Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 7:54PM Saturday August 17, 2019 9:46 PM EDT (01:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:21PMMoonset 7:08AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 172234
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
634 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
A dissipating cold front will remain stalled to the west through
this evening. Low pressure will track northeast across eastern
nc late tonight and Sunday. High pressure offshore will extend
west into eastern north carolina through mid week. A cold front
will approach late week.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 630 pm Saturday... Precip is diminishing over the region
early this evening with inland areas mainly dry now and
stratiform rain near cst. Lull in precip thru evening then
expect numerous shra and a few tsra to spread back NE over the
region late... Espcly cst assoc with low pres.

Prev disc... Latest surface analysis indicates high pressure
offshore with a weak area of low pressure near charleston, sc,
lifting northeast along the coast. Quasi-zonal flow aloft with
weak shortwave troughs moving through the area, aiding in
convective development persistence at times.

Convection currently remains along a line from bladen county
ene to hyde county, with additional showers and thunderstorms
developing off CAPE fear moving towards the region. Will
maintain likely pops for these features near and just inland of
the coast. SPC mesoanalyses indicate a large swath of pwats at
or above 2.25 inches stretching from coastal ga to cape
hatteras. Given instability and shear remain weak,
localized poor drainage flooding remains the biggest hazard
through this afternoon and tonight. Overnight temps will remain
warm with minimum temps in the low 70s inland to mid 70s along
the coast and outer banks.

The area of low pressure currently near charleston, sc, will
lift northeast into eastern nc between 06-12z tonight. Deep
tropical moisture will be embedded in this system. Continued
previous trend of pops coincident with passage of low starting
late tonight. There may be a flood concern for the eastern
counties outside of the coastal plain, and will have to monitor
for a flash flood issuance with later updates.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As of 3 pm Saturday... By sunrise Saturday, the surface low is
expected to be near jacksonville, lifting northeast towards
norther dare county throughout the day. There will be a
precipitation gradient from west to east across eastern nc with
the low pressure passage, and continued highest pops for eastern
half of the area. QPF for the low passage ranges from a half-
inch inland to 1-3 inches along the coast from carteret county
to dare county. Given recent rainfall from the past few days and
pwats near climatological normals, with shear and instability
remaining weak, biggest threat with this low will be potential
for flash flooding and poor drainage flooding. There may be a
flood concern for the eastern counties outside of the coastal
plain, and will have to monitor for a flash flood issuance with
later updates. Temps will be dependent on surface low track and
associated precipitation, with highs ranging from near 90 inland
to 80s near the coast.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
As of 310 am sat... Weak broad upper troughing with rising
heights will remain over the area into early next week. At the
surface, low pressure will track northeast across the nc coastal
plain Sunday with heavy rain possible through the afternoon. A
more amplified upper trough is forecast for late next week which
should push a stronger cold front into and possibly through the
region late in the period. This pattern will keep warm muggy
and unsettled conditions across eastern nc through late next
week.

Sun... Expecting widespread shower and thunderstorm activity to
move across the area through early afternoon as the
aforementioned low tracks across the region. The shower activity
should become scattered in the mid to late afternoon. Locally
heavy amounts are possible with pw values forecast to be around
2.5".

Mon thru fri... Typical summer pattern expected with offshore
high pressure and an inland trough producing a very warm and
muggy southerly flow across the area. Scattered mainly afternoon
and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected through mid
week. The showers and thunderstorms could become more numerous
thu and Fri as a cold front moves into the area in response to
the amplifying mid level flow. Temps will cont near to slightly
above normal with upr 80s and lower 90s for highs and muggy 70s
for lows.

