Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 041355 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 955 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure offshore remains in control through this evening. Then tonight, weak low pressure will develop along the Southeast Coast, impacting the area into Friday. A cold front will then cross the area late this weekend, followed by high pressure for early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 950 AM Thursday . Deep plume of Gulf moisture moving up the coast into the eastern Carolinas this morning. Mostly mid/upper level clouds mainly near the coast at mid-morning, with clear skies inland. Temperatures already in the upper 70s to lower 80s and should be able to reach forecast highs near 90 inland and low/mid 80s by later in the afternoon under partly sunny skies. Rain chances remain slim through the day with better chance later tonight as deeper moisture arrives. Overall, little change to the forecast at this time.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. As of 3 AM Thu . A mid-level shortwave will slide up the Southeast coast tonight, with surface high pressure sliding more east of the area and low pressure develops inland, prompting a more southerly low level flow component and increasing low level moisture content. The chance for showers and a couple of isolate thunderstorms enters the forecast early Friday morning as the forcing from the shortwave begins to overspread the area from the south. The severe threat is very low as instability will be limited. Lows will once again be 5-10 degrees above normal.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 345 AM EDT Thursday .

Fri through Saturday night . Unsettled this period as upr trough develops to the W late week. Model consensus suggests a slower frontal passage in the Sat night to Sun morning time frame and adjusted timing and coverage of pops to account, but still capped everything at chance PoPs for now. Best chance for rain appears to be Friday morning with aforementioned shortwave forcing ongoing. Another round of showers and storms is possible Saturday ahead of the approaching front. Highs mainly mid to upr 80s inland (although a few 90s are possible) with low to mid 80s beaches.

Sunday through Tuesday . Cold front will cross Sun morning followed by high pressure building in from the NW Sunday into Tuesday. Both the GFS and ECMWF still show some potential for shower/tsra lingering srn tier Sunday so have small pops these areas all day. Will need to keep an eye on the progress of TS Cristobal in the coming days. Latest guidance showing system heading toward the western Gulf late in the upcoming weekend, with associated moisture pooling along the weakening cool front to our south into early next week. Drier air will spread in post-frontal, with drier, slightly cooler/less humid conditions through early next week with highs in the 80s through Tue.

Could see a return of aftn/evening showers/tstms on Wed as deep- layer moisture starts to increase in advance of the approaching upper trough/remnant low of Cristobal. GFS has trended towards the drier ECMWF solution and will keep explicit mention of pops out of the forecast until Wed night. Highs lingering in the 80s next week, with early morning lows in the 60s to low 70s across coastal communities.

AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 7 AM Thu . VFR conditions prevail through the period. SSW winds become gusty once again today, though not quite as strong as the past 2 days. Showers and MVFR ceilings could begin to approach the terminals around sunrise Friday, though any significant threat for sub-VFR conditions will hold off until after 12Z.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 345 AM Thur . ISO- Widely sct shra/tsra expected Fri and Sat ahead of approaching cold front with a few periods of sub VFR conditions expected. Return to VFR conditions Sunday and Monday with high pressure building in.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 955 AM Thursday . Still picking up a few gusts to around 25 knots at Diamond Buoy at mid-morning and will let the SCA continue through 11 AM, and will evaluate a possible extension. Otherwise, winds are SW 10-20 knots with seas 3-5 feet north and 2-4 feet southern waters. Not much changes expected through the day today. Tonight, ridging will be overhead this evening with SSW winds 10-20 kt, decreasing to 10-15 kt late as low pressure approaches from the south. Seas remain around 2-4 ft overnight in mainly windswell.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 345 AM Thur . SW winds diminish a bit more Fri and Sat to 15 to 20 kts with 3-5 ft seas cont . highest outer central and srn wtrs. A few six footers are possible Saturday night for outer waters shortly before a cold frontal passage but confidence in this is below average. Winds shift behind the cold front Sunday to N/NE nrn tier and W/NW srn tier 10 to 15 kt with 2-3 ft seas.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199-204-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ152- 154.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CB LONG TERM . MS AVIATION . CB/MS MARINE . CTC/CB/MS

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	33 mi	45 min	SW 7 G 12	77°F	75°F		1016.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	43 mi	33 min	SW 11 G 14	78°F			1016.6 hPa (+0.8)	78°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC	3 mi	39 min	SW 7	8.00 mi	Fair	79°F	68°F	69%	1015.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC	19 mi	39 min	SW 8	10.00 mi	Fair	80°F	66°F	64%	1015.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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