Tuesday, January19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:19PM Tuesday January 19, 2021 1:20 PM EST (18:20 UTC) Moonrise 11:08AMMoonset 11:49PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 1220 Pm Est Tue Jan 19 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday afternoon...
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves choppy.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to choppy.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy.
AMZ200 1159 Am Est Tue Jan 19 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A ridge of high pressure will move offshore this morning. Winds will increase this afternoon through tonight ahead of a dry cold front that should move offshore Wednesday morning. Another front will reach the area late Thursday night and Friday bringing clouds and rain. Dry weather is expected for the weekend as canadian high pressure builds in.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 191750 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1250 PM EST Tue Jan 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will remain in control today. A dry cold front will move through early Wednesday morning. Another frontal system will impact the area late this week, with high pressure building in from the north this weekend. The next frontal system will impact the area early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1010 AM Tue . Fcst is on track and no changes needed with am update.

Prev discussion . As of 625 AM Tue . Latest sfc analysis shows 1028mb high pressure centered over FL this morning, extending through the SE US. High pressure will remain in control today, making for a pleasant and seasonable day. Modest CAA this morning wanes as low level flow becomes increasing southwesterly midday through the afternoon. Scattered mid level clouds expected across the northern tier later this morning and afternoon with increasing moisture from weak shortwave aloft, otherwise mostly sunny skies expected. Deep layer downsloping flow will keep temps several degrees above normal today, with highs in the 50s. SW sections could see the upper 50s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 AM Tue . High pressure will weaken across the area this evening as a dry cold front approaches from the west. The front will move through late tonight and early Wednesday morning. Main impacts still look like increasing mid level clouds and westerly wind shift. Milder overnight lows with cloud cover and wind, lows dropping into the mid-upper 30s inland and upper 30s to mid 40s for the beaches.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 220 AM Tue . Seasonable and dry weather to start off the period, with a few showers possible late week, but a return to dry weather and below normal temps this weekend. Best chance for wet weather set to arrive early next week.

Wednesday . A dry cold front moves through the region early Wed. Main impact with the boundary will be increasing cloud cover and wind shift during the morning hours. High pressure will build in during the afternoon and turn skies mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s with overnight lows in the low 30s.

Thursday and Friday . Weak frontal boundary will trail across the Carolinas Thu into Fri. Global models continue to trend, keeping the front and most of the moisture south. GFS/ECMWF both showing a predominantly dry Thu with increasing shower chances along the southern tier Thu night into Fri. GFS now the wetter of the two with an area of showers draped across the Crystal Coast while the ECMWF has pushed the system south of the NC/SC border, keeping the region mostly dry. Kept a schc to low-end chc of precip for the Crystal Coast to continue expressing the possibility of some light showers Fri. Highs Thu and Fri in the low to mid 50s.

Saturday through Sunday . Strong high pressure will build in from the north Saturday and Sunday. Mostly dry weather this weekend with the sfc high in control and ridging aloft. Below normal temps expected with highs generally 45-50 deg, and overnight lows dropping into the upper 20s to low 30s.

Monday . High pressure will slip offshore early Monday morning as a more robust storm system treks across the Eastern US early next week. Strong mid level shortwave will lift across the south central US into the northeast, allowing a deepening low to develop. ECMWF showing a slower northerly track for the system with the GFS providing a quicker southerly track. Regardless, can expect a inc in precip chances to start the week.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through tomorrow morning/ . As of 1245 PM Tuesday . High pressure building in makes VFR prevail throughout the entire period. FEW/SCT mid clouds this afternoon with winds out of the SW around 10kts gusting up to 15-20kts. Gusts die down around sunset. Overnight, dry cold front passage brings greater coverage of mid level clouds but CIGs will not drop to sub-VFR. Low level windshear concerns for inland terminals starting around 5/6Z and 9Z for coastal terminals. LLWS threat ends around 10Z. Tomorrow morning, VFR with gusty winds out of the W to start the day and veering to NW by late morning. Crosswind concerns present for ISO runway 5/23 once wind shifts NWerly will last through the end of this period.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 240 AM Tue . Pred VFR conditions expected through Wednesday night. A few showers are possible Thursday and Friday as a frontal boundary stalls near the area, with potential for brief periods of sub-VFR. High pressure returns Saturday with prevailing VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 625 AM Tue . Latest obs show W/NW winds 10-20 kt with seas 3-4 ft. High pressure remains in control today, with W/NW winds 10-20 kt this morning becoming more SW by afternoon. Seas 2-4 ft. SW winds increase to 20-25 kt for the waters south of Oregon Inlet and the Pamlico Sound this evening, with seas responding and building to 4-6 ft late tonight. SCA conditions begin this evening. Strong CAA expected behind the front Wed morning with winds shifting to the W/NW.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 245 AM Tue . SCA continue through early Wed as the dry front pushes through the area. WNW winds continue ramping up 20-25 kts across all waters with gusts up to 30 kts through the early aftn with seas 4-6 ft. High pressure becomes more prevalent, calming winds down during the late aftn hours, dropping all waters below SCA criteria by the evening. Light SW winds Thu will begin to increase once again during the aftn to around 15-25 kts as another frontal boundary impacts the region. Seas across the central and southern waters build to 4-6 ft once again Thu aftn through early Fri morning. Front will sink south of the region through Fri, allowing winds to turn NW and drop down to 10-15 kts with waves 3-5 ft by the afternoon and 2-4 ft overnight. Strong high pressure will build in Saturday with fairly strong CAA. NW winds will inc to 15-20 kts and seas 3-5 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 3 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 5 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD/TL SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . CQD/ML AVIATION . CQD/ML/CEB MARINE . CQD/ML


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi50 min S 8.9 G 11 45°F 44°F1024.6 hPa
44086 14 mi37 min 51°F2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min SW 9.9 G 14 47°F 1023.6 hPa
44095 21 mi54 min 56°F2 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi50 min W 8 G 9.9 50°F 47°F1025.5 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi25 minW 1010.00 miFair51°F30°F44%1024 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi5 minSW 610.00 miFair50°F28°F42%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:42 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:38 AM EST     2.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:59 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.41.91.20.70.30.20.511.72.32.62.72.41.91.30.60.200.20.71.422.5

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:47 AM EST     0.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:09 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:59 PM EST     0.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:26 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.40.40.30.20.10.1000.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.20.10.1000.10.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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