Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manteo, NC
September 23, 2023 4:07 AM EDT (08:07 UTC)
Sunrise 6:52AM Sunset 7:02PM Moonrise 2:24PM Moonset 11:48PM
AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 1109 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2023
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Overnight..Tropical storm conditions. E winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Waves extremely rough. Rain with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..Tropical storm conditions expected. SE winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming S 25 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 50 kt, decreasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Waves extremely rough, diminishing to very rough in the afternoon. A slight chance of tstms. Rain in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..Tropical storm conditions possible. S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves choppy. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves choppy. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves choppy. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Overnight..Tropical storm conditions. E winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Waves extremely rough. Rain with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..Tropical storm conditions expected. SE winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming S 25 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 50 kt, decreasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Waves extremely rough, diminishing to very rough in the afternoon. A slight chance of tstms. Rain in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..Tropical storm conditions possible. S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves choppy. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves choppy. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Waves choppy. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 322 Am Edt Sat Sep 23 2023
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Tropical storm ophelia is moving northward offshore from the cape fear coast and should make landfall early this morning along the crystal coast. Dangerous marine conditions are expected thru today with much improved winds and sea conditions expected tonight thru Sun as ophelia weakens while lifting northward, further away from the area. Weak high pressure to prevail Sun thru early next week with tranquil conditions. The high will strengthen across the area by midweek.
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Tropical storm ophelia is moving northward offshore from the cape fear coast and should make landfall early this morning along the crystal coast. Dangerous marine conditions are expected thru today with much improved winds and sea conditions expected tonight thru Sun as ophelia weakens while lifting northward, further away from the area. Weak high pressure to prevail Sun thru early next week with tranquil conditions. The high will strengthen across the area by midweek.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMHX 230738 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 338 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
SYNOPSIS
Tropical Storm Ophelia is forecast to make landfall along the Crystal Coast this morning, then gradually weaken as it lifts through eastern NC today. The system will move away from the area tonight and Sunday, with improving conditions.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 245 AM Sat...The center of Tropical Storm Ophelia is currently about 50 miles SSW of Cape Lookout early this morning, with max sustained winds around 70 mph. Ophelia is forecast to make landfall along the Crystal Coast in the next few hours.
Tropical Storm Warnings continue for the entire area, with Hurricane Watches for all counties along the Crystal Coast, as well as the Neuse/Bay Rivers, southern Craven, and Pamlico counties with the potential for gusts to 85-90 mph at times.
Tropical Storm Ophelia will then grad weaken and lift north through eastern NC today, with strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall impacts continuing, but improving conditions expected later in the day. For detailed surge info, see section below or hurricane local statement. Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will continue, with flash flooding possible, and a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect. Axis of heavier rain will likely shift more inland after sunrise this morning, as deeper convection develops on the NW side of the circulation. Isolated tornado threat will continue for the next few hours, but based on radar trends the threat remains low at this time.
It is likely that drier air will begin to wrap into the storm from the south and east later in the day, with quickly diminishing rainfall coverage, and possibly some breaks in the clouds in the afternoon. The more wind driven impacts, including storm surge are expected to continue into tonight.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 245 AM Sat...TS Ophelia will continue to grad weaken and lift quickly north of the area tonight, into eastern VA and the Delmarva. Conditions will be quickly improving across the area with precip shifting north and winds grad weakening.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 330 AM Sat
Sunday through Tuesday
Aloft, upper level troughing will slowly track offshore the Eastern Seaboard while a shortwave ridge quickly builds in behind the departing trough Monday night into Tuesday. At the surface, Ophelia will continue to track north pulling further and further away from ENC on Sunday. By Sunday night a weak shortwave trough is forecast to round the base of the departing upper trough while at the surface a moisture starved cold front quickly tracks southwards. While we will remain dry on Sunday and Monday southwesterly flow aloft and lift from the trough will allow for partly to mostly cloudy skies across the area. Deep upper troughing then begins to dive SE'wards across the Ohio River Valley and into the Eastern CONUS Tuesday evening bringing increased precipitation chances to the area once again.
Temperatures will be at or slightly below average through this timeframe.
Midweek into next weekend... Upper troughing remains over the Eastern CONUS into the weekend, continuing to bring precip chances to the area while temperatures remain at or slightly below average through the remainder of the period.
AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 245 AM Sat...Widespread IFR ceilings continue across the terminals early this morning, as TS Ophelia continues to approach eastern NC. Expect ceilings to remain below VFR through the TAF period but some improvements in ceiling heights may occur very close to the end of the TAF period, particularly at southern terminals. However, IFR cigs may linger through Sun morning. Additionally, widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will continue through at least mid morning, with some improvement as TS Ophelia continues to move inland grad weakening. Finally, strong winds will continue through the TAF period with crosswind components expected.
LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Generally expecting light winds and gusts below 20 kts with VFR conditions through the period as ENC remains dry for the most part after the departure of Ophelia.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 245 AM Sat...Very dangerous marine conditions expected through the period as Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to impact the waters. Tropical storm force winds are ongoing, with hurricane force wind gusts possible mainly south of Cape Hatteras through the next several hours. Seas peak at 15-20 ft, subsiding to 10-15 ft late today. Conditions will improve fairly quickly tonight into early Sunday morning.
LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat.. Winds gradually begin to ease across our waters on Sunday as Ophelia continues to pull further and further away as winds start out around 15-25 kts from the SW Sunday morning but then quickly ease closer to 10-15 kts by Sunday afternoon. A moisture starved cold front will sweep S'wards across our waters on Monday shifting winds to a N to NE'rly direction at 10-20 kts Monday night into Tuesday with these winds persisting into midweek potentially bringing SCA conditions to our waters Tuesday into Wednesday. 4-6 ft seas along our coastal waters lower as the winds lower, getting down to 2-4 ft by Monday with these 2-4 ft seas persisting into Tuesday morning before increasing again Tuesday night as the winds increase
HYDROLOGY
As of 245 AM Sat...Tropical Storm Ophelia will continue to impact the area today, bringing moderate to heavy rainfall through at least mid day today. 3-5 inches of rainfall have already fallen along the coast during the past 24 hours, with additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches possible, with the axis of heavier rain, 2-4+ inches, likely shifting more inland.
Localized flash flooding possible through at least mid morning.
A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area. Rainfall coverage diminishes through the day today as drier air fills in from the south and east.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 245 AM Sat...Storm Surge Watches and Warnings remain in effect for most coastal areas, with potential for life threatening inundation (2-6 ft agl). Water levels likely peaking the next few hours for areas adjacent to the Pamlico/Pungo/Neuse/Bay Rivers, and those adj to the southern Pamlico/Core and Bogue Sounds. There is still concern that when TS Ophelia makes landfall and the winds shift, the water will rise rapidly for the soundside Outer Banks today. See the Hurricane Local Statement for the latest on coastal impacts from Tropical Storm Ophelia.
Powerful swell will bring very dangerous surf conditions, moderate beach erosion, and the potential for localized ocean overwash, and an elevated rip current risk through much of the weekend. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect for beaches from Cape Lookout north through this evening.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094- 193>196-198-199-203>205.
Hurricane Watch for NCZ094-194>196-199.
Flood Watch through this afternoon for NCZ029-044>047-079>081- 090>092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205.
Storm Surge Watch for NCZ045>047-199.
Storm Surge Warning for NCZ080-081-094-194>196-203>205.
Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ195-196-199-203>205.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158- 230-231.
Hurricane Watch for AMZ137.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 338 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
SYNOPSIS
Tropical Storm Ophelia is forecast to make landfall along the Crystal Coast this morning, then gradually weaken as it lifts through eastern NC today. The system will move away from the area tonight and Sunday, with improving conditions.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 245 AM Sat...The center of Tropical Storm Ophelia is currently about 50 miles SSW of Cape Lookout early this morning, with max sustained winds around 70 mph. Ophelia is forecast to make landfall along the Crystal Coast in the next few hours.
Tropical Storm Warnings continue for the entire area, with Hurricane Watches for all counties along the Crystal Coast, as well as the Neuse/Bay Rivers, southern Craven, and Pamlico counties with the potential for gusts to 85-90 mph at times.
Tropical Storm Ophelia will then grad weaken and lift north through eastern NC today, with strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall impacts continuing, but improving conditions expected later in the day. For detailed surge info, see section below or hurricane local statement. Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will continue, with flash flooding possible, and a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect. Axis of heavier rain will likely shift more inland after sunrise this morning, as deeper convection develops on the NW side of the circulation. Isolated tornado threat will continue for the next few hours, but based on radar trends the threat remains low at this time.
It is likely that drier air will begin to wrap into the storm from the south and east later in the day, with quickly diminishing rainfall coverage, and possibly some breaks in the clouds in the afternoon. The more wind driven impacts, including storm surge are expected to continue into tonight.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 245 AM Sat...TS Ophelia will continue to grad weaken and lift quickly north of the area tonight, into eastern VA and the Delmarva. Conditions will be quickly improving across the area with precip shifting north and winds grad weakening.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 330 AM Sat
Sunday through Tuesday
Aloft, upper level troughing will slowly track offshore the Eastern Seaboard while a shortwave ridge quickly builds in behind the departing trough Monday night into Tuesday. At the surface, Ophelia will continue to track north pulling further and further away from ENC on Sunday. By Sunday night a weak shortwave trough is forecast to round the base of the departing upper trough while at the surface a moisture starved cold front quickly tracks southwards. While we will remain dry on Sunday and Monday southwesterly flow aloft and lift from the trough will allow for partly to mostly cloudy skies across the area. Deep upper troughing then begins to dive SE'wards across the Ohio River Valley and into the Eastern CONUS Tuesday evening bringing increased precipitation chances to the area once again.
Temperatures will be at or slightly below average through this timeframe.
Midweek into next weekend... Upper troughing remains over the Eastern CONUS into the weekend, continuing to bring precip chances to the area while temperatures remain at or slightly below average through the remainder of the period.
AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 245 AM Sat...Widespread IFR ceilings continue across the terminals early this morning, as TS Ophelia continues to approach eastern NC. Expect ceilings to remain below VFR through the TAF period but some improvements in ceiling heights may occur very close to the end of the TAF period, particularly at southern terminals. However, IFR cigs may linger through Sun morning. Additionally, widespread moderate to heavy rainfall will continue through at least mid morning, with some improvement as TS Ophelia continues to move inland grad weakening. Finally, strong winds will continue through the TAF period with crosswind components expected.
LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Generally expecting light winds and gusts below 20 kts with VFR conditions through the period as ENC remains dry for the most part after the departure of Ophelia.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 245 AM Sat...Very dangerous marine conditions expected through the period as Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to impact the waters. Tropical storm force winds are ongoing, with hurricane force wind gusts possible mainly south of Cape Hatteras through the next several hours. Seas peak at 15-20 ft, subsiding to 10-15 ft late today. Conditions will improve fairly quickly tonight into early Sunday morning.
LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat.. Winds gradually begin to ease across our waters on Sunday as Ophelia continues to pull further and further away as winds start out around 15-25 kts from the SW Sunday morning but then quickly ease closer to 10-15 kts by Sunday afternoon. A moisture starved cold front will sweep S'wards across our waters on Monday shifting winds to a N to NE'rly direction at 10-20 kts Monday night into Tuesday with these winds persisting into midweek potentially bringing SCA conditions to our waters Tuesday into Wednesday. 4-6 ft seas along our coastal waters lower as the winds lower, getting down to 2-4 ft by Monday with these 2-4 ft seas persisting into Tuesday morning before increasing again Tuesday night as the winds increase
HYDROLOGY
As of 245 AM Sat...Tropical Storm Ophelia will continue to impact the area today, bringing moderate to heavy rainfall through at least mid day today. 3-5 inches of rainfall have already fallen along the coast during the past 24 hours, with additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches possible, with the axis of heavier rain, 2-4+ inches, likely shifting more inland.
Localized flash flooding possible through at least mid morning.
A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area. Rainfall coverage diminishes through the day today as drier air fills in from the south and east.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 245 AM Sat...Storm Surge Watches and Warnings remain in effect for most coastal areas, with potential for life threatening inundation (2-6 ft agl). Water levels likely peaking the next few hours for areas adjacent to the Pamlico/Pungo/Neuse/Bay Rivers, and those adj to the southern Pamlico/Core and Bogue Sounds. There is still concern that when TS Ophelia makes landfall and the winds shift, the water will rise rapidly for the soundside Outer Banks today. See the Hurricane Local Statement for the latest on coastal impacts from Tropical Storm Ophelia.
Powerful swell will bring very dangerous surf conditions, moderate beach erosion, and the potential for localized ocean overwash, and an elevated rip current risk through much of the weekend. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect for beaches from Cape Lookout north through this evening.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094- 193>196-198-199-203>205.
Hurricane Watch for NCZ094-194>196-199.
Flood Watch through this afternoon for NCZ029-044>047-079>081- 090>092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205.
Storm Surge Watch for NCZ045>047-199.
Storm Surge Warning for NCZ080-081-094-194>196-203>205.
Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ195-196-199-203>205.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158- 230-231.
Hurricane Watch for AMZ137.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 10 mi | 50 min | SE 12G | 76°F | 74°F | 29.64 | ||
| 44086 | 14 mi | 42 min | 75°F | 15 ft | ||||
| DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 | 19 mi | 50 min | E 12G | 76°F | 74°F | 29.67 | ||
| 44056 - Duck FRF, NC | 20 mi | 42 min | 75°F | 13 ft | ||||
| 44095 | 21 mi | 42 min | 75°F | 14 ft | ||||
| 44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) | 24 mi | 42 min | 74°F | 16 ft | ||||
| HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC | 48 mi | 50 min | SE 21G | 78°F | 74°F | 29.60 | ||
| 41120 | 49 mi | 38 min | 78°F | 17 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMQI DARE COUNTY RGNL,NC | 2 sm | 22 min | SE 09 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 75°F | 72°F | 89% | 29.64 | |
| KFFA FIRST FLIGHT,NC | 8 sm | 12 min | ESE 07 | 4 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Mist | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 29.64 |
Wind History from MQI
(wind in knots)Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:37 AM EDT 3.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EDT 0.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:14 PM EDT 3.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:24 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:58 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:07 PM EDT 0.99 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:37 AM EDT 3.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EDT 0.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:14 PM EDT 3.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:24 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:58 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:07 PM EDT 0.99 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.7 |
| 1 am |
| 3 |
| 2 am |
| 3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.8 |
| 4 am |
| 2.3 |
| 5 am |
| 1.8 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.7 |
| 11 am |
| 2.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:58 AM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 10:08 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:23 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 04:35 PM EDT 0.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:57 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:34 PM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:58 AM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 10:08 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:23 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 04:35 PM EDT 0.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:57 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:34 PM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.4 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Morehead City, NC,
Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE