Friday, April10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rodanthe, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 7:36PM Friday April 10, 2020 3:19 PM EDT (19:19 UTC) Moonrise 9:49PMMoonset 7:31AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 256 Pm Edt Fri Apr 10 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 4 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Mon..S winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Showers and scattered tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 14 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. Showers likely in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rodanthe CDP, NC
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location: 35.66, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 101836 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 236 PM EDT Fri Apr 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cool high pressure will build over the region tonight and slide offshore late Saturday and Saturday night. A warm front will lift north through the region Sunday followed by a cold front crossing later Monday or Monday night. The front will stall to the south through mid week as low pressure develops along it.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 230 PM Friday . Gusty winds over the region this aftn will rapidly diminish this evening and become light inland tonight as high pres builds twrd the area. Atms will remain dry with mainly clr skies. Excellent radiational cooling away from the coast will lead to lows 33 to 36 and have issued a frost advisory for most of the main-land counties. Breeze will keep the beaches mainly in the low/mid 40s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/. As of 230 PM Friday . High pres will crest over the region in the morn then begin to slide offshore late. Skies shld again be mostly sunny and after a cold start temps will moderate nicely with highs well in the 60s inland and around 60 OBX.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 315 AM Friday . The next storm system will impact the area Sunday into Monday with another low forming off the SE coast mid week bringing additional rain.

Sunday through Monday night . A significant shortwave over the Southern Plains will lifts towards the Carolinas, while becoming absorbed into the northern stream Sunday night into Monday as there is a sfc low over the Central Plains. The attendant surface low lifts from the Tennessee Valley across the Midwest, bringing a warm front across eastern NC Sunday with embedded disturbances aloft, prompting scattered showers to develop Sunday afternoon, though models have trended drier.

However, the best WAA does not get going until Sunday night into Monday morning, when the gradient tightens locally and a notably strong 40-50 kt LLJ moves over the area, bringing very strong low level theta-e advection. Despite the unfavorable diurnal timing, instability will quickly climb to 1000-1500+ J/kg, and showers with some embedded thunderstorms are likely during Monday morning. Strong gradient winds are expected along the coast, with gusty/damaging winds in the strongest storms possible across the entire area as ample low level shear could allow for convection to become organized. Some variability regarding timing remains between long range guidance members, and the severe threat will be further refined in subsequent forecasts. Heavy rainfall is also possible at times, though individual storms should be progressive enough to preclude a widespread flash flooding threat.

The cold front will push through Monday night with rain diminishing from west to east with a cooler and drier airmass moves in the west.

Tuesday through Friday . The aforementioned cold front stalls well south of the area Tuesday, with high pressure bringing drier conditions and temps within several degrees of normal. Forecast confidence remains low as we move into the middle of next week, but model are indicating another low pressure system developing along the stalled frontal boundary and riding up the coast and bringing more unsettled weather for Wednesday. Afterward, conditions look to be dry for the remainder of the week.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 1240 PM Friday . High confidence in VFR thru period. Few very high based Cu shld dissipate later today with mainly clr skies thru period. NW winds will cont to gust 20 to 30 kts thru late today then rapidly diminish tonight as high pres builds closer. Can not completely rule out shallow fog at PGV with clear/calm conditions but think will maintain small temp dewpt spread late tonight that shld limit threat.

Long Term /Saturday night through Tuesday/ . As of 335 AM Friday . VFR conditions will dominate thru Saturday night, then unsettled weather. A prolonged period of flight restrictions and LLWS is possible beginning Sunday night and continuing into Monday as a strong frontal system impacts the area. Flight conditions will improve Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 230 PM Friday . Gusty WNW winds will cont thru late today then grad diminish thru the night as high pres builds closer. SCA will cont all wtrs thru 00Z then grad end overnight starting with the rivers this evening and late tonight coastal wtrs. Seas of 4 to 6 ft N and 3 to 5 ft S currently will drop to 3 to 5 ft N and 2 to 4 ft S by daybreak. High pres will build across Sat morn then begin to slide offshore in the aftn. NW winds 10 to 15 kts early become light by midday then shift to the SW late. Seas will subside to 1 to 3 ft during the aftn.

Long Term /Saturday night through Tuesday/ . As of 340 AM Friday . Winds will gradually increase through the day Sunday before becoming strong Sunday night into Monday as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Solid Gales expected Monday morning, with a period of storm force winds possible mainly for the coastal waters during the day Monday.

