Washington, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Washington, NC

June 20, 2024 8:08 AM EDT (12:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM
Moonrise 6:37 PM   Moonset 3:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 653 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Today - E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri - E winds around 5 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Mon - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Mon night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 653 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure dominates but swell from a distant tropical wave and prolonged easterly winds will result in gradual deteriorating offshore conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 201124 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 724 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure continues to extend across the Carolinas with weak coastal troughing in place through Friday. This may bring some showers to the region into the weekend. A steady increase in heat and humidity is expected over the next several days with "feels like" temperatures potentially reaching the triple digits on Sunday. The next chance for much needed appreciable rain comes early next week with a frontal passage.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 7 AM Thursday...Not to sound like a broken record, but our hot and dry spell continues with surface high pressure holding steady over the eastern US. Most of our moisture, which is not a lot, is trapped at the bottom of a subsidence inversion. So, although a few isolated sprinkles cannot be ruled out this afternoon, there is not enough forcing or moisture to support anything appreciable. Highs will max out around 90 across the inner coastal plain with the OBX just a few degrees cooler in the lower 80s.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 4 AM Thursday...We've been incredibly dry, but moisture has slowly been increasing due to persistent easterly flow, and tonight will present a better chance for patchy fog development. With clearing skies and decoupling winds, the coastal plain has the best shot at seeing some patchy fog. The overnight period will otherwise be quiet with lows ranging from the low 60s across the coastal plain to low 70s along the beaches and OBX.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 315 AM Thursday...

- Still watching the SW Atlantic

- Increased risk of heat impacts late-weekend into next week

- Increased risk of thunderstorms next week

Synoptic Summary: Persistent, and anomalous, ridging aloft over the Eastern U.S. is forecast to finally break down by this weekend, with broad troughing continuing into next week. At the SFC, low pressure is forecast to move across the SW Atlantic and towards the FL/GA coast on Friday, with coastal troughing developing north through the coast of the Carolinas. Broad surface troughing is then forecast to develop across the Eastern U.S. over the weekend, and last into next week. A front, or two, may attempt to make a run at ENC next week.

Friday: Deterministic and ensemble guidance have trended back towards something of interest attempting to develop in the SW Atlantic, albeit weak, and the NHC has increased the probability of development up to 30%. Guidance is pretty well clustered with the low moving ashore along the GA/FL coast, and this makes sense given the sprawling ridge to the north. Closer to home, what's notable is that a sharpening coastal trough is forecast to develop within a moistening and destabilizing airmass along the coast. Short-term guidance is in good agreement showing scattered showers and thunderstorms developing along the trough, potentially impacting the immediate coastal areas from Hatteras south through the Crystal Coast. In light of this, I increased the chance of precip some during this time, especially during the day Friday. As the above- mentioned low moves inland, the coastal trough weakens, and the chance of showers should follow suite.

Saturday-Sunday: High pressure shifting further east out into the Atlantic will allow a warming, and moistening, southerly flow to develop over the weekend. Despite the increasing moisture, it doesn't look like the chance of precip will immediately respond, mainly due to a lack of better instability. At minimum, though, it looks like a few showers or storms may develop on the seabreeze both days. The bigger story over the weekend will be the building heat.
With the southerly flow developing, we'll lose the "cooler" easterly flow of late that has helped keep temps and humidity at more comfortable levels. Both deterministic and ensemble guidance continue to show a good signal for heat-related impacts, especially on Sunday, as heat indices ("feels like" temps) reach 100-105 degrees. Sunday could be our first opportunity for heat headlines if recent trends hold.

Monday-Thursday: Humidity will continue to increase next week with a continued southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. With increasing low-level thicknesses, the heat and humidity combination is expected to lead to a continued risk of heat- related impacts. The risk of thunderstorms will be increasing during this time as well, though, which will have a daily impact on where the greatest risk of dangerous heat will be. Bottom line, there continues to be a good signal for multiple days of an elevated to significant heat risk for much of the area.

