Buxton, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Buxton, NC


December 9, 2023 6:02 AM EST (11:02 UTC)
Sunrise 7:02AM   Sunset 4:57PM   Moonrise  3:28AM   Moonset 2:23PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      Help
AMZ174 Expires:202311261745;;442670 Fzus72 Kmhx 261737 Mwsmhx
marine weather statement national weather service newport/morehead city nc 1237 pm est Sun nov 26 2023
amz135-152-154-172-174-261745- /o.exp.kmhx.ma.w.0300.000000t0000z-231126t1745z/ 1237 pm est Sun nov 26 2023
.the special marine warning will expire at 1245 pm est...
the affected areas were... Pamlico sound... S of cape hatteras nc to ocracoke inlet nc out to 20 nm... S of oregon inlet nc to cape hatteras nc out to 20 nm... Waters from cape hatteras to ocracoke inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm... Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm...
the strong winds from earlier, associated with an area of low pressure moving north along the outer banks, have weakened, and the risk of 34 knot, or greater, winds appears to be decreasing for the time being.
lat...lon 3527 7483 3498 7491 3483 7500 3492 7576 3506 7572 3576 7566 3577 7557 3578 7558 3578 7557 3580 7482 3560 7479 time...mot...loc 1735z 180deg 12kt 3530 7566

AMZ100 355 Am Est Sat Dec 9 2023
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. High pressure continues to move offshore today. A strong cold front will then track across the region late Sunday bringing strong southerly winds and widespread showers. High pressure then builds back in behind the departing front on Monday bringing fair weather back to enc next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buxton, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map

Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMHX 090956 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 456 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure pushes offshore today out ahead of a strong cold front. This cold front will then track across the region late Sunday bringing strong southerly winds and widespread showers.
High pressure then builds back in behind the departing front on Monday bringing fair weather back to ENC into the end of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3 AM Sat...The proverbial calm before the storm today as above average temps and fair weather are forecast across the CWA.
Upper level pattern is denoted by ridging aloft pushing offshore as an upper level trough sweeps across the Plains. At the surface, ridge of high pressure currently along the coast also pushes offshore while a cold front stretching from the Great Lakes SW'wards to the Southern Plains tracks east and gets into the Tennessee River Valley by tonight.

With this in mind, not much has changed in the near term. Still expecting a dry forecast across all of ENC through daybreak, though widespread high cirrus continues to spread NE'wards across the CWA in association with a weak surface trough located just off the coast this morning. This has slowed or even stopped temperatures from falling across ENC with temps forecast to slowly rise closer to daybreak as WAA begins to increase across the FA. Overnight lows have likely already been met with lows getting into the low to mid 40s.

Otherwise expect high pressure to push offshore today allowing winds to become S'rly across the entire area later this morning.
Weak coastal trough will also depart by this afternoon, though as it makes its closest point of approach to ENC later today a few isolated showers will be possible primarily along the OBX.
As a result have kept the SChc PoP's across the OBX and coastal waters with areas west of this remaining dry today. The coast and OBX is also where the thickest cloud cover will be located today with thinner high cirrus noted across areas west of Hwy 17.
This cloud cover is forecast to gradually push offshore later this afternoon and evening resulting in partly cloudy skies across ENC by tonight. Highs will be above average in the low 70s and upper 60s given the ongoing WAA and clearing skies today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/
As of 3 AM Sat... Upper level trough continues to approach from the west beginning to get a more negative tilt as it approaches the Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, cold front continues to approach from the west as well getting to the Appalachians by daybreak. This will allow clouds to begin to invade in from the west late tonight as well as increase PoP chances as showers begin to overspread the FA as the evening progresses. For now latest trends continue to support SChc to Chc PoP's spreading from SW-NE late tonight, though if rain does fall amounts will be light. With the frontal boundary approaching S'rly winds will also begin to increase albeit slightly with sustained winds forecast to increase from 5 mph or less to 5-10 mph. Given the increasing winds and increasing cloud cover, tonight's lows remain much warmer than previous nights with low temps only getting into the upper 50s to low 60s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 AM Sat...

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cold front to bring heavy rain, strong winds, and possibly a few thunderstorms Sunday/Sunday night

2) Turning cold and dry next week

FORECAST DETAILS

The main focus in the long term period continues to be the strong cold front that is forecast to move through the length of the US East Coast Sunday/Sunday night. This front will move through the region as a potent shortwave lifts northeast across the Southeast US/Mid-Atlantic States.

Potent shortwave aloft will develop a surface wave within the approaching cold front Sunday morning, prompting additional frontogenesis within the already strong front as it approaches the area. Rainfall changes increase through the day Sunday as increasing low level moisture advection/convergence and positive vorticity advection and diffluence aloft strengthen.
The band of greatest pre-frontal moisture will remain east of the area until later in the afternoon, which could allow for just enough sunshine to filter into the area to bring 500 or so J of CAPE which, combined with ample shear, could bring the potential for some more organized convective elements protecting damaging wind gusts. Additionally, PWAT values surging to near 1.75 inches, which would be near or at a daily record, will bring the potential for heavy rainfall. While antecedent conditions have generally been dry for the last couple of months, some localized flooding issues for poor drainage areas are possible beginning later in the afternoon.

