Rodanthe, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rodanthe, NC

June 22, 2024 2:13 AM EDT (06:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 8:32 PM   Moonset 4:54 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 118 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Rest of tonight - S winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.

Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon.

Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Mon - SW winds around 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.

Wed night - S winds around 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 1219 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - A wave of low pressure will move inland well to the south as high pressure continues off to the northeast. A more typical summertime pattern will then set up with winds becoming south to southwest this weekend into early next week and generally continuing as such through mid starting next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rodanthe, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 220543 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 143 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

SYNOPSIS
Coastal troughing continues through Sunday, while high pressure shifts offshore over the weekend, continuing into the upcoming week. A front approaches on Monday, with another front affecting the region on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/
As of 1005 PM Fri...No significant changes to the forecast on this update. Warm and muggy conditions will continue tonight with a threat for patchy fog development later this evening.

Prev Disc...Diurnal iso/sct showers will end by early evening, with quiet/warm/muggy conditions tonight. Main challenge tonight will be fog coverage and density tonight. HRRR cont a 20-40% chance of more impactful fog developing (<1/2 mile), and this will be something we'll continue to monitor in later forecasts. For now, have patchy fog mentioned generally west of Hwy 17. Used persistence from last night's fog, affecting the swrn counties the hardest. If more of a low stratus deck develops instead, this would tend to limit the dense fog potential.

A renegade offshore shower may migrate onshore, esp late tonight.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/
As of 3 PM Fri...Similar synoptic setup for Sat expected, with some iso/sct coastal showers developing in the morning and migrating inland through the day. Think that areas north of Hwy 70 will remain mainly dry once again. No thunder fcst once again, as forcing is very weak and not much upper support despite some decent instability vals. Warm and humid with highs in the mid 90s northwest, to low 90s elsewhere inland, and 80s coast. Heat indices will not be an issue, and generally remain at 100 or lower.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 4 AM Friday...

Sunday...Surface high pressure over the Atlantic continues to travel east, which will put ENC under southwesterly flow and start a warming and moistening trend. Along the east coast, coastal troughing will develop and last through the weekend. The main lacking ingredient for a much needed widespread rainfall event is instability, so the majority of shower and thunderstorm activity will likely develop along the seabreeze. Of more concern is the oppressive heat, especially on Sunday, when "feels like" temperatures are expected to reach 100-105F.

Monday-Friday...We'll remain mostly under southerly flow, which will pump in ample moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and increase humidity to uncomfortable levels. Diurnal PoPs are in the forecast each day but better chances will be on Monday and Thursday due to a series of frontal passages. The main points of focus for the coming week will be triple digit "feels like" temperatures and the potential for strong to marginally severe storms on Monday.

- Dangerous Heat: With increasing heat and humidity, heat indices will reach the upper 90s to low 100s each day this week. This raises concern for heat related illnesses for those spending time outdoors. No heat headlines are in place as of now, but trends will be monitored.

- Monday Storms: Instability and deep layer shear look to be plentiful across the area. If this holds, some strong to severe storms are possible.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 06z Sunday/...
As of 130 AM Saturday...

- IFR/MVFR VIS likely overnight (60-80% chance)

- Daytime SHRA risk Saturday (10-30% chance)

In the very near-term (ie. through 12z Saturday), the main forecast challenge will be the MIFG/BR/FG potential. Recent satellite imagery shows some low clouds or fog attempting to develop, but thus far, nothing appears widespread. Meanwhile, surface obs have reported IFR, or lower, conditions at times.
Based on webcams and satellite, it appears the reduced VIS is due to shallow fog (MIFG). Through the night, however, it's possible that some depth to the fog could be realized, and we'll be closely monitoring this in case a more impactful period of FG develops. For now, I've leaned towards more of a MIFG type of scenario. During the day Saturday, heating of a moist airmass will probably allow isolated to widely scattered SHRA to develop (similar to yesterday). The coverage is expected to be too minimal for a mention in the TAFs. However, reduced VIS will be a risk with any SHRA that develops. The TSRA risk isn't zero today, but Saturday's setup isn't all that favorable for TSRA.
By Saturday evening, the SHRA risk looks to shift back offshore.
Similar to the next few hours, Saturday night looks to support another round of shallow fog.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 4 AM Friday...SHRA and TSRA development are possible each day along the seabreeze. Monday will present the best opportunity for sub- VFR conditions given an environment that could support strong to marginally severe storms. Winds will generally be SW with 20 kt gusts possible late Sunday.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 3 PM Fri...Shra will cont to dot the srn coastal waters through tonight into Sun as weak tropical disturbance well to the south ambles near the GA coast. Winds will be light srly tonight generally around 10 kt with seas subsiding to 2-4 ft.
Winds pick up on Sat as thermal gradient tightens and high pres shifts further offshore, with speeds of 10-20 kt by later in the afternoon. Seas will cont around 2-4 ft.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 4 AM Friday...Sub- SCA conditions will persist until Sunday when SW winds increase to 15-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt.
Seas will be 2-3 ft on Saturday and build to 3-5 by later Sunday. The new week will continue similar conditions with gusts possibly dipping just below SCA criteria. Conditions improve Tuesday after a cold front passes through, which will generate variable winds at 10 kt or less and 3-4 ft seas diminishing to 2-3 ft. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are possible each day but Monday presents the best chance for some to be stronger to marginally severe.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 3 PM Fri...A coastal trough will continue through Sunday, with higher RH and some isolated to scattered showers for coastal counties. Inland, it will cont hot and dry through the weekend, with lower RH. Winds will be southerly on Saturday, then increase on Sunday and become gusty with speeds up to 20 mph. RH will steadily increase each day as well, with minimum RH values in the 40s and 50s. Despite the increasing RH, fine fuels remain very dry thanks to a lack of appreciable rainfall of late, and this will overlap with breezy conditions on Sunday, potentially supporting elevated fire concerns.

For the area at large, the better chance of wetting rainfall comes Monday. From a climatology standpoint, the recent stretch of dry weather is noteworthy. For most of Eastern NC, it's been at least 2 weeks since the last wetting rainfall. For a deeper rainfall (ie. 0.25" or more), it's been almost a month for most of the area.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ195-196- 199-203>205.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 11 mi73 minS 8G9.9 78°F 80°F30.21
44095 18 mi47 min 74°F3 ft
44086 26 mi47 min 77°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 31 mi73 minSSW 4.1G6 79°F 82°F30.20
41082 34 mi193 minS 7.8 78°F 30.19
41120 34 mi73 min 82°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 37 mi73 minSSW 9.9G14 79°F 30.18
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 38 mi77 min 76°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 41 mi73 min 78°F 77°F3 ft
41083 42 mi193 minS 12 81°F 30.20
41025 - Diamond Shoals 46 mi63 minS 9.7G12 82°F3 ft30.17


Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMQI DARE COUNTY RGNL,NC 18 sm28 minSW 0810 smPartly Cloudy79°F73°F84%30.18
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Wind History graph: MQI
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Tide / Current for Davis Slough, North Carolina
   
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Davis Slough
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Fri -- 02:52 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:20 AM EDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:33 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:39 PM EDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Davis Slough, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
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Fri -- 03:21 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:45 AM EDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:02 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:04 PM EDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Old House Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,




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