Regarding the thunderstorm risk, Monday continues to be the day favored for the highest chance, and is also the next appreciable chance of wetting rainfall to help offset the recent stretch of dry weather. Guidance differs on the timing of a couple of fronts that may attempt to move into the area, which of course factors into where the greatest coverage of thunderstorms will be. Also of note, some guidance hint at the remnants of the SW Atlantic wave getting pulled northeast through the area. If this were to occur, this would support an increased risk of precip. Lastly, the shear/instability combo still appears supportive of a marginal severe weather risk on Monday, and that will be something to watch in the coming days.

AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 7 AM Thursday...VFR conditions persist. Some 35kft ceilings are still scattered across the CWA but will lift soon and make way for diurnal cu this afternoon. A better fog setup will be in place tonight given an increase in moisture, clear skies, and decoupling winds. Confidence was not high enough to include mention of fog in the TAFs at this time, but the best chance would be across western terminals (PGV, ISO, and OAJ).

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 315 AM Thursday...

- Increased risk of TSRA and sub-VFR conditions Monday

A developing coastal trough may support low CIGs and SHRA/TSRA along the immediate coast Friday. This will be followed by isolated SHRA and TSRA developing each day along the seabreeze over the weekend. A better chance of TSRA and sub-VFR conditions is still expected Monday. A period of breeze southwesterly winds is expected Sunday into Monday as well, with non-TSRA gusts of 20-25kt possible.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Thursday...Persistent easterly flow and swell from a distant tropical wave have generated 6 ft seas across the outer coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet. These conditions are expected to linger a bit longer, so the existing SCA was extended until 8 PM Thursday for the waters between Oregon Inlet and Ocracoke Inlet and until 4 AM Friday for the waters south of Ocracoke Inlet. 10-15 kt easterly winds with gusts close to 20 kt will continue through the period. Chances for shower and thunderstorm activity for the central and southern waters will be on the rise starting tomorrow evening due to a local coastal trough.

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 315 AM Thursday...

- Elevated wind and seas Monday

- Increased thunderstorm risk on Monday

Elevated seas from today will begin to slow lay down on Friday as the persistent easterly flow of late begins to subside. Weaker flow continues into Saturday, with south winds of 5-15kt common. That southerly flow will notably increase to 15-25kt Sunday into Monday, with a subsequent increase in seas to 4-6 ft once again. Sunday and Monday will present the next chance of SCA conditions. Coastal troughing developing on Friday now appears more supportive of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially for the waters south of Cape Hatteras. This risk then subsides over the weekend some, before increasing again as we move into early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 4 AM Thur...Minimum RHs will reach 35-40% this afternoon (primarily away from the coast). Given the continued dry airmass, dry fuels, and E'rly breezes, these conditions remain noteworthy for any ongoing, or planned, fires.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ195-196- 199-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ152- 154.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ156-158.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 61 mi50 minNE 2.9G5.1 76°F 79°F30.28
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 70 mi68 minE 17G18 77°F 30.31
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi50 minE 4.1G6 76°F 80°F30.34


Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KOCW WASHINGTONWARREN,NC 1 sm23 minNE 0410 smClear73°F66°F78%30.34
KPGV PITTGREENVILLE,NC 19 sm23 mincalm10 smClear72°F72°F100%30.34
KMCZ MARTIN COUNTY,NC 22 sm23 mincalm10 smClear72°F68°F88%30.35
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KOCW
   
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Wind History graph: OCW
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Tide / Current for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   
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Core Creek Bridge
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Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:14 AM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:22 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:34 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.2
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.8
6
am
1.3
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.8
9
am
1.8
10
am
1.5
11
am
1.1
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
2.1
8
pm
2.4
9
pm
2.4
10
pm
2.2
11
pm
1.8


Tide / Current for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
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Thu -- 02:25 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:05 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
1.2
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.8
5
am
1.4
6
am
2.1
7
am
2.6
8
am
2.7
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.1
11
am
1.5
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.8
6
pm
2.6
7
pm
3.3
8
pm
3.6
9
pm
3.5
10
pm
3.1
11
pm
2.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Morehead City, NC,




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