Friday, January17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeton, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:22PM Friday January 17, 2020 11:22 AM EST (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 12:05AMMoonset 11:58AM Illumination 51% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 929 Am Est Fri Jan 17 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Rest of today..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 4 seconds, increasing to 9 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft after midnight. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Sun night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC
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location: 35.12, -77.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 171439 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 939 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure will build over the region today before another strong front impacts the area Saturday into early Sunday. Cold high pressure then dominates the region for early next week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 940 AM Friday . No significant changes needed to previous forecast for update this morning. Mountain cirrus continues to stream across mainly northern zones, and scu along the Outer Banks, but both should dissipate later this morning and early afternoon.

Amplified pattern continues to develop over the CONUS this morning with synoptic ridging building over the central U.S. and an upper trough digging into the Great Basin. This ridge will gradually shift east and be placed over the Carolinas by tonight with broad subsidence aloft. At the surface, strong polar high pressure was analyzed over the Great Lakes and will remain in place over the eastern CONUS for the period. CAA will continue today before subsiding tonight as upper ridge shifts overhead. With plenty of subsidence aloft expect skies to be mostly clear apart from cirrus beginning to filter in late with the next round of low pressure developing over the central CONUS, as well as typical CAA-regime stratocumulus along the Outer Banks. 1000-850mb thicknesses of around 1290 m favor highs only in the low to possibly mid 40s, and with gusty winds it will feel even colder. Strong winds over OBX will continue today and wind chills there may not crack 30.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 320 AM Friday . Winds subside tonight as upper ridge and surface high pressure shift over the Carolinas. With clear skies excellent radiational cooling conditions will initially be present and expect temperatures to rapidly fall in the early evening. Main sticking point will be the aforementioned increasing cirrus associated with central U.S. cyclogenesis which could slow or stall falling temperatures overnight. Favored coolest guidance minus a degree or so and expect most inland area lows to reach the upper 20s, low to mid 30s OBX.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 230 AM Fri . Another cold front with limited moisture will cross Sat night and early Sunday with cold high pres following most of the upcoming week.

Saturday through Sunday . High pressure will slide off the coast Saturday morning with winds veering to southerly ahead of the next front during the afternoon. The SSW winds will become quite gusty late Saturday thru Sat night . espcly coast. Clouds will increase and decks will lower through the day with a chance for some prefrontal showers in the afternoon. The best coverage for showers will occur overnight Saturday . moisture is limited and expect light QPF amounts but will cont with low likely pops Sat night. Any lingering shra coast early Sunday will push offshore by midday. Ahead of the front Sat expect highs mainly 55 to 60. The best cold air advection holds off til late Sunday and expect temps again to be in the 50s with some lower 60s south.

Monday through Thu . Arctic high pressure will establish itself over the area during the first part of next week and hold temperatures well below average. A robust shortwave will dip south Monday night into Tuesday that will need to be watched. 00Z models cont to differ with GFS/Canadian progressive with little or no chc of precip. The ECMWF conts to have a much more amplified pattern aloft resulting on some precip near imd cst Tue into early Wed. Given uncertainty will cont with just slight chc pops imd cst. Airmass is cold but appears lower lvls remain above freezing across OBX so just have rain as ptype. By Thu hgts build aloft in wake of short wave but sfc high pres cont to the W with cool NNE winds cont.

Highs Mon and Tue wl be mainly in the 40 to 45 dgr range . warming slowly to lower 50s by Thu. Lows will be in the 20s inland to 30s beaches.

AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 645 AM Friday . High cirrus continues just north of all terminals this morning but gradually dissipate in the next few hours. Main concern for the period are gusty N winds with some gusts to 20 kt likely. Mid- level clouds and cirrus coverage increase overnight as next system takes shape to the west. VFR conditions prevail through the period.

Long Term /Saturday night through Tuesday/ . As of 230 AM Fri . A few pds of sub VFR poss Sat night as cold front approaches with sct to numerous shra. VFR returns Sun as drier air grad spreads in behind front. VFR will cont Mon and Tue with cold high pres building in from the W.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 940 AM Friday . Strong northerly winds and dangerous seas continue across the waters this morning. Latest obs show N winds 20-30 kt with gusts 30-40 kt (highest north of Ocracoke). Seas currently 5-8 ft south of Ocracoke and 8-12 ft north. Gale conditions will come to an end by this afternoon as high pressure gradually shifts over the waters but seas will likely remain above 6 feet by the end of the period for all but srn waters. SCA conditions over rivers and sounds end by evening with NE winds quickly weakening to 5-10 kt.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 230 AM Fri . Winds become srly Sat as high pres slides offshore with speeds ramping up to 15 to 25 kt late. SSW winds peak 25 to 35 kts ahead of front Sat night with some Gale conditions likely. As front crosses later Sun winds become NW mainly 15 to 20 kts. N winds 15 to 20 kts Mon increase to 20 to 25 kt Tue as pres drops a bit offshore with approaching short wave. Seas of 3 to 6 ft early Sat drop below 6 ft all waters briefly mid day them ramp up to 5 to 8 ft by evening. Seas peak 8 to 12 ft outer wtrs Sat night then slowly drop to 5 to 8 ft Sun. Seas of 4 to 6 ft early Mon drop to 3 to 5 ft late. As N winds increase Tue seas build to 5 to 7 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ136- 137. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EST this evening for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ131- 230-231. Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ154. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for AMZ156-158. Gale Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ150-152.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD/MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . RF AVIATION . RF/MS MARINE . RF/CQD/MS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi52 min N 16 G 21 40°F 58°F1038 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi82 min N 22 G 26 40°F 1037.7 hPa (+3.1)26°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC3 mi28 minNNE 14 G 2110.00 miFair41°F16°F36%1038.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi88 minN 22 G 307.00 miA Few Clouds and Breezy42°F15°F33%1037.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE7E7SE53E3E4SE4SE4CalmCalmSE3CalmSW3SW6SW7SW5SW4SW5SW7SW6SW7W8W7NW7
2 days agoSW9
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W9SW7SW6SW8W6SW3CalmCalmW3S4SW4CalmSW3CalmW4CalmNW3N3NE3E6E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:51 AM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 08:26 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:56 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:11 PM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:43 PM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.921.91.510.50.1-0.1-0.10.20.71.21.61.81.81.510.50.1-0.2-0.3-00.4

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:35 AM EST     3.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 08:09 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:56 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:55 PM EST     2.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:26 PM EST     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.5332.72.11.30.60.1-0.2-00.51.322.62.72.521.30.6-0-0.4-0.30.10.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.