Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hobucken, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:58PM Saturday December 14, 2019 12:03 PM EST (17:03 UTC) Moonrise 7:28PMMoonset 9:19AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 927 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Rest of today..SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely late this morning, then a chance of showers early this afternoon.
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Waves around 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hobucken CDP, NC
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location: 35.19, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 141434 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 934 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will lift north of the region today pushing a cold front through the area. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday. Cold high pressure then builds in through the remainder of the work week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 935 AM Sat . Showers still pushing through the area this morning ahead of a cold front and upper trough. Heaviest showers just along the coast and offshore. Later this morn bulk of precip will move offshore as drier air spreads in. Will cont isold shra mention mostly NW tier this aftn as upr trf crosses. Some peaks of sun expected this aftn in wrly flow but mdls cont to show good deal of clouds thru the aftn. No signif change to temps with around 60 deep inland to mid/upr 60s cst. WSW winds in wake of cold front will be gusty this aftn.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 220 AM Sat . Quiet weather as upr trf pivots offshore with high pres gradually building in from the WSW. Much drier air spread in with skies becoming mainly clr. Lows will range from upr 30s deep inland to mid/upr 40s OBX where W winds will remain gusty.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 225 AM Sat . Drier and mild conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, and then colder high pressure builds into the region through Friday.

Sunday and Monday . Upper level trough will move out of the region Sunday morning, with heights quickly rebounding. High pressure will move in from the west, and settle in offshore late Sunday through Monday. Expect high temps on Sunday to reach the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, and be even milder on Monday, reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Tuesday . High pressure will continue to ridge in from offshore Tuesday morning, as a strong cold front and upper level trough approach from the west. Guidance has slowed slightly, with the front now crossing Eastern NC in the late afternoon/evening. Have scaled back precip with the later arrival of the front, but still have likely to categorical as widespread PoPs as areas of rain arrive Tuesday afternoon and into the Tuesday night. Expect very warm temperatures, with lows only in the 60s Tuesday morning, and then warming up into the upper 60s in the afternoon despite widespread clouds and rain. Given the warm and moist atmosphere, some isolated thunderstorms will also be possible, but should be relegated to the immediate coast and offshore. Severe threat looks marginal, as uncertainty remains with how much instability will develop onshore, but the dynamic profile is impressive with 50-70 kts of bulk shear present.

Wednesday through Friday . Behind the cold front, colder high pressure will build in from the west for this period, as the the Eastern US remains underneath an expansive longwave trough. Strong CAA will limit high temps on Wednesday, despite sunny skies, with readings only reaching the mid 40s across the area. CAA will continue Wednesday night, and very cold temperatures are expected as the axis of a strong shortwave trough crosses the area. Low temps will likely fall into the mid to upper 20s across most of the area, with low 30s on the Outer Banks and beaches. With low level heights slow to recover Thursday, and modest CAA continuing, expect highs only to reach the low to mid 40s. Conditions will finally begin to moderate Friday with high temps back into the low to mid 50s.

AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 610 AM Sat . Widespread IFR/LIFR conts with low clouds and fog. Winds now becoming SW as low passes to the N and as speeds increase this morn would expect lower clouds to grad rise . espcly from mid morn on as batch of shra passes to the E. Will cont to show MVFR developing mid to late morn with VFR becoming dominant this aftn as cigs rise. WSW winds will gust to around 20 kts mid morn thru most of the aftn. Drier air spreads in tonight with skies clearing . winds will diminish but expect enuf mixing to preclude any late night fog.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves through the area and may bring a period of MVFR/IFR conditions through Wednesday morning.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 935 AM Sat . Latest obs show W/SW winds 10-20 kt with seas 6-12 ft. Visibilities have been improving across the waters over the last hour. As the low lifts N of region a cold front will approach and cross the waters. Expect SW winds to increase thru the morn ahead of the front then shift to the W and remain quite gusty this aftn as front moves offshore. The gusty W winds will cont thru the evening then diminish late tonight as high pres begins to build in from the WSW. Seas will remain rough over the coastal waters generally 6 to 11 feet into evening . then drop to 5 to 8 ft toward daybreak Sunday. No change to headlines with SCA cont cstl wtrs thru period. On sounds and Alligator River expect SCA to develop today and cont this evening then grad end by daybreak Sunday.

Long Term /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . Small craft conditions are expected to persist through Sunday afternoon. Then, winds be relatively weak before turning to the south Monday at 10-20 kts, with seas 3-5 ft. Small craft conditions will likely return late Monday afternoon, with winds at SSW 20-30 kts and seas building to 7-10 ft through Tuesday evening. Then, a cold front will move through the area and turn winds to the NW, still at 20-30 kts through Wednesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/CQD SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/CQD/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 35 mi51 min SW 4.1 G 8 59°F 56°F999.5 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 39 mi51 min SW 8.9 G 13 62°F 61°F999.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 40 mi63 min SSW 7 G 8.9 60°F 1000 hPa (-1.3)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi67 minS 910.00 miLight Rain63°F59°F87%999.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N6N8NE6NE6NE4N4NW6NE4--NE5NE5N3--CalmSW8SW12SW10SW10W6SW9--SW10SW10
1 day agoNE16NE19NE16NE15NE16NE14N11NE14NE11NE11NE11NE10NE9NE7NE7NE7NE10NE11NE7NE4NE4NE4NE5NE8
2 days agoN12N14N12N14N14N10N12N13N9N9N11N12N12N11N9N8N9N9N9NE12NE15NE16NE16
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Tide / Current Tables for Sea Level, Core Sound, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina
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Ocracoke Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:15 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:42 AM EST     2.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:16 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:13 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:08 PM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.1-0.1-00.30.81.41.92.32.32.11.71.10.50.1-0.1-00.30.81.31.61.81.71.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.