Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeton, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 7:50PM Thursday August 22, 2019 10:40 PM EDT (02:40 UTC) Moonrise 10:53PMMoonset 11:52AM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 956 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..N winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop after midnight. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Rain likely.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Rain likely.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. A chance of rain.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC
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location: 35.12, -77.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 230201
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1001 pm edt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north
carolina through Friday as a trough lingers well inland. A
cold front will approach the area Friday night and slowly
crosses the region Saturday. An area of low pressure will move
along the coast late weekend into early next week.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
As of 1000 pm thurs... Just some stratiform rain leftover from
fairly widespread convection this afternoon and evening. Should
remain mostly dry overnight, with some widely scattered
showers thunderstorms possible over the coast towards morning. High
pressure remains ridging offshore, and gradient between the
high and approaching cold front will keep winds elevated
tonight. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies tonight, with lows
in the mid to upper 70s.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through 6 pm Friday
As of 220 pm Thursday... A cold front will slowly approach enc
from the north with scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms developing late Friday afternoon, mainly over the
northern half of the forecast area. Temperatures will rise into
the upper 80s to lower 90s producing good instab with sfc based
capes reaching 3500 to 4000. Once again a cpl strong to severe
thunderstorms will be poss with the main threat damaging winds.

Far SRN tier... Espcly the coast... Will see little to no precip
fri.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 345 pm thu... A slow moving cold front will approach enc
Friday night, and cross through the forecast area over the
weekend, leading to another period of unsettled weather which
may continue into early next week.

Friday night... Thunderstorms will move into the NRN tier by fri
evening, and have inc pops to categorical here, as good
agreement amongst near term cam's. Pw's pool to AOA 2.5", above
climo MAX for this time of year. Therefore, have added heavy
rain wording to the northern zones where training of
thunderstorms may yield a flood concern. There will be a sharp
gradient in precip, where SRN zones may remain rain-free for
most of the night, as upr flow will be nearly parallel with the
front. Several inches of rain are certainly possible with the
heavier training cells in a short period of time.

Saturday... The front will make a slow southward progression
through enc on sat, and generally expecting fairly widespread
precip as pw's will remain above 2". Thunder will be embedded,
but instability should not be as high given the widespread
clouds and showers, though some embedded heavier convective
cells would produce a flood threat during especially the
afternoon hours, especially considering the copious amounts of
rain we have seen this past week.

Sunday through Monday... Some disagreement amongst 22 12z model
suite comes into play late weekend to early next week. The ecmwf
is advertising a possible tropical system riding nne but staying
off the nc coast Sunday night into Monday, and would act to
bring some coastal impacts, mainly in the form of heavy rain and
some gusty winds. There is some concern of a pre developing by
Sunday, as stalled front just to the south interacts with
overrunning mid level (h85-70 mb) tropical flow out of the
south, and may bring periods of rain, heavy at times, into the
area. The low would pass NE of the nc coast on Monday, keeping
rain and breezy conditions in the fcst for coastal locales.

Gfs cmc are less developed with the low pressure area, though
still have a weak low riding NE over or near the coast. Either
way, the fcst looks quite unsettled with periods of rain with
some flood threat through Monday. Temps will be held down this
period due to the clouds and rain, with highs generally around
80, and lows mid 60s to near 70.

Tuesday through Wednesday... High pres should be building in by
tue with drying conditions, as well as temps climbing back
towards climo, in the mid upr 80s. Lows continue in the 60s
interior to low 70s coast. Another frontal system will approach
by midweek with thunderstorm chances coming back into the fcst.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday evening ...

as of 1000 pm thurs... Outside of some thunderstorms this
evening,VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Sw
winds will continue overnight which should limit any potential
for fog, even though some areas have received good amount of
rainfall today. An approaching cold front will bring showers and
thunderstorms late tomorrow, but should remain north of kpgv
for most of the day.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 345 pm thurs... Scattered to widespread showers and
thunderstorms expected Fri night as a slow moving cold front
moves into the area. The front will slowly push south through
the area on sat, leading to periods of MVFR to ifr conditions.

Unsettled weather should continue on Sunday and possibly into
Monday as low pressure brings rain and low clouds.

Marine
Short term tonight and Fri ...

as of 1000 pm Thursday... Will keep pamlico sound SCA ongoing
into late tonight, with winds still gusting to 25-30 kts.

Winds will then diminish a bit overnight into Fri morning but
still remain fairly gusty central and SRN tier ahead of front.

Seas will range from 2 to 4 ft N to 3 to 5 ft central and s.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 345 pm thurs... A slow moving cold front will approach the
marine zones Friday evening. Winds and seas will weaken
slightly as a slow moving cold front enters the region. Winds
will turn to the W at 10-15 kts early Saturday, and then as the
front slowly sinks south winds will turn to the N NE behind it
through the day. Gradient increases again by later Sunday as low
pressure organizes to the south, and high pres is locked in to
the west. NE winds should increase to 15-20 kt with higher
gusts 25-30 kt at times, and seas building to around 6 ft Sunday
into Monday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Friday for amz135.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Sgk
short term... Rf
long term... Tl
aviation... Tl sgk
marine... Rf tl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi53 min SW 7 G 14 83°F 86°F1018.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi41 min SW 8 G 11 83°F 1017.7 hPa (+1.3)76°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC3 mi47 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds73°F72°F96%1017.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi47 minSSW 510.00 miFair78°F71°F79%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW7SW6SW3CalmS3S4S3S4S3S5SW11
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2 days agoNW4CalmCalmSW4SW6SW5SW3CalmSW4W6W6SW5W4W5W4SW4SW8SW7S8S9SW9S5SW5SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:32 AM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:54 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:01 PM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:47 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.8221.81.51.10.80.50.40.60.91.41.82.22.32.21.91.61.20.90.70.60.81.1

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:16 AM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:37 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:45 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.8332.62.11.510.70.711.62.32.93.33.43.22.82.21.71.2111.31.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.