Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:25PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:43 AM EDT (04:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:22AMMoonset 11:32PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield, NC
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location: 35.67, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 150244 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1044 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Bill well off the NE North Carolina coast will continue to move further offshore tonight. A cold front will approach from the west tonight and move across the area Tuesday into early Wednesday. High pressure will build over the area mid to late week. A cold front will approach the area this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 1045 PM Monday . No adjustments this update as forecast is on track. Keeping an eye on a large thunderstorm to the west of our area moving slowly over Cumberland county persisting and dropping substantial amounts of lightning. Storm is still about 2 hrs out from reaching Duplin county and is expected to gradually weaken. Have increased PoPs to SChc and included thunder for Duplin county for the next hours.

NHC has upgraded TD2 to Tropical Storm Bill with their latest update. No direct impacts expected.

Previous Discussion . As of 745 PM Monday . Fairweather CU field has dissipated and cloud coverage inland is limited to anvils from afternoon convection that fired to the west. TD 2 is expected to strengthen to a TS by tonight, but it will not impact the area as it quickly moves NE out to sea. Overnight, a broken line of showers and isolated storms may push through the area late tonight into Tue morning, though some CAMs keep it dry. Any storms are expected to be sub severe due to the loss of surface heating. Lows will be in the upper 60s to low 70s inland and low to mid 70s beaches.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. As of 1015 PM Monday . Minor adjustments to forecast to add in further reach of latest hi-res guidance but the big picture remains the same. CAMs are in good agreement with a broken line of storms firing across coastal areas in the early afternoon once the super-primed prefrontal warm sector airmass interacts with the seabreeze. The main line of storms is expected to push offshore around 8-9pm local, with a chance of isolated storms lingering behind the main line along the Crystal Coast until midnight. QPF in the afternoon/evening around an inch Down East Carteret and Mainland Dare county with higher amounts possible underneath heavier downpours.

Previous Discussion . As of 245 PM Monday . An upper trough will dig across the East Coast as shortwave energy and sfc cold front push through ENC Tue. A broken line of showers and isolated storms may impact the area in the morning, with better convective chances later in the day. Most guidance shows scattered to numerous showers and storms developing east of Highway 17 late Tue afternoon and evening, near area of better convergence with the seabreeze and cold front. SPC continues to outlook the eastern portions of the forecast area in a Marginal Risk for svr storms. MU Cape values will peak at 2-3000 j/kg with shear increasing to 30-40 kt. Stronger storms could produce damaging wind gusts and/or large hail. Locally heavy rain will also be a threat with PWATs around 1.75". Low level thickness values and SW flow support highs 85-90 deg inland and 80-85 for the beaches.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 4 AM Monday . High pressure will build into the area Wednesday and Thursday, then will slide offshore Friday. Another cold front approaches from the north next weekend.

Tuesday night through Wednesday . The front will push offshore Tuesday night and Wednesday but another shortwave moves across the area with descent shear and instability in place Wed afternoon for additional storms to develop, mainly along the sea breeze. Temps cool some Wednesday behind the front with high expected in the low to mid 80s.

Thursday through Sunday . The main upper level trough axis moves offshore early Thursday with high pressure building in from the northwest. One last weak embedded shortwave will move across the area in the afternoon which may aid in triggering isolated storms along the sea breeze in the afternoon. Ridging builds aloft Thursday night and Friday with sfc high pressure sliding offshore bringing dry conditions and a warming trend as southernly flow increases as gradients tighten ahead of an approaching cold front, which is expected to bring a return of unsettled for the latter half of the weekend. Highs Thursday expected in the low to mid 80s warming to around 90 over the weekend.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. SHORT TERM /through Tuesday afternoon/ . As of 745 PM Monday . VFR cats prevail through the period. Overnight scattered showers are possible as remnants of the day's convection advect in from the west. CIGs are forecast to remain VFR although brief moments of sub-VFR VIS are possible under heavier rainfall; confidence is too low to pinpoint location so was not included in TAFs but is worth mentioning here. Tomorrow, cold front crosses the area. Ahead of the front, SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 15 kts with lighter Nerly winds behind the front. Showers and tstorms likely ahead of the front as it approaches the coast and interacts with the seabreeze. At this time, looks like the convection will fire east of TAF sites, but there is a chance coastal terminals could be affected should storm initiate occur earlier.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 415 AM Monday . The cold front pushes south of the area Tuesday night with only isolated to widely scattered showers possible during the afternoon hours Wednesday and Thursday with dry conditions expected Friday. Patchy fog will also be possible during the late night/early morning hours most days.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/ . As of 1045 PM Monday . Obs show predominantly SWerly flow 15 to 20 kts as the gradient tightens ahead of the approaching cold front. Seas 3 to 4 ft, 3 to 5 ft across the central waters. NHC has upgraded TD2 to Tropical Storm Bill as it continues to move to the NE well away from the waters. No impacts are expected. The gradient will tighten overnight as a cold front approaches. SW winds will increase to 15-20 kt, a few gusts to 25 kt will be possible, but not expected to be widespread or very long in duration. Seas will be mainly 2-4 ft through tonight with 3-5 ft seas expected over the outer waters. SW winds 15-20 kt early Tue, diminishing to 10-15 kt. Showers and tstorms likely ahead of the front nearshore in the late afternoon and pushing offshore in the evening hours. The cold front will slowly push through the waters, with N/NE wind shift gradually pushing southward through the day. Seas 2-4 ft Tue.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 245 PM Monday . The cold front pushes offshore Tuesday night with winds becoming N to NE around 5-10 kt and seas around 2-4 ft Wednesday and 2-3 ft Thursday. Light and variable winds Friday morning will veer to southerly late in the day and increase to 10-20 kt with seas building to 2-4 ft late Friday and Friday night. SW winds increase to 15-25 kt Sat with potential for SCA conditions developing.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CEB SHORT TERM . CQD/CEB LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/CEB MARINE . CQD/SK/CEB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 30 mi62 min SSW 17 G 19 78°F 79°F1010.2 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi56 min SW 11 G 14 77°F 81°F1011.1 hPa
44095 40 mi48 min 77°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi56 min S 15 G 18 78°F 1009.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 41 mi78 min 71°F3 ft
44086 42 mi31 min 74°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi48 min 71°F3 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC27 mi49 minN 010.00 miFair76°F71°F85%1010.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:14 AM EDT     0.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     0.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.60.50.40.20.10.10.10.20.30.50.60.60.60.50.40.20.10.10.10.20.40.5

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:17 AM EDT     0.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:51 PM EDT     0.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.50.40.30.20.10.100.10.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.20.20.10.10.10.20.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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