Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamston, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 020721 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 321 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A trough of low pressure will remain offshore today, as high pressure builds in from the west. High pressure will then continue to build into the area through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 300 AM Thurs . A few showers remain over the southern NC coast this morning, but expect precip to diminish very soon. Expect there to be some areas of fog formation later this morning as conditions clear behind last night's convection and the ground remains very wet.

As the upper level trough slides offshore this morning, the flow will become northerly, though remain light. Mostly sunny skies this morning will allow for a sea breeze to quickly form, and with the flow out of the north, little inland progress is expected and the sea breeze is expected to remained pinned fairly close to the coast all day. Though the column will be drying, good moisture will remain in the mid and low levels (and PWATs remain above 1.5"), which combined with subtle forcing from the upper trough, will produce an active sea breeze front with showers and thunderstorms developing along it early (by late AM), and slowly spreading inland through the afternoon. Aforementioned upper level drying should limit deep convection, and with atmospheric winds light, not expecting any strong/severe storms.

Temperatures should max out right around normal, reaching the upper 80s to around 90.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. As of 315 AM Thurs . Aside from a lingering shower this evening, expecting dry conditions tonight as subsidence increases behind the upper trough. Expect mild conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 AM Thursday . Upper ridging will extend east into the area Friday and Saturday. Bermuda high pressure to the east re- establishes itself on Sunday, before low pressure forms over the Deep South late in the weekend then moves along or off the NC coast early next week.

Friday through Saturday . As the upper low moves away Friday, upper level heights rise and weak upper ridging will extend into the region Fri-Sat. Kept Friday dry with a chance of late day, showers and storms along the sea breeze and along and ahead of a backdoor cold front over the northern half of the area but still not a bad fourth of July. With less precipitation coverage, highs should warm into the lower 90s for many areas Friday and Saturday.

Sunday and Sunday night . Bermuda high pressure will temporarily build into the region Sunday as the front dissipates over the region. This will lead to warm humid conditions with scattered sea breeze activity in the late day hours. Highs mainly upper 80s.

Monday through Wednesday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South Sunday which is then forecast to move near or off the NC coast early next week. The low will draw deeper moisture north into the area and thus will have high chance PoPs for Monday through Wednesday. Daytime highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s each day.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tomorrow Morning/ . As of 145 AM Thurs . A mix of MVFR and VFR conditions are present early this morning, as a weakening complex of thunderstorms moves over the southern NC coast and eventually dissipates/moves offshore. Expect MVFR conditions related to rainfall to continue the next hour or so, and then think VFR conditions will return for a couple hours as skies clear and winds remain calm. Given the wet ground and clear skies/little wind, expect fog/low stratus formation to MVFR levels to occur across a good portion of Eastern NC, and become most widespread over the coastal plain where IFR conditions are possible. VFR conditions should return soon after sunrise, and persist through the day.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Little to no precipitation expected Friday and Saturday with mostly VFR conditions prevailing. Better rain chances return Sunday into early next week with the Bermuda high setting up to the east resulting in a good influx of Gulf Moisture. Expect mostly VFR conditions, but scattered showers and storms could lower conditions briefly Sunday and Monday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 315 AM Thurs . Pristine boating conditions continue today and tonight with light winds out of the north at 10 kts or less, and seas 2-3 ft.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 315 AM Thursday . Benign marine conditions will continue through early next week with a generally light gradient over the region resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be mainly S/SW with the northern and portions of the central waters becoming easterly Sat and Sunday. Seas will 2-3 ft through Sunday building to 3-4 ft Mon afternoon.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . JME/CTC AVIATION . JME/SGK MARINE . JME/SGK

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370	75 mi	46 min	WNW 6 G 8	74°F
44056 - Duck FRF, NC	77 mi	50 min			77°F	2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	78 mi	46 min	Calm G 1.9	72°F	79°F

Wind History for Duck, NC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC	17 mi	21 min	SW 3	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	69°F	67°F	96%	1010.2 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC	21 mi	21 min	WSW 3	7.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	70°F	68°F	94%	1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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