Wednesday, January22, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Waves, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 5:21PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 5:43 PM EST (22:43 UTC) Moonrise 6:18AMMoonset 4:17PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ172 /o.can.kmhx.ma.w.0149.000000t0000z-190818t1545z/ 1116 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019
.the special marine warning is cancelled... The affected areas were... Waters from cape hatteras to ocracoke inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm... Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm... The Thunderstorm has moved out of the area and no longer poses a significant threat to boaters. Lat...lon 3498 7491 3486 7514 3509 7511 3536 7483 time...mot...loc 1513z 224deg 18kt 3516 7484


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waves, NC
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location: 35.51, -74.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 222042 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 342 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold high pressure will prevail across the region through tomorrow. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area late Friday into Saturday. High pressure builds in behind the front through early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 325 PM Wed . Amplified pattern over the CONUS today with upper level ridging building over the southeast between a trough digging into the southern plains and another spurring cyclogenesis well northeast of the Bahamas. At the surface, broad high pressure remains planted over much of the east coast.

Quiet weather expected tonight with increasing high clouds associated with developing low pressure over the southern Mississippi valley. A weak coastal trough is forecast to drift towards the Outer Banks overnight and may produce a few isolated showers across the area before dawn. Model soundings suggest just enough low level moisture to support weak shower activity and introduced slight chance PoPs. Lows fall into the upper 20s inland with upper 30s to lower 40s beaches, although think increasing cirrus overnight will somewhat limit lows.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/. As of 335 PM Wed . Upper level ridge begins to shift offshore Thursday but high pressure will remain in control with weak troughing continuing to linger along the coast. The threat for an isolated shower or two will remain for portions of the Outer Banks tomorrow. Cirrus coverage will continue to increase as aforementioned trough over the southern plains continues to dig towards the Gulf Coast. 1000-850 mb low level thicknesses of around 1340 m support highs in the low to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 340 PM Wed . Seasonable conditions on tap Thursday ahead of a cold front that will bring rainfall to much of the area later Friday into Saturday. Settled conditions return later Saturday into early next week as high pressure builds in behind the front.

Thursday night through Saturday . A cold front associated with stacked low pressure lifting from the Ohio Valley towards the Northeast will approach the area Friday, crossing Saturday morning. Models have trended a bit stronger with the prefrontal southerly LLJ and WAA as there is now good agreement for a wave of low pressure developing within the front to lift across central NC toward the Mid-Atlantic coast. This will allow Pwat values to climb to near 1.25 in, around 2 standard deviations above normal for this time of year, and, given the dynamic enhancement from the wave passing just to our west, 0.25-0.5 in QPF is likely across the area Friday evening through Saturday morning in mainly light to moderate showers. Low mid- level lapse rates will limit instability and severe weather is not expected.

High pressure centered over the Gulf Coast will build in in earnest behind the front later Saturday. Westerly post-frontal low level trajectories indicate that CAA will be very modest Saturday afternoon and overnight.

Sunday through Tuesday . Deep layer subsidence will keep a dry forecast in place late in the weekend into early next week. High pressure building in from the southwest will generally be mild, and near normal temps are expected.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Thursday/ . As of 1220 PM Wed . VFR conditions currently prevail under cloudless skies with high confidence in VFR conditions prevailing for the period as high pressure remains in control. Cirrus coverage is expected to increase later tonight as next low pressure system takes shape over the southern plains. Minority of guidance continues to suggest some MVFR ceilings to develop later tonight but think drier airmass and ongoing subsidence aloft will prevent any cig restrictions. Will be worth monitoring for the next cycle. N winds at around 10-15 kt will gradually weaken tonight.

Long Term /Thursday night through Sunday/ . As of 345 PM Wed . There is potential for low stratus development Thursday night as low level flow becomes more onshore. VFR prevail again Friday before sub-VFR, and likely IFR, ceilings arrive Friday night as a wave of low pressure passes just inland, dragging a cold front across the area Saturday morning. VFR conditions return behind the front Saturday, prevailing into early next week.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Thursday/ . As of 345 PM Wed . Gale conditions have largely come to an end over the coastal waters apart from a few occasional gusts to 35 kt observed over far outer waters as low pressure northeast of the Bahamas exits further out to sea. Replaced all remaining warnings with SCA, which will last well into the extended period. North/northeasterly flow continues for the period, gradually weakening Thursday although sustained winds of 15-20 kt are still forecast. Hazardous winds will end over the sounds late tonight, but hazardous seas exceeding 6 feet are expected to continue for all coastal waters through the period.

Long Term /Thursday night through Sunday/ . As of 3 AM Wed . Light to moderate easterly flow prevails Friday before winds become southerly and quickly increase back to breezy Friday night ahead of an approaching cold front. Wind become westerly behind the front into early next week.

Hazardous seas (4-7 ft) continue Thursday and Friday, before seas increase with the arrival a southerly windswell Friday night, peaking at 6-10 ft around sunrise Saturday. Seas then gradually subside through the rest of the weekend.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 345 PM Wed . Low pressure moving from off the Southeast coast toward the central Atlantic could result in elevated tide levels on the ocean and near inlets mid- week into the weekend.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EST Monday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Sunday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . RTE AVIATION . RTE/MS MARINE . RTE/MS TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44095 27 mi58 min 49°F7 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 38 mi62 min N 14 G 22 44°F 43°F1027.4 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 40 mi44 min N 27 G 33 51°F 72°F1024.6 hPa (+0.9)47°F
44086 42 mi49 min 49°F7 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi62 min NNE 22 G 29 44°F 43°F1025.8 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC41 mi53 minNNE 11 G 1910.00 miFair46°F37°F71%1026.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:05 AM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:02 AM EST     0.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:19 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:08 PM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:18 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:18 PM EST     0.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.10.10.40.60.60.60.50.30.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.200.20.40.50.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:26 AM EST     3.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:05 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:20 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:19 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:45 PM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:31 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.81.62.53.13.53.53.12.41.50.80.2-00.10.61.11.72.12.21.91.40.80.3-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.