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 630 pm sat... Tricky fcst with potential st fog and
convection overnight into Sun morn. Area of ifr stratus has
formed SRN tier as precip is ending. This may briefly lift thru
evening then majority of guidance shows ifr CIGS developing
again after 06z. Shra and a few tsra will increase as well late
with ERN sites having best chc. Low clouds shld grad lift thru
sun morn and expect mainlyVFR in the aftn with much less precip
cvrg in wake of low pres.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

as of 310 am sat... Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected through early Sun afternoon as low
pressure tracks across the area. Scattered mainly afternoon and
evening showers and tstms expected through Mon through Wed with
brief periods of subVFR conditions. In addition, some patchy
fog st poss late night early morn with high dewpts and rather
light winds.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 630 pm Saturday... No signif changes planned with
increasing ssw winds late as low pres lifts NE just inland. Wl
have to monitor mdl trends as may need to add pamlico sound to
sca as looks like some potential for period of 20 to 25 kt
winds late tonight and Sun morn.

Prev disc... Latest surface and buoy data indicate SW ssw winds
5-15 kt across the waters with seas ranging 3 to 5 ft. Gradient
winds will relax some through later today, though low pressure
moving north through the eastern nc waters tonight will cause
southerly winds to increase to 15-25 kt with higher gusts again
possible for the outer coastal waters, bringing seas back into
the 5-7 ft range. Maintained SCA into Sunday. For the rest of
the area, winds generally in the 5-15 kt range through the
period.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

as of 310 am sat... Very difficult forecast Sun into Sun night
as an area of low pressure is forecast to track across the nc
coastal plain. Expecting a period of SCA winds and seas with
this feature sun. Significant differences in the track of the
low have led to a low confidence forecast and will forecast
winds 10-20 kt with higher gusts and seas 4-7 ft for now and
continue to monitor. Remainder of the forecast mon-wed will see
s SW flow 10-15 kt and seas 2-4 ft as atlantic high pressure
prevails across the waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Sunday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Sunday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Dag rf
short term... Dag
long term... Jme
aviation... Rf jme
marine... Dag rf jme


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi47 min SW 7 G 9.9 79°F 69°F1015.6 hPa (-0.0)
FRFN7 19 mi107 min 2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi47 min 78°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi53 min SW 6 G 7 78°F 80°F1016.2 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi47 min 80°F3 ft
44086 30 mi22 min 79°F3 ft
44095 38 mi31 min 78°F3 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last
24hr
SE6
G9
S10
S8
S8
S6
S7
SW9
G12
W8
NW8
G12
NW9
NW10
W9
G12
NW8
NW8
NE3
E2
E4
SE8
SE10
SE8
SW11
SW12
G15
SW11
SW7
G10
1 day
ago
S8
S4
SE7
SE6
G9
S11
G16
S11
G15
S11
S9
G14
S11
SW7
G10
SW6
S6
SW9
G12
S10
S17
S15
S14
S14
G21
S10
G17
S11
G14
SW12
S13
G16
S9
S8
2 days
ago
SW5
SW6
SW7
G10
SW8
G12
SW10
G13
SW7
SW7
SW10
SW8
W6
G9
W3
NW3
NE4
SE7
SE6
SE6
E4
E11
SE11
E11
SE11
SE18
S5
SE7

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi72 minWSW 510.00 miFair77°F73°F87%1015.9 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi87 minN 010.00 miFair76°F72°F87%1015.6 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi1.9 hrsSSW 610.00 miFair79°F73°F85%1015.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last 24hrSW12SW11SW12SW8SW9W8--W7W5W7W8NW5NW8CalmCalmCalmSW4S9SW13SW14W10
G15
W4W4SW6
1 day agoS5S9----S10----SW12SW11SW7--SW8--S16SW14SW16SW17SW12SW12SW9SW14S10S6SW11
2 days agoSW6W8W6W6W5N5SW14SW12
G18
CalmSW4CalmSW8CalmE5SE4SW5S8S5SE11
G17
S6NE10
G16
E15
G20
E8Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:19 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:22 AM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:28 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:33 PM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.21.40.70.40.40.91.72.53.23.53.532.31.60.90.50.611.72.53.23.63.63.3

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:24 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:29 AM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:41 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.41.50.70.30.30.71.42.22.93.33.332.41.70.90.50.50.91.52.33.13.63.73.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (21,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.