Tuesday, May11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Mount, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:08PM Tuesday May 11, 2021 7:21 AM EDT (11:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:11AMMoonset 7:10PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 717 Am Edt Tue May 11 2021
Today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of rain early this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves flat, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Wed..NE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of rain.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of rain in the evening.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming e. Waves light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Mount, NC
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location: 35.97, -77.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 111048 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 647 AM EDT Tue May 11 2021

SYNOPSIS. Cold, surface high pressure will build into the Mid-Atlantic through the week. An upper-level disturbance will increase chances for rain tonight into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 245 AM Tuesday .

Low pressure over the Great Lakes and ridging over the Gulf was creating mostly zonal flow aloft across NC this morning. Surface obs showed the cold front was pushing south into southern central NC, with northeasterly flow and lower dewpoints behind the front. Radar showed an isolated light shower developing across Sampson county along the front. A few more showers could develop over the next few hours before the front pushes into SC.

Surface high pressure will build from the upper Midwest today to the OH Valley, maintaining northeasterly flow across central NC throughout most of the day. Cloudy and cool conditions are expected today, with the surface front stalled just to our south. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s, which is around 10 degrees below seasonal normals.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 300 AM Tuesday .

A 150-170 kt 250 mb jet will develop across VA tonight through early Wednesday, and along with some weak pulses moving across the Southeast, will develop a shield of precipitation across central NC tonight into Wednesday. Showers will first move into the southern and NW Piedmont tonight, then move east across the area through Wednesday afternoon as stratiform rain. At the same time, cold air from the surface high to our northwest will spill into the area and create a very chilly day, with highs well below seasonal normals. Statistical guidance continues to struggle with just how cold it will be, and ironically the NAM is not as cold as it usually is in this situation. The GFS continues to remain the coldest with highs in the mid 50s, and the NAM remains the warmest with highs in the mid 60s. Highs will likely be the lowest across the southern half of the region where rain will fall most of the day. Precip amounts look relatively light, with most areas receiving around one-quarter inch by Wednesday night.

Conditions will improve by Wednesday evening as rain exits the region to the east, with dry weather expected for Wednesday night. Temperatures tonight will dip into the mid-40s to low 50s, then increase Wednesday to the mid-50s to low 60s, and lower Wednesday night to the mid-40s. (Record low max temps for May 12th are as follows: 58 at RDU set in 1960, 50 at GSO set in 1960, and 61 at FAY set in 1949.)

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 400 AM Tuesday .

A weak mid-level shortwave trough and associated height falls will move east from the Tennessee Valley into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday and Thursday night. At the surface, a stalled frontal boundary will remain near the Gulf Coast, with a weak low riding along the front. The ECMWF continues to have a stronger low and thus brings light rain farther north into central NC, while the GFS, NAM, and Canadian largely keep it all to our south. Low-level forcing appears minimal with the front and surface low trending so far to the south, so decreased POPs to only slight for most of central NC on Thursday night, except for low chance in the southernmost tier of counties. As the surface high moves east off the Mid-Atlantic coast and cloud cover lessens, temperatures will still be cool on Thursday but not as cool as Wednesday, with highs in the upper-60s to lower- 70s. Lows Thursday night will again be in the 40s.

As the trough moves away, height rises and dry NW flow aloft will keep the region mostly sunny and mainly dry on Friday and Saturday. Highs in the lower-70s on Friday will increase to mid-to-upper-70s on Saturday as the surface flow becomes increasingly southerly. As the frontal boundary lifts north and Gulf moisture is advected into the central US, precipitation chances will increase from the Midwest into portions of the Mid-Atlantic on Sunday and Monday. However, at least for now, the GFS and ECWMF indicate the mid-level ridge across the Southeast US will be strong enough to keep any significant rain north of the area. The strengthening Bermuda High will bring highs into the upper-70s to lower-80s by Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION /11Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 645 AM Tuesday .

24 hour TAF period: MVFR ceilings will continue over the next few hours across southern areas, then ceilings should lift to VFR conditions and persist through the day. -RA will start to move into the region from the SE late this evening and spread across the region tonight, creating sub-VFR conditions overnight.

Outlook: After 12z/Wed, RA will continue across most areas late tonight through Wednesday afternoon, then VFR conditions will return Wednesday evening. Another round of precipitation and the possibility of sub-VFR conditions will develop Thu and Thu night, then dry weather and VFR conditions are set up for the weekend.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.



SYNOPSIS . JJT NEAR TERM . JJT SHORT TERM . JJT LONG TERM . Danco AVIATION . JJT


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 98 mi52 min NW 1.9 G 1.9 56°F 65°F1019 hPa

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rocky Mount, Rocky Mount-Wilson Regional Airport, NC8 mi29 minNE 510.00 miOvercast59°F52°F78%1019.1 hPa
Tarboro-Edgecombe Airport, NC15 mi47 minN 37.00 miOvercast57°F54°F90%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRWI

Wind History from RWI (wind in knots)
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NE6N4NE8NE6NE7CalmNE4CalmNE5N5NE3NE5
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NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmNE75NE3Calm33NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:26 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:28 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 05:17 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:43 PM EDT     4.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.62.61.60.70.20.20.71.52.53.23.73.73.22.41.50.70.30.411.92.93.74.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:54 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:42 AM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 04:45 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:57 PM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.31.60.80.30.10.411.72.42.932.72.11.40.80.40.30.61.222.83.33.5

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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