Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fairfield, NC
April 19, 2024 8:58 AM EDT (12:58 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:23 AM Sunset 7:44 PM Moonrise 2:54 PM Moonset 3:32 AM |
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat - W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun - N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ100 647 Am Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Stalled frontal boundary west of area waters will gradually lift back northward through today, bringing winds from easterly to southerly through Sat morning. Another cold front will cross area waters on Saturday, with a low pressure system and its associated fronts then impacting the carolinas on Saturday night into early next week before high pressure ridge builds in from the west on Tuesday.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 191122 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 722 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Backdoor cold front will lift back north across the region through tonight with a risk of showers and a few thunderstorms.
The front will push back through the area Saturday and stall offshore. An area of low pressure will lift NE along the front Sunday into Monday bringing unsettled weather across the region. High pressure briefly builds into the area Tuesday followed by a cold front with limited moisture pushing across the area Wednesday. High pressure builds back into the area for the latter half of the work week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 720 AM Fri...Mid-level ridging currently sits over eastern North Carolina this morning, while at the surface a backdoor cold front has shifted further southward, now extending from Cape Fear northwestward into the Appalachians. Low stratus has continued to expand behind the front, but recent observations are showing some scattering of this deck, which will only continue with increased heating.
The upper level ridge will break down this morning as a subtle shortwave trough traverses the mid-Atlantic. Another, weaker lobe of energy behind this feature, combined with efficient heating and gradual low-level moisture return as flow turns southeasterly, will set the stage for probable convective development across central NC racing eastward. The downstream environment will be marginally conducive for a few strong thunderstorms given deep layer shear of 35-40 kt and mean SBCAPEs of 500-1000 J/kg. However, this unstable airmass will only extend as far east as Highway 17 thanks to a combination of sea/sound breezes and the slow retreat of the backdoor cold front. Additionally, convection will likely be arriving close to sunset when instability will be waning. If sufficient instability remains in place, a few strong storms capable of gusty winds and small hail are possible primarily across the far inner coastal plain. Highest risk will be early evening, from 6pm onward.
Impressive temperature gradient today, with highs likely in the low 80s across the southwestern counties while over the northern Outer Banks temperatures will struggle to get above 60.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/
As of 440 AM Fri...Storm risk will quickly wane into the evening hours as instability collapses, although a shower risk will persist through the overnight hours as convective complexes ongoing across NC and VA encroach on the area. Another band of broken showers are possible by early Saturday morning as the main cold front begins to cross the state. More mild temperatures likely as the frontal boundary continues to lift northward, with lows in the low 60s inland and mid 50s across NOBX.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 445 AM Friday...Broad cyclonic flow prevails over the Eastern CONUS through the long term bring a progressive pattern with several frontal passages and an area of low pressure lifting off the coast early next week.
Saturday and Saturday night...A cold front will drop into the area Saturday and stall just off the coast Saturday night.
High-res guidance is a bit stronger with the front pushing through mid-morning through early afternoon. Could see a few showers throughout the day but meager instability with a post frontal inversion developing should limit thunderstorm activity.
Highs will be in the low to mid 70s across northern sections and mid to upper 70s south with mid 60s to around 70s across the OBX.
Sunday through Monday...Shortwave energy moving through the flow aloft will bring better forcing across the area Sunday and Sunday night with favorable jet dynamics over the area.
Sfc low pressure will develop along the offshore front and pass off the OBX Sunday night and push the cold front farther offshore on Monday. There remains some timing differences with the low but expect widespread rain to develop across the area Sunday and continue into Sunday night. Rainfall amounts expected around a half to one inch with highest amounts occuring along the coast. NE winds, clouds and rain will keep cooler temps across the area with highs expected in the low to mid 60s.
Most of the rain will push offshore Sunday night but an upper trough will push across the Southeast which may trigger additional showers across the area on Monday, however guidance has been trending farther south and weaker with the trough which may keep us on the drier side. Below normal temps continue on Monday with highs in the low to mid 60s.
Tuesday through Thursday...High pressure builds into the area Tuesday but will quickly move offshore by Wednesday with additional shortwave energy and sfc cold front sliding across the area bringing the chance for a few showers, though moisture appears to be limited with this system. High pressure builds back into the area on Thursday with dry conditions prevailing.
A warming trend will develop Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 70s, and a few upper 70s possible Wednesday.
Temps cool back to the low to mid 70s Thursday.
AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 12z Sat/...
