Friday, September17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Vandemere, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:13PM Friday September 17, 2021 4:12 AM EDT (08:12 UTC) Moonrise 4:44PMMoonset 2:03AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 328 Am Edt Fri Sep 17 2021
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Sun..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vandemere, NC
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location: 35.17, -76.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 170726 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 326 AM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. Moisture associated with an offshore tropical disturbance will continue to produce unsettled weather through Friday. High pressure builds in from the northwest late this weekend with drier weather expected early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 320 AM Friday . Weak disorganized low pres/trop southeast of the Outer Banks continues to move NNE. The low is forecast to remain offshore and could become a Tropical Depression over the next 48 hours as it moves well away from the area. The main impacts of this system will be felt in the marine realm with rough seas and moderate northerly flow along with dangerous rip currents along area beaches. Across eastern NC the low will produce considerable cloudiness and scattered to numerous showers and possible thunderstorms especially this afternoon during peak heating. PW values are high /AOA 2"/ today but the models are not generating large amounts of QPF with amounts less than .50" in most locations outside of the Outer Banks where the heaviest amounts will occur. MOS PoPs have been running in the Likely category for the past couple of days while the NBM has been a little lower in the high chance range and follow the NBM keep PoPs 40-50%. Widespread low clouds will persist for much of the day and that shld keep highs mainly in the 80 to 85 dgr range.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 320 AM Friday . The offshore low/Tropical Disturbance will pull well away from the area tonight and sweep a cold front like feature across the area which will sweep the deep moisture offshore. Loss of diurnal heating will result in the dissipation of much of the shower activity after 00Z except for the immediate coast where a small chance for lingering showers will continue. Lows will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 320 AM Friday . A mainly dry period with above normal temps this weekend, followed by seasonable weather early next week. Our best chance of rainfall, which is much needed in our area, will be mid-week with the passage of a cold front. Cooler weather builds in behind this front with 70s possible for highs late week.

Saturday through Monday . Fairly quiet period with mostly dry weather expected. As the low off our coast now moves northeast and out to sea, weak ridging will build across the area. In addition the remnants of Nicholas look to remain west of our area. Continued slight chance pops through the period, mainly over far southwest (Duplin County area) where model guidance shows some isolated showers or even a bit of thunder. Temps this weekend will be well into the 80s or a good 3 to 5 degrees normal for mid September.

Tuesday and beyond . An area of high pressure anchored over the northeast will slide off the coast of Maine. The return flow around this high will veer northerly winds across our area and given them more of an easterly and eventually southeasterly component with time. In addition a cold front will approach our area from the west, helping to pull moisture up out of the Gulf of Mexico and toward our area. This general increase in moisture will lead to an uptick in shower/storm chances Tuesday afternoon (30%). Our best chances for much needed rain will peak later Wednesday into early Thursday with the passage of the cold front just mentioned. Showers may linger into Thursday afternoon especially along the coast. The biggest headline will be the refreshing fall air behind the front, with highs mainly in the 70s to near 80 through the end of the week.

AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. SHORT TERM /through Tonight/ . As of 320 AM Friday . Sub VFR conditions are expected for most if not of all of the TAF period. Ceilings are currently lowering to MVFR and will continue to IFR levels where they will persist through late morning. Ceilings will lift to MVFR in the early afternoon and could briefly become VFR in the early evening but should lower again to MVFR/IFR by late evening through early Sat. Scattered to numerous showers will occur this afternoon.

LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/ . As of 320 AM Friday . Mainly VFR conditions expected. Sub VFR conditions possible Tuesday in scattered showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through Tonight/ . As of 320 AM Friday . A tropical disturbance SE of the Outer Banks today will lift N well away from the area tonight. NE winds 15-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt today will become N tonight as the low passes to the north. This will maintain 5-7 ft seas through tonight, thus will continue the SCAs for the coastal waters.

LONG TERM /Friday night through Monday/ . As of 320 AM Friday . Improving conditions on the water will be the rule through the weekend. Lingering swell from our departing tropical disturbance over the ocean will still produce some 5 to 6 foot waves Saturday, especially north of Ocracoke Inlet and especially north of Hatteras. In addition winds will be brisk out of the north, 15 to 20 kts as the pressure gradient remains tight behind the departing storm.

By Sunday and through early next week seas will subside eventually to 2 to 4 feet. North winds will gradually veer into the east, 10 to 15 kts through the period.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ150-152- 154. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for AMZ156- 158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . EH AVIATION . EH/JME MARINE . EH/JME


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 31 mi55 min N 5.1 G 9.9 77°F 81°F1016.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 38 mi73 min N 11 G 13 76°F 1015.8 hPa (-0.8)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 50 mi55 min NNE 14 G 18 77°F 79°F1014.7 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC22 mi19 minNNW 710.00 miOvercast74°F73°F97%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:57 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:57 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.30.50.81.31.82.12.11.91.61.10.70.40.30.40.81.41.92.42.52.52.21.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:39 AM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:19 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.40.30.30.61.11.51.81.81.71.410.70.40.20.30.61.11.622.22.11.91.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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