab spreading onshore. Given good shear over region will have to watch for some potential rotating cells, but confidence in this is low given limited instab so will cont with just isold tsra mention. Could be some thunder further inland overnight as well with weak elevated instab poss so will cont tsra for all but deep inland. Temps will not drop much with lows mainly lower 50s well inland to around 60 most beaches.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 240 AM Fri . Unsettled weather will continue Saturday as a cold front crosses the region, with dry and mild conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, as well as cooler temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday.

Saturday . Active weather will continue Saturday morning, as widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms will be moving through the area ahead of a cold front. Some convective banding is possible, however most of the instability should remain just offshore limiting the severe potential, but still couldn't rule out some strong wind gusts. Have PoPs quickly decreasing by late morning as dry air quickly wraps in behind the front. As the upper level trough moves across the area in the afternoon, some pop up showers are possible across the coastal plain and a bit further east. Temperatures will start out in the upper 50s to mid 60s in the morning ahead of the front, and will remain mostly steady through the afternoon, perhaps dropping a few degrees.

Sunday and Monday . Upper level trough will move out of the region Sunday morning, with heights quickly rebounding. High pressure will move in from the west, and settle in offshore late Sunday through Monday. Expect high temps on Sunday to reach the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, and be even milder on Monday, reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Tuesday . A stronger cold front will move through the region on Tuesday afternoon ahead of a potent upper level trough. Dry conditions are expected through early morning when showers move into the area from the west. Widespread rain is expected from mid morning through at least late evening, with perhaps a few rumbles of thunder as well. Temperatures will remain mild ahead of the front, reaching the mid to upper 60s for high temps. Then behind the front, temps will quickly drop into the 50s and eventually all the way into the upper 30s to low 40s by Wednesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday . An expansive longwave trough will remain over the region for this period, leading to below average temperatures. Strong CAA will persist through at least Thursday morning, leading to high temps only reaching the mid to upper 40s Wednesday and then maybe a couple of degrees warmer Thursday.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 620 AM Fri . Tricky fcst with conditions expected to grad deteriorate today and remain mainly aob IFR tonight. First concern is spotty IFR early this morn. PGV has gone down and guidance suggests could briefly spread to other sites for a cpl more hrs. Expect period of VFR to MVFR thru morn then rain will become more widespread this aftn with widespread IFR or worse developing that will cont thru the night.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . Sub-VFR conditions expected through Saturday morning as a cold front moves through the airspace. VFR conditions then return Saturday afternoon through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves into the area and may bring another period of MVFR/IFR conditions through late Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and tonight/ . As of 620 AM Fri . Seas are remaining up central and N and added a foot or two to init waves . rest of fcst on track.

Prev disc . NE to E winds cont along the coast at 10 to 20 kts N and 15 to 25 kts S. Coastal/warm front offshore will slowly move W and onshore later today with winds becoming SE in its wake at mainly 10 to 20 kts init. As low pres lifts N along the front inland tonight SSE winds will increase over the coastal waters reaching 15 to 25 kts with outer central wtrs likely 25 to 35 kt. Seas have been slow to dissipate nrn tier and with seas expected to start building again late today went ahead and extended the SCA for nrn wtrs thru period to match central and srn wtrs. As winds increase tonight seas will build to 6 to 10 feet . highest outer central wtrs.

Long Term /Saturday Through Tuesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . Unfavorable boating conditions are expected for this weekend and for most of the upcoming week. Small craft conditions (SW winds 25-30 kts) with some gusts to Gale Force are likely Saturday through Sunday morning ahead of and behind a cold front. Then winds subside briefly Sunday through Monday morning, before increasing out of the S at 15-25 kts early Monday night. Winds 20-25 kts continue Tuesday as another cold front moves through the coastal waters.

Seas through the period will be 7-12 ft Saturday, subsiding to 5-8 ft on Sunday. Seas then briefly become 3-5 ft Sunday night and Monday, before increasing to 6-9 ft Monday night through Tuesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi57 min NNE 7 G 9.9 52°F 53°F1023.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi51 min NNE 12 G 14 53°F 1023.8 hPa (-1.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC1 mi57 minNNW 38.00 miOvercast41°F39°F96%1024.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi57 minNE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F45°F86%1023.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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NE12NE10N8N7NE7NE6N6NE4N4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3
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2 days agoSW7SW10SW15
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:05 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:21 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 09:14 AM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:02 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:28 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:38 PM EST     1.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.40-0.100.51.11.72.32.52.42.11.610.50.1-0.10.10.511.61.91.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:03 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:08 AM EST     1.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:00 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:28 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:32 PM EST     1.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.50.20-0.100.30.71.11.41.51.51.310.60.30-00.10.30.711.21.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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