Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Engelhard, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:43PM Monday August 26, 2019 5:10 AM EDT (09:10 UTC) Moonrise 1:02AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Engelhard, NC
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location: 35.65, -76.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260756
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
356 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will remain stalled offshore today, as low
pressure continues to lift northeast well offshore of the
southeast coast through mid week. Another cold front will move
through Wednesday night into Thursday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 220 am mon... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
anchored over the NE us extending southward into the SE us,
with low pressure now about 280 miles S SE of CAPE hatteras. Low
could become tropical or sub-tropical later today or tonight as
it moves ne. The low will stay far enough offshore to have
little to no impact to sensible weather, other than contributing
to increased swell energy across the coastal waters. Modest
moisture overrunning the wedge will keep mostly cloudy skies
this morning, but should start to see wedge weaken later today
and likely to see more breaks in the clouds late morning and
this afternoon. Latest radar imagery shows isolated showers
offshore this morning. Only a few isolated to widely scattered
showers expected today, with best chances towards the coast
aided by persistent onshore flow. Airmass remains pretty dry,
with forecast soundings showing pwats around 1 inch. Another
day of below normal temps and dewpoints as N NE flow continues
between the high to the nnw and low pressure well offshore.

Temps should be a couple degrees warmer than Sun as thicknesses
rise more and perhaps some more breaks in the clouds. Highs in
the low to mid 80s.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 am Tuesday
As of 220 am mon... High pressure to the north continues to
weaken and shift eastward, as low continues to lift NE well off
the carolina coast. Moisture begins to increase from the west
tonight with increased shortwave energy ahead of frontal system.

Isolated showers possible overnight with best chances along the
coast. Patchy fog will be possible inland with light winds and
some lingering low level moisture. Lows dropping into the mid
60s inland and upper 60s to low 70s along the coast.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 345 am mon... The weak mid to upper-level ridging will
transition into a broad trough pattern, likely to continue
through the end of the week. A cold front will approach the area
from the west Wednesday and across enc Thursday before it
becomes stalled through the end of the week, then another weak
cold front comes Sunday.

Tuesday... The weak mid to upper-level ridge will gradually
break down as an approaching shortwave becomes somewhat absorbed
into the broad-scale trough Tuesday, while at the surface the
high pressure wedging into the carolinas weakens as possible
tropical cyclone tracks northeast and offshore with minimal
affects expected over land. Will continue the mention of 20% pop
for Tuesday as lingering shortwave energy and wrap-around
moisture associated with the possible tropical system may
trigger some showers. Any tropical related impacts will be
related in the form of rough surf and strong currents. Expect
highs in the low to mid 80's.

Wednesday through Sunday... Aloft the area has transitioned into
a broad-scale trough pattern, likely to hold through the end of
the week. At the sfc, a cold front will approach from the west
and start affect the area Wednesday and Thursday which will
showers and thunderstorms with the best chances of coverage will
be Wed night into Thursday. The front is expected to stall near
the enc coast through Friday and weaken dissipate Saturday;
meanwhile, aloft a series of weak disturbance will move through
the base of the trough which will help trigger additional
showers thunderstorms thurs-sat, with the best coverage along
the coastal counties. Another cold front is forecasted to push
through Sunday... Adding another round of scattered
showers thunderstorms. Therefore will need to keep low end
chance pops fri-sun for mainly afternoon evening activity. Highs
will mostly in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid upr 60s
interior to low 70s coast.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 220 am mon...VFR conditions continue across the terminals
early this morning. Persistent northeast winds and falling dew
points will preclude any fog threat overnight. However,
lingering low level moisture will be trapped below increasing
subsidence aloft, and CAA in the low levels will likely prompt
low stratus to develop across much of the area early this
morning. MVFR ceilings are likely to develop and may continue
through late morning. Ceilings should lift becomingVFR by late
morning. Patchy fog and low stratus will be possible late
tonight and Tuesday morning.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 345 am mon... VFR conditions to continue through most of
the period, outside of early morning fog stratus and brief
scattered showers tues and Fri which can lead to sub-vfr. A cold
front will push through Wed night into Thursday resulting in the
best chances for showers and thunderstorms and possible sub-vfr.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 220 am mon... Latest buoy obs show N NE winds 15-25 kt,
strongest south of hatteras, with seas 5-7 ft. SCA continues for
the coastal waters and sounds. May be able to drop SCA for the
albemarle croatan roanoke sounds and alligator river towards
sunrise this morning as obs show winds slowly coming down.

Low pressure is now about 280 miles S SE of CAPE hatteras. Low
could become tropical or sub-tropical later today or tonight as
it moves ne. The low will stay far enough offshore to have
little to no impact to sensible weather, other than contributing
to increased swell energy across the coastal waters... Helping to
keep seas elevated across some waters through mid week. N ne
winds will diminish to 10-20 kt this afternoon, still strongest
across the southern waters, and 10-15 kt overnight. Elevated
seas 5-7 ft will continue today, subsiding to 4-6 ft this
evening. Wavewatch, nwps and ec show seas subsiding below 6 ft
across the southern waters by this evening, and remaining
elevated north of ocracoke through tonight.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 345 am mon... Ne winds 10-15 knot is expect through Tuesday
night, then becoming becoming SW 10 knots or less Wed ahead of
the approaching cold front. Residual 5-6 ft over the outer
northern and central waters are forecast to linger through tue
evening before subsiding. Thursday, winds will become N ne
around 10 knots after the frontal passage through Friday. Seas
will become 3-5 ft Wednesday across all coastal waters, then 2-3
ft Thursday and Friday.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 220 am mon... Dangerous surf conditions expected to
continue today, with strong rip currents and dangerous shore
break. A high risk of rip currents continues north of cape
hatteras, with a moderate risk from CAPE hatteras to cape
lookout.

Elevated water levels continue early this morning, with
inundation of around 1 ft or less for very low lying areas
adjacent to the southern pamlico sound and neuse rivers
(including areas from downeast carteret, west towards cherry
point and oriental). Waters should slowly recede later this
morning as northeast winds continue to gradually weaken.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz203-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt this morning for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt early this morning for
amz131-230-231.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for amz156-
158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Bm
aviation... Cqd bm
marine... Cqd bm
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 27 mi77 min N 7 G 12 73°F 73°F1016.3 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi71 min NE 14 G 20 74°F 78°F1015.7 hPa (-1.5)
44095 38 mi55 min 76°F6 ft
44086 40 mi46 min 73°F7 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi71 min N 13 G 14 72°F 73°F1016.4 hPa (-1.4)
FRFN7 40 mi191 min 5 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 41 mi41 min 71°F6 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi41 min 74°F7 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC26 mi96 minNNE 11 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F66°F84%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN10
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N10N7NE7NE7NE5NE7NE11NE12
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NE9N9--NE9------
2 days agoSW9W9W8SW9W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:14 AM EDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:40 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:47 PM EDT     0.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.20.30.50.60.60.60.60.40.30.20.10.10.20.30.50.70.80.80.80.70.50.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:49 AM EDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:11 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:22 PM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.50.70.80.80.80.70.50.30.20.10.20.30.50.811.11.110.80.60.40.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.