Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 4:51PM Monday December 9, 2019 8:46 AM EST (13:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:23PMMoonset 4:15AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield, NC
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location: 35.67, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 091153 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 653 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. A warm front will move north through the area this morning. A strong cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High pressure will build north of the area through late next week, with another system likely impacting the area late week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 650 AM Monday . Trimmed PoPs to the coast based on current radar trends; our entire CWA should be clear of precipitation by midday. Widespread fog and low stratus, dense at times, is solidly socked in over the coastal plain. In situations like these guidance is almost always too quick to erode the inversion and thus usually is too high for temps. Followed this thinking this update and lowered high temps a degree or two.

Prev disc . Subtle mid-level shortwave is currently sliding over the eastern Carolinas this morning while at the surface a coastal trough/warm front is oriented along Highway 17. Main band of showers is slowly pushing east with very light rain/drizzle over the coastal plain. Expect the heavier precip to continue eastward as the shortwave exits to the east although with a nearby Gulf Stream a shower threat will linger for OBX for much of the day. With a strong frontal inversion inland low stratus and occasional low visibilities are expected until mid- morning as the warm front eventually lifts north with increasing S/SW flow, and skies allowing a few peaks of sunshine later in the afternoon. Despite increasing low level thicknesses think low- level clouds should moderate temps somewhat, but still have highs reaching around 70 for southern zones.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 315 AM Monday . Mainly dry for tonight except for a continuing shower threat along the OBX, but with a very moist atmospheric column cloud cover will be abundant. Coupled with good low-level WAA temps will be well above average tonight with a non-diurnal temperature curve and lows AOA 60 for all inland areas.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 4 AM Mon . Periods of unsettled weather expected through much of the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected.

Tuesday . Mostly dry weather and very warm temps are expected. In fact could see some record highs threatened on Tue as highs flirt with the 80 degree mark, which makes sense given fcst low lvl thicknesses soaring to aoa 1380M under partly cloudy skies and well mixed bndry layer in swrly flow (see climate section below).

Tuesday night through Wednesday . More widespread shower activity is expected again Tuesday night into early Wed. Best chances of rain will be interior areas initially, spreading eastward overnight into early morning Wed. Could be some thunder embedded in the showers along the immediate coast where some instability will reside, mainly Downeast Carteret through the OBX. The strong cold front will push through the area by Wed morning, with dry conditions returning during the afternoon hours all areas. Temps will swing to the other side of climo, and only be in the upper 40s N to low/mid 50s S for highs.

Wednesday night through Thursday . Strong high pressure will build in from the north with much cooler and drier air Wed night and Thursday with highs Thu only in the 40s in most locations. Widespread lows near or below freezing Thursday morning.

Friday through Sunday . Rain chances inc Fri through Sat as deep srly flow increases with digging long wave trough across the lower MS River Valley, which will spur several areas of low pressure along the eastern seaboard. Have maintained likely pops centered on Fri night into Sat as models converging on this period being wettest. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible. Depending on exact track of said low pressure areas, there could be potential for strong to even severe storms if storm tracks are further inland. Drier conditions with near normal temps could arrive Sunday as low pressure moves well east of the area, though will include a silent 20% chc rain.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /through Tuesday morning/ . As of 650 AM Mon . Mainly LIFR across the area this morning and these conditions should continue as region is caught on the cool side of a coastal trough/warm front, although conditions should slowly improve this morning and become VFR by early afternoon as warm front advances northwest and winds become south/southwesterly. Winds could occasionally be gusty this afternoon.

Long Term /Tue through Fri/ . As of 4 AM Mon . Unsettled weather is expected Tue night through early Wednesday with gusty winds, scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR conditions likely. Dry weather returns second half of Wed through Thu. Increasing moisture Friday will lead to the development of rain with the potential for sub VFR ceilings and vsbys.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 315 AM Monday . Coastal trough shifted westward with axis oriented between the 5SE and 27SE Wrightsville buoys, stretching northeast, putting all but our far western waters under gusty SE winds. Boundary will eventually weaken throughout the day but continuing 15-20 knot southerly winds will continue. Seas are up to 9 feet at Diamond Shoals and elevated seas will continue for the rest of today in the stronger winds. Guidance no longer keeps stronger winds over the Pamlico Sound for most of this morning and thus moved up the expiration time of the SCA.

Long Term /Tue through Friday/ . As of 4 AM Mon . Still no changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the end of the week which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. Winds will shift N 15-25 kt with higher gusts behind cold front Wed into Thur with large dangerous seas continuing above 6 ft through at least Friday as yet another storm system moves through the waters.

CLIMATE. Record High temps for 12/10 Tuesday

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 79/2007 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 73/1986 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 79/2007 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 73/2007 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 78/2007 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 79/2007 (KNCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Friday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . JME/TL AVIATION . TL/MS MARINE . TL/MS CLIMATE . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 30 mi52 min S 12 G 15 58°F 53°F1021.2 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi52 min SSE 15 G 19 65°F 59°F1021.6 hPa
44095 40 mi30 min 55°F11 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi52 min SSW 8 G 11 57°F 1020.6 hPa
FRFN7 40 mi106 min 5 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 41 mi46 min 53°F6 ft
44086 42 mi51 min 54°F9 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi76 min 54°F8 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC27 mi51 minS 115.00 miFog/Mist57°F55°F96%1021.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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2 days agoS5SW4SW6S6W5W9W3CalmCalmCalmW7NW5W4CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmNW4N3NE7NE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:10 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:11 AM EST     0.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:01 PM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:26 PM EST     0.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.10.20.30.50.70.70.70.60.50.30.20.10.10.10.20.40.50.60.60.50.40.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:59 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     0.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:50 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:29 PM EST     0.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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000.10.10.30.40.50.50.50.40.30.20.10.100.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.30.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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