Engelhard, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Engelhard, NC

April 15, 2024 11:14 AM EDT (15:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:29 AM   Sunset 7:40 PM
Moonrise 10:55 AM   Moonset 1:23 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 938 Am Edt Mon Apr 15 2024

Rest of today - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Wed - S winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.

Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne. Waves light chop.

Fri - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E in the evening, then becoming sw after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 938 Am Edt Mon Apr 15 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure remains offshore today while a backdoor cold front approaches from the north and moves through the area tonight. This front will then lift back north as a warm front tomorrow. High pressure ridging briefly builds back into the southeast around midweek before the next cold front impacts the area next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Engelhard, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 151354 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 954 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains offshore today while a backdoor cold front approaches from the north and moves through the area tonight. This front will then lift back north as a warm front tomorrow. High pressure ridging briefly builds back into the Southeast around midweek before the next cold front impacts the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 10 AM Mon...The forecast remains on track with only minor tweaks to PoPs. Hi-res guidance continues to show convection developing farther north and not moving into northern NC until after 00Z, so PoPs have been bumped down just slightly.

Previous Discussion
As of 7 AM Mon
A ridge of high pressure will continue to strengthen off the Southeast coast today, while a backdoor cold front slowly approaches from the Mid- Atlantic. Building low level heights will bring the warmest day of the spring so far to Eastern NC with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to around 90 inland. Closer to the coast a strong sea breeze will develop this afternoon which will limit peak heating, though before that occurs a favorable westerly wind direction should allow for readings to reach the upper 70s to low 80s early this afternoon before temps begin to cool.

A brief interruption in the WAA this morning will keep a dry airmass in place through the day, which will result in RH values dropping into the low 20s again. Winds will be slightly weaker than yesterday, but we will still see 15-20 mph wind gusts this afternoon, and this will likely lead to a period of elevated fire danger.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 7 AM Mon...A backdoor cold front will move into the forecast area overnight, but an area of convection out ahead of it will bring a threat for a few strong to severe thunderstorms this evening into early tonight. This threat has decreased in the last forecast cycle with convection now expected to initiate later in the day in Virginia as well as farther north. As a result thunderstorms will not move into northern NC until late this evening or even early tonight, and by that time cells will likely be weakening as instability decreases. However, the convective environment is otherwise conducive for strong to severe thunderstorms with excellent mid level lapse rates present as well as adequate deep layer wind shear. Areas along the Albemarle Sound and northern Outer Banks will have the best chance to see any severe weather before convection weakens overnight.

To the south of this area, persistent SW winds and some convective cloud debris will keep temps very mild overnight and into the low to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 AM Mon... A fairly active pattern is on tap this week with multiple frontal passages impacting the area into this weekend.

Tue and Wed... Upper ridging will push east across the Mid-Atlantic on Tue and eventually off the coast by Wed while a weakening trough lifts NE'wards from the Central CONUS into the Great Lakes Tue into Wed. Mid level shortwave will track along this upper ridging passing across the Carolinas Tue evening with a second shortwave moving across the area on Wed. At the surface stalled frontal boundary across the southern half of the CWA will gradually lift N'wards Tue evening as a warm front. As this front lifts N'wards ample moisture will combine with increasing lift to result in isolated to widely scattered shower and thunderstorm activity Tue afternoon and evening with this activity lifting to the north of ENC by early Wed morning as the front moves out of the area. As the second shortwave moves across the Mid-Atlantic on Wed another round of isolated to widely scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will be possible as a surface trough sets up along the Coastal Plain. At the same time a weakening cold front will be approaching from the west as well nearing the area by late Wed night. Temps will remain above avg across the Coastal Plain with highs generally in the low to mid 80s with temps nearing 70 along the SOBX.
Temps wilL be much cooler along the NOBX on Tue behind the stalled boundary as NE'rly flow will bring a cool maritime airmass over the region with temps rebounding on Wed into the 70s as SW'rly flow quickly returns.

Thurs into next weekend... Some minor tweaks to the forecast given the latest trends as it now looks like multiple fronts will be impacting the area to end our week. Weak upper trough quickly transits across the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday with zonal flow overspreading the area this weekend. A second stronger trough then approaches from the west at the start of next week. At the surface cold front sweeps through the area Thurs morning once again bringing a chance for some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through Thurs evening before we dry out on Fri.
Yet another frontal boundary impacts ENC Sat afternoon into Sunday bringing a chance for more widespread precip this weekend. Otherwise temps generally remain above avg into this weekend before cooling off behind the second frontal passage on Sat.

AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday Morning/...
As of 7 AM Mon...VFR conditions are present this morning and will continue through the TAF period. High pressure over the area will keep skies mainly clear today with afternoon SW wind gusts of 15-20 mph possible. Tonight, decaying convection moving in from the north may bring some mid level VFR ceilings, but not expecting anything more than that at local terminals.

LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/...
As of 330 AM Mon...Primarily VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period with the only chances for sub VFR conditions being within any shower or thunderstorm that makes its way into ENC Tue afternoon and evening and again on Thurs.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 7 AM Mon...Winds and seas will remain just under Small Craft criteria through the period. SW winds will continue at 15-20 kts with some occasional wind gusts to 25 kts. A backdoor front will move into the coastal waters early tomorrow morning which will relax the gradient overnight to SW 10-20 kts. Seas will be mostly 3-5 ft through early tomorrow morning.

LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/...
As of 510 AM Mon... Cold front will stall along the southern periphery of our waters in Tue keeping the gradient light and allowing winds to generally remain around 5-10 kts across all waters. WInds to the south of the front will be SE-E while to the north wind direction will be NE-E. Front lifts north as a warm front Tue night bringing a threat for some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms as well as shifting the winds to a S-SW direction at 10-15 kts. Winds increase slightly to 15-20 kts out ahead of an approaching cold front with winds then shifting THur night behind the front back to a N'rly direction.
Seas across our coastal waters generally remain around 2-4 ft through the period, occasionally getting to 5 ft along the Gulf Stream waters.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 27 mi57 min SW 15G18 65°F 65°F30.00
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi57 min SW 14G17 67°F 64°F30.01
44095 38 mi49 min 58°F3 ft
44086 40 mi49 min 55°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi57 min WSW 13G16 67°F 29.95
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 42 mi49 min 51°F2 ft
41120 48 mi75 min 65°F5 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi75 min 58°F 53°F2 ft


Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMQI26 sm14 minWSW 0410 smClear72°F55°F57%29.97
Link to 5 minute data for KMQI


Wind History from MQI
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Old House Channel, North Carolina
   
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Old House Channel
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Mon -- 02:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:35 AM EDT     0.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:32 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:01 PM EDT     0.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:14 PM EDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Old House Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
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0.5
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0.6
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0.7
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Tide / Current for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
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Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:36 PM EDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:14 PM EDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:02 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Davis Slough, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
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0.7
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0.8
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0.9
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,



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