Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Chocowinity, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 6:35PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 6:52 AM EDT (10:52 UTC) Moonrise 6:55PMMoonset 7:41AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 628 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning...
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely in the morning, then showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening.
Thu..W winds 15 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the morning. Waves around 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chocowinity, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.51, -77.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 151039
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
639 am edt Tue oct 15 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will quickly pass through the area today. Low
pressure will move up the east coast Wednesday, and push a cold
front offshore Wednesday night. Cooler high pressure will build
in late week and into next weekend.

Near term today
As of 640 am tue... Latest analysis shows 1022mb high pressure
centered over the mid-atlantic region, with weak cold front now
well off the coast. Front will continue to push offshore, while
high pressure extends over the area from the north today. Patchy
fog, locally dense, will persist through about sunrise, with
vsbys gradually improving thereafter. Skies will be mostly sunny
to start then will likely see some increase in mainly mid high
clouds late espcly SRN tier in advance of the next system. After
a cool start (inland temps currently in the upper 40s) temps
will warm nicely reaching 75 to 80 again most spots with
comfortable humidity.

Short term tonight
As of 225 am tue... High pressure will continue to shift off the
east coast as robust upper level system approaches from the
west and area of low pressure begins to develop across the se
us. Isentropic lift increases across the area tonight with
widespread precip developing late tonight and early wed. Main
change to previous forecast was to delay the onset of precip a
bit, based on guidance and given the dry air in place it will
take a little while to saturate. Best precip chances will be
towards sunrise Wed morning. Could see a non- diurnal temp curve
overnight with lows dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s
early, then rising a few degrees overnight into Wed morning as
warm front lifts through.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 330 am Tuesday... A low pressure area and attendant cold
front will move across the area Wednesday with high pressure
building in through the rest of the week bringing a cooler and
drier airmass. The next system is expected to impact the area late
in the weekend or early next week.

Wednesday through Wednesday night... A robust upper level system
approaches from the west while a low pressure deepens as it
tracks across the carolina piedmont and offshore Wednesday.

Weak instability will develop in the warm sector with strong
shear and forcing present which could be sufficient for a few
thunderstorms to develop ahead of the cold front, however poor
lapse rates and marginal effective shear should limit the severe
potential. We could see beneficial rainfall with models
showing widespread QPF amounts around 3 4 to 1 inch. Temps
remain seasonably mild with highs in the mid 70s. Strong caa
develops behind the cold front late Wednesday and especially
Wednesday night with lows expected in the upper 40s to lower 50s
inland to mid 50s coast.

Thursday through Monday... Strong high pressure builds in from
the west Thursday and Friday bringing dry weather and a much
cooler airmass. High expected in the mid to upper 60s with lows
in the mid to upper 40s inland to low to mid 50s along the
coast. High pressure becomes centered over the area Saturday,
then migrates offshore Sunday into Monday with the next frontal
system approaching the area. There remains some timing
differences among guidance but could see precip chances
increases late Sunday, but more likely Sunday night into Monday
as SW flow aloft brings increasing gulf moisture and a warm
front lifts across the area. Temps moderate to near normal over
the weekend and a few degrees above normal Monday.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 640 am tue... Vsbys and CIGS improving early this morning,
though could still see ifr or lower conditions through about
12z. PredVFR conditions expected after areas of fog and stratus
lift later this morning, between 11-13z. The next system will
approach tonight, with increasing clouds and precip chances.

Sub-vfr conditions may develop late tonight and early wed
morning.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am Tuesday... A strengthening low pressure area will lift
across the area into Wednesday with widespread sub-vfr conditions
in showers and isolated thunderstorms expected. A strong cold
front will push through Wednesday afternoon with predVFR
conditions returning and continuing through the end of the week as
strong high pressure builds in from the west. Strong south to
southwest winds expected ahead of the front and could see gusts to
around 25 kt at the terminals Wednesday with a period of gusty
northwest winds late Wednesday behind the front. High pressure
builds into the area Thursday through Saturday with predVFR
conditions expected.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 640 am tue... Latest obs show winds generally N NE 5-15 kt
with seas 2-3 ft. Weak boundary will continue to push offshore
early this morning, as high pressure builds in to the north.

Areas of fog near the albemarle sound and northern waters should
dissipate in the next hour or two. N NE winds 5-15 kt this
morning becoming E NE this afternoon as high pressure continues
to shift eastward. The next system will approach the waters
tonight, with associated warm front lifting through late tonight
into Wed morning. E flow around 10 kt early, becoming SE s
10-20 kt by early Wed morning. Seas 2-3 ft today, building to
2-4 ft overnight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am Tuesday... SCA conditions expected to return Wednesday
into Thursday as a low pressure system moves across the area. A
warm front will lift across the waters early Wednesday ahead of
the low with winds becoming south to southwest and increasing to
20-30 kt with higher gusts and seas building to 5-9 ft. The front
pushes through Wednesday afternoon with winds becoming northwest
around 15-25 kt late Wednesday and Wednesday night, then gradually
diminishes through the day Thursday. Seas peak Wednesday
afternoon and gradually subside through the end of the work week
as high pressure settles over the area.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz203-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to 10 am edt Thursday
for amz131-135-156-158-230-231.

Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to 2 am edt Friday
for amz150-152-154.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Sk
aviation... Sk cqd
marine... Sk cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 59 mi53 min NNE 1.9 G 4.1 66°F 74°F1019.6 hPa (+0.6)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 68 mi53 min NNE 7 G 8 69°F 1019.1 hPa (+0.6)67°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
Last
24hr
SE10
G13
S9
G14
NE3
G9
SE4
S2
NW6
SW6
SW4
G9
SW5
G10
S9
G12
SW4
G10
SW6
G10
SW4
G10
SW4
G8
SW4
G7
W2
G7
NW2
G5
NW3
NW3
NW3
N6
N5
G8
N4
NE2
1 day
ago
N3
NW3
NW1
G4
NW1
S3
S5
S5
S8
S9
S9
G12
S8
S8
S8
S11
S10
S9
S10
G14
SW9
G12
SW4
G10
S12
G15
SW8
G12
NE4
SE5
SE11
G14
2 days
ago
N2
N2
N2
NE1
NE1
S4
S4
S6
S7
S8
S8
SW9
SW7
G10
SW4
SW4
G7
SW6
G10
SW7
G11
SW5
G9
SW3
G8
W5
G8
W2
G8
NW2
NW1
NW1

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC4 mi58 minN 010.00 miFair51°F50°F97%1019.6 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC19 mi58 minN 02.00 miFog/Mist48°F48°F100%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last 24hrSW3SW4CalmS4SW4SW4W6W7W4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmSW3SW4S6S7SW8SW5SW6S4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmN3S4
G8
S4S6S5S3S3SW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmS3SE3W5SW6W7W3W8SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmSW4SW5SW5SW5CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:22 AM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:00 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:38 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.91.510.50.30.40.71.21.82.32.62.62.31.91.30.90.50.40.50.91.41.92.32.3

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.