Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Waves, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:57PM Friday August 14, 2020 6:39 AM EDT (10:39 UTC) Moonrise 1:39AMMoonset 4:29PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ172 Expires:202007291100;;600111 Fzus72 Kmhx 291015 Mwsmhx Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Newport/morehead City Nc 615 Am Edt Wed Jul 29 2020 Amz135-152-154-156-172-291100- 615 Am Edt Wed Jul 29 2020
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters... The areas affected include... Pamlico sound... S of cape hatteras nc to ocracoke inlet nc out to 20 nm... S of ocracoke inlet nc to cape lookout nc out to 20 nm... S of oregon inlet nc to cape hatteras nc out to 20 nm... Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm... At 614 am edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 9 nm south of rodanthe to 7 nm northeast of drum inlet, moving east at 20 knots. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. Intense lightning is occurring with these storms. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible, keep away from ungrounded metal objects. && lat...lon 3474 7600 3501 7638 3563 7540 3539 7492


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waves, NC
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location: 35.51, -74.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 140720 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 320 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. Developing low pressure will move off the NC coast today. A second low will move across the area Sunday and push a cold front through the area Sunday night into Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 320 AM Friday . Weak low pressure was currently located just northeast of the Outer Banks and is forecast to continue drifting northeast and further offshore today. The low will push a boundary slowly south across Eastern NC today. As the boundary encounters the very moist airmass with dewpoints well into the 70s and PW values >2" it will trigger showers and thunderstorms which will increase in coverage and intensity with diurnal heating. The showers and storms will initially be most numerous late this morning vicinity of the Albemarle Sound region then spread/develop south across the remainder of Eastern NC this afternoon into early afternoon. Since shear will be weak, storm organization will be limited and thus so will the severe potential. The main concern will be the continued threat for locally heavy rains as the high PW air feeds into the storms. Cell mergers/backbuilding clusters, and interacting boundaries will be the catalysts for the stronger storms with heavy downpours which could produce upwards of 2" in an hour. Will maintain likely PoPs. Highs today will again be in the mid to upper 80s with fairly widespread clouds and precipitation.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 320 AM Friday . The weak boundary will stall and dissipate across the area tonight. Ongoing strong convection will weaken with loss of heating in the evening and coverage will diminish. However, will still need to hang on to chance PoPs overnight as the very moist airmass remains over Eastern NC. Lows will be mainly in the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 245 AM Fri . Unsettled wet weather along with seasonable temperatures will continue through the weekend as ample mid level troughing continues and a strong northern stream upper trough moves across southern Canada and the US northern tier. At the surface a wavy cold front will move into NC Sat and stall through the weekend while a series of weak lows move along it, enhancing rainfall chances across the region. Several inches of rain will possible over this period with the potential for localized flooding, with best chances Sat and Sat night. The air mass across Eastern NC will be supportive of locally heavy rains with cyclonic flow, dewpoints in the 70s, PW values AOA 2" and sufficient instability. Will continue likely PoPs through the weekend with best chances during peak heating inland, then along the immediate coast overnights. Isolated strong storms with gusty winds will be possible Sat, but modest instability and shear should limit widespread svr threat.

The front will push through the area Sunday night and Monday morning as low pressure strengthens off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Lowered pops a bit Monday with models trending drier showing the front through the area. Weak boundary may still linger over or near the area through the week along with troughing aloft keeping it unsettled. Will keep chance pops through most of the week, with best chances mid to late week during peak heating.

AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /Tonight/ . As of 320 AM Friday . Guidance is in excellent agreement that widespread LIFR/IFR conditions will develop early this morning mainly in low clouds as very moist air continues over the area. The clouds/fog will lift into MVFR ceilings this morning then VFR this afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into early evening. Late tonight, guidance is again indicating that widespread low clouds and fog will develop after midnight with LIFR/IFR conditions.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 245 AM Fri . Sub-VFR conditions will be more frequent through the weekend with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially during peak heating. The greater rainfall chances increases the likelihood of patchy early morning fog and/or stratus each morning.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 320 AM Friday . Low pressure just offshore of the Outer Banks early this morning, will continue to slowly move northeast away from the area today and tonight. The low will push a weak boundary south through the waters today. The boundary will stall and dissipate over the area tonight. Winds are currently W/SW 15-20 kt with a few higher gusts near convection ahead of the front and will be shifting to northerly 10-15 kt over the northern waters and portions of the central waters today. Winds are forecast to become W/NW 10-15 kt all waters overnight. It will be rough early this morning with steep 3-5 ft seas and a few 6 footers over the outer waters. Seas will then subside to 2-4 ft this afternoon and continue 2-4 ft tonight.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 245 AM Fri . A cold front is forecast to drop south into the waters Saturday, though still some uncertainty with how far south it gets, making forecasts specifics challenging. Front is likely to stall near the northern Pamlico Sound and Oregon Inlet, keeping winds north of the boundary more NE/E 10 kt or less and SW 10-20 kt south of the front. Flow becomes pred S/SW 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt Sun. Front looks like it will now push through all waters Sun night and early Mon as low strengthens off the Mid-Atlantic coast, with northerly surge around 15 kt behind it. Winds becoming NE-SE 5-10 kt Tue. Seas 2-4 ft Sat then building to 3-5 ft Sunday and Sunday night. Could see a brief period of 6 ft seas across the outer central waters. Mon and Tue seas 2-4 ft. Will likely begin to see some increasing swell energy from distant Josephine or remnants late weekend into early next week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . JME/CQD MARINE . JME/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44095 27 mi44 min 80°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 38 mi52 min WSW 9.9 G 14 1012 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 40 mi40 min WSW 18 G 19 81°F 75°F
44086 42 mi57 min 74°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi52 min W 9.9 G 13 79°F 80°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC41 mi49 minW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmSE3S5S6S6S7S7S7S65S4SW8S6S5S5S5SW3S6SE4S8S7S6SE9S11
2 days agoS3S4S6S7S6S7S6S8SW7S7SW9S7SW6S6S9S5SW6SW7SW5SW4W5W3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:18 AM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:23 AM EDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     0.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.70.70.70.60.60.50.50.50.50.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.70.70.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:48 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:45 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:33 PM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:10 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.61.921.81.510.60.30.30.50.91.52.12.62.932.72.21.610.60.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.