Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:30PM Friday April 3, 2020 1:31 AM EDT (05:31 UTC) Moonrise 1:23PMMoonset 3:04AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 925 Pm Edt Thu Apr 2 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am edt Friday through Friday afternoon...
Overnight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 25 kt late. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy late.
Fri..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves flat.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 030432 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1232 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the area into the weekend, as low pressure lingers over the Atlantic. High pressure then strengthens offshore early next week, as a weak boundary moves into the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1230 AM Fri . Raised init temps most spots as finally got complete set of obs into the system. Based on this also raised mins a cpl dgrs most spots.

Prev disc . Forecast continues in good shape with generally clear skies. Low pressure off the New England coast will move a bit closer to the coast overnight with high pressure ridging south from the Great Lakes. This will lead to increasing NW/NNW winds toward morning. This will lead to better low-level mixing which should hold temperatures up a bit from last night, but lows will still be below normal, ranging from the upper 30s inland to the low/mid 40s coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY/. As of 315 PM Thu . The retrograding Atlantic low will cause winds to increase as it bumps into the inland ridge with breezy conditions inland and windy coast. Downslope flow will warm and dry the atmosphere with highs near 70 and low rh values around 25% leading to increased Fire Danger conditions. Skies will be mostly sunny.

LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As 300 AM Thurs . Cool, but moderating conditions are expected into the weekend, as a large low pressure system meanders off the Mid-Atlantic coast. High pressure then builds into the area early next week, and then shifts offshore, leading to warmer, but more unsettled conditions through mid week.

Saturday . Jet stream blocking will lead to the retrograde of an expansive and strong low pressure system from the New England coast, south towards Bermuda. Locally, this will lead to continued northwest/northerly flow with stronger winds through Saturday as the low makes its closest approach to the area. Could see close to Gale Force winds across the Outer Banks again which could lead to some additional minor coastal flooding, see Coastal Flood section below for more details.

Dry conditions are expected though, and temperatures will be slightly below average with highs in the mid to upper 60s for most. Closer to the NE NC coast strong northerly winds off the cool ocean will lead to highs 50s to low 60s.

Sunday through Wednesday . High pressure will build over the area early Sunday morning, and shift offshore late in the day. Expect temps a bit warmer, with readings reaching the low 70s inland, and 60s closer to the coast.

High pressure then strengthens offshore Monday and Tuesday while a weak boundary moves into the region. This along with subtle upper level disturbances moving overhead, will lead to increasingly unsettled weather through midweek. Could also see an isolated thunderstorm with temperatures warming well into the 70s inland.

AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1230 AM Fri . High confidence in VFR conditions through this TAF cycle. Skies are clr over the region and shld cont that way much of the day. Late today some Cu may begin to shift onshore NE tier but looks to remain well E of taf sites. The Cu will slowly spread SW tonight but again looks like these clouds will remain mainly E of taf sites. NW winds will gust 20 to 25 kt from mid morn thru late aftn then diminish quickly this evening.

Long Term /Sat through Tuesday/ . As of 320 AM Thurs . VFR conditions are expected through the period. Dry weather expected through Monday, when some isolated showers are possible.

MARINE. Short Term /through Friday/ . As of 1230 AM Fri . Winds have been slow to increase tonight but starting to see some gusts around 20 kts. Will maintain current headlines but some of the SCAs for sounds/srn wtrs maybe marginal.

Prev disc . Winds have actually dropped off to mostly 10 knots or less at late evening, however increasing gradient with strong low pressure off of New England and high pressure building south of the Great Lakes will lead to gusty NW/NNW winds of 15-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots toward morning and through the day Friday. Small Craft Advisories have already been issued for the Sounds and continue for the coastal waters. Seas currently 5 to 8 ft northern and central waters will cont in that range tonight and Fri. Over srn wtrs seas will be mostly 4 to 6 ft with some 7 footers over the outer wtrs through Fri.

Long Term /Friday night through Tuesday/ . As of 330 AM Thurs . Strong NW/N winds will continue into the weekend, as a large low pressure system sits off the New England coast, and eventually retrogrades south towards Bermuda. Winds will be NW 15-25 kts Friday night with gusts close to Gale Force, turning to the north on Saturday. Winds finally subside Sunday, and then turn to the south late in the day. SW winds then strengthen to 10-20 kts on Monday.

Seas will be elevated and dangerous Friday through the weekend peaking at 8-12 ft east and north of Cape Lookout, while remaining 3-6 ft across the southern waters. Seas will subside through the day Sunday, but remain 5-7 ft on Monday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 315 PM Thu . Coastal concerns will continue along the Outer Banks this weekend, as low pressures over the Atlantic retrogrades back towards the East Coast. Beaches will begin to see long period swell from the distant low arrive Friday, peaking Saturday and Saturday night. Confidence is increasing that the Outer Banks will see large powerful wave action resulting in a prolonged period of wave run up (double digit seas with periods 14-15 seconds), with the threats for very rough surf, coastal flooding, beach erosion and ocean overwash. Moderate to potentially significant impacts will be possible for ocean side locations of the Outer Banks. This could impact portions of Highway 12, especially at times of high tide.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 5 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/CTC SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . CQD/SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/JME/CTC/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi43 min WNW 14 G 19 55°F 1009.3 hPa
FRFN7 19 mi91 min 4 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi31 min 51°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi49 min W 9.9 G 14 54°F 54°F1009.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi31 min 50°F4 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi36 minNW 8 G 1410.00 miFair55°F36°F51%1010.2 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi36 minWNW 710.00 miFair54°F34°F47%1009.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi37 minW 910.00 miFair51°F33°F50%1010.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5W5NW5W5N9
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--NW7----NW3W4W4NW7NW9
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N7N6CalmNW4NW7--
2 days agoNE18
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:39 AM EDT     3.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:14 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:10 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.333.43.43.22.61.91.20.70.40.511.62.32.83.132.51.91.10.50.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:40 AM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:14 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:17 PM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:20 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.42.22.93.33.43.12.61.91.20.50.30.30.71.322.62.82.82.41.91.20.50.10.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.