Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Vandemere, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday July 4, 2020 7:31 PM EDT (23:31 UTC) Moonrise 7:16PMMoonset 4:13AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 702 Pm Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Isolated showers and tstms this evening.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Mon..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vandemere, NC
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location: 35.17, -76.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 041900 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 PM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the area behind a backdoor cold front through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and slowly lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 3 PM Sat . Weak backdoor cold front has pushed through the nern counties, as analyzed on sfc analysis with winds turning NE behind it. Aloft, H2O vapor imagery indicates shortwave pushing southward through the VA Tidewater area. These two features will be focus for convection late afternoon into early evening, with best covg still anticipated across nrn zones, where sct coverage expected. A few storms could hold together as the propagate south, and iso mention is found acrs srn zones this evening.

Tonight, lingering storms should dissipate by mid evening with lack of appreciable upper support, and mostly dry conditions expected. With weak nerly flow behind backdoor front, and any rain that falls, will be a setup for some fog and low stratus overnight. Patchy fog has been added to grids in anticipation of this, esp nrn/wrn zones.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/. As of 3 PM Sat . The aforementioned backdoor front/outflow bndry from this evening's storms will reside somewhere acrs the swrn CWA on Sunday. This boundary will act as a focus for more sct storm development by afternoon, with best covg swrn 1/4 of the FA. Very little chc of convection for nern zones, as the area will be ensconced under ridging aloft and more stable NE/E flow.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 240 AM Saturday . A weak front will dissipate across Eastern NC Sunday into Monday. Then low pressure will develop to the south around Tue, moving slowly northeast along of just off the the coastal Carolinas mid through late next week resulting in unsettled weather for most of the upcoming week.

Sunday night and Monday . The remnant front dissipating across the area should act as a focus for mainly diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms Monday. Warm and humid conditions will prevail with highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s.

Tuesday through Saturday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South early next week which is then forecast to move slowly over or just off the Carolinas mid through late next week. There is not very good agreement with the track and development of this system, thus will cap PoPs in the high chance range through the period. The circulation around this low, however, will draw deeper moisture north into the area and enhance coverage/intensity of showers and thunderstorms especially during peak heating. Temperatures should be near normal, with the potential for some below normal highs on the days with more extensive cloud cover and precipitation.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through 12Z Sunday/ . As of 130 PM Sat . Mostly VFR conditions for the remainder of the day as the backdoor cold front enters the area. Showers and a possible isolated tstorm are possible late this afternoon with PGV having the best chance of experiencing them. A lower chance of seabreeze initiated storms exists but should they develop, will not penetrate far enough inland to impact coastal terminals. Increased fog potential for tomorrow morning 8z through 12z bringing MVFR cats due to visibility limitations, especially in areas that receive late afternoon rain today. Winds are predominantly out of the W to NW less than 7kts and will calm overnight, turning easterly less than 5kts tomorrow after sunrise.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 130 PM Saturday . Widely scattered to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected mainly during peak heating Sunday and Monday. More widespread showers and thunderstorms should develop by midweek as a slow moving area of low pressure moves into the area. Expect mostly VFR conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms through Monday with more widespread sub VFR conditions possible Tuesday and Wednesday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 3 PM Sat . Benign boating conditions across the waters expected through the period. Winds have veered N to NE for the northern and central waters behind a backdoor cold front with speeds of 10-15 kt with ocnl gusts to 20 kt. The front is expected to stall along the Crystal Coast tonight, and winds across the southern waters are expected to remain southwest 5-15 kt through the period. Seas hold at 2-3 feet for all waters through the period. Winds veer E to ESE through the day Sunday as the front becomes a pseudo warm front.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Saturday . Benign marine conditions will continue through mid next week with a generally light gradient over the waters resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be southerly through Wed with the northern and portions of the central waters initially easterly on Sunday. Seas will be 2-3 ft through the period. Coverage of showers and thunderstorms is expected to become more widespread mid to late next week which could impact marine safety.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/CEB MARINE . JME/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 31 mi44 min WSW 7 G 9.9 85°F 84°F1012.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 38 mi32 min WSW 9.9 G 13 84°F 1011.6 hPa (-0.3)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 50 mi44 min NE 8.9 G 13 80°F 85°F1012.5 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC14 mi96 minENE 1310.00 miA Few Clouds90°F75°F62%1011.7 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC22 mi38 minNNW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy92°F69°F47%1011.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4SW7SW6SW7W7SW6W8W10W8--W9W9W10W9W7W8W9W9NW8NW66W7NE13NE13
G20
1 day agoE6SE5CalmS3S3SW4W4W3W5W5W6W7W7NW11NW10NW8NW6NW5W6NW7N8W6W4W5
2 days agoS6S4S4N5NE11CalmW5W4SW5S3CalmN6NW4N8N8NW8NW7NW6N9N10N8N7--E5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:15 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:54 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:06 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:19 PM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.50.1-0.2-0.10.30.91.51.921.81.50.90.40-0.2-00.41.11.72.32.62.52.2

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:37 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:53 AM EDT     1.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:18 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.10.60.2-0.1-0.10.20.71.21.61.71.61.30.90.50.1-0.1-0.10.20.81.41.92.22.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.