Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:25PM Sunday January 26, 2020 5:54 AM EST (10:54 UTC) Moonrise 8:29AMMoonset 7:12PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 330 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of rain in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of rain in the evening.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
AMZ200 339 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Weak high pressure will affect the area waters thru tonight. A couple of weak upper level disturbances will periodically move across the local waters during this upcoming week, 1 late tonight thru Mon and the next, Wed into early Thu. Local winds and seas will increase and build respectively, but should remain below advisory and warning thresholds. In between disturbances, weak high pressure will prevail.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 260830 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 330 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build south of the area today. Fast moving low pressure may bring rain for Monday before high pressure builds back in through mid to late week. A coastal storm is possible next weekend.

NEAR TERM /Through Today/. As of 330 AM Sun . High pres will cont to build S of the region today. Quiet morning across E NC with just some cirrus streaming through attm. Expect partly cloud skies with near climo temps for late Jan with highs generally in the low/mid 50s today. Winds will be wrly generally around 10 kt or so, up to 15 kt for the beaches and OBX zones.

SHORT TERM /Tonight/. As of 330 AM Sun . Another quiet night on tap with high pres continuing. Will continue to see ocnl cirrus stream through the region as deep layer wrly flow conts. Lows will be near climo in the 30s, with some 40s on the immediate coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 315 AM Sunday . Other than a chance of showers with a mid-level disturbance Monday, most of the upcoming week will be dry and seasonable. Another southern stream system may impact the area at the end of the week into next weekend, but considerable model differences exist.

Monday . A strong mid-level shortwave embedded in deep trough along the Atlantic coast may produce some spotty light rain on Monday. Raised PoPs slightly from the previous forecast to show a good chance of rain. However, QPF amounts will be quite low per latest guidance, generally at one-tenth of an inch or less. With fairly extensive cloud cover, high temperatures will be fairly uniform, in the mid 50s area-wide.

Monday night through Friday . Most of the week beyond Monday will be dry with seasonable temperatures. Highs should generally be in the low to mid 50s, with lows ranging from the low/mid 30s inland and low/mid 40s Outer Banks. The real shot for measurable precipitation comes Thursday as another decent mid-level shortwave crosses the area, but precipitation will again be light and largely confined to the coast, so kept PoPs quite low.

Friday Night and Saturday . While the longer-term models show a deepening trough and strong shortwave diving south toward the Gulf Coast before lifting out to the northeast, there are considerable differences on timing, location and strength of the ensuing surface system. The recent trends in the models have been for a weaker low further offshore, reducing the amounts of precipitation and overall impacts to the area, compared to yesterday's model cycle. However, still quite a bit of uncertainty at this time range, so will play it safe and keep low chance PoPs in the forecast. GFS and Canadian are faster with the onset of precipitation, showing more of a Friday start time, while the ECWMF brings in the bulk of the precipitation on Saturday. Temperatures still remain fairly close to normal through Saturday.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 330 AM Sun . Only sct/bkn cirrus expected through this TAF cycle as high pres builds into the region. Winds will be light wrly today, becoming mainly calm overnight tonight.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 315 AM Sun . Some brief reduced ceilings may occur in spotty showers on Monday. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected Monday Night through Thursday as high pressure remains in control of the area's weather.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 330 AM Sun . Only change to SCA headlines was to extend the ctrl waters, as seas will linger around 6 ft through today and tonight near Diamond Shoals. Elsewhere, seas will generally be 3-5 ft. Winds will be wrly today 5-15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. These winds will continue through the overnight tonight as high pressure is anchored to the SW of the region.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 325 AM Sunday . Elevated seas will persist on the central waters into Monday morning before subsiding. All Small Craft Advisories should be gone by midday Monday. A strong mid- level shortwave, embedded in a deep trough along the Atlantic coast, will pass across the area Monday night and Tuesday and will lead to a period of NW winds 15-20 knot winds and seas 3-5 feet, below SCA criteria. For Tuesday night through Thursday, winds should generally be N 5-15 knots with seas 2-5 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . CTC AVIATION . CTC/TL MARINE . CTC/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi54 min 43°F 1013 hPa (+0.0)
FRFN7 45 mi174 min 4 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 46 mi24 min 46°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi60 min 44°F 50°F1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi59 minW 410.00 miFair43°F35°F77%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEDE

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN3NE3CalmNE6E6E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:58 AM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:19 AM EST     3.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:42 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:22 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:08 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:36 PM EST     2.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.4-0.2-0.4-0.10.51.42.333.33.32.821.20.4-0.1-0.20.10.81.62.32.72.82.41.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:59 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:22 AM EST     3.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:44 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:22 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:08 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:42 PM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.1-0.10.10.71.52.53.33.73.63.22.41.40.5-0-0.10.20.81.62.42.82.92.72.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.