As of 725 AM Fri...Widespread IFR conditions are in place across eastern NC as low stratus deck continues to expand southwestward, although recent observations and satellite data show deck is beginning to break up. Expect this trend to accelerate over the next couple of hours with increased heating, allowing widespread VFR to return by 14-15z. Dry weather persists until tonight when cluster of showers and thunderstorms, initiated to our west, begin to intrude into the coastal plain ahead of another cold front currently over the lower MS valley. Deteriorating flight conditions are likely after 03z Sat from northwest to southeast, with IFR setting in a few hours later.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 530 AM Friday...Pred VFR expected through Saturday although there will be an opportunity for brief periods of sub- VFR in isolated showers as mid level shortwaves and attendant cold front moves into the area. Low pressure passes along the offshore front Sunday through Sunday night bringing the best chance of widespread rain and sub-VFR conditions across rtes.
Improving conditions are expected on Monday with pred VFR expected Tuesday.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 450 AM Sat...Backdoor cold front is now fully across area waters. Northeasterly winds behind the boundary are outperforming guidance, reaching 15-20 kt with a few infrequent gusts near 25 kt. Seas across area waters sit at 3-5 feet, highest across the waters north of Cape Hatteras. Forecast calls for the backdoor front to gradually lift back north with winds veering southeasterly and then southerly tonight, falling below 15 kt after sunrise this morning. Seas will remain elevated across Raleigh Bay and the waters north of Cape Hatteras, and a few spotty waves of 6 feet are possible across the far outer waters. The probability is too low to warrant SCA this morning.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 545 AM Friday...A cold front will push south across the waters on Saturday with a northerly surge around 15-20 kt developing. Some high res guidance showing winds as strong as 25 kt which may warrant a SCA over parts of the waters, although the post-frontal surge is expected to be short-lived. The front will stall off the coast Saturday night with winds diminishing to around 15 kt or less but low pressure will develop along the front Sunday and pass off the OBX Sunday night into Monday bringing a period NE winds around 15-25 kt, strongest Sunday night into Monday morning. High pressure builds across the Mid- Atlantic on Tuesday with NE winds around 10-20 kt continuing across the waters. Seas expected to be around 3-5 ft Saturday into Sunday morning, then will build to 4-7 ft across the northern and southern waters and 6-9 ft across the central waters Sunday night and Monday. Seas will gradually subside Monday night and Tuesday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 722 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Backdoor cold front will lift back north across the region through tonight with a risk of showers and a few thunderstorms.
The front will push back through the area Saturday and stall offshore. An area of low pressure will lift NE along the front Sunday into Monday bringing unsettled weather across the region. High pressure briefly builds into the area Tuesday followed by a cold front with limited moisture pushing across the area Wednesday. High pressure builds back into the area for the latter half of the work week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 720 AM Fri...Mid-level ridging currently sits over eastern North Carolina this morning, while at the surface a backdoor cold front has shifted further southward, now extending from Cape Fear northwestward into the Appalachians. Low stratus has continued to expand behind the front, but recent observations are showing some scattering of this deck, which will only continue with increased heating.
The upper level ridge will break down this morning as a subtle shortwave trough traverses the mid-Atlantic. Another, weaker lobe of energy behind this feature, combined with efficient heating and gradual low-level moisture return as flow turns southeasterly, will set the stage for probable convective development across central NC racing eastward. The downstream environment will be marginally conducive for a few strong thunderstorms given deep layer shear of 35-40 kt and mean SBCAPEs of 500-1000 J/kg. However, this unstable airmass will only extend as far east as Highway 17 thanks to a combination of sea/sound breezes and the slow retreat of the backdoor cold front. Additionally, convection will likely be arriving close to sunset when instability will be waning. If sufficient instability remains in place, a few strong storms capable of gusty winds and small hail are possible primarily across the far inner coastal plain. Highest risk will be early evening, from 6pm onward.
Impressive temperature gradient today, with highs likely in the low 80s across the southwestern counties while over the northern Outer Banks temperatures will struggle to get above 60.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/
As of 440 AM Fri...Storm risk will quickly wane into the evening hours as instability collapses, although a shower risk will persist through the overnight hours as convective complexes ongoing across NC and VA encroach on the area. Another band of broken showers are possible by early Saturday morning as the main cold front begins to cross the state. More mild temperatures likely as the frontal boundary continues to lift northward, with lows in the low 60s inland and mid 50s across NOBX.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 445 AM Friday...Broad cyclonic flow prevails over the Eastern CONUS through the long term bring a progressive pattern with several frontal passages and an area of low pressure lifting off the coast early next week.
Saturday and Saturday night...A cold front will drop into the area Saturday and stall just off the coast Saturday night.
High-res guidance is a bit stronger with the front pushing through mid-morning through early afternoon. Could see a few showers throughout the day but meager instability with a post frontal inversion developing should limit thunderstorm activity.