As we shift to Sunday night, the strongest core of the 50+ kt LLJ will move overhead, with continued gusty winds, especially near the coast with winds are expected to remain just below wind advisory criteria. Showers will be widespread by this point, though instability is expected to be very limited with the loss of the modest daytime heating and overturning of the atmosphere, keeping the severe threat low. Still, a few stronger convective elements bring the potential for some localized flooding, locally damaging wind gusts or potentially a brief waterspout moving onshore as a tornado through the early morning hours.

The front will cross the area before dawn Monday, but ample 850 mb post frontal moisture will keep the potential for showers in the forecast through much of the morning Monday. By midday, strong upper subsidence develops, and drying conditions emerge with strong surface CAA ongoing.

High pressure building in from the west keeps cool and dry conditions in place through the first half of the work week, with reinforcing high pressure arriving Wednesday, keeping cool and dry conditions in place into the weekend. The next system could arrive next weekend, but there is far to much variability in guidance to provide much in terms of details at this range.

AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 3 AM Saturday... Not much change in the forecast this morning as high clouds continue to thicken and lower with moisture advection aloft increasing. This trend will continue over the next few hours into the morning before cloud cover begins to lessen as the coastal trough causing this cloud cover pushes further offshore. Guidance continues to trend towards having FEW to SCT decks above 15kft by this afternoon across all of ENC. Skies remain partly cloudy at best and above 10 kft through much of tonight as well. Winds will be light s to swrly through the taf pd.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Sat...Gusty S to SW winds Sunday through Sunday evening, with widespread moderate to heavy rainfall by the evening, with some stronger storms possible. A strong cold front will cross early Monday morning, bringing an abrupt wind shift to NW, with continued rainfall bringing the potential for sub- VFR through sunrise Monday. High pressure builds in from the west later Monday through much of the coming week, spelling the return of prevailing VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 315 AM Saturday... Obs continue to show fair conditions across our waters this morning with widespread 5-15 kt S-SW'rly winds and 2-3 ft seas across the area. Winds and seas don't change much through today as high pressure remains in control of the weather for the most part. A weak coastal trough may bring some scattered showers to our coastal waters today but little in the way of impact is expected from this activity. As we get into tonight, conditions begin to deteriorate as a cold front approaches from the west. This will tighten the pressure gradient slightly allowing S'rly winds to increase to 10-20 kts with gusts in excess of 25 kts across our coastal waters. In response to this, seas will also begin to build closer to 3-5 ft as well tonight. Further increases in winds and seas are forecast for Sunday as well.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Sat...A strong cold front will bring very dangerous marine conditions Sunday and Sunday night. 50+ kt LLJ will mix most efficiently to the surface over the warmer waters near the gulf stream, with gales beginning Sunday afternoon for the coastal waters mainly beyond 10 nm offshore near and south of Cape Hatteras. Then, Sunday evening, widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will assist with mixing across the cooler waters, and frequent strong S to SW wind gusts (30-40 kt) are possible across all waters. A strong cold front will cross the waters early Monday morning, with winds abruptly shifting NW and remaining gusty. Seas steadily build through the day Sunday, peaking at a very dangerous 8-14+ ft in mainly very rough southerly windswell early Monday morning.

The gradient will gradually diminish through the day Monday, with much improved conditions through much of the coming week as high pressure persistently builds in from the west. Seas drop steadily through the day Monday as the southerly windswell dissipates, with 4-6 ft seas by Monday night.



MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for AMZ131-135>137-150-230-231.
Gale Warning from 4 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ152- 154-156-158.


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
41120 15 mi32 min 56°F3 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 22 mi32 min W 5.8G7.8 66°F 30.2454°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi44 min 55°F 51°F
44095 45 mi36 min 53°F3 ft

toggle option: (graph/table)

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHSE30 sm71 mincalm9 smClear46°F45°F93%30.24

Wind History from HSE
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:06 AM EST     3.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:58 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:23 AM EST     0.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:25 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:20 PM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:12 PM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
2.2
2
am
3
3
am
3.6
4
am
3.8
5
am
3.6
6
am
3.1
7
am
2.4
8
am
1.5
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.5
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.9
4
pm
3.2
5
pm
3.1
6
pm
2.6
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.3



Tide / Current for Avon, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Avon
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:22 AM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:42 AM EST     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:24 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:23 PM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:24 PM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Avon, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
1.4
2
am
2.1
3
am
2.6
4
am
2.9
5
am
2.9
6
am
2.5
7
am
2
8
am
1.3
9
am
0.8
10
am
0.5
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
1
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
2
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
0
11
pm
0




Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help


GEOS Local Image of east us   
EDIT

Morehead City, NC,



NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE