James City, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for James City, NC

June 18, 2024 8:19 AM EDT (12:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 4:26 PM   Moonset 2:03 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 643 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Wed - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Wed night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

Sat - S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.

Sat night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

AMZ100 643 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure dominates through midweek week resulting in largely benign boating conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 181105 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 705 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure dominates through Thursday resulting in dry and warm conditions. Coastal troughing may bring some showers to the region late in the week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 7 AM Tuesday...The mid-level ridge is centered over eastern NC and the surface high pressure is centered off the northeast coast. Warm and dry conditions will prevail today with highs nearing 90 across the coastal plain and low to mid 80s along the beaches and OBX. With dew points in the low 60s and an easterly breeze, it will be quite pleasant. Those lower dew points will feel nice but they will also present increased fire weather concerns with minimum RHs around 35-40% across the inner coastal plain. See the Fire Weather section for details.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 3:30 AM Tuesday...Another pleasant evening is in store with lows ranging from the mid 60s across the inner coastal plain to low 70s along the OBX. Cloud cover will increase from east to west overnight as low level moisture increases.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

- Watching the Southwest Atlantic through late-week

- Building heat and humidity likely (60-80% chance) this weekend into next week

- Increased storminess possible (30-50% chance) by next week

Synoptic Summary: An impressive mid-upper level ridge is forecast to remain anchored over the Eastern U.S. through the end of the week.
Over the weekend and into next week, the ridge is forecast to break down, or shift west, with upper level troughing returning to the Eastern U.S. At the SFC, a strong area of high pressure is forecast to remain over the Carolinas through mid-week. The high is then forecast to shift offshore by the weekend, with lee-troughing developing. A frontal boundary may try to sneak south into ENC early next week.

Wednesday-Thursday: Despite impressive ridging at the surface and aloft, an area of relatively lower low-level thicknesses are forecast to remain in place within the easterly onshore flow across the Carolinas through mid-week. This should keep temps close to normal, locally, with the more impressive heat remaining focused to our north across the Mid-Atlantic and New England. A moistening easterly flow may support coastal shower activity moving west off the Atlantic, especially Wednesday, but outside of weak WAA, there isn't much forcing, and I expect most areas will remain dry.

Friday-Saturday: Medium range guidance begin to differ during this time, especially with the evolution of the above-mentioned mid-upper level ridge. In general, the ridge is forecast to weaken, and potentially shift west. Initially, the ridge overhead should keep the tropical wave in the SW Atlantic on a westerly path through mid- week. Then, late in the week, the evolution of the ridge will help determine where the wave goes from there. The general consensus among deterministic and ensemble guidance has been a more southerly track with the wave, and weaker with any surface reflection. Of note, the westward-shifting ridge may actually slow the forward progress of the wave as it approaches the Southeast U.S. coast. Some ensemble members even bring what's left of the wave north as a weakness develops within the broader ridge aloft. The key message here is that we'll still keep an eye on the SW Atlantic, but guidance is trending towards something less noteworthy for now.

What is more certain during this time is the development of a moistening return flow as SFC high pressure shifts offshore. This is forecast to occur regardless of what happens with the above mentioned wave. Despite the moistening low-levels, a lack of appreciable forcing should keep the chance of showers/storms low.
With the increasing moisture will come increasing humidity, with a "feels like" temp approaching 100 degrees by Saturday.

Sunday-Tuesday: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance are showing a consistent signal for above normal temperatures and an increased risk of heat-related impacts thanks to continued southerly flow and increasing low-level thicknesses. During this period, the "feels like" temperature is forecast to reach 100-105 degrees, especially Sunday and Monday.

By Monday and Tuesday, southwesterly flow aloft tapping into a very moist pool of Gulf of Mexico moisture should support PWATs climbing back above 2". At minimum, the forecast pattern will favor a more active seabreeze. Additionally, though, there may be some added support from a shortwave, or two, and a frontal boundary trying to drop south into the area. In light of all of this, ensemble guidance has shown a consistent signal for increased storminess early next week which will be welcomed given the very dry pattern of late. This also appears to be the next appreciable chance of wetting rainfall.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Tue/...
As of 7 AM Tuesday...Pred VFR through the period thanks to high pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast. Skies will remain mostly clear during the day outside of some diurnal cu and winds will be light out of the east. Similarly to last night, some MVFR cigs could spread inland overnight as low-level moisture increases from east to west. Overnight widespread fog development does not seem promising given the increase in cloud cover, how dry the column has been, and the fact that we won't reach crossover temps. Given the aforementioned increase in low level moisture near the coast, however, low stratus seems more probable than fog.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the end of the work week, with minimal impacts to aviation expected. By the weekend, increasingly gusty southwest winds are likely, along with at least a modest increase in the risk of SHRA and TSRA.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 3:30 AM Tuesday...Warm and dry with sub-SCA conditions through the period. Winds will be ESE 5-15 kt with gusts and 2-4 ft seas.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

- Elevated seas possible mid-week (30-50% chance)

- Elevated wind and seas possible this weekend (40-60% chance)

Through mid-week, we'll be keeping an eye on a weak tropical wave moving west through the Southwest Atlantic. Guidance has trended weaker and further south with this wave, which may tend to keep seas lower than previously forecast. However, there's still at least some potential for 6ft seas across portions of the central and southern waters Wednesday and Thursday. Given the lower chance, and lower confidence, no marine headlines are planned at this time. Otherwise, good boating conditions continue with a continued easterly wind of 5- 15kt through Thursday. Winds become southerly late in the week and over the weekend, while also building to 10-20kt. A period of 25kt winds appears possible over the weekend. Seas will begin to build as well, providing another opportunity for 6ft seas.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 3:30 AM Tue...A dry airmass will be in place through mid week, with minimum RH in the 30s and 40s percent, especially away from the coast. This will overlap with breezy E winds at times, and is noteworthy for any ongoing, or planned, fires.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi50 minESE 7G9.9 78°F 80°F30.21
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi80 minE 11G12 77°F 30.23


Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEWN COASTAL CAROLINA REGIONAL,NC 4 sm25 minE 0510 smClear77°F64°F65%30.25
KNKT CHERRY POINT MCAS /CUNNINGHAM FIELD/,NC 17 sm23 minE 0510 smA Few Clouds75°F66°F74%30.24
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Wind History graph: EWN
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Tide / Current for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   
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Core Creek Bridge
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Tue -- 01:08 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:49 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:04 PM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.7
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.7
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.6
9
am
1.3
10
am
0.9
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1.8
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
2.3
8
pm
2.2
9
pm
1.9
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1.1


Tide / Current for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
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Tue -- 12:50 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:22 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:32 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:48 PM EDT     3.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.8
3
am
1.2
4
am
1.8
5
am
2.3
6
am
2.6
7
am
2.5
8
am
2.3
9
am
1.8
10
am
1.2
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
2.8
6
pm
3.3
7
pm
3.4
8
pm
3.2
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
2.1
11
pm
1.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Morehead City, NC,




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