Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:51AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday July 4, 2020 9:05 PM EDT (01:05 UTC) Moonrise 7:14PMMoonset 4:07AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 702 Pm Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Mon..S winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 716 Pm Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Weak high pressure will will cover the carolinas through the july fourth weekend with light winds and a 1-2 foot ese-se swell dominating. A weak cold front may bring a tstm late Sunday, but outside of tstms winds will be light to moderate. Low pressure along the gulf coast will begin to lift north next week, with increasing chances for tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 042348 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 748 PM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the area behind a backdoor cold front through the weekend. An area of low pressure may develop and slowly lift along the Southeast coast next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 730 PM Sat . The latest analysis is showing the backdoor cold front pushing through ENC and currently west of Creswell (Washington Cty) and down to the the mouth of the Neuse Rvr as winds have become NE. Aloft, H2O vapor imagery indicates shortwave pushing southward through the northern portions of NC Tidewater area. These two features have been the focus of showers and thunderstorms that developed across the northern half. Most of these showers and thunderstorms have weaken, but there remains the opportunity for showers and thunderstorms to fire up along the backdoor cold front and sea breeze. A few storms could hold together as the propagate south, continued the mention of isolated showers and thunderstorms across the southern half this evening.

Later this evening, lingering showers should dissipate by mid evening with lack of appreciable upper support, and mostly dry conditions expected. With weak nerly flow behind backdoor front, and any rain that falls, will be a setup for some fog and low stratus overnight. Patchy fog has been added to grids in anticipation of this, esp nrn/wrn zones.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 3 PM Sat . The aforementioned backdoor front/outflow bndry from this evening's storms will reside somewhere acrs the swrn CWA on Sunday. This boundary will act as a focus for more sct storm development by afternoon, with best covg swrn 1/4 of the FA. Very little chc of convection for nern zones, as the area will be ensconced under ridging aloft and more stable NE/E flow.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 240 AM Saturday . A weak front will dissipate across Eastern NC Sunday into Monday. Then low pressure will develop to the south around Tue, moving slowly northeast along of just off the the coastal Carolinas mid through late next week resulting in unsettled weather for most of the upcoming week.

Sunday night and Monday . The remnant front dissipating across the area should act as a focus for mainly diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms Monday. Warm and humid conditions will prevail with highs mainly in the mid to upper 80s.

Tuesday through Saturday . The models continue to show the development of a surface low over the Deep South early next week which is then forecast to move slowly over or just off the Carolinas mid through late next week. There is not very good agreement with the track and development of this system, thus will cap PoPs in the high chance range through the period. The circulation around this low, however, will draw deeper moisture north into the area and enhance coverage/intensity of showers and thunderstorms especially during peak heating. Temperatures should be near normal, with the potential for some below normal highs on the days with more extensive cloud cover and precipitation.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through 12Z Sunday/ . As of 730 PM Sat . Mostly VFR conditions will continue through most of the period. A backdoor cold front is currently pushing through the area and resulted with the development of showers and thunderstorms. Most of these showers and thunderstorms are weakening due to the lack of daytime heating. Afterward, lingering clouds across the area . leading to mostly clear skies. Then the potential for fog and low stratus is expected to develop between 8z through 12z . bringing conditions to MVFR. We can't rule out the potential for IFR VSBY. Conditions will return back to VFR in the morning with clouds developing in the afternoon with showers and thunderstorms to develop mostly for the southern half (EWN and OAJ). Winds will become light to calm overnight, then becoming easterly 5 knots or less after sunrise and throughout the day.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 130 PM Saturday . Widely scattered to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected mainly during peak heating Sunday and Monday. More widespread showers and thunderstorms should develop by midweek as a slow moving area of low pressure moves into the area. Expect mostly VFR conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms through Monday with more widespread sub VFR conditions possible Tuesday and Wednesday. As usual, with very moist low levels, morning stratus and fog may occur in areas that receive rain on the previous day leading to sub VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 730 PM Sat . Benign boating conditions across the waters expected through the period. Winds have veered N to NE for the northern and central waters behind a backdoor cold front with speeds of 10-15 kt with ocnl gusts to 20 kt. The front is expected to stall along the Crystal Coast tonight, and winds across the southern waters are expected to remain southwest 5-15 kt through the period. Seas hold at 2-3 feet for all waters through the period. Winds veer E to ESE through the day Sunday as the front becomes a pseudo warm front.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Saturday . Benign marine conditions will continue through mid next week with a generally light gradient over the waters resulting in winds 5-15 kt through the period. Winds will be southerly through Wed with the northern and portions of the central waters initially easterly on Sunday. Seas will be 2-3 ft through the period. Coverage of showers and thunderstorms is expected to become more widespread mid to late next week which could impact marine safety.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL/BM SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/BM MARINE . JME/TL/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi48 min NE 11 G 14
44086 14 mi23 min 80°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi48 min ENE 12 G 13 76°F 1013 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi40 min 80°F3 ft
FRFN7 20 mi186 min 3 ft
44095 21 mi40 min 80°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi40 min 78°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi48 min NE 8.9 G 15 79°F 84°F1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi71 minE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F70°F84%1013.2 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi71 minENE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F69°F83%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW3W4W5NW5NW4CalmW3NW5NW7NW7NW7N9N9
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5W3NW4CalmNW4W3NW8NW6NW6NW7N5NW8NW7NW5NW5N5N4N4Calm
2 days agoN18
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W9W5N4NW4NW4NW5N6N6NE6NE7NE7NE9NE10NE6NE8E7E8NE3NE5E3

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:21 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:22 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:46 PM EDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0.2-0.20.31.122.73.13.12.61.80.90.2-0.2-0.10.41.32.43.33.94.13.732

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:58 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:42 AM EDT     0.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:49 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:07 PM EDT     0.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.20.1-0-000.10.20.40.40.50.40.30.20.1-0-000.10.30.40.50.60.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.