Marine conditions begin to deteriorate as southerly winds increase Sunday, with very dangerous and large seas emerging Sunday night into Monday as Gale to Storm force winds develop. Seas are expected to peak around 15-20 ft Monday afternoon. Seas will gradually subside through Tuesday morning, but remain elevated (above 6 ft), and further subsiding to around 4 ft Tuesday night.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 230 PM Friday . WNW winds gusting 20 to 30 mph and RH values below 30% prompted issuance of a Red Flag Warning that conts through 6 pm. Winds will rapidly diminish thru the evening.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 230 PM Fri . Period of strong southerly winds later Sunday night into Mon will lead to very rough surf for the south facing beaches from Cape Hatteras south. The strong winds will also increase water levels on the sound side of the Outer Banks especially from Rodanthe north possibly producing some minor coastal flooding . mainly Monday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Red Flag Warning until 6 PM EDT this evening for NCZ029- 044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205. Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ029- 044>046-079>081-090>092-193>195-198. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ136- 137. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ150-152- 154-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . BM AVIATION . RF/BM MARINE . RF/BM FIRE WEATHER . MHX TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 11 mi49 min WNW 17 G 23 54°F 59°F1006.9 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 31 mi49 min WNW 22 G 29 56°F 63°F1007.2 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 37 mi49 min 55°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 37 mi49 min WNW 20 G 24 54°F 1006.2 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 42 mi49 min 54°F5 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 46 mi39 min WNW 27 G 35 57°F 67°F1006.6 hPa36°F
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 85 mi49 min WNW 11 G 25 54°F 61°F1006.5 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 85 mi49 min WNW 13 G 19 59°F 66°F1008.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 86 mi79 min WNW 16 G 22 58°F 1008.5 hPa (+0.6)42°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 87 mi49 min 50°F5 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 90 mi49 min WNW 23 G 31 52°F 1006.7 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 93 mi49 min W 18 G 25 55°F 1006.5 hPa
44064 95 mi39 min WNW 25 G 33 1006.2 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 96 mi49 min 59°F1006.6 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 98 mi49 min WNW 33 G 41 52°F 1006.5 hPa
CHBV2 98 mi49 min NW 26 G 29 52°F 1005 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 99 mi49 min NW 27 G 34 53°F 1006.7 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 106 mi49 min NW 26 G 31 56°F
44072 112 mi39 min N 23 G 31 52°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 116 mi49 min NW 29 G 34 52°F 1006.5 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 117 mi49 min WNW 24 G 30 52°F 58°F1006.1 hPa
41159 122 mi49 min 64°F5 ft
41064 122 mi71 min NNW 23 G 31 59°F 64°F1008.3 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 131 mi49 min W 28 G 34 1006.9 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 134 mi49 min NW 7 53°F 1008 hPa19°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 135 mi49 min WNW 6 G 14 52°F 57°F1005.6 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 136 mi37 min WNW 21 G 25 56°F1009.5 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 147 mi71 min NW 19 G 25 68°F1007.3 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 151 mi49 min NW 20 G 27 61°F 63°F1008 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 152 mi39 min 64°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 152 mi71 min NNW 18 G 23 59°F 64°F1008.7 hPa
WLON7 158 mi49 min 63°F 69°F1008.8 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 167 mi49 min NW 15 G 20 51°F 58°F1006.4 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 168 mi31 min WNW 31 G 33 49°F 1006 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 177 mi49 min NW 31 G 35
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 178 mi49 min NW 26 G 35 50°F 53°F1004.8 hPa
41108 184 mi49 min 65°F3 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 187 mi49 min NW 25 G 41 49°F 52°F1003.7 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 189 mi49 min NW 18 G 25 50°F 55°F1005.5 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 190 mi39 min NW 18 G 23 63°F 70°F1008.6 hPa40°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 194 mi55 min W 23 G 31 1005.7 hPa
41119 196 mi59 min 64°F1 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 196 mi71 min NNW 16 G 25 62°F 64°F1009.1 hPa
NCDV2 198 mi49 min WNW 8.9 G 22 51°F 58°F1006.1 hPa
Ship/ Drifting Buoy Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureVis
SHIP @ 36.8, -75.3 81 mi 4.3 hr NW 30 51°F 47°F1006 hPa (+1.7)11 nm

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC18 mi24 minNW 17 G 2510.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F26°F30%1007.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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W7W8W5SE4E4S4NW4W3CalmNW5NW3SW4CalmCalmW7NW6W8S6S9W9
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2 days agoS8S9S8S10SW7W9SW12SW7SW7SW7SW11SW10W10W15
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Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:07 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:48 AM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:11 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:12 PM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

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10.70.40.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.70.910.90.70.40.2-0-0.1-0.10.10.40.811.1

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Channel, North Carolina
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Oregon Inlet Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:34 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:30 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:54 PM EDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.90.40-0.2-0.200.40.81.21.41.41.20.80.40.1-0.1-0.200.40.81.21.51.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.