Highs will be in the low to mid 70s across northern sections and mid to upper 70s south with mid 60s to around 70s across the OBX.
Sunday through Monday...Shortwave energy moving through the flow aloft will bring better forcing across the area Sunday and Sunday night with favorable jet dynamics over the area.
Sfc low pressure will develop along the offshore front and pass off the OBX Sunday night and push the cold front farther offshore on Monday. There remains some timing differences with the low but expect widespread rain to develop across the area Sunday and continue into Sunday night. Rainfall amounts expected around a half to one inch with highest amounts occuring along the coast. NE winds, clouds and rain will keep cooler temps across the area with highs expected in the low to mid 60s.
Most of the rain will push offshore Sunday night but an upper trough will push across the Southeast which may trigger additional showers across the area on Monday, however guidance has been trending farther south and weaker with the trough which may keep us on the drier side. Below normal temps continue on Monday with highs in the low to mid 60s.
Tuesday through Thursday...High pressure builds into the area Tuesday but will quickly move offshore by Wednesday with additional shortwave energy and sfc cold front sliding across the area bringing the chance for a few showers, though moisture appears to be limited with this system. High pressure builds back into the area on Thursday with dry conditions prevailing.
A warming trend will develop Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 70s, and a few upper 70s possible Wednesday.
Temps cool back to the low to mid 70s Thursday.
AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 12z Sat/...
As of 725 AM Fri...Widespread IFR conditions are in place across eastern NC as low stratus deck continues to expand southwestward, although recent observations and satellite data show deck is beginning to break up. Expect this trend to accelerate over the next couple of hours with increased heating, allowing widespread VFR to return by 14-15z. Dry weather persists until tonight when cluster of showers and thunderstorms, initiated to our west, begin to intrude into the coastal plain ahead of another cold front currently over the lower MS valley. Deteriorating flight conditions are likely after 03z Sat from northwest to southeast, with IFR setting in a few hours later.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 530 AM Friday...Pred VFR expected through Saturday although there will be an opportunity for brief periods of sub- VFR in isolated showers as mid level shortwaves and attendant cold front moves into the area. Low pressure passes along the offshore front Sunday through Sunday night bringing the best chance of widespread rain and sub-VFR conditions across rtes.
Improving conditions are expected on Monday with pred VFR expected Tuesday.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 450 AM Sat...Backdoor cold front is now fully across area waters. Northeasterly winds behind the boundary are outperforming guidance, reaching 15-20 kt with a few infrequent gusts near 25 kt. Seas across area waters sit at 3-5 feet, highest across the waters north of Cape Hatteras. Forecast calls for the backdoor front to gradually lift back north with winds veering southeasterly and then southerly tonight, falling below 15 kt after sunrise this morning. Seas will remain elevated across Raleigh Bay and the waters north of Cape Hatteras, and a few spotty waves of 6 feet are possible across the far outer waters. The probability is too low to warrant SCA this morning.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 545 AM Friday...A cold front will push south across the waters on Saturday with a northerly surge around 15-20 kt developing. Some high res guidance showing winds as strong as 25 kt which may warrant a SCA over parts of the waters, although the post-frontal surge is expected to be short-lived. The front will stall off the coast Saturday night with winds diminishing to around 15 kt or less but low pressure will develop along the front Sunday and pass off the OBX Sunday night into Monday bringing a period NE winds around 15-25 kt, strongest Sunday night into Monday morning. High pressure builds across the Mid- Atlantic on Tuesday with NE winds around 10-20 kt continuing across the waters. Seas expected to be around 3-5 ft Saturday into Sunday morning, then will build to 4-7 ft across the northern and southern waters and 6-9 ft across the central waters Sunday night and Monday. Seas will gradually subside Monday night and Tuesday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 30 mi | 64 min | NNE 8.9G | 49°F | 60°F | 30.13 | ||
| HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC | 38 mi | 64 min | NE 9.9G | 56°F | 69°F | 30.08 | ||
| 44095 | 40 mi | 62 min | 57°F | 5 ft | ||||
| DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 | 40 mi | 64 min | NNE 14G | 49°F | 30.10 | |||
| 44056 - Duck FRF, NC | 41 mi | 62 min | 56°F | 5 ft | ||||
| 44086 | 42 mi | 62 min | 55°F | 5 ft | ||||
| 44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) | 48 mi | 58 min | 50°F | 55°F | 5 ft |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Old House Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:38 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT 0.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:03 PM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:38 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT 0.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:03 PM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Old House Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:27 AM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:32 AM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:52 PM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 07:52 PM EDT 0.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:27 AM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:32 AM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:52 PM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 07:52 PM EDT 0.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet
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Morehead City, NC,
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