Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamston, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 270136 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 836 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

SYNOPSIS. Strong low pressure passing north of the area will drag a cold front through tonight, which will stall to the south. A strong coastal storm will develop along this front and impact the area late Wednesday and into Thursday. High pressure will build over the area Friday and Saturday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 8 PM Tue . Widespread showers with a few weak thunderstorms have broken our since sunset mainly south of US Hwy 70 as nocturnal destabilization of the stratus is some mid- level height falls have allowed for modest convection. Additionally, fog continues across the area as stratus builds to the surface north of the weak front stalled near the coast. expect this fog to continue to plague the area until the weak cold front crosses . which latest hi-res guidance times as arriving to the inner coastal plain around 9-10 PM, and pushing offshore shortly after midnight.

The surface front will cross the area late this evening and overnight as low pressure slides off the Mid- Atlantic coast. Shower activity will be mainly focused ahead of and along the front as very weak post-frontal CAA brings modest low level drying through the early morning hours. Still, fog and possibly some drizzle will continue to plague the area, especially south of the Tar River, where modest moisture overrunning and a few pockets of radiational cooling will generally continue the fog and stratus that is in place early this evening. Lows will cool several degrees behind the weak cold front, most noticeable inland and north of the Pamlico River.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. As of 340 PM Tue . A weak wave will develop along the front stalled to our south tomorrow, which will bring light rain back into the area through the morning. Best chances for rain will be along the southern coast, with rain likely scattered at times across the Albemarle and NOBX region. Decent northerly flow and continued low clouds, will limit highs to only the upper 40s to low 50s across the area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 330 AM Tuesday . A strong low pressure system will develop Wednesday night into early Thursday morning with the potential for strong winds, rainy conditions, and the potential for some light snow late Wednesday night. Then cooler and drier weather will dominate Thursday through Saturday. The next cold front is forecast to affect the area Sunday into early next week.

Wednesday Night through Thursday night . By Wednesday evening an approaching upper level trough will catch up with the weak low to the south of the area, leading to intense cyclogenesis off the NC coast. Initially light rain will become heavier through the night as the low intensifies, and as winds also strengthen, cold air will quickly move into the area overnight. A changeover to snow is likely across a decent portion of the area, with some minor accumulations possible across the northern half of the forecast area, but mainly north of US 264 and over to the NOBX. The snow accumulation forecast remains low confidence as there are still some variances with how quickly the cold air moves into the region, and also how much precip will inevitably fall as snow before the system pulls away from the coast. Strong winds could also produce brief near whiteout conditions along the NE NC coast before precip ends Thursday morning.

Strong CAA Thursday will keep temps well below normal with highs only reaching the upper 30s to low 40s, with gusty winds leading to wind chills in the 20s all day.

Friday and Saturday . High pressure will build into the region leading to cold and dry weather for this period. Expect temperatures to reach into the 40s.

Sunday through Tuesday . A low pressure system is forecast to develop around the MS/OH/TN Valley Sunday morning and lift into the Midwest. Models are indicating a secondary low will form across the Southeast states leading to additional rainfall. A cold front is expected to push through Monday, but with light rain to continue on the backside of the low.

AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Wednesday/ .

As of 8 PM Tuesday . IFR/LIFR continues through the evening and overnight as a cold front approaches and crosses the area. Then, early Wednesday morning, modest post-frontal CAA could cause stratus to scatter out behind a cold front. However, cooling temps match lowering dew points, with dew point depressions staying around 2 degrees or less. A few pockets of radiational cooling could bring about more radiational style fog as well. Overall, there was not enough confidence in improving conditions to forecast much better than persistence LIFR/IFR through sunrise.

Wednesday, improved mixing after sunrise will bring MVFR to VFR prevailing through mid morning. However, A wave developing inland will bring increasing rainfall and the potential for further flight restrictions late morning into the afternoon.

Long Term /Wednesday Night through Sunday/ . As of 400 PM Tuesday . Periods of sub-VFR conditions will be likely as rain becomes widespread Wednesday Night through Thursday morning due to a low pressure system. Also, windy conditions are expected as the low deepens off the NC coast. Expect high pressure to build in Friday and Saturday leading to VFR conditions dominate.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tomorrow/ . As of 400 PM Tue . SCAs continue for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet as strong winds have finally developed south of a stalled front located along the coast. Seas remain mostly 4-6 ft over these areas, but could briefly build to 5-7 ft as winds continue to be SW 15-25 kts with gusts 25-30 kts. Further north, winds remain around 10 kts mostly out of the west. Conditions should improve later this evening/early tonight as a weak boundary moves southward through the waters and pushes the stronger winds further offshore. By early tonight winds will shift to the W at 10-15 kts, and then NW around 10 kts overnight with seas falling to 3-5 ft. Tomorrow winds will continue out of the NNW 10-15 kts with seas 2-4 ft.

Long Term /Wednesday Night through Sunday/ . As of 400 PM Tue . Marine conditions will quickly deteriorate Wednesday night as a low pressure system lifts into the area and deepens quickly. Have issued Gale Warning for the coastal waters and eastern sounds, as well as SCAs for the inland rivers and Albemarle Sound. Winds will increase quickly Wednesday night to 15-25 kts, and then further strengthen to NNW 25-35 kts overnight, with seas building to 5-10 ft by Thursday morning. Strong winds continue most of the day Thursday with seas peaking at 6-10 ft, before winds slowly subside Thursday night.

Winds will subside to 20-25 kts Friday as seas will remain elevated (above 6ft). Winds finally become 15-20 kts Saturday, while seas 3-5 ft with 6 footer still possible over the central waters.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 400 PM Tuesday . Rapidly deepening low pressure off of the North Carolina Coast early Thursday will produce Gale Force northerly winds along the coast. This may result in minor coastal flooding adjacent to the Pamlico Sound across Hatteras Island, Ocracoke, and Down east Carteret county Thursday into Thursday night with water levels of 1 to 2 feet above ground level. Have issued a coastal flood advisory for these areas beginning after midnight Thursday morning.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Wind Advisory from midnight Wednesday night to 7 PM EST Thursday for NCZ196-203>205. Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for NCZ196-204-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 9 PM EST Thursday for AMZ136- 137. Gale Warning from midnight Wednesday night to 10 PM EST Thursday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday for AMZ131-230. Gale Warning from 3 AM to 6 PM EST Thursday for AMZ231. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ152- 154-156-158. Gale Warning from midnight Wednesday night to 7 AM EST Friday for AMZ150-152-154. Gale Warning from midnight Wednesday night to 1 AM EST Friday for AMZ156. Gale Warning from midnight Wednesday night to 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK/CB SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . BM/SGK AVIATION . BM/CB/CEB MARINE . BM/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370	75 mi	410 min	W 7 G 8.9	48°F			1009.8 hPa (-0.5)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC	77 mi	414 min			46°F	3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	78 mi	410 min	NNW 2.9 G 4.1	47°F	44°F		1009.9 hPa (-0.8)

Wind History for Duck, NC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC	17 mi	55 min	SSW 3	4.00 mi	Fog/Mist	51°F	50°F	97%	1012.5 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC	21 mi	55 min	N 0	3.00 mi	Fog/Mist	52°F	50°F	94%	1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Ground Weather Radar Station

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