Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeton, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:58PM Thursday December 12, 2019 4:35 PM EST (21:35 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 7:23AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 235 Pm Est Thu Dec 12 2019
Tonight..NE winds 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of rain in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming n. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely, then a chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC
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location: 35.12, -77.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 122009 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 309 PM EST Thu Dec 12 2019

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure will form and move just inland of the coast late Friday, bringing a cold front through the area on Saturday. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 3 PM Thursday . Some stratocumulus clouds continue to hug the Outer Banks at mid-afternoon, otherwise skies are clear across the CWA. As deeper moisture is pulled north overnight ahead of a developing southern stream system, clouds will increase after midnight. Despite the moisture increase, precipitation should be limited to a small chance of light showers along the Outer Banks/Sound region with very light QPF totals. With the increased cloud cover, temperatures will show a non-diurnal curve with steady or perhaps slowly rising temperatures overnight from early lows mainly in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. As of 3 PM Thursday . Precipitable water surges toward 1.5 inches during the day on Friday as surface low approaches from the southwest over the inland Carolinas. Rain will be widespread and will continue with high likely to categorical PoPs with QPF totals on the order of one-half to three-quarters of an inch during the day tomorrow, with the heaviest amounts near the coast and especially the Outer Banks. Ribbon of higher CAPE values remains well offshore and will keep thunder out of forecast during the day until somewhat better instability arrives later Friday evening. High temperatures Friday will be considerably warmer than today, especially near the coast. Highs will range from the lower 50s well inland to the lower 60s coast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 130 PM Thu . Periods of unsettled weather expected through the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected to continue.

Friday Night through Saturday . Deep srly flow will be ongoing Friday night as low pressure riding up the coast approaches and crosses the area. Rain chances peaking Fri evening when best UVV/Fgen/PWATS will converge. Maintained the categorical pops this period, as good model to model consistency as well as spaghetti ensembles converging on this solution. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible Fri evening. Still some uncertainty on exact track of the low, but guidance appears to be converging on solution of low center tracking over the inner coastal plain/west of the US Hwy 17 corridor, bringing several hundred J/KG of sfc based CAPE into the area with plentiful shear overnight Friday. Best chance of a stronger storm would be along the coast where best instability will reside. Upr trough will still be west of the region though deepest moisture will be offshore Sat morning. Could be quite a bit of showers around first half of Sat due to good forcing with upr trough and continued swrly flow sfc and aloft, and have a likely pop through around noon, with rapid drying later in the day. It will be mild both days with highs in the 60s.

Sunday through Monday . Drier conditions with near to above normal temps expected late weekend to early next week as quasi zonal flow develops and progressive high pressure dominates.

Tuesday . Next potent cold front and possible low pressure system quickly advance towards the region by Mon night and Tue, and introduced 50-70% pops this period, focused on Tue as converging model solns focus timing of the next strong cold front moving through by later Tue.

Wednesday and Thursday . A return to dry albeit cooler weather pattern by Wed as long wave trough axis shifts to the eastern Seaboard with sfc high pres building into the region for midweek, with temps below normal.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Friday/ . As of 1210 PM Thu . VFR conditions currently across the area with mostly sunny skies. Pred VFR expected through 06z tonight, with prolonged period of sub-VFR conditions developing late tonight and early Fri morning. Will likely see ceilings lower to MVFR between 06-12z, with shower chances increasing after 15z Friday. Could see a period of LLWS develop Friday afternoon and evening as strong SW winds develop aloft.

Long Term /Friday night through Tuesday/ . As of 130 PM Thu . Sub-VFR conditions expected into Sat morning with widespread rain showers and low clouds. Return to VFR later Sat through early week as high pres builds back in.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Friday/ . As of 305 PM Thursday . NNE/NE winds have trended down a bit this afternoon, but seas remain elevated along the coastal waters. Was able to drop the SCA for the Pamlico Sound earlier. Seas will remain 5-6 feet on the waters north of Oregon Inlet until after midnight. Elsewhere, frequent wind gusts to 25 knots coupled with seas up to 6-7 feet will persist on the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet and no changes made to SCA in those waters. Winds subside on all waters Friday, with more marginal seas for SCA, but will ramp up again ahead of a surface low moving just inland by tomorrow evening/night.

Long Term /Friday Night Through Tuesday/ . As of 130 PM Thu . Breezy to strong southwesterly winds develop as low pressure tracks along the coast Friday night, continuing into Saturday night. Hazardous seas of 6-10 ft persist through much of the weekend, before finally subsiding later Sunday as high pres begins to build into the area. More favorable boating conditions prevail early next week has high pressure dominates.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for AMZ150.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . CQD/CB MARINE . CTC/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi66 min NNE 9.9 G 22 48°F 55°F1034 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi36 min NNE 21 G 25 48°F 1033.9 hPa (-1.1)41°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC3 mi1.7 hrsNE 14 G 1810.00 miFair48°F30°F50%1035.4 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi1.7 hrsNNE 1510.00 miA Few Clouds51°F32°F48%1034.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS12S9S12SW8S10SW9W7NW4N9N9N8N13N11N12N10N13N11N15
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2 days agoS11S6S6S7S7S7SW9SW8SW9SW10SW10SW11SW11SW9SW9SW8SW7SW10SW15
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 02:22 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:31 AM EST     2.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:18 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:52 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.2-0.1-00.30.91.62.12.42.52.21.71.20.60.2-000.40.91.51.821.81.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 03:20 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:25 AM EST     1.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:16 PM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:46 PM EST     1.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.30.1-0-00.20.611.31.51.51.310.70.40.1-000.30.60.91.11.21.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.